The New Electricity Age

Transcription

1 The New Electricity Age Helsinki - December 9, 2010 CTO Siemens Energy Siemens AG 2008

2 Overview 1. Introduction 2. Trends and Drivers 3. Focus areas for Innovations Page 1

3 Siemens innovation fields along the entire energy conversion chain ( Megawatt and Negawatt ) Nuclear Power Generation Wind Power Generation Solar Power Generation HVDC-Transmission and HVDC Grids Smart Grid incl. Energy Storage, E-Mobility Offshore & Subsea Oil&Gas Pipeline Transportation and Gas Liquefaction Highly Efficient Coal- and gas fired Power Plants Gasification Carbon Capture and Storage Page 2

4 Overview 1. Introduction 2. Trends and Drivers 3. Focus areas for Innovations Page 3

5 Scenario: Fossil energy sources remain dominant, but renewable energy becomes more important Power generation (in TWh¹) Renewable energy (w/o hydro) in 2008: 580 TWh (3% of total) Geothermal Geothermal Solar 2% 13% Wind 38% 47% Biomass 2.3% per year 2) 20,300 TWh 3% 16% 13% 21% 6% 41% Fossil energy sources 68% 54% 33,000 TWh 17% Hydro 15% Nuclear 15% Gas 20% Oil 2% Coal 32% Renewable energy (w/o hydro) in 2030: 5,580 TWh (17% of total) 4% Solar 29% Other 1% Biomass 14% Wind 52% Source: Siemens Energy Sector ¹) terawatt hours 2) Primary energy consumption grows by 1.6% per year. Page 4

6 The use of electrical energy will increase due to its high efficiency Example: E-car Example: All Electric Oil & Gas In an E-car the electrical energy from batteries will be converted in kinetic energy with an efficiency of 95%. Traditional concepts: Gas turbines with direct drive from compressors and pumps Efficiency: 20-25% All-Electric solutions: Central power generation and all drives are electrical Efficiency: 34-50% Page 5

7 Siemens to build the world s first offshore wind farm in gigawatt class MW turbines with 120m rotor Capacity of 630 megawatts (MW) Option to further expand up to 1,000 MW Enough power for approximately 750,000 homes or a quarter of Greater London homes London Wind farm London Array Page 6

8 Wind Power Scenarios (in GW) for Europe Close to peak load in UCTE interconnected network (= 390 GW)! 350 New target for 2020: 230GW * EWEA: European Wind Energy Association Pure Power Wind Energy Scenarios up to 2030 (Report ) Page 7

9 PV : 14.7 GW of PV installed in Germany! Page 8

10 Electricity production of a 314 kwp PV-installation near Erlangen, Germany Sunny day in April: 1,9 MWh Cloudy day in April: 1,2 MWh Page 9

11 Paradigm shift in power grids: The New Electricity Age 19th Century 20th Century 21st Century Environmental awareness : Sustainable energy system No environmental concerns : Unsustainable energy system Electrification of society Age of Coal Extensive generation of electrical energy Age of fossil fuels Generation and load closely coordinated Coal hydro Page 10 Generation follows load Transition period The New Electricity Age Challenges require rethinking: 1.) Demographic change 2.) Scarce resources 3.) Climate change Electricity will be the energy source in an integrated energy system Shift of energy system consumer becoming prosumer Load follows generation Coal, gas, oil, hydro, nuclear Coal, gas, oil, hydro, nuclear, biomass, wind, solar Renewable energy sources (solar, wind, hydro, biomass, etc.), clean coal, gas, nuclear

12 The New Electricity Age Page 11

13 Overview 1. Introduction 2. Trends and Drivers 3. Focus areas for Innovations Page 12

14 Smart Exploration, Smart Generation and Energy Storage Page 13

15 Offshore & Subsea Oil & Gas: Pioneering the Subsea Smart Grid Page 14

16 Optimization of the energy mix for power generation use of different technologies necessary Green energy but mostly intermittent supply Renewable energies such as Wind energy Solar thermal Photovoltaic Wholesale parity for all technologies to be reached within next 5-10 years Low-emissions base load High-efficiency coal-fired power plants Coal/gas power plants with CO 2 separation and storage Nuclear power plants Water power plants Low-cost power gener. Compensating Mid/peak load Gas-fired combinedcycle power plants: High efficiency Low emissions Short start-up times Future storage solutions, e.g. Batteries, H 2 Decreasing costs due to higher efficiency Siemens is the world s leading supplier of products, solutions and services for power generation Page 15

17 Energy storage relevant across many Businesses Renewable Energy: Balancing mismatching supply/demand Industrial processes/buildings: Increase energy efficiency Energy Storage Mobility: Rise of battery driven mobility Source: Team Energy Storage Page 16

18 Smart Transmission and Renewables ( Grids, Grids, Grids ) Page 17

19 European Initiatives for HVDC Grids Page 18

20 The New Electricity Age in Europe: The European Off-Shore Super Grid Operational 7,350MW Planned 4,950MW Under Study 10,400MW Under Study (with EWEA Recommendation) 9,600MW EWEA Recommendation 7,100MW (2020) 11,100MW (2030) France 2030: EWEA offshore grid vision Italy Spain 13bn+ of investment Page 19

21 China: over 217 GW * of additional HVDC Transmission Capacity are expected between 2010 and Yunnan Guangdong 800 kv, 5000 MW, 2009/10 2. Xiangjiaba Shanghai 800 kv, 6400 MW, Qinghai Tibet 500 kv, 1200 MW, Mongolia Tianjin 660 kv, 4000 MW, Russia Liaoning 660 kv, 4000 MW, Nuozhadu Guangdong 800 kv, 5000 MW, Jingping Sunan 800 kv, 7200 MW, Xiluodu Guangdong 500 kv, 2 x 3200 MW, Humeng Tangshan 660 kv, 4000 MW, Ningdong Zhejiang 800 kv, 7200 MW, Xiluodu Zhejiang 800 kv, 7200 MW, Sichuan Hunan 660 kv, 4000 MW, Xiluodu Hunan 660 kv, 4000 MW, Humeng Shandong 800 kv, 7200 MW, Hami Henan 800 kv, 7200 MW, Mengxi Jiangxi 800 kv, 7200 MW, Mongolia Shandong 800 kv, 7200 MW, Shaanxi Jiangsu 660 kv, 4000 MW, Jiuquan Jiangsu 800 kv, 7200 MW, Zhundong Henan 800 kv, 7200 MW, x B2B 3 x 500 kv 7 x 660 kv 19 x 800 kv 5 x 1000 kv Bangkok 20 Page 20 December , 2010 E T PS Michael SL/Re Weinhold Siemens Power AG Transmission 2010, Energy Division Sector Hainan Jilin Xinjiang Liaoning Inrfar Mongolia Beijing Gansu Tianjin Hebei Shanxi Ningxia Shandong Henan Qinghai 18 Jiangsu Shaanxi Anhuj Shanghai Sichuan & 2 7 Xizang Chongqing Hubai 26 3 Zheijang Jiangxi Guizhou Fujian Yunnan Guangdong Taiwan 6 24 * Options for further Projects > 7 GW 29 4 Hunan 9 Heilongjiang Baoqing Liaoning 660 kv, 4000 MW, Hami Shandong 800 kv, 7200 MW, Tibet Chongqing 800 kv, 7200 MW, Jinghong Thailand 500 kv, 3000 MW, Ximeng Wuxi 800 kv, 7200 MW, Baihetan Hubei 800 kv, 7200 MW, Wudongde Fujian 1000 kv, 9000 MW, Northwest North B2B, 1500 MW, Mongolia Jing-Jin-Tang 800 kv, 7200 MW, Russia Liaoning 800 kv, 7200 MW, Zhundong Jiangxi 1000 kv, 9000 MW, Tibet Zhejiang 1000 kv, 9000 MW, Baihetan Hunan 800 kv, 7200 MW, Yili Sichuan 1000 kv, 9000 MW, Kazakhstan Chengdu 1000 kv, 9000 MW, 2020

22 800 kv DC Overhead Line in China: 5000 MW Hydro Power across 1400km This slim HVDC overhead line is the equivalent of two 380 kv double ciruit systems with in total 12 conductor bundles. 21 Page 21 December , 2010 E T PS Michael S/ReWeinhold Siemens Power Transmission AG 2010, Energy Solutions Sector

23 Sending Station Chuxiong Page 22

24 Impressive Dimensions! Page 23

25 The DESERTEC-Vision becomes reality with products & solutions of Siemens Offshore wind farms HVDC electricity highways Onshore wind energy Solar thermal power plants Solar fields Receiver Power block Steam turbines Siemens will play a key role in Desertec Industrial Initiative! Page 24

26 Smart Distribution and Prosumer Page 25

27 Individual House / Apartment House of tomorrow Low Carbon Footprint Home Energy Management (internet-based, e. g. cloud-based ) Electricity Data Photovoltaics Solar Thermal Thermal Insulation G Controllable Photovoltaics Electrical Energy Storage Heat Pump Thermal Energy Storage Controllable Load Non- Controllable Load Thermal Insulation Data to internet Page 26

28 Smart Grids: Integration of producers, consumers and Electromobility Page 27

29 Sustainable cities need to adopt low carbon products and solutions - e.g. Electromobility From fossil to all electric New mobility concept Existing: Car sharing PUBLIC TRANSPORT e-trains e-tubes Park + Ride Park management Traffic flow management solutions City toll (CO 2 or time related) High occupancy lanes e-boats e-planes New / Future: Driverless public transport Networked individual traffic INDIVIDUAL TRANSPORT e-cars e-bikes 3D Expressbus e-scooters Segways Page 28

30 The New Electricity Age: Combining Smart Grids and intelligent, efficient energy mixes into integrated energy systems Large power plants secure the supply of electricity Display of CO 2 emissions Parking area for E-Cars with charging station Large and small power plants are managed in an integrated energy system Wireless sensors and intelligent meters for efficient load management and flexible power supplies Energy storage to compensate for fluctuating feed-in of power into the grid Page 29

31 Disclaimer This document contains forward-looking statements and information that is, statements related to future, not past, events. These statements may be identified either orally or in writing by words as expects, anticipates, intends, plans, believes, seeks, estimates, will or words of similar meaning. Such statements are based on our current expectations and certain assumptions, and are, therefore, subject to certain risks and uncertainties. A variety of factors, many of which are beyond Siemens control, affect its operations, performance, business strategy and results and could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Siemens worldwide to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements that may be expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. For us, particular uncertainties arise, among others, from changes in general economic and business conditions, changes in currency exchange rates and interest rates, introduction of competing products or technologies by other companies, lack of acceptance of new products or services by customers targeted by Siemens worldwide, changes in business strategy and various other factors. More detailed information about certain of these factors is contained in Siemens filings with the SEC, which are available on the Siemens website, and on the SEC s website, Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described in the relevant forward-looking statement as anticipated, believed, estimated, expected, intended, planned or projected. Siemens does not intend or assume any obligation to update or revise these forward-looking statements in light of developments which differ from those anticipated. Trademarks mentioned in this document are the property of Siemens AG, it's affiliates or their respective owners. Page 30