E-learning Platform on Weather and Climate Services: A Value Chain Approach to Project Design

Transcription

1 E-learning Platform on Weather and Climate Services: A Value Chain Approach to Project Design Global Drought Information System Workshop December 11-13, 2014 Pasadena, California Nathan Engle, Climate Change Specialist Kanta Kumari, Lead Environment Specialist Kazi Ahmed, Environment Specialist Ana Bucher, Climate Change Specialist

2 E- learning Pla,orm Concept Target Audience: Project managers of weather and climate services- related investments; Government counterparts; and Other development prac>>oners interested in weather and climate services. Mo4va4ons - PPCR porbolio: 20 investments - $170m resources (PPCR and co- financing) - IDA17 policy commitments - Next genera>on of climate services investments 2

3 E- learning Pla,orm Concept Weather and Climate Services are necessary for planning climate resilient development Need improved understanding of how the climate is changing and how to respond to these changes Helps reduce disaster losses on account of extreme events (on average recovers costs in 7 years by a factor of 4 to 8) Move beyond piecemeal investments Contains 4 modules comprised of 1-3 lessons each To launch in parallel with World Bank s Open Learning Campus User PlaBorm 3

4 E- learning Pla,orm Concept Module 1: The Climate Services Value Chain - An Introduc,on Module 2: The Climate Services Value Chain - Key Components and Inter- linkages Module 3: Integra4ng Climate Services into Project Investments through the Project Cycle Module 4: Prac4cal Examples and Resources - Good Prac,ces and Interac,ve Exercises 4

5 Module 2: The Weather and Climate Services Value Chain GFCS- Capacity Development GFCS- Research, Modeling and Predic>on Lesson 4 Embedded in Lesson 2, 3, 4 User Service Provider Engagement User Consulta>on Water, Weather and Climate Inputs Data Collec>on and Management Development of Informa>on, Products and Services Delivery of Products and Services Applica>on for Decision- Making Climate Resilient Development Outcomes Ins>tu>onal Actors Lesson 3 Lesson 1 Lesson 2 GFCS- Observa>ons and Monitoring GFCS- User Interface PlaBorm GFCS- Climate Services Informa>on System

6 Help with Tes4ng and Upcoming Ac4vi4es Interac>ve online (open) version Valida>on by partners and clients through prototype Need assistance from countries and organiza>ons to test in early 2015 through facilitated courses Content (case study enhancement) 6

7 User Needs and Benefits Pufng all the pieces together: paradigma>c examples. Click on each sector or theme to see real examples of climate services that can help decision makers, and the benefits that this provides. User Communi4es Food Agriculture security Weather & Climate Impact Short Term Weather & Climate Service Examples of Benefits to users Northeast Brazil Drought Monitor The role and benefits of weather and climate services with respect to drought in northeast Brazil can be clearly seen in the process of shiging from: Water resource management Disaster risk management Medium and Long Term Short Term Short term A culture of reac4ve crisis management TO Proac4ve drought risk management Supported by the development of a Drought Monitor : Mechanisms to beher an>cipate drought events and guide relief measures more efficiently, objec>vely, and effec>vely, Though the implementa>on of drought preparedness measures Med/long term

8 DROUGHT MONITORING & FORECASTING EDUARDO MARTINS Research Institute for Meteorology and Water Resources (FUNCEME) Federal University of Ceará (UFC)

9 The Context Ceará State: Storage Capacity 18,7 bi m 3 à 22%: 4,1 bi m monitored reservoirs 75 reservoirs below 10% 124 reservoirs below 30%

10 Drought Monitor Monitoring and forecas4ng/ early warning Vulnerability/resiliency and impact assessment Mi4ga4on and response planning and measures 10

11 Drought Monitor Monitoring and forecas4ng/early warning 11

12 Drought Monitor Mi4ga4on and response planning and measures PERNAMBUCO: Jucazinho Water Supply System Opera4onal response for when the drought hits: 1. Rain- fed agriculture 2. Water Management 3. Water Supply - #Municipalities: 15 - Population: people - Actual capacity: l/s - Pipeline system: 206 Km - Future capacity: l/s

13 Drought Monitor Monitoring and forecas4ng/early LESS ABOUT INDICATORS, IT IS MORE ABOUT THE PROCESS. warning JUL/2014 AUG/2014 SEP/2014 OCT/2014 NOV/2014

14 Drought Monitor- Data Integra4on Effort Raingauges Weather Sta>ons Automa>c Weather Sta>ons Reservoir Levels

15 FUNCEME Monitoring

16 FUNCEME Forecast System Streamflow forecasts (Since 2005) Yield Forecasts Na4onal Superensemble CPTEC/INMET/FUNCEME

17 FUNCEME Forecast System FMA DOWNSCALING Onset/end Season MAM Drought Indicators Forecasts: SPI- 3/4 Months SPEI- 3/4 Months S2S: Dry/wet spells indicatos

18 FUNCEME BRAZIL + GDIS Ø Coopera4on is a two- way street: It should not mean data- sharing only; Ø What is in it for the local/regional ins4tu4ons? Ul4mately, these ins4tu4ons are the ones that will be held responsible for the provided informa4on. Ø COOPERATION WITH BRAZIL: Ø Data sharing Ø Capacity Building Ø Pilots (no planes!) and as a result à Sustainable local capacity! Examples IRI & NDMC

19 FUNCEME CRC- NSA Thank you!!! Obrigado!!! INMET/CPTEC/FUNCEME