KENYA S NUCLEAR INDUSTRY

Transcription

1 KENYA S NUCLEAR INDUSTRY By Mr. Karanja Kabage Head of Kenya Delegation Member of Nuclear Electricity Project Committee(NEPC) & chairperson Legal Sub-Committee S. Korea 6 th December 2011

2 Presentation Outline 1. Overview of Kenya s power sector structure 2. Kenya Vision 2030 and Projected power demand 3. Nuclear Electricity Project(NEP) Committee establishment and structure 4. NEP Committee ToR s 5. Kenya s nuclear power programme 6. The Director s ToR s 7. Pre-Feasibility Study

3 POWER SUB-SECTOR INSTITUTIONAL FRAMEWORK TODAY GDC NEP KETRACO 70% GoK & 30% Public 100% Govt owned KenGen* (~ 80% Inst. Cap.) Generation function IPPs ** (~20% Inst. Cap) Ministry of Energy (MoE) (energy policy matters) UETCL Imports (<1%) Transmission and Distribution function - KPLC Energy Regulatory Commission(ERC) (regulating energy sector) Rural Electrification Authority (REA)**** EPP * (140 MW) Thermal (187MW ) Geotherma l (~50 MW) Other IPPs expected Hydro (761 MW) Thermal (259 MW) Wind (5.3 MW) Geothermal (150 MW) * - KenGen manages the Emergency Power Project (EPP) on behalf of the GoK ** - More Independent Power Producers (IPPs) expected in thermal, wind, solar and geothermal *** - GDC & KETRACO is 100% owned by GoK **** - REA was established to accelerate rural electrification and works with KPLC in implementing the rural programme

4 Kenya Vision 2030 Kenya Vision 2030 is the country s development blueprint covering the period 2008 to It aims to transform Kenya into a newly industrializing, middleincome country providing a high quality life to all its citizens by the year 2030 and Energy is one of the enablers for Kenya Vision The country aims at enhancing and diversifying national power generation and supply by identifying new generation and supply sources.

5 Kenya Vision 2030 Cont d The 2011/2031 Least Cost Power Development plan for Kenya projects a peak demand of 16,905MW by 2031, of this capacity 4,000MW would be supplied from nuclear energy. The first nuclear unit(s) of 1,000 MW is expected to be commissioned in Nuclear energy has been identified as one of the sources of energy that would substantially address the prevailing energy deficit and accordingly established the Nuclear Electricity Project Committee.

6 POWER IS A 2030KEY ENABLER FOR KENYA VISION A sustained economic growth of 10% per annum from year 2015 Kenya Vision 2030 A globally competitive and prosperous nation with a high quality of life by 2030 Economic To maintain a sustained economic growth of 10% p.a. over the next 25 years Social A just and cohesive society enjoying equitable social development in a clean and secure environment Political An issue-based, peoplecentered, result-oriented, and accountable democratic political system Key Enabler: A vibrant power sector that meets electricity required to drive flagship projects and programmes

7 Power Supply Mix for Kenya's System in MW 140 2,000 5,040 GEOT COAL 4,000 GAS TURBINE MEDIUM SPEED DIESEL WIND NUCL IMPORT 2,400 HYDRO 1,500 1,440 2,340

8 Peak Power Demand Projection for Kenya (MW) 18,000 16,000 Peak: 16,905MW Installed Capacity: 21,620MW 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Source: Least Cost Power Development Plan 2011/2031

9 Kenya s GDP and Electricity growth Slide Elec growth rate GDP growth rate 선형 (Elec growth rate ) 선형 (GDP growth rate)

10 Kenya s National Grid At present, Kenya has an installed electricity generation capacity of 1,635 MW and an effective capacity of 1,525 MW under average hydrological conditions. The existing transmission network consists of 1,331km of 220kV and 2,211km of 132kV transmission lines and associated substations. Kenya s peak demand has been on an upward trend it is projected to grow to over 15,026 MW by 2030.

11 Kenya s National T & D Expansion Plans Transmission The 2011 LCPDP includes a transmission plan to be developed for the period The transmission development plan indicates the need to develop approximately 16,064 km of new lines at an estimated cost of USD Billion.

12 12 Kenya s National T & D Expansion Plans cont d Distribution The proposed electricity distribution expansion targets connectivity to over 1 million new customers spread countrywide every 5 years and to increase customer connectivity from 22% to 30% by the year Kenya targets 100% electricity connectivity by year This involves construction of an additional approximately : 16,000 kms of Medium Voltage distribution lines, (66, 33 & 11Kv) 1,000 MVA of distribution substations, 50,000 kms of LV distribution lines, 30,000 (3,000 MVA) of distribution transformers and 1 million service lines connections.

13 Existing and Potential Transmission Lines in EAC

14 Establishment on NEP Committee The Nuclear Electricity Project committee (NEPC) was established vide The Kenya Gazette Vol. CXII-No.123, Gazette Notice No on the 19 th November 2010 NEP s mandate is to drive the nuclear energy roadmap for Kenya. NEP is tasked with spearheading and fast tracking development of nuclear electricity in order to enhance the production of affordable and reliable electricity generation process.

15 NEP Committee ToR s 13 member Committee headed by Executive Chair 1. Extensive civic education, regarding nuclear electricity power *lobby support from key stakeholders e.g COTU), (FKE), KAM and the civil society; 2. Ensure that all terms and conditions of the IAEA, necessary for approval for the construction of nuclear electric power plants are met; 3. Prepare and endorse, a detailed road map for the realization of the terms and conditions indicating the milestones and time lines for approval by the international Atomic Energy Agency; 4. Oversee the implementation of the IAEA approved road map including the preparation of a comprehensive legal and regulatory framework; 5. Review and approve a capacity building plan targeting young Kenyans 6. Identify appropriate sites for construction of a nuclear power plant along Kenya s coastal shoreline taking into consideration environmental and social impact considerations; 7. Develop a collaborative program with academic institutions and other organizations within and outside Kenya, for nuclear power research and development; 8. Develop a well-stocked library on nuclear electricity production;

16 NEO ORGANOGRAM NEP COMMITTEE Executive Chair NEO ORGANOGRAM Secretary Finance Manager Human Resources Audit Manager Technical Affairs Director Public Information & Consultation Director Legal, Regulatory & Policy Director Technical Assessment Teamleader Environmental Assessment & Siting Teamleader NPP Technology fuel Cycle Assessment Teamleader Economic, Electric Market & Generation Mix Assessment Teamleader Communication Officer Legal Officer Electrical Grid Assessment Engineer Environmental Assessment Officer Technology & Fuel Cycle Assessment Engineer/scientist Economic & Commercial Assessment officer Public Relation & Advocacy Officer Regulatory Officer Safety, Safeguards & Security Assessment Engineer/scientist NPP Management & Operation assessment Engineer/scientist Siting Assessment officer Nuclear Power Research institute Development Engineer/scientist Electrical market & Generation mix assessment officer Nuclear Library Development officer Policy & International Affairs officer Nuclear Equipment and Services Procurement Engineer/scientist Human Resource assessment engineer/scientist 7

17 Kenya s Nuclear Power Programme Kenya has been a member of the International Atomic Energy Agency(IAEA) since Kenya s decision to embark on a nuclear programme shall be based upon a commitment to use nuclear power for peaceful purposes, in a safe and secure manner. To attain nuclear status, Kenya shall be guided by The IAEA Milestone approach. The IAEA milestones framework provides a guide in the development of Kenya s nuclear infrastructure that will ensure that the country meets its objectives

18 Kenya s Nuclear Power Programme cont d Programme to Develop Infrastructure Milestones Kenya proposed schedule following the IAEA guidelines of the 3 Milestones Approach is as follows: November Milestone 1: Ready to make knowledgeable commitment to a nuclear program. By Beginning of 2013, the Government will submit the Pre-FS report of the 1 st NPP to the Parliament for approval and decision to be made for conducting the FS project for NPP of 2,000 MWe. December Milestone 2: Ready to invite bids for the first NPP. December Milestone 3: Ready to commission and operate the first nuclear power plant.

19 Nuclear Power Programme Milestones & IAEA Services

20 Pre-feasibility Study Kenya is has embarked on a Pre-Feasibility study titled Self-Assessment of Kenya Nuclear Infrastructure Status. The study commenced in November 2011 and is scheduled for completion by November To assess the current status of development of the national infrastructure against the conditions recommended by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).

21 Pre-feasibility Study cont d 21 What are Kenya s main challenges Human resource capacity Financial resources Stakeholder buy-in Partnerships/collaboration IAEA support Other international nuclear communities Transmission & Distribution Capacity

22 Pre-feasibility Study progress Progress update NEP Committee has already identified the organizations and also the individuals who will conduct the evaluation. Development process for the Terms of Reference(ToRs) for pre-feasibility study is at an advanced stage.

23 THANK YOU