Indicators for VET and skill mismatch: selected examples from Cedefop recent works. Marco Serafini and Alena Zukersteinova

Transcription

1 Indicators for VET and skill mismatch: selected examples from Cedefop recent works Marco Serafini and Alena Zukersteinova

2 2 Indicators for VET and mismatch 1. Examples from the VET Statistical overviews 2. Examples from Labour market outcomes of vocational education in Europe Examples from EC Employment an social developments in Europe 2012 (chapter 6)

3 3 Examples from the VET Statistical overviews op.europa.eu/en /statistics-andindicators/cedefo p-publicationsstatisticsindicators.aspx

4 4 Examples from the VET Statistical overviews 31 statistical indicators on VET and LLL organised in 3 main policy relevant areas: 1. Access, attractiveness and flexibility (about VET) 2. Skill development and labour market relevance (about VET) 3. Overall transition and employment trends (not necessarily about VET, but about aspects related to VET, i.e. the context in which VET operates and on which VET can have a more or less direct impact)

5 5 Examples from the VET Statistical overviews Some indicators related to mismatch: 1. Employment rates for years olds medium level VET graduates no longer in education and related employment premia compared to general education and low skilled (source: Eurostat, EU-LFS AHM 2009) 2. Workers self assessed skill mismatch (source: Eurofound, EWCS 2010) - similar variables are present in PIAAC, where specification for VET graduates is to be investigated, but in theory possible. PIAAC also provides for many other possibilities projected employment for high/medium level qualified as % of total employment (source: Cedefop skills demand and supply forecast)

6 6 Examples from the Labour market outcomes of vocational education in Europe ublications/21556.aspx

7 7 Examples from the Labour market outcomes of vocational education in Europe 2009 Logit regression coefficients related to the likelihood of being over/under qualified for one s first significant or current job specified for medium level young VET graduates controlling for some other intervening socio-demo characteristics at EU and country level (only for first significant job) with corresponding statistical significance mismatch defined based on modal qualification levels within occupation (source: multivariate statistical modelling based on EU LFS AHM 2009 microdata)

8 8 Examples from EC Employment an social developments in Europe 2012 (chapter 6) ain.jsp?catid=738&langid=e n&pubid=7315

9 9 Examples from EC Employment an social developments in Europe 2012 (chapter 6) Examples of indicators on: 1. Skill shortages related to recruitment difficulties 2. Qualification mismatch related to level of education 3. Mismatch in skills related to actual skills use

10 10 Examples from EC Employment an social developments in Europe 2012 (chapter 6) Indicators on skill shortages: Proportion of establishments with difficulties in finding staff for skilled/low or unskilled jobs (source: ECS, Eurofound) Proportion of firms reporting labour shortage as a factor limiting production = labour shortage indicator (source: EU business surveys - available quaterly) Ratio of vacancies to unemployed (or job finders) at a country level (source: EU vacancy monitor and LFS data)

11 11 Examples from EC Employment an social developments in Europe 2012 (chapter 6) Indicators on qualification mismatch: Proportion of employees with qualification which is not corresponding to the requirement of their occupation = vertical mismatch (source: LFS) Difference between the active workforce and the number of employed persons with given qualification = skill mismatch index (source: LFS) Proportion of people aged with tertiary education employed in ISCO 4-9 = Bologna process indicator (source: LFS)

12 12 Examples from EC Employment an social developments in Europe 2012 (chapter 6) Indicator on mismatch in skills: Proportion of employed who reported as having skills to cope with more demanding duties or needing further training to cope well with their duties = self-reported skill mismatch (source: EWCS, Eurofound)

13 Indicators for VET and mismatch Waiting for EU-LFS, with regular collection of orientation (general/vocational) of the highest level of education starting from and 2016 Ad hoc modules of the EU-LFS, with some variables on self assessed mismatch 3. PIAAC microdata, with many analytical possibilities offered for skill and educational mismatch, in combination with orientation of the highest level of education (to be derived) 4. Cedefop surveys: EU-MISS and Employer Survey 13

14 More information: