Sustainability Impact Assessment on the EU- Myanmar Investment Protec1on Agreement. Civil Society Dialogue Mee1ng on Dra4 Incep1on Report

Transcription

1 Sustainability Impact Assessment on the EU- Myanmar Investment Protec1on Agreement Civil Society Dialogue Mee1ng on Dra4 Incep1on Report Wednesday 5 th November, 2015

2 Structure of the presenta1on Work completed to date on SIA Methodological Framework Scenarios: Baseline and with Investment Agreement in place analysis analysis Stakeholder Preliminary Overview: Overall and Sectoral Analysis Overall Analysis Sector Stakeholder Work Plan and Timeline

3 Work completed to date on SIA Kick- off with the European Commission (8 September 2015) DraW report (uploaded to SIA website 27 October 2015) SIA website (launched on 27 October 2015): myanmarsia.com

4 Methodological Framework Scenarios: I. Baseline (overall and sector Current economic, social, environmental and HR Development without IPA (eco, social, environ, HR) Methodology: Literature review, economic modelling, stakeholders II. With Investment Agreement in place (overall and sector provisions in IPA Economic, social, environmental and HR impacts of IPA Methodology: Economic modelling, indicators, stakeholder

5 Methodological Framework (cont d) Economic modelling Data review Proposed methodology analysis Economic indicators (FDI, surveys, SME- Test) Social indicators (EU Be^er Toolbox, ILO Decent Work Agenda) Environmental indicators (EU Be^er Toolbox, OECD Indicators, European Environment Agency indicators) Human rights indicators (EU Guidelines on the analysis of Human Rights impacts) Stakeholder Interviews, workshop, website and online

6 Academic debates Causal link between IPAs and increase in FDI Benefits and costs of IPAs in developing countries

7 Overall baseline scenario Economic: GDP growth Foreign Direct Investment Economic Reforms Economic of the government Myanmar and other regional actors Regional economic and investment agreements EU Myanmar Trade and Investment Economic outlook on Myanmar (sector

8 Overall baseline scenario Social: Legal Framework and Effects induced by FDI Specific regions affected Labour Health Inclusion Environmental: Legal Framework Effects induced by FDI Specific affected by FDI efforts by government Forest resources Land Waste management Biodiversity Water resources Air Climate change

9 Overall baseline scenario Human rights: Legal framework and Specific human rights affected by FDI groups and regions affected by FDI Rights to property Freedom of expression and opinion Minority rights Right to due process Rights to privacy and of data Right to adequate standard of living

10 Baseline scenario (sector level) Sector based on the following criteria: EU relevance Past and future EU investment Labor intensity Level of against sustainable issues Important factors for subsequent analysis: Sectoral Economic, social, environmental and human rights impacts of IPA Current state of the sector and its challenges for future development Sectoral linkages

11 Analy1cal matrix of key sustainability impacts of provisions proposed in EU- Myanmar IPA (dra4)

12 Stakeholder Consulta1on Process Overview List of relevant stakeholders Academia Businesses Government NGOs Social Partners

13 List of poten1al stakeholders No. Name Category Background information Why important for consultation 1 Department of Law, Yangon University Academician Under Ministry of Education. As an academic institution, they have been involved in different law drafting consultations and public consultation on social issues well. 2 Independent Working independently. One of the economic adversers of Academician/Free NLD. Have written quite numbers of articles on economic and lance economist national affairs. He is well versed in social and economic issues.! 3 Yangon University of Economics Acedemia 6 Union of Myanmar Chamber of Commerce (Yangon) Social partner 7 Myanmar Garment Manufacturing Association Social partner Paung Ku NGO 19 Economically progressive Ecosystem Development (EcoDev) Economic Adviser/Academia NGO 24 International Labour Organization (ILO) Social Partner 25 Confederation of Trade Union Myanmar (CTUM) Social Partner 45 EcoDev Business 68 International Commission of Jurists Law Adviser The Yangon Institute of Economics is the premier university of economics and business in Myanmar under Ministry of Education. Founded in 1919 and constituted as a non-profit. National level organization. There are 44 trade associations, eight regional chambers, eight state chambers and nine border trade chambers. The MGMA was formed with the aim of contributing to the national economic development through friendly and strong cooperation among all the garment manufacturers in the country. It has now about 300 members. Former Professor at Yangon Institute of Economics. Now he is an adviser to the Minsiter of Trade. Founded in by a consortium of international and local agencies in Myanmar. It's vision ensure 2007 by a consortium of international and local agencies in Myanmar. Non-governmental social and entrepreneur organization and founded by Myanmar development professionals, intellectuals and social entrepreneurs since the 1990s Agency dealing with labour issues, particularly international labour standards, social protection, and work opportunities for all. The government has officially recoganized CTUM. It is now working in 10 states across the country, delivering basic training about the international trade union movement, Ecodev is a registered firm in Myanmar for helping local farmers to produce value added agriculture produces Promotes and protects human rights through the Rule of Law. using its unique legal expertise to develop and strengthen national and international justice systems As an academic institution, they have been involved in different law drafting consultations and public consultation on social issues well. The UMFCCI normally focuses on national issues and have been holding series of stakeholder consultation meetings. Senior members are also involved in different policy making process. Gained access to EU Market. Also investers from EU in this secotor are in Myanmar already. Potential sector for EU investors. Not only as an academician, but also as an adviser to the Minister of Trade, he is advising trade and economic related issues. He is also well versed with the issues of foreign investments. Its vision ensures equity and respect for the rights of all particularly those who are marginalized. Its activities involve in peace, social justice and human rights, land, responsible investment and environmental protection. Involved in rural development affairs, environmental conservation, advocacy initiatives, and decentralization process Important stakeholder for FDI in terms of labour rights and freedom of association for responsible investors. The labor issue becomes a critical issue in Myanmar. In a way, Trade unions are playing as an important role in the labor market. Gradually, incoming FDIs are considering the condition of workers in Myanmar, trade unions are now welcome to join as stakeholders to give their input. Both have been involved in negotiating between employers and employees, particularly for industrial workers. Involved in rural development affairs, environmental conservation, advocacy initiatives, and decentralization process 69 Marks & Spencer Business UK retail company active in textile and clothing Present in Myanmar since Philips Business Dutch business active in electronic consumer and health care goods Plans to expand past investments into Myanmar and has several shops

14 List of poten1al stakeholders Diversity of stakeholders Academia Government Businesses Social Partners 20 NGOs Interna@onal Organisa@ons

15 List of poten1al stakeholders - Example Types of iden1fied EU business in Myanmar Tex@le ICT Agriculture Food and Beverage Energy Tourism Manufacturing

16 Stakeholder Consulta1on Process (cont d) (paper and online) Consistent and comprehensive approach while taking into account the diversity of stakeholders Allow for and assessment Business- specific Economic, social, environmental and human rights impacts

17 Stakeholder Consulta1on Process (cont d) Local workshop Date: 17 December 2015 Venue: The Rose Garden Hotel**** (15 min from the EUD) Website Online since 27 October 2015 Online DraW Report

18 Stakeholder Consulta1on Process (cont d)

19 Work Plan and Timeline Phase Tasks Month 3 4 Week Phase 2 SIA ISG Meeting 1 Civil Society Dialogue Meeting 1 Quantitative Analysis Baseline Modelling/quantitative analysis Scenario Revision and Sector Selection Scenario Modelling - Overall/Sectoral Qualitative Analysis 1st round impact assessment Sector expert consultation Ongoing civil society consultation & face-to-face interviews Collation of Phase 2 Analyses Preparation and implementation of Local Workshop Draft summary of Local Workshop Revised Quantitative Analysis Update Modelling Scenarios/Parameters Scenario Modelling Overall/Sectoral Revised Qualitative Analysis 2 nd round impact assessment Network consultation Collation of Phase 2 revised impacts

20 Work Plan and Timeline (cont d) Phase Tasks Month Week Phase 3 Revised Quantitative Analysis - Scenario Modelling Overall/Sectoral (cont d) Revised Qualitative Analysis - 3 rd round impact assessment (cont d) - Network consultation (cont d) Collation of Phase 3 revised impacts Flanking measures and policy recommendations Submission of Draft Final Report Second SIA ISG meeting Civil Society Dialogue Meeting 2 Incorporation of feedback to Final Report Submission of Final Report

21 Discussion and feedback myanmarsia.com