Emerging Technologies that Impact the Workforce

Transcription

1 Emerging Technologies that Impact the Workforce Leveraging Talent at all levels of the Organization is a Business Imperative focused on Innovation and Performance Melvin Greer Advanced Software Chief Architect Senior Research Engineer Advanced Technologies Office November 12, /11/2008 1

2 Innovation and Increased Performance Direct connection between inclusiveness, meaningful work, and employee productivity There is a direct relationship between integration of inclusion into business processes and employees commitment to organization Employee Satisfaction & Engagement Retention Input & Innovation Business Results Customer Satisfaction & Retention We need to prepare ourselves to attract a disproportionate share of the talent in order to have the skills available to sustain and grow our business. 2

3 Manpower vs. Capability Captain Patricia Cole, USN, Special Assistant to the Chief of Naval Operations QUINCY CA-71 CAPE ST GEORGE (CG71) CG (X) 71 Commissioned: Dec 1943 Complement: 1,142 Sensor Range: 60 miles Weapons Range: 18 miles Battle space Awareness: 60 miles Commissioned: June 1993 Complement: ~380 Sensor Range: 256 miles Weapons Range: 800+ miles Battle space Awareness: Theater Wide Complement: 150 Sensor Range: 500+ miles Weapons Range: : miles Battle space Awareness: Global GIG Training demand Capability Non-Minority African American Hispanic Asian/Other Non-Minority African American Hispanic Asian/Other Non-Minority African American Hispanic Asian/Other Workforce 2020 Workforce 2050 Need less people, more talent, and better access to that talent. 3

4 DoD Core Competency Kristen Baldwin, Director, Systems and Software Engineering Office of the Deputy Under Secretary of Defense Analysis of Program Failure - Inadequate software architectures, design, development discipline, and organizational competencies Issue: Software Growth Software Requirements Growth: 80% of system functionality [CSIS] Software Overruns: 50% of SW efforts [Standish Grp] Issue: There is a choke-point in the supply of top-tier software program managers, architects, and domain experts in the nation Top Software Issues and Project Areas Requirements SE/SW Integration Human Capital SW Sustainment SW Testing SW Quality Metrics SW Estimation SSE FY08/09 Thrust Area: Software Engineering Competency - the focus on software engineering as a critical element of complex systems acquisition 4

5 Key Issues How are workforce trends and forecast changes influencing the ability to succeed? What emerging and disruptive technologies impact workforce and talent management? What are the global forces shaping workforce issues projected 20 years out? 5

6 Workforce Trends and Forecast Workforce Change is occurring faster Past Workforce Change is making a bigger Impact Today Growing Demand for Credible Leaders Abundance of Excellent Employees vs. Scarcity of Credible Leaders Attrition Pressures Will Accelerate; Zero to 5 Years; Hot Jobs Salary Inflation & Employer Of Choice Return Employees Will Retire Later Retirements Will Not Hit Critical Mass Until After 2020 Competition for Talent is a Global Business Issue Valuing Diversity / Fostering Inclusion Becomes Essential Minorities Become the Majority (15-20 years) 6

7 Workforce is more Diverse Percent Growth Civilian Labor Force White African Amer Hispanic Asian Minorities As Percent Of U.S. Labor Force Hispanic African Amer Asian Change Occurring Faster Than Prior Projections By 2012, Minority Groups Will Comprise 35% Of Labor Force will Be The Majority Between Hispanics Have Become The Largest Minority Group Two Years Earlier Than Projections The percentage of working-age people with a disability is 12.1% or 2,026,800 individuals Increased Penetration Of Under-represented represented Groups Into Engineering Is Imperative Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics 7

8 Emerging Technologies Impacting Workforce Planning % Software Content in Solution Software Coding vs., Composition Competency and Qualification vs. Certification Semantics, Context Awareness, Autonomic Computing User Contribution and Experience 1) Enterprise Architects 2) Software Engineers 8

9 Transformational Priority Matrix For transforming products, services and commerce Web 2.0, 3-D printing and virtual worlds For driving deep changes in the role and capabilities of IT cloud computing, SOA and context delivery architecture For their ability to drive major advances in automation mobile robots and RFID 9

10 Seven Revolutions 2025 Global Strategy Institute at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) 1. Population - Between 2007 and 2025, the population of the developed world is expected to grow 3%, while the population of the developing world is expected to grow 49% 2. Resource management and environmental stewardship - The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (2005) estimates that between 5 and 20 percent of global freshwater use exceeds long-term accessible supplies. 3. Technological innovation and diffusion - The U.S. biotechnology industry s revenue in 2004 was $42.7 billion, 78.2 percent of the global total. 4. The development and dissemination of information and knowledge - By 2015, 80 percent of people currently in the workforce will remain. Yet, 80 percent of current technology will be replaced with new technology to which existing workers must adapt. 5. Economic integration - The richest 2 percent of the world s population now owns more than 50 percent of global wealth. 6. The nature and mode of conflict - According to the GAO, there are 120 countries or groups developing information warfare systems 7. The challenge of governance - Americans, years old, are significantly more likely to consider a company s citizenship practices when making purchasing, employment, and investment decisions 10

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