Geospatial mapping for sustainable energy investments Presentation Mark Allington and Kevin Wright 15 July 2015

Transcription

1 Geospatial mapping for sustainable energy investments Presentation Mark Allington and Kevin Wright 15 July 2015 BUILDING PARTNERSHIPS FOR ENERGY SECURITY

2 Agenda Purpose of this meeting Concept Demonstration of prototype mapping tool Development process Potential additions Next steps towards implementation in your countries

3 Concept: Renewable energy in Georgia Policy maker How much wind and solar energy capacity could really be developed? Where would it be located? What economic benefits could it bring? What policies do we need to encourage investment? Investor How much money will be needed? What is the likely return on investment? What risks exist and how can they be mitigated? Where should I undertake feasibility studies? Supplier All stakeholders How much equipment will be needed? Where? When? How quickly are projects likely to get built? Is there enough business here to merit setting up local distribution? Why should I get involved? How does this compare to other options available? What is the value at stake?

4 RE resource mapping concept Determines value at stake from renewable energy Screens out areas where construction is disallowed Ranks resource by relative economic viability

5 Assessment of RES potential Theoretical resource Ecological resource Economic resource

6 Final product Online tool to help investors and national agencies decide where to invest in RE feasibility studies Shows how much resource might be developed, where, at what cost and what return, for a range of tariff/discount rate combinations Allows map creation for site-specific discussions Registry function to store site-specific data Zoom, bookmark, measure functions Map resolution: 10km 2 NOT a substitute for feasibility studies

7 I N V E S T M E N T GeoExplorer Solution I N F O R M A T I O N F L O W GIS Expert View Manager View Investor View Cloud Based Cloud Based Spatial Data Analysis Map Authoring Tool and Management Minimal Editing Full analytical and Ease of use Editing Power Intended for Expert Use Visualization and Data Exploration Ease of Use Responsive Design

8 Inogate regional view Updates from countries automatically update Inogate regional view

9 Demonstration

10 I N V E S T M E N T Process Handover from Inogate to Georgia Inogate leads development Georgia provides data, skills and trainees Georgia in charge Identify needs, skills and data Gather data / generate maps Develop online platform Training Market, use, update, maintain TODAY

11 System environment and hosting ArcGIS Online each beneficiary to hold a licence Cloud hosting Ownership of data remains with the source organisation, but must be shared for regional view Inogate supports development, training and initial hosting, then transfers to partner countries Partner countries provide effort in kind during development, then pay for continued hosting, update and maintenance

12 Approximate Partner Country contributions Partner County contribution to development: Help to gather data / specify exclusions / identify trainees: 2-3 weeks effort-in-kind Estimated Partner Country costs in operation: Update and maintain tool: 0.1 Full Time Equivalent Cloud-hosting / licence fees 2,500/yr

13 Potential additions Hydro and operational support for GE Wind/solar for AM, AZ, MD Energy Efficiency for MD All subject to EC approval

14 Next steps Inogate will prepare a note of this meeting and seek your written confirmation Inogate will prepare appropriate ToR and submit to EC for consideration If a work programme is approved by the EC, implementation will be September-February.

15 Energy Efficiency Demand Side Management

16 Geospatial data for DSM Can help to focus residential, commercial and industrial energy efficiency programmes Needs clear understanding of programme objectives Requires comparative analysis of relevant datasets such as: energy use; housing stock; demographics

17 Assessment of DSM potential 1) Collect and Organize Relevant Data Demographics: tax, Council Data, Third Party Data, etc. Program Participation: Customer Information, Measures, Incentives, Usage etc. Marketing Response Rates: Direct Mail, Mass Media, Outreach, Call Centre, etc. 5) Execute Strategy and Track Success 4) Determine Appropriate Tactics and Messaging for Target Population Continuous Improvement Process 2) Evaluate Participants vs. Non Participants Analyze data elements individually and collectively Determine factors which are statistically significant to participation Compare distribution of each factor across non-participants and participants 3) Identify Individuals with a High Likelihood of Programme Participation Compile a model to determine likelihood of participation based on key data points o (Age, income, length of residence, marital status, home age)

18 DSM: Participation analysis Demand side management model generates a propensity to participate score by analyzing ALL data points together for every potential customer Age / Ethnicity Social Benefit Trends Household Data Income Level Marital Status Home Built Year and Type Consumers Energy Energy Efficiency Program Participants Home Ownership Status Average Electric Usage Points of interest = Propensity to Participate Job statistics Education Level Ward Data

19 Analysis Participants vs. Non Participants Individual data elements can highlight key differences between participants and non participants

20 DSM propensity to participate

21 Presentation summary Geospatial mapping is a powerful tool to support dialogue between policy makers, investors and other stakeholders It communicates the value at stake The GeoExplorer map manipulation tool improves the usefulness of geospatial maps by making them more accessible The tool can focus on specific geographical areas and technologies of interest

22 Geospatial mapping for sustainable energy developments