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1 :,,,,,, :, GDP,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, (,2002),,,,, ;,,, ;,,, ;,,,, 3,, :100872, com. cn (2002), P. Smauelson 15

2 :,, : 1770,,, 18 19,,, ,,,, 1970,,,,,, (Malthus Trap),,,,, 2 (Harrod,1939 ;Domar,1946),,, (Slow,1956), AK (accumulation of knowledge), (Arrow,1962 ; Romer,1986 ;Lucas,1994) ; R&D ( research and development - based),, R&D, (Romer,1990 ;Lucas,1998) ; ED (evolvement of division of labor), ( Yang and Borland, 1991),,,, 115 %,, 0125 %, 113 %,,, (,1985) (1992), 80, 212 %, 015 %, 117 %,,,,,,,,,,, (, 1980), 16

3 2007 7, (Davis and North,1970),,,,,, ( ),,,,,,,,,,, :, ;,, ;, ;,,,,,,, (2003),,,,, GDP 914 %, 0102 %,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 17

4 :,,,, ( ),,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ;,,,,, ;,,, ;,,,,,,,,, : 11,,, ;,,,,2005 5,39 19 %,,, , , 0146, 014,,,, 21,,,,,,,,,, (, 1989),, 18

5 2007 7,,, 31,,,,, (2006),2004 GDP GDP 4 %, 8 % 10 % 19 % 20 % 30 % 31 %,, 1, , , % 50 %, 2005, ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 41,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, :,,,,, ;, 11,,,,,, ;,,, ;,, ;,,,,,,,, 19

6 :,,,,,, 1960 GNP 215 %, %, GNP % 2152 % 2148 % 2118 % 2108 %,, 60, 1990 GNP 0171 %, %, %, :,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ;,, ;, 21,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 50 %,,,, ;,,,, 20

7 2007 7,,,,,,,,,,,,,, GDP,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,2002 :,,,2003 :, 3,1980 :,,,1985 :,,,1989 :,,,1992 : 12 ( ),,,2006 :, 1 Arrow,K.,1962, The Economic Implications of Learning by Doing, Review of Economic Studies, Vol. 29 (3). Davis,L., North, D. C. 1970, Institutional Change and American Economic Growth : A First Step Toward a Theory of Institutional Innovation, Journal of Economic History,30, Harrod,R. F,1939, An Essay in Dynamic Theory, Economic Journal, Vol. 49, Domar,E,1946, Capital Expansion, Rate of Growth, and Employment, Econometrica,14, Lucas, R. 1994, On the Mechanics of Economic Development, Journal of Monetary Economy,Vol. 5 (October). Lucas,R., 1998, On the Mechanics of Economic Development, Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 22 (1). Solow, R.,1956, A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth, Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 70 (1). Romer,P., 1986, Increasing Returns and Long2Run Growth, Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 94 (5). Romer,P.,1990, Endogenous Technological Change, Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 2,3 42. Xiaokai Yang and Borland,Jeff,1991, A Microeconomic Mechanism for Economic Growth, Journal of Political Economy,Vol. 99 (3). 21

8 : Choice of Economic Gro wth Styles in China and Transition from the Extensive Style to the Intensive One Wei Xinghua and Hou Weimin (Department of Economics,Renmin University of China) Abstract :The characteristic of economic growth is varying in different development periods. At present,the styles of economic growth in China is still based on extensive growth and restrict its further development. It is a neccesary selection for China to go through the transition from the extensive style to the intensive one, but the transitions are not easy for a series contractions exist. From the view of reality,the ways of transitions between the economic growth styles are both innovation of science and technology and of social system. Key Words : Economic Growth ; Efficiency ; Scientific and Technological Innovation ; Innovation of Social System JEL Classification :O110,P200 ( : ) ( : ) ( 14 ) Gro wth and Structural Changes in Employment in Transitional China Cai Fang ( Institute of Population and Labor Economics, CASS) Abstract :By clarifying officially published statistics on labor market and employment combined with micro survey data, this paper tries to depict the employment growth and structural change in rural and urban China and to break the myths believed by domestic and international scholars such as zero growth of employment and unchangeable rural surplus labor pool. The paper provides exact statistics about China s labor market that previous studies fail to do so, explaining how labor market develops, employment in both rural and urban areas increases and its structure diversifies, urban unemployment alleviates and number of rural surplus laborers reduces, as a result of economic growth, reform and opening2up. By examining demographic transition process in China, the paper also predicts the emerging trend of labor shortage, suggests a coming Lewisian turning point and reveals its policy implications to China s sustainable growth. Key Words :Labor Market Development ; Employment Growth ; Surplus Labor Force ; Lewisian Turning Point JEL Classification :J210, J110, J230, R110 ( : ) ( : ) 22