Appetite for Analytics

Transcription

1 Appetite for Analytics Basic LMI Training November 27, 2018

2 Connect to internet Connect to the internet Open data files 2

3 Welcome & Introductions 1. Your name and your role 2. How do you use labor market information? 3. What was your first or most interesting job?

4 Today s Agenda o o o o o o o What is Labor Market Information? Labor Force Industry Employment Occupations COE Demand and Supply Tools Group Activities Demographics (if there s time)

5 Introduction to Core Labor Market Information

6 Important Concept Timeliness Vs. Reliability 6

7 The Beginning of LMI Chester A. Arthur, 21 st President of the United States

8 Why is it important? LMI helps customers make informed plans, choices, and decisions for a variety of purposes, including Business investments Career planning and preparation Education and training offerings Job search opportunities Hiring and compensation Public or private workforce investments

9 What are the underlying values of the LMI system? Unbiased Known reliability Timely Free or affordable

10 Who produces LMI? Federal Bureau of Labor Statistics US Census Bureau State Employment Development Department Labor Market Information Division

11 Who uses LMI? Education and training providers Workforce development/economic development Policy makers and researchers News media

12 Core BLS Programs Current Population Survey (CPS) Household survey 60K/month Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS) State and local unemployment rates 7.5K+ areas Current Employment Statistics (CES) Total nonfarm employment Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) Jobs and payroll by industry at county level Occupational Employment Statistics (OES) Types of jobs and wage estimates

13 Understanding Core Labor Market Information

14 Three Basic Types of LMI Labor Force Count of People where they live Unemployment Rate Industry What business do Count of Jobs where they are located Occupation What people do for pay Occupational and wage data

15 Civilian Employment

16 Labor Force Also known as Civilian Labor Force or Civilian Employment. Counts People who work where they live. Counted once, no matter how many jobs they hold. Includes residents with Wage and Salary job and business owners or self-employed, private-household worker or unpaid workers in a family enterprise.

17 Labor Force Civilian labor force. Included are all persons in the civilian noninstitutionalized population ages 16+, either employed or unemployed. Employed. These are all persons who, during the reference week, did any work as paid employees, sole proprietors, temporarily absent or helped at a family business for no pay. Each employed person is counted only once, even with more than one job Unemployed. All persons who had no employment during the reference week, were available for work and looked for work during the previous month. Unemployment rate. Unemployed / civilian labor force

18 Basic Concepts of Employment and Unemployment People with jobs are employed People who are jobless, looking for a job, and available for work are unemployed The labor force is the sum of the employed and the unemployed People who are neither employed nor unemployed are not in the labor force

19 Unemployment Rate Imperial IE Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct

20 Number of Unemployed IE Imperial 118, ,500 94,800 86,000 16,600 19,400 14,200 14,400 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct

21 Alternative Measures 21

22 Industry Employment

23 Industry Employment Also known as Wage and Salary Employment. Counts Jobs where they are located. Counts each job, even if multiple jobs are held by the same person. Excludes business owners, self-employed, unpaid volunteers, family workers, and private household workers.

24 NAICS Structure 24

25 NAICS Structure Farm Nonfarm 25

26 NAICS Structure Private Public 26

27 NAICS Structure Goods Producing Service Providing 27

28 Industry Definitions North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) Classification of business establishments for the purpose of collecting, analyzing, and publishing statistical data. Example: Retail Trade 441 Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers 4412 Other Motor Vehicle Dealers 44122* Motorcycle, Boat, and other Vehicle Dealers Motorcycle, ATV, and Personal Watercraft Dealers

29 NAICS 29

30 Major Industry Groups, Annual 2017 Government Health Care and Social Assistance Retail Trade Accommodation and Food Services Transportation and Warehousing Construction Admin, Sppt, Waste Mmgt, Rem Serv. Manufacturing Other Services (except Public Administration) Wholesale Trade Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Finance and Insurance Educational Services Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting Information Management of Companies and Enterprises Utilities Mining 30,789 26,465 25,041 25,705 15,987 12,942 8,424 5, ,699 65,605 55, , , , , , , , Jobs 1,661, ,659

31 Industry Data 31

32 Types of Industry Data Current Industry Employment Monthly Annual average Projections 10-year ( coming soon!) QCEW Size of business Payroll Employers by Industry (Find local employers) Staffing Patterns Agricultural Employment 32

33 Industry Data What data is available? # of jobs # of establishments average earnings employment projections occupations employed by industry (staffing patterns) location quotient

34 Labor Force vs. Industry Employment Industry Employment The number of jobs in an area for which employers pay workers wages or salaries. Excludes business owners, self-employed, etc. Includes the number of jobs in an area held by commuters and residents. Counts all full-time and part-time jobs. Counts each job, even if one person holds multiple jobs. Does not count jobs held by those not working because of labor-management dispute. Civilian Employment The number of residents in an area who work. Includes residents with wages and salary jobs and business owners or self-employed. Includes area residents who travel to jobs in other areas. Excludes non-residents. Counts all residents with full-time and parttime jobs. Residents with more than one job are counted once. Includes residents with jobs, but are not working because of labor-management dispute.

35 Occupational Employment

36 Occupation Questions Workforce questions What occupations are in demand? Is demand for these occupations increasing or decreasing? What is the typical path to employment? How much do these professionals earn? What other characteristics of this job are important to know? (Self-employment, length of workday/week, 3 rd -party licensing requirements, etc.)

37 Occupations An category of jobs with similar work and skills possessed by the incumbents. Currently 800 detailed occupations organized into 23 major occupational groups in the SOC system. O*NET-SOC taxonomy contains 974 occupations.

38 Major Occupational Groups 11 Management Occupations 13 Business & Financial Operations 31 Healthcare Support 15 Computer & Mathematical 33 Protective Service 17 Architecture & Engineering 35 Food Preparation & Serving Related 19 Life, Physical, & Social Science 37 Building &Grounds Cleaning & Maint. 21 Community & Social Services 39 Personal Care & Service 23 Legal 41 Sales & Related 25 Education, Training, & Library 43 Office & Administrative Support 27 Arts, Design, Ent., Sports, & Media 45 Farming, Fishing, & Forestry 29 Healthcare Practitioners & Technical 47 Construction & Extraction 49 Installation, Maintenance, & Repair 51 Production 53 Transportation & Material Moving 55 Military Specific

39 Occupation Definitions Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) System used to classify workers into occupational categories for the purpose of collecting, analyzing, and publishing statistical data Example: Computer and Mathematical Occupations Computer Occupations Computer and Information Analysts Computer Systems Analysts

40 SOC

41 Identify Occupations O*NET Type in your search here

42 Identify Occupations

43 Most Useful Data in Analysis Identifying Occupational Demand Identifying occupational codes (SOC) with highest relevance to curriculum Dental Assistants (SOC ) Typical educational requirements (BLS), O*NET, and CPS attainment by occupation Postsecondary nondegree award (BLS) Job Zone Three: Medium Preparation Needed; 63% of sample report Postsecondary Award (O*NET) 61% of current Dental Assistants report some college thru Associate degree attainment (CPS)

44 CA LMID Occupational Research Occupational Guides (Qualitative) Occupational Profiles (Quantitative)

45 Center of Excellence website 45

46 Labor Market Demand Tool Password is GetLMI (case sensitive).

47 Most Useful Data in Analysis Occupational Demand Current employment (2017 Jobs) Approximately 5,000 Dental Assistants currently in Inland Empire/Desert. Projected growth/decline Occ Title Dental Assistants 2017 Jobs Potential salary range 2022 Jobs Change % Change Openings Annual Openings 4,997 5, % 3, Occ Title Pct. 10 Hourly Earnings Median Hourly Earnings Dental Assistants $11.70 $15.50 Regional Living Wage is: $12.30/hour

48 What to Look for in the Data Job growth/decline Most job openings (absolute number) Fastest growth (percentage) Annual Openings (new jobs + replacement need)

49 Occupations with the Most Job Openings, CA Occupational Title (SOC) Total Job Openings Median Hourly Personal Care Aides ( ) 230,500 $10.68 Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food ( ) 209,600 $9.69 Retail Salespersons ( ) 194,700 $11.31 Cashiers ( ) 192,300 $10.16 Waiters and Waitresses ( ) 184,600 $11.41 Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand ( ) 133,700 $12.30 General and Operations Managers ( ) 110,000 $51.47 Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse ( ) 105,100 $9.62 Registered Nurses ( ) 104,700 $48.97 Office Clerks, General ( ) 103,700 $16.15

50 Fastest Growing Occupations Occupational Title (SOC) Estimated Employment 2014 Projected Employment 2024 % Change Median Hourly Brickmasons and Blockmasons ( ) 5,500 8, % $28.23 Roofers ( ) 16,400 24, % $24.37 Web Developers ( ) 24,200 35, % $37.29 Software Developers, Applications ( ) 121, , % $58.40 Operations Research Analysts ( ) 12,500 17, % $44.03 Biomedical Engineers ( ) 5,600 7, % $47.67 Home Health Aides ( ) 32,900 45, % $11.65 Nurse Practitioners ( ) 10,800 15, % $57.55 Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers ( ) 19,200 26, % $23.26 Cooks, Restaurant ( ) 122, , % $12.12 Interpreters and Translators ( ) 9,300 12, % $21.84

51 What to Look for, cont. Wages Entry-level wage (10 th percentile). PROXY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Median (50 th percentile) or average wage (mean). Experienced-level wage (90 th percentile). PROXY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Know the living wage in your area! IE region: $12.30 single adult, $ adult, 1 child MIT Living Wage Calculator

52 Low Sample Wages Occupation Title (SOC) Pct. 10 Hourly Earnings Median Hourly Earnings Pct. 90 Hourly Earnings Avg. Hourly Earnings Childcare Workers ( ) $7.32 $8.78 $11.12 $9.02 Manicurists and Pedicurists ( ) $8.14 $9.13 $11.27 $9.38 Barbers ( ) $8.58 $9.75 $10.86 $9.76 Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists ( ) $9.52 $10.64 $14.67 $11.58 Home Health Aides ( ) $8.96 $11.21 $22.33 $13.11 Recreation Workers ( ) $9.13 $11.83 $17.62 $12.70

53 High Sample Wages Occupation Title (SOC) First-Line Supervisors of Fire Fighting and Prevention Workers ( ) Pct. 10 Hourly Earnings Median Hourly Earnings Pct. 90 Hourly Earnings Avg. Hourly Earnings $42.41 $74.88 $ $76.53 Air Traffic Controllers ( ) $34.49 $65.10 $87.71 $61.76 First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives ( ) $38.98 $64.22 $83.33 $63.32 Computer Network Architects ( ) $28.27 $53.72 $76.23 $53.51 Detectives and Criminal Investigators ( ) $35.80 $51.09 $64.86 $50.06 Dental Hygienists ( ) $25.97 $49.98 $57.96 $46.33

54 What to Look for, cont. Education and Training Typical entry-level education (employer) CPS educational attainment Typical OJT Short Term (< one month) Moderate Term (one to 12 months) Long Term (> 12 months)

55 Sample Education and Training Occupation Title (SOC) Typical Entry Level Education High School or Less Some Associate's college, no degree degree Bachelor's or Higher Typical On- The-Job Training Registered Nurses ( ) Bachelor's degree 1% 5% 37% 57% None Police and Sheriff's Patrol Officers ( ) High school diploma or equivalent 13% 34% 17% 35% Moderateterm onthe-job training Power Distributors and Dispatchers ( ) High school diploma or equivalent 34% 33% 18% 16% Long-term on-the-job training Computer Network Architects ( ) Bachelor's degree 6% 23% 14% 57% None Electrical Power-Line Installers and Repairers ( ) High school diploma or equivalent 45% 37% 13% 5% Long-term on-the-job training

56 Occupational data What data is available? # of occupational jobs projections (growth/decline) earnings (median, average, percentile) typical education requirement annual jobs openings demographics

57 Data to Inform Planning Education questions Who is training students to enter these careers? Which community college partners offer programs related to the occupation? What can students expect to earn after program completion?

58 Most Useful Data in Analysis Educational Supply Identify training programs related to selected occupations Supply estimates in CCC system and non-ccc institutions in region by type of certificate or degree

59 Where does Supply Data come from? California Community Colleges Chancellor s Office Management Information Systems Data Mart Provides information about students, courses, student services, outcomes and faculty and staff. Count of student awards (certificates & degrees). Can be broken down by college, program and award type.

60 Supply Tool

61 Most Useful Data in Analysis Student Outcomes Related state, region, or college-level data on student outcomes, such as UI wage matching data and/or CTE Outcome Survey data. CTEOS Launchboard (Training session coming soon!)

62 LMI Federal Resources Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) Latest National Data First Friday of the Month Occupational Information Network (O*NET) Emerging Occupations Alternative Job Titles United States Census North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) American Community Survey (ACS)

63 LMI State Resources CA Employment Development Department (EDD) Latest State Data Third Friday of the Month* Industry data Down to the MSA, Region, and County Level Projections at MSA level Labor Force City and CDP level Occupation Data and Projections MSA or Region level CA Department of Finance Demographics

64 EDD monthly release 3 rd Friday of the Month Monthly Labor Force Data Monthly Industry Employment Data Job Posting Statistics (HWOL) 64

65 Real-Time LMI EMSI Combines Data from Several Fed and State Sources Self-Employment Counts Custom Projections Burning Glass Online Job Postings

66 Consider multiple data sources Direct Business Input Primary Data Industry Surveys Secondary Data Real Time Labor Market Information Economic, Workforce and Education Data Short Term Long Term

67 Time for Group Activities

68 Questions?

69 Thank You! Coming in 2019: Launchboard CTE OS Michael Goss Inland Empire/Desert Center of Excellence for Labor Market Research