Piedmont Triad Region CommunityViz Model. From Guidebook to Utilization

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1 Piedmont Triad Region CommunityViz Model From Guidebook to Utilization

2 Today s Activities Regional Modeling in the Piedmont Triad What is CommunityViz? Steering Committee Structure Project Milestones Decision Time Next Meeting

3 Creating a new standard for REGIONAL MODELING in the PIEDMONT TRIAD

4 Travel Demand Model (PTRM) Highway and Street Network Socio-Economic Data Travel Demand Modeling Tool - PTRM Travel Behavior and Field Observation Data Vehicles (Trip Based) Truck Freight (Advanced Tour Based) Microscopic VMT, V/C Truck Movements, Commodity Distribution Signalization, Timing Development of MTP Traffic Engineering and Operations

5 Transit Planning (TBEST) GTFS Transit Planning and Ridership Forecast Parcel Data DU s, Sq. Ft., Use Route Design and Analysis Tool Remix Transit Forecasting (Parcel Based) Tool - TBEST High Level Route and System Planning Ridership Projections Local and Regional Transit Network Designs Performance Measures Internal Analyses Public Engagement and Education PTRM Reference Data Economic Development Benefits Title VI Analysis FTA and State Grants System Comparisons

6 Scenario Planning (CommunityViz) Community Development Plans Scenario Planning (Parcel Based) Tool CommunityViz Parcel Data DU s, Sq. Ft., Use Visioning and Scenario Development Scenario Comparison and Community Impacts Education and Engagement Strategic Direction Suitability Analysis Buildout and Growth Scenario Performance Score Cards Economic Benefits Interactive 3D Articulating Benefits Frame Stakeholder Interactions Setting Budget Goals and Priorities Development of SE Date Capital Improvement Plan, Resource Allocation, Program of Projects Public and Community Meetings Comprehensive Community Development Plan

7 Regional Modeling Program PTRM, TBEST, Comprehensive Transportation Plan, Metropolitan Transportation Plan, Congestion Management Plan, NEPA Process, Comprehensive Community Development Plan, Capital Improvement Plans SE Data Common Themes and Elements Parcel Data Land Use Plans Economic Benefits Performance Measures Growth Scenarios Public Engagement

8 A High Level Overview COMMUNITYVIZ

9 WHAT IS?

10 Software Platform CommunityViz v. 5.1 ArcGIS Desktop v ArcGIS Spatial Analyst ArcGIS 3D Analyst ESRI City Engine (Required) (Recommended) (Optional) (Optional)

11 Preliminary List of Data Needs Carrying Capacity Wetlands Water Bodies Stream Buffers Permanent Conservation Areas Existing Rights-of-Way Others? Build Out Potential Parcels & Grid Cells Development Status Assignments Community Type Assignments Development Lookup Table (H/B/D) Watershed Boundaries Site Validation Studies Aerial Photography Land Suitability Analysis Major Roads Interchange Locations Major Intersections Metropolitan Centers Water/Sewer Service Areas Major Activity Centers Town Centers Flood Hazard Areas Watershed Protection Areas Growth Allocation Control Totals by Category P/HH & Employee Space Ratios Reporting Study Area Boundary Planning Jurisdiction Boundaries Traffic Analysis Zones

12 Your homework assignment 1. Read the Guidebook 2. Watch the Videos 3. Read the Guidebook

13 A Case for a Formal Sturctue STEERING COMMITTEE STRUCTURE

14 Is there a need to be formal? Decisions impacting numerous agencies Decisions will have a cascading effect Helps with documentation for future reference Its not PART s project Credibility outside the region Maybe political landmines ahead

15 Potential Time & Resources Partner Primary Responsibilities Commitment Level PART Program Manager Data Collection (Priority & Urban Areas) PTRM Coordination Regional Coordination Activities CommunityViz Model Custodian & Maintenance (PTRM Study Area) Data Sharing Center Dedicated Staff Resources Some Funding PTRC Data Collection (Rural Areas) Regional Coordination Activities CommunityViz Model Custodian & Maintenance (Outside PTRM Study Area) Data Sharing Center CommunityViz Model Calibration (Growth Allocation) Staff Resources Some Funding Cities & Counties Data Inputs Quality Control Staff Resources MPOs & RPOs Data Inputs CommunityViz Model Calibration (Growth Allocation) Staff Resources NCDOT Oversight Staff Resources Potential Funding Partner

16 O-Chart CV Steering Committee Co-Chairs?? Official Roster Meeting Summary / Minutes PART Project Management

17 Be flexible, be nimble but we do have a deadline PROJECT MILESTONE

18 Potential Project Milestone Schedule Piedmont Triad CommunityViz Model Review & Instill New Data Protocols Data Collection Activities Development Status Coding Community Type Coding Development Constraints Development Lookup Table Values Land Suitability Analysis Factors Growth Forecasts Build CommunityViz Model Carrying Capacity Module Buildout Potential Module Land Suitability Module Growth Allocation Module Validate/Calibrate Model Results Piedmont Triad Regional (Travel Demand) Model CommunityViz Communication Protocols Partnering Strategy Project Steering Committee Focus Group Meetings Business & Development Interests Utility Service Providers Planning Officials Policy-Maker Briefings Metropolitan Planning Organizations Rural Planning Organizations Technical Staff Meetings Metropolitan Planning Organizations Rural Planning Organizations City & County Coordination Events Piedmont Triad Regional Model Team Documentation CommunityViz Model Technical Document Note: = denotes the need for a meeting event Month 1 Month 2 Month 3 Month 4 Month 5 Month 6 Month 7 Month 8 Month 9 Month 10 Month 11 Month 12 OPERATIONAL BY EARLY 2019

19 We have a motion on the floor, do I have a second? TIME FOR A FEW DECISIONS

20 Bottom-Up Approach Carrying Capacity Analysis Development Status Assignments Land Suitability Analysis Calculations Community Type Assignments & Build-Out Estimates Growth Allocation

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22 5 Steps to Decision Making Have all Necessary Info Keep Emotions in Check Seek Counsel from Others Consider Impact on Others Be Committed to the Decision

23 Piedmont Triad Region CommunityViz Model Initiative Model Architecture Development Potential (by Grid Cell & Type) 4 Layer Identification & Data Manipulation Areas Not Available for Development (DEV_CON) Highly-Constrained Areas Map Single Family Dwelling Units Water Bodies Wetlands Data Manipulation & Coding (Grid Cell Level Reporting) Developed Existing Development Inventory (PTRM SE Data Sets 2015) Multifamily Dwelling Units Carrying Capacity Analysis Permanent Stream Buffers Conservation Areas Existing Right-of-Way Areas Available for Development (DEV_AREA) Build-Out Potential Analysis Development Status Community Type 2 Watershed 1 Development LookupTable 3 Max Lot Coverage for Watershed Areas Site Efficiency Factor 4 Buildable Portion of a Lot or Parcel (BUILD_AREA) Development Status (DEV_STAT) Redevelopment Undeveloped Future Year Development Yield Minus Existing Development Inventory Future Year Development Yield (DEV_STAT, CT_CAT, JURIS) Model Lookup Tables for Each Jurisdiction Retail (Highway) Retail (Other) Industrial Jurisdiction TAZ Community Type (CT_CAT) Service 1 = Watershed categories should match those used by the State of North Carolina: Watershed II (Critical), Watershed II (Protected), Watershed III (Critical), Watershed III (Protected), Watershed IV (Critical) and Watershed IV (Protected). Permanent Open Space No Development Potential Office Education 2 = See the Piedmont Triad Region CommunityViz Model Guidebook for a list of community types recommended for the region (a expanded list compared to the Piedmont Together project). Committed Development Committed Development Inventory University/College Piedmont-Triad CommunityViz Model v = A development lookup table for the Piedmont Triad Region CommunityViz Model should contain the following information for each community type category and jurisdiction: county, jurisdiction code, average FAR, average density, average density by watershed protection category, percent residential development, percent non-residential development, percent single family development, percent multifamily development, percent low-traffic industrial development, percent high-traffic industrial development, percent low-traffic retail development, percent high-traffic retail development, percent low-traffic service development, percent high-traffic service development, and percent government office development. 4 = Residential and employment categories used in CommunityViz match those used in the Piedmont Triad Regional (Travel Demand) Model. Single-family and multi-family dwelling units are later combined into households for the PTRM. 4 = An allowance for on-site infrastructure needed to serve new development (e.g., streets, storm water ponds, etc.). Applied to all grid cells in the region not yet developed. Reported as the percentage of a parcel remaining for development after the removal of areas identified for supporting infrastructure. Build Out Potential Land Suitability Analysis 6 Layer Identification & Data Manipulation 6 Major Activity Interchanges Centers Major Town Centers Intersections Flood Hazard Major Roads Areas Metropolitan Watershed Centers Protection Areas Assign Weightings to LSA Variables (0 10) Calculate LSA Score (0 100) TAZ Level Calculations 9 Base Year Students x 130% Base Year Group Quarters Population x 130% Adjusted for Each Horizon Year (Accounting for Previous Horizon Year Allocation Period) Future Year Development Assignment (ALLO Data Column Series) Growth Allocation Composite Maps Growth Allocation by Control Total Category & Horizon Year (by TAZ & Type) University/College Total Enrolled K-12 Students Students (Full-Time) Students (Full-Time) University/College University/College Total Enrolled Students (FTE) Students (Part-Time) Students (Part-Time) Group Quarters Population MRM SE Data Files 10 Sewer Service Areas Water Service Areas Land Suitability Composite Maps Growth Allocation 7 Build Out Potential Growth Allocation by Control Total Category & Horizon Year (by Grid Cell & Type) 5 = The Piedmont Triad Regional CommunityViz Model uses the Land Suitability Wizard in the software. Developed Existing Development Inventory (PTRM SE Data Sets 2015) Adjusted for Each Horizon Year (Accounting for Previous Horizon Year Allocation Period) Single Family Dwelling Units Service Legend Major Category Model Input Data 6 = The Land Suitability Analysis Wizard will be run for three horizon years: 2020, 2030 and = The Piedmont Triad Regional CommunityViz Model uses the Allocator 5 Wizard in the software. 8 = Growth is allocated to grid cells for the following growth categories: single family residential, multifamily residential, low-traffic industrial employees, high-traffic industrial employees, low-traffic retail employees, high-traffic retail employees, low-traffic service employees, high-traffic service employees, and government office employees. 9 = Growth is allocated to traffic analysis zones for the following growth categories: K-12 students, high school students, college students and group quarters population. Dynamic Model Attribute Resource Model Assumptio Calculatio Map Output n n Grid Cell Level Calculations 8 Development Status (DEV_STAT) Community Type (CT_CAT) Redevelopment Undeveloped Permanent Open Space Committed Development Population & Employment Control Totals ( ) Population & Employment Control Totals ( ) No Development Potential Committed Development Inventory Future Year Development Assignment (ALLO Data Column Series) Growth Allocation Composite Maps Multifamily Office Dwelling Units Retail (Highway) Education MRM SE Data Files 10 Retail (Other) University/College Industrial 10 = Data tables (*.dbf format) will be generated in CommunityViz using the Summary Statistics ArcTool in ArcGIS. Grid cell data will be summarized by traffic analysis zone for all ten growth allocation categories. This data will be provided to the PTRM team for future models runs. Last Revised on June 30, 2017

24 Priority Areas Grid (small) and TAZ Reviewed and updated annually TBEST Model Core Areas Grid (medium) and TAZ Updated Every four years PTRM updates, City Comp Plans Expanded Area Grid Updated periodically RPO CTP s, Town Comp Plans

25

26 NEXT MEETING?

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