Regional Competitive Industry Analysis

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1 Regional Competitive Industry Analysis Clackamas, Multnomah, and Washington Counties July 2017 Washington Multnomah Clackamas Michael Meyers, Economist (503) Jill Cuyler, Research Analyst (503) Equity, Strategy, & Communications Division One World Trade Center 121 SW Salmon Street, Suite 205 Portland, OR 97204

2 Table of Contents EXECUTIVE SUMMARY... 3 INTRODUCTION... 4 SECTION 1: SOURCES AND METHODOLOGY... 4 Regional Indicators... 5 Competitive Industry Indicators... 5 Employment Growth Projections... 6 Caveats and Limitations... 6 SECTION 2: OVERVIEW OF THE REGIONAL ECONOMY... 7 Employment, Total Payroll and Average Wage per Job... 7 Employment Growth... 7 Manufacturing Employment and Wages... 8 Unemployment Rate SECTION 3: REGIONAL COMPETITIVE INDUSTRIES Location Quotient Analysis Shift-Share Analysis Regional Employment Projections by Industry Page 2 of 18

3 Regional Competitive Industry Analysis Clackamas, Multnomah, and Washington Counties Executive Summary The three counties in this region comprise the majority of the Portland Metropolitan Statistical Area in terms of population and jobs. 53 percent of total private sector employment in Oregon is found here. Situated around the City of Portland and the mouth of the Willamette River, this region is the historic and current epicenter of Oregon s economy. The region s economy is diverse with competitive industries in high technology, metals and machinery, professional and technical services, and outdoor gear and apparel, but high technology has an overweight impact on economic output. The private sector average wage in the region is 18 percent higher than the statewide average. The region was the 2 nd fastest growing in Oregon between 2005 and 2015, and grew faster than the statewide average over that time. This growth has not been evenly distributed throughout the region, though. Washington County, with more employment than Clackamas County, but less than Multnomah County, grew faster than the other two counties over the past 10 years. Washington County employment grew by 17 percent between 2005 and 2015, compared to 7 and 12 percent for Clackamas and Multnomah counties. Manufacturing was 13 percent of the region s private sector employment in 2015, slightly higher than the statewide average of 12 percent. With a location quotient of 1.21, manufacturing is very important to the region s economy and competitive advantages. Computer and electronic product manufacturing is the largest manufacturing subsector in the region with over 33,000 jobs. Fabricated metal products and food manufacturing are the next largest manufacturing subsectors in the region. The Greater Portland region has a growing, dynamic economy with a diverse array of competitive and emerging industries. Several competitive traded sector industries experienced significant competitive share gains in the region between 2005 and 2015, including company management in apparel and footwear, food and beverages, upstream metals and machinery, professional and technical services, and semiconductors and electronics. Educational support services, computer and peripheral equipment manufacturing, greenhouse, nursery, and floriculture production, and activities related to credit intermediation in financial services were competitive traded sector industries that experienced large competitive share percentage Page 3 of 18

4 losses. E-commerce and aerospace manufacturing were amongst several emerging traded sector industries to experience significant competitive share gains between 2005 and Total private sector payroll employment in the region is projected to grow by 16 percent between 2014 and 2024, identical to the statewide rate. Software, professional and technical services, and management of companies are some of the industries expected to grow the fastest between 2014 and Manufacturing is projected to grow by 8 percent, less than the statewide rate of 12 percent. Introduction The purpose of this report is to present a competitive industry analysis of the regional economy consisting of Clackamas, Multnomah, and Washington counties. Regional trends in employment and wages are analyzed and compared to trends in Oregon and the U.S. This report provides data and analysis to help economic development practitioners, policy makers, and businesses identify strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats that pertain to their regional economy. The information in this report can be used to help guide strategic economic development efforts in the region. This report is composed of four sections. Section one outlines the data sources and methodology behind the creation of this report. The second section provides an overview of the regional economy by analyzing employment and wage trends over time. Section three supplies a framework to identify industries in the region that may have a competitive advantage in developing or expanding regional industry specialization. Section four analyzes ten year employment projections of the region s main industries and identifies industries with above average growth potential. Section 1: Sources and Methodology This report is based on analysis of statistical data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), Oregon Employment Department (OED), and U.S. Census Bureau. The majority of data is presented for traded sector industries only. However, non-traded sector employment data is provided as part of OED s projections (Table 9). The methodology for this report uses a series of indicators to provide a framework for evaluating the competitive strengths and growth opportunities of the regional economy. The following indicators are used for this report. Page 4 of 18

5 Regional Indicators Section two begins with a comparative analysis of the regional economy focusing on private sector business establishments, employment, total payroll, and average wages to show the geographic distribution and characteristics of employment in each region. Recent employment and wage trends are also analyzed and compared to the state. This is followed by an analysis of manufacturing employment and wages. Employment and average annual wages of leading manufacturing subsectors are presented, along with their location quotients. A location quotient measures the employment concentration of a given industry in a region compared to that industry s employment concentration in the nation as a whole. Location quotients above 1.0 indicate that an industry s share of employment in the region is greater than its share of employment nationwide. For example, an industry with a location quotient of 2.0 has twice as much employment locally as the national average for that industry. Location quotients are a simple way to help identify industries in the region that have a competitive advantage as demonstrated by a greater than average employment concentration. An analysis of manufacturing establishments by size class follows, which shows the distribution of manufacturers in the region amongst four different size classes. This analysis shows how much a region may be dependent on small, medium, or large-size manufacturers. The unemployment rate analysis reveals how well the region has done at creating and retaining jobs for its working-age population. The analysis compares the regional unemployment rate to rates from Oregon and the U.S., which shows whether the region has performed better or worse than average. This comparative analysis also provides insight into how autonomous the region s economy is from Oregon and the U.S. Competitive Industry Indicators Section three begins with two detailed analyses that attempt to identify industries that have a competitive advantage in the region. A detailed location quotient analysis by four digit NAICS codes shows industries in the region that appear to have a competitive advantage based on high location quotients. This analysis includes all traded sectors of the economy, not just manufacturing. Industries with high location quotients and higher than average wages are highlighted. Following the location quotient analysis is a shift-share analysis. Shift-share analysis, like location quotient analysis, is useful in identifying industries with a competitive advantage in the region. Unlike a location quotient analysis that is a point-in-time analysis, shiftshare analysis looks at industry performance over time to measure how employment in an industry changed in relation to national and industrial trends. If a region s industry consistently outperforms its peers nationwide over a period of time this indicates a growing competitive advantage for that industry. The shift-share analysis examines the ten-year growth rates for regional and nationwide industry employment. Employment Page 5 of 18

6 change over the past ten years for each industry is broken out by change due to national total employment trends, change due to national industry employment trends, and change due to competitive advantage. Tables 6, 7, and 8 present competitive share percent changes and competitive share job gains and losses for industries in the region that had the largest gains and losses in competitive advantage. Employment Growth Projections Section four examines employment growth projections for the major industries in each region. Current projections cover the period from 2014 to Caveats and Limitations Employment and wage data throughout the report comes from Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) data from the BLS and OED. Data was also used from the U.S. Census Bureau s Local Employment Dynamics (LED) program, which is also based on QCEW data. All of these sources are limited to employment and wages covered under unemployment insurance. The final table in this report (Table 9) is not limited to covered employment and includes total non-farm employment. A substantial amount of industry employment and wage data for Oregon counties is confidential and not published by BLS or OED. Estimates were created for confidential three and four digit NAICS industries by county. The primary method used to create estimates was wage share calculations from LED data. Unlike BLS and OED employment and wage data, LED data includes wages for many industries for which employment is confidential. As a result, one can produce employment estimates for industries with confidential employment by calculating the share of wages in a particular industry compared to other confidential industries under the same parent industry and applying that ratio to the amount of unpublished confidential employment amongst those industries. Estimates were done for industries with at least $3 million in annual payroll. Local knowledge and analyst judgment were used to vet the reliability of final employment data. In just in few cases, more reliable employment figures from other sources such as Hoovers (Dun & Bradstreet), newspapers, or company websites were substituted for wage share employment estimates. In these instances, the wage column reads N/A in relevant tables. The manufacturing establishments by size data in Table 3 is a combination of two data sets. The total number of manufacturing establishments comes from QCEW data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The percent of manufacturing establishments by employment size-class data comes from County Business Patterns (CBP) data from the U.S. Census Bureau. The two data sets are combined in this table because the QCEW data is more accurate in its total count of establishments, but it does not include size class data for counties. The CBP data does have size class data for counties, but its overall number of Page 6 of 18

7 establishments by county is not as accurate as the QCEW. Combined, one can estimate the number of establishments by employment-size class. Tables 6, 7, and 8 include ten year employment change analyses by industry. Due to the administrative nature of QCEW data, changes in industry employment can occur that are not the result of actual economic changes within the industry. Some, but not all, of these so-called non-economic changes were identified in the ten year analyses and industry employment adjustments were made so that industry employment trends could be more accurately captured. Section 2: Overview of the Regional Economy Employment, Total Payroll, and Average Wage per Job Private sector employment in this region accounted for 53 percent of Oregon s total private sector employment in The 2015 private sector average annual wage in the region was $56,321, 18 percent higher than the statewide average. Multnomah County accounts for half of total private sector employment in the region. Washington County had the highest average annual wage in the region, $67,003. Table 1: Employment, Total Wages, and Average Wage per Job, Private Sector, 2015 Area Employment Total Payroll Average Wage % of Region Employment % of Statewide Ave. Wage Clackamas 134,659 6,608,524,193 $49, % 102.7% Multnomah 406,242 21,161,966,229 $52, % 109.0% Washington 252,185 16,897,050,728 $67, % 140.2% Region 793,086 $44,667,541,150 $56, % 117.9% Oregon 1,508,680 $72,079,481,599 $47,777 N/A 100.0% Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, Employment Growth The region s ten year private sector employment growth ranked 2 nd in the state. Private sector employment growth in the region was 43 percent higher than Oregon s over the past ten years. Page 7 of 18

8 Private sector employment in Washington County grew twice as fast as the statewide average. Multnomah County grew at a slower rate but still higher than the state. Clackamas County grew at a slower rate than the statewide average. Table 2: Change in Private Sector Employment, Area 2005 Employment 2015 Employment Employment Change Employment Change Rank Clackamas 126, , % 15 Multnomah 361, , % 10 Washington 215, , % 5 Region 704, , % 2 Oregon 1,386,917 1,508, % N/A Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages. Manufacturing Employment and Wages Manufacturing was 13 percent of the region s private sector employment in With a location quotient of 1.21, manufacturing is very important to the region s economy and competitive advantages. Computer and electronic product manufacturing is the largest manufacturing subsector in the region, accounting for one-third of manufacturing employment. The region has fewer small manufacturers than the statewide average, and slightly higher percentages of medium and large establishments. Page 8 of 18

9 Table 3: Manufacturing Employment and Wages, 2015 NAICS Industry Employment Location Quotient Average Wage Manufacturing 99, $81, Computer and Electronic Product Manufacturing 33, $132, Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing 10, $53, Food Manufacturing 10, $45, Transportation Equipment Manufacturing 7, $67, Machinery Manufacturing 7, $75, Primary Metal Manufacturing 5, $68, Miscellaneous Manufacturing 3, $48, Printing and Related Support Activities 3, $48, Plastics and Rubber Products Manufacturing 3, $49, Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing 2, $50, Furniture and Related Product Manufacturing 2, $45, Wood Product Manufacturing 2, $44, Electrical Equipment, Appliance, and Component Mfg. 1, $61, Paper Manufacturing 1, $57, Chemical Manufacturing 1, $57, Beverage and Tobacco Product Manufacturing 1, $36, Textile Product Mills $31, Apparel Manufacturing $38, Petroleum and Coal Products Manufacturing $78, Leather and Allied Product Manufacturing $44,616 Source: Business Oregon with data from U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Oregon Employment Department, and U.S. Census Bureau ( ). Table 4: Manufacturing Establishments by Size, 2015 Percent of Manufacturing Establishments by Employment-Size Class Area Total Manufacturing Establishments or More Clackamas % 18.3% 4.7% 2.5% Multnomah 1, % 18.0% 4.3% 1.9% Washington % 24.9% 4.6% 3.6% Region 2, % 20.1% 4.5% 2.6% Oregon 5, % 19.0% 4.4% 2.3% Source: Total establishments from U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages; employment-size class data from U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns, Page 9 of 18

10 Unemployment Rate The region s unemployment rate was consistently lower than the state s between 2005 and The region reached its highest unemployment rate over the ten year period, 10.2 percent, in 2009 and has since declined at a rate faster than the state and nation. The lowest unemployment rate over the ten year period, 4.6 percent, occurred in % Chart 1: Average Annual Unemployment Rate % Unemployment Rate 8% 6% 4% 2% Region Oregon U.S. 0% Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics. Section 3: Regional Competitive Industries Location Quotient Analysis Most of the state s Target Industry Groups are concentrated in the region, including Advanced Manufacturing, Business Services, Food & Beverages, High Technology, and Outdoor Gear & Apparel. Semiconductor and other electronic component manufacturing has, by far, the highest employment concentration in the region. It also pays the highest wages. Other major industries with high location quotients include foundries, greenhouse, nursery, and floriculture production, software, and management of companies and enterprises. Page 10 of 18

11 Table 5: Industries with Highest Location Quotients Private Sector, 2015, U.S. Base Area, Industries with Employment Greater than 200 and Location Quotient 1.2 or Greater, Industries with Average Wage above Region Average Shaded NAICS Industry Employment Location Quotient Average Wage 3344 Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Mfg. 26, $142, Cutlery and Handtool Manufacturing 1, $63, Railroad Rolling Stock Manufacturing 1, $79, Foundries 4, $69, Greenhouse, Nursery, and Floriculture Production 3, $30, Industrial Machinery Manufacturing 2, $95, Software Publishers 7, $107, Footwear Manufacturing $57, Audio and Video Equipment Manufacturing $69, Management of Companies and Enterprises 33, $132, Other Food Manufacturing 2, $34, Specialized Design Services 1, $60, Support Activities for Forestry $51, Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing 1, $49, Bakeries and Tortilla Manufacturing 3, $50, Drinking Places (Alcoholic Beverages) 4, $18, Computer and Peripheral Equipment Manufacturing 1, $84, Clay Product and Refractory Manufacturing $47, Lumber and Other Construction Materials Wholesalers 2, $78, Commercial and Service Industry Machinery Mfg $65, Beer, Wine, and Distilled Alcoholic Beverage Wholesalers 1, $54, Navigational, Measuring, Electromedical Mfg. 4, $99, Grocery and Related Product Merchant Wholesalers 7, $55, Advertising, Public Relations, and Related Services 4, $71, Office Furniture (including Fixtures) Manufacturing 1, $53, Apparel, Piece Goods, and Notions Merchant Wholesalers 1, $98, Performing Arts Companies 1, $30, Motor Vehicle and Motor Vehicle Parts and Supplies Wholesalers 3, $56, Data Processing, Hosting, and Related Services 2, $89, Wholesale Electronic Markets and Agents and Brokers 8, $86, Other Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 6, $48, Other Electrical Equipment and Component Manufacturing 1, $63, Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing $76, Spring and Wire Product Manufacturing $54, Fruit and Vegetable Preserving and Specialty Food Mfg. 1, $44, Printing and Related Support Activities 3, $48, Business Support Services 7, $41, Motion Picture and Video Industries 3, $35, Metal and Mineral (except Petroleum) Merchant Wholesalers 1, $63, Coating, Engraving, Heat Treating, and Allied Activities 1, $45,526 Source: Business Oregon with data from U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Oregon Employment Department, U.S. Census Bureau ( ), and other public documents. Page 11 of 18

12 Shift-Share Analysis Several industries amongst Oregon s Target Industry Groups experienced significant competitive share gains in the region between 2005 and 2015, including company management in apparel and footwear, food and beverages, upstream metals and machinery, professional and technical services, and semiconductors and electronics. Motion picture and video industries and performing arts companies were arts industries in the region that also gained significant competitive share between 2005 and Amongst competitive traded sector industries in the region, educational support services, computer and peripheral equipment manufacturing, greenhouse, nursery, and floriculture production, and activities related to credit intermediation in financial services experienced the largest competitive share percentage losses between 2005 and Software, a growing competitive traded sector industry in the region, saw a decline in competitive advantage between 2005 and Emerging traded sector industries in the region that experienced the highest competitive share gains between 2005 and 2015 were other crop farming, support activities for crop production, ship and boat building, and drugs and druggists sundries merchant wholesale trade. E-commerce and aerospace manufacturing were additional large, emerging traded sector industries in the region to experience significant competitive share gains between 2005 and Page 12 of 18

13 Table 6: Competitive Industries with Highest Competitive Advantage Percent Gains, Shift-Share Analysis, Private Sector, U.S. Base Area, Industries with LQ Greater than 1.2 and Employment Greater than 200 Employment Location NAICS Industry 2015 Quotient Competitive Share Percent Competitive Share Jobs 4243 Apparel, Piece Goods, and Notions Merchant Wholesalers 1, % 1, Motion Picture and Video Industries 3, % 1, Fruit and Vegetable Preserving and Specialty Food Manufacturin 1, % Office Furniture (including Fixtures) Manufacturing 1, % Drinking Places (Alcoholic Beverages) 4, % 1, Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing % Other Food Manufacturing 2, % Specialized Design Services 1, % Residential Building Construction 5, % 2, Offices of Other Health Practitioners 7, % 1, Wholesale Electronic Markets and Agents and Brokers 8, % 2, Audio and Video Equipment Manufacturing % Vocational Rehabilitation Services 3, % Footwear Manufacturing % Other Schools and Instruction 3, % Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing 1, % Performing Arts Companies 1, % Advertising, Public Relations, and Related Services 4, % 1, Commercial and Service Industry Machinery Manufacturing % Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing 26, % 7, Foundries 4, % 1, Beer, Wine, and Distilled Alcoholic Beverage Merchant Wholesal 1, % Bakeries and Tortilla Manufacturing 3, % Clay Product and Refractory Manufacturing % Other Support Services 3, % Spring and Wire Product Manufacturing % Industrial Machinery Manufacturing 2, % Building Finishing Contractors 6, % 1, Residential Intellectual and Developmental Disability, Mental H 5, % Continuing Care Retirement Communities and Assisted Living F 10, % General Rental Centers % Grocery and Related Product Merchant Wholesalers 7, % Cutlery and Handtool Manufacturing 1, % Couriers and Express Delivery Services 4, % Community Food and Housing, and Emergency and Other Relief 1, % Book Stores and News Dealers % Business Support Services 7, % Other Electrical Equipment and Component Manufacturing 1, % Lumber and Other Construction Materials Merchant Wholesaler 2, % Freight Transportation Arrangement 1, % Printing and Related Support Activities 3, % Coating, Engraving, Heat Treating, and Allied Activities 1, % 25 Source: Business Oregon; data from Bureau of Labor Statistics, Oregon Employment Department, and U.S. Census Bureau. Page 13 of 18

14 Table 7: Competitive Industries with Highest Competitive Advantage Percent Losses, Shift-Share Analysis, Private Sector, U.S. Base Area, Industries with LQ Greater than 1.2 and Employment Greater than 200 Employment Location NAICS Industry 2015 Quotient Competitive Share Percent Competitive Share Jobs 6117 Educational Support Services 1, % Outpatient Care Centers 6, % -1, Computer and Peripheral Equipment Manufacturing 1, % Technical and Trade Schools 1, % Urban Transit Systems % Greenhouse, Nursery, and Floriculture Production 3, % -1, Activities Related to Credit Intermediation 2, % Support Activities for Road Transportation % Management of Companies and Enterprises 33, % -4, Waste Collection 1, % Support Activities for Water Transportation % Railroad Rolling Stock Manufacturing 1, % Data Processing, Hosting, and Related Services 2, % Software Publishers 7, % Sporting Goods, Hobby, and Musical Instrument Stores 4, % Metal and Mineral (except Petroleum) Merchant Wholesalers 1, % Other Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 6, % Activities Related to Real Estate 6, % Support Activities for Forestry % Home Furnishings Stores 2, % Navigational, Measuring, Electromedical, and Control Instrumen 4, % Motor Vehicle and Motor Vehicle Parts and Supplies Merchant W 3, % -24 Source: Business Oregon; data from Bureau of Labor Statistics, Oregon Employment Department, and U.S. Census Bureau. Page 14 of 18

15 Table 8: Emerging Industries with Highest Competitive Advantage Percent Gains, Shift-Share Analysis, Private Sector, U.S. Base Area, Industries with LQ Less than 1.2 and Employment Greater than 200 NAICS Industry Employment 2015 Location Quotient Competitive Share Percent Competitive Share Jobs 1119 Other Crop Farming % Support Activities for Crop Production 1, % Ship and Boat Building 1, % Drugs and Druggists' Sundries Merchant Wholesalers % Animal Slaughtering and Processing % Specialty (except Psychiatric and Substance Abuse) Hospitals % Management, Scientific, and Technical Consulting Services 9, % 3, Amusement Parks and Arcades % Electrical Equipment Manufacturing % Electronic Shopping and Mail-Order Houses 2, % Basic Chemical Manufacturing % Beer, Wine, and Liquor Stores % Other Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing % Independent Artists, Writers, and Performers % Grain and Oilseed Milling % Other Transportation Equipment Manufacturing % Facilities Support Services % Other Residential Care Facilities % Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing 2, % Land Subdivision % Spectator Sports % Cut and Sew Apparel Manufacturing % Ventilation, Heating, Air-Conditioning, and Commercial Refriger % Veneer, Plywood, and Engineered Wood Product Manufacturing % Specialty Food Stores 1, % Other Miscellaneous Store Retailers 2, % Medical and Diagnostic Laboratories 1, % Child Day Care Services 5, % 1, Furniture Stores 1, % Support Activities for Rail Transportation % Offices of Physicians 13, % 2, Special Food Services 4, % Electric Lighting Equipment Manufacturing % Automotive Equipment Rental and Leasing 1, % Logging % Grocery Stores 16, % 2, Converted Paper Product Manufacturing 1, % Investigation and Security Services 4, % Other Financial Investment Activities 2, % Soap, Cleaning Compound, and Toilet Preparation Manufacturing % Machine Shops; Turned Product; and Screw, Nut, and Bolt Manu 2, % Business Schools and Computer and Management Training % Lawn and Garden Equipment and Supplies Stores 1, % Poultry and Egg Production % 25 Source: Business Oregon; data from Bureau of Labor Statistics, Oregon Employment Department, and U.S. Census Bureau. Page 15 of 18

16 Employment Projections by Industry Total private sector payroll employment is projected to grow by 126,900 jobs between 2014 and 2024, a 16 percent increase which is identical to the statewide projection. Software, residential building construction, professional and technical services, and management of companies are the industries expected to experience the greatest percentage increases in employment between 2014 and Health care, professional and technical services, and accommodation and food services are projected to experience the greatest absolute increase in jobs. Manufacturing is projected to grow by 8 percent, less than the statewide rate of 12 percent. Page 16 of 18

17 Table 9: Regional Industry Employment Forecast, Clackamas, Multnomah, and Washington Counties Change % Change Total employment 943,800 1,084, ,800 15% Total payroll employment 890,500 1,023, ,000 15% Total private 777, , ,900 16% Natural resources and mining 10,000 10, % Mining and logging % Construction 43,000 53,100 10,100 23% Construction of buildings 10,800 13,500 2,700 25% Residential building construction 5,400 6,900 1,500 28% Nonresidential building construction 5,400 6,600 1,200 22% Heavy and civil engineering construction 3,400 3, % Specialty trade contractors 28,800 35,800 7,000 24% Manufacturing 96, ,900 7,500 8% Durable goods 74,100 79,400 5,300 7% Wood product manufacturing 2,200 2, % Primary metal manufacturing 5,600 5, % Fabricated metal product manufacturing 10,300 10, % Machinery manufacturing 6,900 8,000 1,100 16% Computer and electronic product manufacturing 32,300 33,400 1,100 3% Semiconductor and electronic component mfg. 25,700 27,300 1,600 6% Electronic instrument manufacturing 4,300 4, % Transportation equipment manufacturing 6,600 7,700 1,100 17% Nondurable goods 22,300 24,500 2,200 10% Food manufacturing 9,700 12,000 2,300 24% Paper manufacturing 1,900 1, % Trade, transportation, and utilities 165, ,700 21,600 13% Wholesale trade 45,200 50,900 5,700 13% Merchant wholesalers, durable goods 21,700 23,400 1,700 8% Merchant wholesalers, nondurable goods 15,300 17,600 2,300 15% Electronic markets and agents and brokers 8,200 9,900 1,700 21% Retail trade 90, ,500 12,500 14% Motor vehicle and parts dealers 10,200 11,700 1,500 15% Building material and garden supply stores 6,200 7,400 1,200 19% Food and beverage stores 18,600 21,600 3,000 16% Clothing and clothing accessories stores 9,600 10, % Sporting goods, hobby, book and music stores 5,200 5, % General merchandise stores 17,600 19,800 2,200 13% Transportation, warehousing, and utilities 29,900 33,300 3,400 11% Transportation and warehousing 27,900 31,100 3,200 11% Truck transportation 8,600 9, % Couriers and messengers 4,700 5, % Warehousing and storage 3,100 3, % Information 19,800 22,200 2,400 12% Publishing industries, except Internet 8,500 10,300 1,800 21% Software publishers 6,700 8,900 2,200 33% Telecommunications 3,700 3, % Financial activities 55,300 59,100 3,800 7% Finance and insurance 35,600 38,400 2,800 8% Credit intermediation and related activities 15,900 16, % Insurance carriers and related activities 16,000 17,500 1,500 9% Real estate and rental and leasing 19,700 20,700 1,000 5% Real estate 16,700 17,700 1,000 6% Page 17 of 18

18 Table 9: Regional Industry Employment Forecast, (continued) Clackamas, Multnomah, and Washington Counties Change % Change Professional and business services 140, ,600 34,700 25% Professional and technical services 56,600 72,200 15,600 28% Legal services 7,400 8, % Architectural and engineering services 9,500 11,700 2,200 23% Computer systems design and related services 10,900 15,700 4,800 44% Management of companies and enterprises 31,200 39,900 8,700 28% Administrative and waste services 53,100 63,600 10,500 20% Administrative and support services 50,900 60,900 10,000 20% Employment services 22,500 28,000 5,500 24% Business support services 7,800 8, % Services to buildings and dwellings 11,300 13,400 2,100 19% Private educational and health services 122, ,100 24,300 20% Private educational services 22,200 25,900 3,700 17% Health care and social assistance 100, ,200 20,700 21% Ambulatory health care services 39,200 49,500 10,300 26% Hospitals 23,400 25,500 2,100 9% Nursing and residential care facilities 20,300 25,100 4,800 24% Social assistance 17,500 21,100 3,600 21% Leisure and hospitality 89, ,100 17,500 20% Arts, entertainment, and recreation 12,200 14,100 1,900 16% Amusement, gambling, and recreation 8,600 10,100 1,500 17% Accommodation and food services 77,400 93,000 15,600 20% Accommodation 7,800 8, % Food services and drinking places 69,500 84,400 14,900 21% Restaurants and other eating places 61,500 74,800 13,300 22% Other services and private households 34,600 39,000 4,400 13% Membership associations and organizations 13,700 14,800 1,100 8% Government 113, ,100 6,100 5% Federal government 14,000 13, % Federal post office 3,600 3, % State government 19,100 20, % State education 5,900 6, % Local government 79,900 85,600 5,700 7% Local education 47,700 52,100 4,400 9% Self-employment 53,300 61,100 7,900 15% Source: Oregon Employment Department Page 18 of 18

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