Focus session 4 What ma0ers in the mainland? South Island workforce development issues and literacy and numeracy as part of the solu=on

Transcription

1 Focus session 4 What ma0ers in the mainland? South Island workforce development issues and literacy and numeracy as part of the solu=on Nicky - what are some of the influences/future impacts on workforce development across the South Island? Anne - what does the Survey of Adult Skills (PIAAC) tell us? Darel - how will the quesdons and ideas generated by this Forum be relayed back to the relevant government agencies?

2 What maiers in the Mainland?

3 What maiers in the Mainland? Changes in skill demands for the exisdng workforce (There is a) growing need for an increased skill level of workers within the manufacturing industry. Lower-level jobs are being superseded by more skilled or technical roles that enable manufacturing businesses to be more involved in the broader produc?on process from design through to delivery. Infometrics forecasts that there will be over 25,000 job openings in the manufacturing sector over the next five years, represen?ng 17% of the industry s workforce. These job openings will provide opportuni?es for both new workers to enter the industry and exis?ng workers to upskill and move into more technical roles. hip://

4 What maiers in the Mainland? Increased ethnic diversity (Christchurch s) popula?on is more diverse than ever, and will become more so. Migra?on from developing countries will be a lifeline to maintain the workforce, as developed countries around the world are all facing the same challenge of an ageing workforce that reduces domes?c labour supply. As highly diverse young cohorts grow older, (there will be) gradually increasing diversity in older age groups, supplemented by further migra?on. For now, diversity is most visible in playgrounds, schools and ter?aries; however, by 2031 the change will be apparent in workplaces too. The propor?on of non-europeans in the Christchurch workforce is set to increase from 27 percent in 2015 to 39 percent in hip://

5 What maiers in the Mainland? Maori economic development Housing, crayfish and tourism helped boost Ngai Tahu's annual net profit to $168.7m as the South Island iwi powerhouse con?nues to diversity its business interests. TRONT, which operates as a charitable trust, has assets of $1.5b and total equity of $1.2b. hip:// Whenua Kura an Iwi-led partnership between Te Rūnanga o Ngāi Tahu, Te Tapuae o Rehua, Ngāi Tahu Farming and Lincoln University built on a shared vision to grow Māori leadership in land-based industries. hip://

6 What maiers in the Mainland? The ageing workforce Over the next 15 years a large propor?on of Canterbury s popula?on is will reach re?rement age. This, combined with an expanding economy, is forecast to create a significant gap in the labour market as demand for workers exceeds supply. By 2031, approximately 72,500 workers are expected to re?re and over 94,500 jobs will be created through economic growth. This means that 44 percent of addi?onal vacancies will be due to re?rement, compared to historical figures of approximately 20 percent. hip://

7 Survey of Adult Skills: NZ high level results

8 Literacy: Skills, employment and earnings Mark: Level 1 earns $37,000, the median for people at this skill level is a labourer, like 22% of employed people at this skill level was recently out of the labour force, like 38% of people at this skill level speaks a language other than English at home, like 23% of people at this skill level Michelle: Level 4 earns $60,000, the median for people at this skill level is a professional, like 41% of employed people at this skill level is employed full-dme, like 60% of people at this skill level was recently employed part-dme, like 19% of people at this skill level.

9 Skills and ethnicity over Dme

10 Literacy levels and industry 10

11 Numeracy levels and industry 11

12 Literacy and Numeracy levels and occupa=on 12

13 Training at work Distribution*of*workers*in*formal*training*activities*in* last*12*months*by*time*spent*in*training Machinery=Operators=and=Drivers 77% 9% Labourers 55% 16% Technicians=and=Trades=Workers 53% 14% Sales=Workers 51% 7% Clerical=and=Administrative=Workers 51% 13% Community= and=personal=service= Workers 45% 14% Managers 41% 19% Professionals 25% 33% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 1=to=10=hours 11=to=20=hours 21=to=30=hours 31=L 40=hours >=40=hours

14 ProducDvity and use of reading skills Unadjusted Adjusted Linear (Unadjusted) Linear (Adjusted) Slope: (0.174) R-s quared: Slope:0.774 (0.231) R-s quared: (log) labour productivity TUR LIT LIT RUS¹ ITA GRC RUS¹ NOR NOR USA FRA IRE BEL IRE USA DNK NDL FRA DEU BEL DEU ITA AUT SWE DNK ESP NDL FIN AUS ESP AUS AUT SWE CAN GBR GBR FIN CAN TUR ISR SLO SLO GRC JPN CHL NZL ISR NZL SVK JPN CZE SVK CZE KOREST POL POL EST CHL Mean use of reading skills at work