British Columbia Mining Labour Market Report: Preliminary Analysis & Results Minerals North Burns Lake, BC May 24, 2012

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1 British Columbia Mining Labour Market Report: Preliminary Analysis & Results Minerals North Burns Lake, BC May 24, 2012

2 About MiHR Who we are: National HR Council for the Minerals and Metals Industry Hundreds of industry leaders volunteer on our project committees What we do: Identify national HR challenges and opportunities for the minerals and metals industry Create national solutions through collaboration, partnerships and synergy

3 MiHR Products Research for Industry Sustainability (RIS) Mining Industry Workforce Information Network (MIWIN) o LMI Reports (National & Provincial) o Other LMI and HR research

4 Labour Market Challenges 100,000 new workers needed by % of the industry are 50 years > 1/3 of the workforce eligible to retire by 2015 Where are the women?

5 MiHR s Forecasting Methodology

6 1. Forecasting Change in Employment Takes into account economic expansion/contraction The major inputs that feed into the model are: Region-specific Commodity prices Production levels & Labour productivity

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8 2, Forecasting Replacement Requirement The retirement rate is derived from labour force demographics provided by industry surveys and Statistics Canada. The non-retirement separation rate includes: Individuals leaving the mining industry in a region for the mining industry of another region Leaving the labour force due to: death or disability to return to school leaving the mining industry for another sector

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10 Total Hiring Requirements Canada

11 Customized Report for British Columbia MiHR in partnership with the BC Mining HR Task Force Exploration, Mining, Sand & Gravel Creating a report that will include: An introduction and economic overview A look at mining labour market trends A forecast of hiring requirements for BC A forecast of talent availability for BC A gap analysis of talent needs and availability

12 New Features in the BC Report The forecast is customized to be sensitive to BC s commodity mix Occupational, Sub-Regional and Industry-sector breakdowns Includes a forecast of Talent Availability for BC Gap Analysis between the forecasted Hiring Requirements and Talent Availability

13 British Columbia Preliminary Analysis & Findings

14 Economic Outlook The demand for B.C. minerals is expected to grow over the next 10 years. Mineral prices are expected to stay elevated by historical standards. The high prices and increased demand is spurring exploration in the province. Recovery of GDP in 2010 after global recession Annual % change in Real GDP for BC's Mining Industry

15 Exploration Expenditures Surge (millions of current $) * *2012 represent spending intentions. Source: Natural Resources Canada, from the federal-provincial-territorial Survey of Mineral Exploration, Deposit Appraisal and Mine Complex Development Expenditures.

16 Exploration Expenditures Surge (especially in the North) Millions $ BC Other Northeast Omineca Skeena Sources: Natural Resources Canada, from the federal-provincial-territorial Survey of Mineral Exploration, Deposit Appraisal and Mine Complex Development Expenditures. Government of BC report: Exploration and Mining in British Columbia 2011

17 BC Mining Labour Market Trends: Aging workforce B.C. Workers in Mining Occupations are Older and Younger (selected mining occupations by age group, 2006) Canadian Miners B.C. Miners years years years years years 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Sources: The Conference Board of Canada; Statistics Canada Census 2006.

18 BC Mining Labour Market Trends B.C. Supply of Workers To Occupations Relevant to Mining Industry To Peak (thousands of workers) Sources: The Conference Board of Canada; Statistics Canada.

19 BC Mining Labour Market Trends Students Entering Mining Occupations Decrease 3,100 2,900 2,700 2,500 2,300 2,100 1,900 1,700 1,500 High school diploma or lower Trade, college or some university (below bachelor level) University degree Sources: The Conference Board of Canada; Statistics Canada.

20 Occupational Share in Mining Industry: Degree of Labour Pressure In The B.C. Mining Industry, by Occupation Forecast Percentage Supply Change Over SMALL (Less than 0.75%) GROWTH (+4% to +22%) STEADY (+3% to -4%) SIGNIFICANT LOSS (-5% to -9%) LARGE SCALE LOSS (-10%+) Mechanical engineers Cooks Industrial electricians Secretaries (except legal and medical) MEDIUM ( %) Mapping and related technologists and technicians Financial auditors and accountants Land survey technologists and technicians Contractors and supervisors, mechanic trades HIGH (2.6-10%) Geological engineers Engineering inspectors and regulatory officers Inspectors in public and environmental health and occupational health and safety Heavy-duty equipment mechanics VERY HIGH (11+%) Mining engineers Geologists, geochemists and geophysicists Geological and mineral technologists and technicians Drillers and blasters surface mining, quarrying and construction Sources: The Conference Board of Canada; Statistics Canada.

21 Jamie Wolcott, Economist