LRET Transport Risk Management Centre: An Introduction

Transcription

1 LRET Transport Risk Management Centre: An Introduction Dr Arnab Majumdar Imperial College London The Lloyd s Register Educational Trust (LRET) Marine & Offshore Research Workshop February, 2010 at Engineering Auditorium, NUS

2 LRET Transport Risk Management Centre: An Introduction Dr Arnab Majumdar

3 LRET TRMC Established on 1 April 2005 to research and teach the risks related to transport by land, air and sea. Part of the Centre for Transport Studies (CTS), within the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering at Imperial College London. Imperial College London consistently rated amongst the world's top 10 Universities with a well established and internationally recognised reputation for excellence in its teaching and research. The Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering has consistently been awarded the top rating in each of the UK government s past research assessment exercises and in the most recent exercise (2008) it was ranked the top civil engineering department in the country.

4 TRMC Track Record Director of the TRMC - Professor Andrew Evans, Deputy Director - Dr Arnab Majumdar, Staffing included 2 Research Fellows, 1 Research Associate and 2 PhD researchers 3 new PhD students began in TRMC has undertaken innovative research on: - public, passenger and worker safety, - regulatory regimes, - impacts of specific transport technologies on safety, and - safety management. Mode specific research has covered all modes of transport: - railways and aviation receiving the most attention

5 TRMC Track Record Dissemination record: - 21 publications in international peer reviewed journals, - 16 presentations at national and international conferences, - 20 invited lectures, - 4 dedicated workshops and a half-day presentation to LRET. 3 Best Paper awards. Teaching has involved courses on transport safety risk covering all transport modes, at the postgraduate (Master of Science) level and engineering risk analysis at the undergraduate level. Research supervision has resulted in the successful completion of 2 PhD, 25 MSc and 5 undergraduate research dissertations in the area of transport safety risk.

6 TRMC Collaboration Government and industrial organisations: European Railway Agency, Railway Safety Standards Board, Department for Transport, Commission for Integrated Transport, Joint Transport Research Centre of the OECD, Eurocontrol, US Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), NATS, easyjet Civil Aviation Authorities of the UK, New Zealand, Australia and South Africa.

7 Examples of Industrial Usage Topic Organisations Status Collision Risk Model Aerospace Performance Factor Helicopter analysis ATCo Workload studies Training Captains Workload study Eurocontrol ICAO easyjet Eurocontrol NZ CAA IHST Eurocontrol NATS easyjet Once validated to be used as method for assessing upper airspace safety Incorporated in Safety Review Board monthly reports Used to benchmark performance Incorporated in capacity and sector design guidelines Incorporated in fatigue risk management strategy

8 TRMC Themes Four key areas crucial to the understanding of transport safety risk : Safety regulation Safety performance data analysis Technological interventions Human reliability analysis Fundamental elements of any Safety Management System (SMS).

9 TRMC Vision To build on the TRMC s core strengths to undertake internationally leading research and training in all modes of transport, focusing on safety regulation, safety performance data analysis, technological interventions, and human reliability analysis within a multi-modal context. Vision captures the need for ensuring maximum influence of research and training by addressing the needs of government, industry and individual citizens.

10 Safety regulation A key feature of transport safety regulation is the need to ensure Tolerable Levels of Safety (TLS). Need to capture performance, be testable, demonstrable and practical. But: i) no consensus on the methods and techniques. ii) Current methods are limited - further problems beyond national boundaries. Research theme will: i) Investigate the concepts of safety targets and target-setting, review the current experience in safety-critical industries, ii) Develop target-setting methods appropriate to each mode of transport. iii) Develop methods for the application of safety targets, iv) Assess monitoring of performance against set targets.

11 Safety performance data analysis Data on accidents and incidents are essential as a means for monitoring safety performance and developing safety improvement techniques. But major concerns about: i) quantity, quality and reliability of the data collected, ii) increasing size of databases. iii) International problems with different formats and taxonomies. Research theme will develop (i) the middleware capable of accepting data from different entities and pre-processing them ready for analysis, (ii) the tools for the determination (and improvement of data) quality, reliability and continuity, (iii) an optimal template for the capture of data, (iv) the tools for data analysis.

12 Technological interventions Driven by requirements identified within the theme on safety regulation. Research theme will: Critically review system failure modes and the capability of the architecture (functional and physical) of the current technological safety barriers to protect against the failure modes for the different transport modes. Identify gaps and the exploration of potential enhancements and/or alternative solutions. Assess the role technologies of opportunity including space-based and terrestrial technologies for Communication, Navigation and Surveillance (CNS) will play.

13 Human reliability analysis (HRA0 The human contribution to accidents accounts for typically 70-80%, for each mode of transport. HRA attempts to provide a complete description of the human contribution to risk and ways to reduce that risk. But HRA techniques hampered by limited information on human errors in current safety databases. Research aims to enhance the existing HRA methods to better account for: i) human-equipment and human-human interactions; ii) influence of specific factors on people and their performance (e.g. fatigue) iii) impact of repeated human behavioral degradations; iv) combining prospective and retrospective analyses and the quantitative prediction of human performance. v) tools to support HRA analysis

14 Structure of TRMC

15 Collaboration TRMC requests collaboration with other LRET Centres on the 4 themes. From TRMC side i) Experience of safety data analysis and methodologies in rail and air; ii) Major industrial collaboration; iii) Workshops; Maritime collaboration needed with academia: i) Data ii) Analytical techniques iii) Participation at workshops iv) Future proposals

16 Thank you