Implementation Status & Results Tanzania Development of a National Statistical System for Tanzania (P107722)

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1 Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Tanzania Development of a National Statistical System for Tanzania (P107722) Operation Name: Development of a National Statistical System for Tanzania Project Stage: Implementation Seq.No: 5 Status: ARCHIVED Archive : 29-Sep-2014 (P107722) Country: Tanzania Approval FY: 2011 Product Line: IBRD/IDA Region: AFRICA Lending Instrument: Specific Investment Loan Implementing Agency(ies): National Bureau of Statistics Key s Board Approval 24-Mar-2011 Original Closing 31-Oct-2016 Planned Mid Term Review 21-Oct-2013 Last Archived ISR 31-Jan-2014 Effectiveness 09-Aug-2011 Revised Closing 31-Oct-2016 Actual Mid Term Review 26-Jun-2014 Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) To develop a national statistical system that effectively and efficiently delivers reliable and timely statistics in accordance with international standards and best practice. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project? Yes No Component(s) losure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Component Name Component Cost Institutional Development and Legal Reform 0.80 Human Resource Capacity Development 3.20 Development of Statistical Infrastructure 6.10 Data Development and Dissemination 8.90 Physical Infrastructure and Equipment Project Management 1.00 Overall Ratings Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Unsatisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Unsatisfactory Overall Risk Rating Implementation Status Overview The International Development Agency (IDA), the World Bank, is supporting the implementation of the Tanzania Statistical Master Plan (TSMP) through a credit of US$30 Page 1 of 5

2 million. The IDA-credit is being implemented in a 'basket fund' arrangement with the UK Department for International Development (DfID) and the Department of Foreign Affairs, Trade and Development, Canada (DFATD). Activities financed by the TSMP Basket Fund are fully planned, executed and accounted for by the Government of Tanzania through the National Bureau of Statistics in close consultation with the three basket fund partners. In addition to the basket fund partners, other partners such as the United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF), the International Labor Organization (ILO), the Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO) and the European Union (EU) are contributing to the TSMP through parallel streams of financing and technical assistance of selected activities. The project consists of five components addressing issues such as the legal, institutional and organizational framework for statistics in Tanzania, training and skills development, development of statistical infrastructure, data development and dissemination and investments in ICT equipment and new office space for the National Bureau of Statistics and the Office of the Chief Government Statistician of Zanzibar. A Mid-Term Review of the TSMP was conducted in May and June 2014 the findings of which were presented to stakeholders and discussed in a workshop in Dar es Salaam on 26 June The review concluded that the TSMP represents a very ambitious program and although delays and various obstacles to implementation have occurred evidence suggests that project implementation is improving in speed and quality and that real improvement has been made. But more needs to be done in areas of planning, executing and monitoring project activities including addressing procurement issues. The review also recommended that the TSMP closing date should be extended to enable NBS and other participating agencies to complete the planned activities and achieve the objectives of the TSMP. The Government of Tanzania has subsequently decided to extend the TSMP from June 2014 to June 2018 and has requested Development Partners to realign their financial support to this new closing date. Overall, the project has achieved significant improvements particularly within statistical infrastructure development and data production and dissemination. However, overall implementation progress and progress towards achieving the project development objective has recently been downgraded to moderately unsatisfactory due to a failure to meet targets and milestones related to some key performance indicators including timely release of planned statistical products and services, implementation of the annual training plan and the planned organizational restructuring of NBS. However, noteworthy accomplishments have been achieved including: implementation of the planned surveys as per the tenyear survey calendar, archiving and documenting micro-data sets in the National Data Archive, Parliament discussions of a draft statistics bill to reform the legal framework for statistics in Tanzania and development of a quality assurance framework for official statistics. It could be argued that the targets were too ambitious and while they have not fully been met, real accomplishments should not go unnoticed. Another important accomplishment to note is the impending completion of the revision of the Tanzanian system of national accounts, which includes updating the base year from 2001 to 2007 and transitioning to the latest version of the industrial classification (ISIC rev. 4). The revised national accounts aggregates and time-series will be released by the end of September Locations Country First Administrative Division Location Planned Actual Tanzania Zanzibar Urban/West Region Zanzibar Tanzania Not Entered Unguja Ukuu Tanzania Dar es Salaam Region Dar es Salaam Region Tanzania Not Entered Dar es Salaam Results Project Development Objective Indicators Page 2 of 5

3 Indicator Name Core Unit of Measure Baseline Current End Target User satisfaction with statistical products and Percentage Value services of the national statistical system 2nd User-Satisfaction Survey. Planned statistical products published on time Percentage Value No baseline - Release Calendar was started in Target for FY13 was 75 percent. Actual achievement of 57.5 percent is below target and lower than FY12. Trend has to be reversed and vastly improved to meet final target of 90 percent. Implementation of planned census and surveys Percentage Value percent of planned surveys in were implemented percent of planned surveys in were implemented. This was above target of 75 percent. Target is to be able to deliver at least 90 percent of annually pre-announced publications on time. Target is full implementation of the planned surveys for as per survey calendar. Intermediate Results Indicators Indicator Name Core Unit of Measure Baseline Current End Target Organizational restructuring and HR reform process on track New legal framework developed and implemented Text Value Preparatory work for organizational restructuring and HR reform initiated A consultant report on future organizational structure are being discussed by NBS and OCGS governing bodies. Text Value Current statistics law is being renewed and cabinet policy paper developed. Further progress on restructuring is awaiting completion of the legal reform which will transform the status of NBS Organizational restructuring and HR policy reform complete. Performance Management System in use 20-Dec Jun-2015 New Statistics Act enacted and regulations to promulgate the new Statistics Act approved by the Minister and operationalized. Page 3 of 5

4 Annual staff training plan implemented Percentage Value Use of updated statistical concepts, definitions and classifications # of micro datasets accessible online through NADA No baseline - training needs assessment in progress. Training plan will be discussed and approved by Dec Text Value A number of concepts, definitions and methodologies used are outdated. In FY13, 59 of 87 (68%) in NSS (excluding Zanzibar) received training. The numbers for Zanzibar were 9 of 59 (15%). Total training plan implementation rate: 47%. A compendium of statistical concepts and definitions has been developed. As has a quality assurance framework for official statistics, which needs to be implemented. Number Value End target exceeded two years ahead of time. The target is that NBS and OCGS will be able to deliver 100 percent of the training plan annually. A compendium of statistical concepts, definitions and standards in use. GFSM2001, ISIC rev. 4 and BPM5 in use. SNA 2008 adopted andna compiled using ISIC rev 4. Data on Financial Performance (as of 19-Jun-2014) Financial Agreement(s) Key s Project Ln/Cr/Tf Status Approval Signing Effectiveness Original Closing Revised Closing P IDA Effective 24-Mar May Aug Oct Oct-2016 Disbursements (in Millions) Project Ln/Cr/Tf Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P IDA Effective XDR Disbursement Graph Page 4 of 5

5 Key Decisions Regarding Implementation Specific procurement notices for contracts to be bid under the World Bank's international competitive bidding (ICB) procedures and for contracts for consultancy services will be announced, as they become available, in UN Development Business and dgmarket. All questions related to procurement under this project should be directed to NBS TSMP Coordinator, Mrs Joy Sawe, Restructuring History Level two Approved on 09-Jul-2013 Related Projects There are no related projects. Page 5 of 5