Some Development Scenarios for Future NSR Maritime Infrastructure

Transcription

1 MARITIME Some Development Scenarios for Future NSR Maritime Infrastructure CHNL Industry Seminar Busan: NSR s Future Maritime Transportation & Logistics System Morten Mejlænder-Larsen 1 SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER

2 How to ensure that this is SAFE Before owners will consider the route as an attractive alternative, they will expect a great deal from the NSR Administration. This can be condensed into two words; Safety and Guarantees Former President Ronald Bergman, BIMCO 2

3 Safety - depending on type of operation The need for infrastructure will depend on type of operation: OSV operations -> normally several vessels operating together Destination shipping -> experience Transit one of the routes -> IB assistance or independent, NSR or NWP Cruise, large vessels Expedition Cruises 3

4 The Arctic calls for a risk based approach Risk Reward

5 Risk = Probability x Consequence R North Sea/World wide R Arctic/NSR Identify Mitigate Ex. Maritime Risk: Collision with other vessel Contact Fire/explosion Structural failure Grounding Collision with installation Collision during Ship To Ship (STS) approach Accidental oil spill during loading/unloading Additional risk 5

6 Identified HAZARDS, basis for the development of Polar Code 1. Ice 2. Topside icing, 3. Low temperature 4. Darkness 5. High latitude 6. Remoteness 7. SAR 8. Crew experience 9. Emergency response equipment 10. Severe weather 11. Environment 6

7 Identified HAZARDS, basis for the development of Polar Code 1. Ice 2. Topside icing, 3. Low temperature 4. Darkness 5. High latitude 6. Remoteness 7. SAR 8. Crew experience 9. Emergency response equipment 10. Severe weather 11. Environment 7

8 How to ensure safe operation along the NSR with acceptable risk? 8

9 NSR Risk, summer and winter. Will require different infrastructure Challenge 1. Ice 2. Topside icing, 3. Low temperature 4. Darkness 5. High latitude 6. Remoteness 7. SAR 8. Crew experience 9. Emergency response equipment 10. Severe weather 11. Environment Risk Summer Spring/Fall Winter 10

10 The diverse Arctic dynamic risk picture different infrastructure Different geographical conditions Remoteness Vulnerability Seasonal variations 11

11 Factors to be considered when evaluating NSR as an alternative: Remove possible obstacles that can endanger vessel or crew Environmentally sensitive area; requires effective emergency response plans and resources to provide for efficient clean up Available SAR services Same SAR and Port Services available for all flags Navigational aids along NSR, inclusive weather and ice info Crew Training and relevant competence/experience Predictable fees for possible emergency services From insurance point: - the risk assessment must not show significantly increase in risk 14

12 This will require a minimum infrastructure along NSR Ice and weather forecast Ice breaker assistance Navigational aids SAR resources, including: emergency services rescue coordination centre rescue services helicopter and SAR vessels towing capabilities 15

13 Western part of NSR 16

14 Eastern part of NSR 17

15 This will require a minimum infrastructure along NSR Ports, with infrastructure port capacity repair facilities hospital airport/roads/railroad 18

16 Future developments of infrastructure will depend on Available capital for financing of future infrastructure Will depend on future activity. Private investors will evaluate future return on investment. One of the drivers for governmental investment is increased activity in the area General growth along NSR within O&G Today; too few actors to defend investments in infrastructure Where to find revenue? NSR fee? Long term legal and tax regime in Russia 19

17 Low activity has slowed down the development along NSR investment activity NSR activity demand 20

18 Morten Mejlaender-Larsen SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER 21