Draft Urban Transport Master Plan for Colombo Metropolitan Region and Suburbs

Transcription

1 Draft Urban Transport Master Plan for Colombo Metropolitan Region and Suburbs Draft Version December, 2013

2 Scope of Urban Transport Master Plan Land Use & Urban Structure 1. Formulation of Suitable Urban Structure Plan 2. Integrating Transport to Urban Development 3. Revised Urban Development Plan (not within scope of CoMTrans) 4. Formulation of Transport Master Plan 5-A. Transport Infrastructure & Services Development Public Transport Urban Railways, New Transit System Bus line & Facilities Private Transport Road, Traffic Management Road network, space, Signals, Traffic Control, Regulation, Parking, TDM, Safety Taxi, Para-Transit, Intermodal Facilities & Services 5-B. Organizational / Institutional Development Policy, Planning, Investment, Ownership, Operation & Maintenance (O&M), Regulation 1

3 Process of Urban Transport Master Plan Analysis of Current Status & Review HVS CLS.SLS LUS TSS Relevant Information Collection TGS CoMTrans Master Plan Transport Models SEA for MP Today ITR Sustainable Urban Structure Plan Master Plan Dev. Identification of Projects (short, Intermediate, Long-term Dev,) Pre-F/S and F/S for identified projects Project-1 Project-2 Project-3 Project-4 Project- x by JICA Study Implementation Program 2

4 Transport Demand [Land Use] Population Growth Patterns Population is increasing in the areas to the east of CMC, while the growth rate is less in the CMC area This can be explained by the changes in land use in CMC inner city area commercial activity is increasing and in the suburbs to the east, residential activity is increasing Annual Growth Rate Negombo Colombo and Coastal Area Decreasing Supporting Data Avissawella Colombo Suburbs Increasing Source: DCS Calculated by CoMTrans Inner-Coastal area 3

5 Transport Demand Approximately 100 projects are proposed / on-going in Western Province, by Public Sector (UDA, etc.) and Private Sector. Urban Development Plans/Projects Colombo Concentration of Many Mixed Development Project Supporting Data Battaramulla Relocation of Government Offices Source: UDA 4

6 Traffic Condition Migration from Public to Private Transport Unit: 1,000 Passengers per day, Both Direction Supporting Data 2,500 2,000 1,500 Historical data for passenger flow at CMC boundary ( ) 1,679 1,697 2,066 Pubic Transport (Bus and Railway) are losing their modal share. Average Annual Growth Ratio (AAGR) % 1,000 1, % % 33% 42% Private Modes are significantly increasing. 4.2% 0 26% 42% * Private Bus Rail All modes: 2.2% * Total passengers at CMC boundary at all survey location was 2.1 million passengers per day (both direction). For the comparison purpose, survey locations surveyed in 85, 95 and 04 were selected. 5

7 Traffic Condition Rapid Increase of Private Vehicles Number of Vehicles* in Western Province (in 1,000) Supporting Data AAGR = 8.0% The number of vehicles increased a factor of 2.5 in 12 years. Motorcycles and 3 wheelers showed significant surge in the number. *The number of motor vehicles with valid revenue licenses. October

8 Traffic Condition Travel Speed (Morning Peak, In-Bound) 7-8AM, Average Travel Speed Average Travel Speed In Ja-Ela Gampaha ± Average Travel Speed 7-8 am- In Source: Travel Speed Survey by GPS tracking data ( ) CoMTrans Mattakkuliya Supporting Data ± Ragama Modara Kelaniya Kotahena Peliyagoda Mahara Kadawatha Colombo Kollupitiya Malabe Kaduwela Biyagama Pettah Aluthkade Maligawatta Dematagoda Bambalapitiya Parliament Battaramulla Fort Dehiwala Maharagama Kottawa Homagama Galle Face Slave Island Maradana Kuppiawatta Piliyandala Kesbewa Kollupitiya Borella Moratuwa Cinnamon Garden Legend Travel Speed Data in Processing Below 10 km/h km/h km/h km/h km/h Above 50 km/h CMA Boundary Kilometers Legend Travel Speed Data in Processing Below 10 km/h km/h km/h km/h km/h Above 50 km/h CMC Boundary Bambalapitiya Kilometers Wellawatta Thimbirigasyaya Narahenpita October

9 Trip Characteristics Current Passenger Traffic Level 7-8AM In-Bound No. of Passengers by Mode (One Direction, 1,000 per Day) Supporting Data Negombo Kandy Low Level Malabe High Level Horana Galle Highest level of Passenger in Kandy corridor Car/Van/Pickup Motorcycle 3 Wheeler Bus Rail 1 million people entering the CMC from outside crossing the boundary. 8

10 Trip Characteristics Current Vehicle Traffic Level 7-8AM In-Bound No. of Vehicles by Mode (One Direction, 1,000 per Day) Supporting Data Negombo Kandy Low Level Malabe High Level Horana Galle Highest level of Vehicle in Malabe corridor Car/Van/Pickup Motorcycle 3 Wheeler Bus Truck 9

11 Home Visit Survey: Person Trips First Experience in Sri Lanka 1. Home Visit 4. Checking by Supervisor 2. Explanation 5. Editing 3. Filled by respondents 31,000 households samples within Western Province Data verification and adjustment by 6. Data Input Population census Vehicle registration Screen Line Survey and Trip Generation Survey to find out Person trip information in Western Provinces - Trip Origin Destination (GN and major facility level) - Trip Purpose - Trip Modes - Trip Times (Departure and Arrival) - Costs 10

12 Mode Transfer for Public Transport User 19 % of bus user transfer to another buses. 48% of railway user take bus access to railway station, 18% of railway user transfer bus from railway station to destination. Supporting Data Transfer Patterns of Bus User (Avr. transfers/trip = 0.31) Transfer Patterns of Railway User (Avr. transfers/trip = 1.06) 75% Origin Walk Bus Walk / 3W (74%) (1%) Dest. 33% Origin Walk Bus Railway Walk Dest. 19% Origin Walk Multiple Buses 2 buses = 17% 3 buses = 2%... Walk Dest. 26% Origin Walk Railway Walk / 3W (25%) (1%) Dest. Note: Remaining 6% constitute other minor patterns 15% Origin Walk Bus Railway Bus Walk Dest. 9% Origin MCY / BCY Railway Walk (8%) (1%) Dest. Western province, All trip purpose, Source: Home Visit Survey ( ), CoMTrans 3% Origin MCY Railway Walk Bus Dest. Note: Remaining 14% constitute other minor patterns 11

13 Current Modal Share Western Province, % 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Supporting Data Low Income Group: < 40,000 Rs./month Medium Income Group: < 80,000 Rs./month Public Transport (Bus+Rail) High Income Group: >= 80,000 Rs./month Total Car Wheeler Source: Home Visit Survey ( ), CoMTrans Other Counties Source: Compilation by STREAM Study (2006) 12

14 Current Issues for Urban Transport Modes Overall Needs of modernization for increase and high level of public transport services (quality, reliability, safety, connectivity/transfer, user-friendly) Lack of urban transport policies and strategies No linkage between urban transport and urban land use planning X: Inadequate Service Efficiency User Friendly Safety Railway High frequency services in Main, Coast line Affordable fare level X: Less frequencies in KV-line X: Bottleneck section between Fort-Maradana X: Private operators is limited due to Railway Ordinance X: Low user satisfaction of coach & station X: Delay of train schedule X: Less connectivity with other modes X: Old tracks and signaling system for safety operation Bus and Other Road-based Public Transport High frequency services and various service routes, Affordable fare level Road Design and Network, Traffic Management/ Control X: Deficiency in managerial capacities and unsatisfactory operation efficiency of SLTB X: Insufficient qualified human resources in planning, regulation, operation and low enforcement X: Less network capacity X: Less accessibility to public transport stations X: Bottleneck at intersection due to non-signal control and standalone control X: Over crowded in peak hour X: Less reliable schedule & travel time X: Deteriorated in quality of services (quality of vehicles, conductor, value added services, comfort including different terminals, less coordination with other route/modes) X: Less reliable travel time X: Less alternative route X: Less interest to promote bus transport facilities X: Limited access to traffic information (congestion points, parking area, restrictions) X: Low safety awareness of drivers and bus fleet owners, as well as limited low enforcement and safety awareness education of the regulators X: high pedestrian accidents X: Lack of priority for road safety 13

15 Which Future will you take for Colombo? Road Intensive Development Image (Asian Country) Public Transport Intensive Development Image (Curitiba) City of Curitiba City of Brasilia Persons/km 2 3, Transit trips/ capita/year Vehicle-km/year 7,900 16,700 Source: Transforming Cities with Transit, World Bank 14

16 Vision and Strategies VISION: Shaping the Future of Urban Transport System by Promoting Public Transport System in Colombo Metropolitan Area Overall Planning Strategies Integrate Urban Development with Urban Transport System, TOD Introduce New Public Transport System Introduce User-friendly Transit Facilities for existing Public Transport Increase Road Capacity and optimise its use by TDM, ERP Implementation / Financial Strategies Economically Efficient Investment Financial Viability in the Long Run, Revenue from Tolls, ERP and Value-capture System Combination of public investment & PPP Scheme Institutional Frameworks With the understanding of the serious problems of under capacity that will follow, urbanisation and motorization under the DO- NOTHING (DO-Minimum) case, the CoMTrans Study proposes the following Urban Transport Development VISION and Strategies; Points to be considered for Transport System Development Economic Efficiency Equity in Society Transport Modes Public Transport Railways, Bus New Transit System Environmental Friendly Safety Private Transport Roads, Traffic Management Intermodal Facilities 15

17 Transit Oriented Development (TOD) Urban Development Structure will be realized together with TOD development and integrated urban transport system. Exiting Model Proposed Model Urban Centres as Transport Nodes with Urban Development (TOD) 16

18 Urban Development Structure Based on the current OD patterns, land use and urban development plans, the Urban Development Structure is defined for integrating transport master plan. 17

19 Major Indicators in 2035 Socio-Economic Framework Western Province Population GRDP Medium Scenario Gross Regional Domestic Product 2002 constant price GRDP per capita 2002 constant price Income Level mil. AAGR: 0.72% ( ), 1.50% (2035) 1,341,000 4,702,000 mil. Rs. GRDP Growth Rate: 6.7% (2013) to 4.0% (2035) 230, ,000 Rs./year High 80,000 or more Rs./month 7.6% 57.3% Medium 40,000-80,000 Rs./month 24.4% 30.0% Low less than 40,000 Rs./month 67.8% 12.5% Trips in Western Province Total Trips Trip Generation/Attraction Modal Share (Public) 10.0 (2013) 17.8 mil. trips 58% (2013) 51% High 80,000 or more Rs./month 34% 42% Medium 40,000-80,000 Rs./month 57% 69% Low less than 40,000 Rs./month 64% 68% 18

20 Status Quo in 2035 Almost all the roads especially radial seven transport corridors will be grid-locked with travel speed of less than 10km/h during morning peak hour. It means that Status Quo scenario will hinder economic growth and activities in Colombo Metropolitan area. Averaged Network Speed 7.4 km/h Averaged link speed in Western Province Peak hour Average Travel Speed Kollupitiya Dehiwala Kelaniya Kaduwela Battaramulla Malabe Mahalagama Kottawa Outer Circular Highway (OCH) Economic Loss of Traffic Congestion 471 bn. Rs./year Estimated compared by normal speed in 2035 Piliyandala Moratuwa 19

21 Project Screening and 2035 Evaluation Negombo Current Issues Corridor Kandy Corridor 7 Ja-Ela Corridors Kadawatha Data Collection, Survey and Analysis Kelaniya Nugegoda Dehiwala Moratuwa Corridor A Corridor B Corridor C Inappropriate Land Use Transport Demand Forecast Inner-City Low Level Road Corridor Kaduwela Network Battalramulla Institutional Malabe Malabe Corridor Land-use Maharagama High Level Road Integration Corridor with Piliyandara Urban Development Transit Oriented Horana Corridor Development (TOD) Galle Corridor Without TOD Kottawa Southern Expressway Seven Corridors 2035 Malabe Status Quo Galle Kandy Transport Condition Transport Condition Transport Negombo Condition High Level Road Horana Transport Condition Transport Condition Low Level Road Inner-City Non-Corridor Framework (Pop. Trip Generation/ Attraction, Distribution ) Project Screening Project A, B, C Project B, D Project A, C Project D, E, F Project F, G Project T Candidate Projects By Transport Modes (Railway, Bus, BRT, New Transit System, Intermodal Facilities, Roads, TDM ) from existing plans of agencies and proposed by CoMTrans (JICA Study Team) 2035 Evaluation By each Corridor Project A B C Evaluation (Benefit, etc) by Multi-Criteria (Goals, SEA s points of View, STRADA results, etc.) Same Evaluation Same Evaluation C Total System Benefits 20

22 Development Options [Seven Corridors] Malabe Monorail - - Galle - Modernized BRT [w/ Marine drive Extension] Seven Corridors Kandy - Modernized BRT Negombo - Modernized Bus priority High Level Road Monorail - - Horana - - Bus priority U. Expressway [via Nugegoda] Low Level Road - - Bus priority 21

23 3. Development Options [Inner City area] Public Transport Infrastructure Monorail North-South Line Connected with Malabe corridor monorail BRT (Baseline) From Kandy Road Baseline extension to Rathmalana Expressway along Baseline Road Monorail (Baseline) From High Level road Road winding for public transport [Northern Colombo Area] Multi-modal Transport Hub Fort/Pettah MmTH Port City Fort/Pettah Kollupitiya Bambalapitiya N-S Line [Monorail] Town Hall Note: This figure shows the concept of development options network, detailed alignment will be examined and identified in the pre-feasibility or feasibility study stage. Maradana Japan Friendship Bridge BRT Baseline Road Borella Kelaniya New Kelani Bridge Express way Malabe Corridor [Monorail] Baseline [Monorail] 22

24 Multi-modal Transport Hub (MmTH) Fort/Pettah MmTH Monorail Station Western Province Bus Terminal (Gunasinghapura Bus Stand) 10Bays, 16Routes, 600Buses WPRPTA: Western Province Road Passenger Transport Authority Railway Station Bus terminal Interprovincial Bus terminal with access ramp from port access expressway BRT Station Parking Taxi Interprovincial Bus Terminal Monorail Railway BRT P Bus terminal Beira Lake SLTB Bus Terminal (Public, Intra/Interprovincial) (Central Bus Stand) 30Bays, 102Routes, 900Buses SLTB: Sri Lanka Transport Board NTC Bus Terminal (Private, Interprovincial) (Bastian MV Bus Stand) 42Bays, 171Routes, 1,600Buses NTC: National Transport Commission Drop-off area Station plaza with smooth connection to transport modes 23

25 Non-Corridor Development Options Ring Road development to support Integrated Urban Development Structure (TOD) Multi-modal Center (MMC) and Park & Ride Station (P&R) Access roads improvement for smooth access to public transport nodes (railway and new transit stations, bus stops, multi-modal terminals) Other road sections to secure traffic capacity for future demands (widening, additional road links) Logistics Policy TDM Traffic Management and Control Sidewalk Installment Policy Options of TDM Fuel tax Electronic Road Pricing (ERP) Peak hour shift Park and ride Mobility management etc. 24

26 Total System Benefit of the Master Plan Major System Indicator Average Passenger Speed 19.4km/h Status Quo Master Plan 7.4km/h 16.5km/h Economic Loss 2013 Economic Price 14 bn. Rs. /year Status Quo Master Plan Total Investment Cost Economic Benefit in Economic Price Net Preset Value (for 20years) Reduction of Vehicle Operation Costs (VOC) Travel Time Costs (TTC) 2013 Economic Price, Discount rate = 12% Assuming projects are implemented in accordance with the short, intermediate and long terms, evaluation period: ,254,000 mil. Rs. 349,000 mil. Rs. 213,000 mil. Rs. 136,000 mil. Rs. Assuming all projects will be operated by ,000 mil. Rs. 25

27 Entire Public Transport Network Target Year 2035 Public Transport Network Detailed locations of proposed transport facilities and network alignments will be examined and identified in the pre-feasibility or feasibility study stage. 26

28 Entire Road Transport Network Target Year 2035 Road Network Improvement Detailed locations of proposed transport facilities and network alignments will be examined and identified in the pre-feasibility or feasibility study stage. 27