Challenges and Opportunities for Canada s Freight Railways
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1 Challenges and Opportunities for Canada s Freight Railways Ninth Annual CILTNA Transportation Outlook Conference Cliff Mackay, President & CEO The Railway Association of Canada May 10, 2010 Ottawa, Ontario
2 TABLE OF CONTENTS 2 1. RAC & Canada s Railways 2. Role of Rail in Canada 3. Success of the Current Regulatory Environment 4. Public Policy Agenda 5. Investment Opportunities 6. Going Forward 7. Conclusion
3 1. RAC & Canada s Railways 3 Represent Canadian rail industry Some 50 freight, commuter, intercity and tourist railways An affiliation with more than 500 rail industry suppliers Growing Associate Membership Core rail representation from all sectors Class 1s: CN, CP and US carriers Short lines: Over 40 across Canada Passenger: Commuter, Intercity, Tourist RAC = One Industry Voice
4 4
5 Canadian Intermodal Rail Network 5 Prince Rupert Saint John
6 2. Role of Rail in Canada-Freight 6 Rail is vital to Canada s, trade, economy and society Moves more than 360 billion revenue tonne-kilometers of domestic & international freight annually, 75% of nation s surface freight on a tonne-kilometer basis Owns, maintains, and operates 48,000 kilometers of track Employ a fleet of 3,000 locomotives and 85,000 freight cars Short Line Railways are an integral component of Canada s Rail and Transportation System Feed 25% of traffic carried by Canada s Class 1 freight Carriers Vital to the economic development of Canada s rural and resource based communities International 30% Domestic 23% Source: CN and CP Freight Mix 2009 Transborder & U.S. 47 %
7 2. Role of Rail in Canada- Current Freight Situation 7 The Current Freight Situation: Successfully matching capacity to demand- historic drop in traffic between Q and Q Intermodal in the fastest growing component of Class 1 traffic, accounted for 30% in the growth in originated carloads between However, down 14 percent in 2009 from peak levels. 230, , , , ,000 Intermodal Seasonally Adjusted Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Impact of Recession: Canadian railroads carload volume dropped 20 percent in 2009 from 2008 level Traffic improving 2010 YTD traffic is down 7.5% from peak in 2008 but up 16 per cent from 2009 Completely integrated system within North America Bottom Line: Rail is an economic enabler and will grow with the economy Source: CN and CP 400, , , , ,000 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Source: CN and CP Carloads Originated Seasonally Adjusted
8 Index: 1990 = Success of Deregulation 8 The regulatory measures taken, primarily through the passage of the CTA(1996), has greatly benefited railways, shippers and the federal government Canadian Railway Performance: Labour productivity up by more than 200% since 1990 Increase in capital investment Productivity benefits shared with shippers through lower rates Freight subsidies eliminated Creation of a short line railways Labour Productivity Price Volume Source: Railway Association of Canada
9 3. Success of the Current Regulatory Environment-Regulatory Stability 9 3,000 Cdn $ M Capital Expenditures CN & CP 2,500 2,000 Forced Access Debate 1,500 1,000 CTA Enactment Source: CN & CPR Annual Reports Bottom Line: We are now in a period of regulatory stability and railways are investing
10 4. Public Policy Agenda 10 Economic Recovery Environment Equity Issues Public Safety
11 4. Public Policy Agenda-Economic Recovery 11 Federal Budget 2009 Infrastructure Stimulus Fund Two year $4 billion federal fund: leverage provincial, municipal and private sector investment Seven Ontario short lines have applied for funding, projects valued at $30 million Funding for NB Southern was announced in July 2009 ($18M contribution from governments), and programs in Saskatchewan, Manitoba and Quebec Building Canada Fund Seven year $33 billion dollar federal infrastructure fund (Gateways) Federally Regulated Define Pension Plans Federal government should permanently increase the solvency deficit funding period from five to ten years for all current and future solvency deficiencies, without any conditions Section 36 of the Income Tax Act The Federal Government should proceed to delink the Income Tax Act from the regulatory reporting requirements by repealing Section 36 U.S. Tax System: A level playing field Bottom Line: Federal spending, policies and regulations must be aligned to facilitate the economic recovery and enhance productivity
12 Bottom Line: Federal infrastructure investments are aligned with economic and trade priorities 4. Public Policy Agenda-Economic Recovery 12 Trade Gateway Developments: The railways are key participants in the various Trade Gateway and Corridor development initiatives. Specific initiatives include: Investments in western track upgrades and the Port of Prince Rupert New investment of $300 million to improve capacity in the Robert s Bank Rail Corridor, with railways contributing $32 million of the total investment package CP and CN will invest over $300 million in their eastern Canada networks to provide additional capacity
13 4. Public Policy Agenda-Environment 13 Five Pillars for Improving Environmental Performance: 1. Public Awareness 2. Investment in Technology and Infrastructure 3. Operational Improvement 4. Market Based Solutions 5. Voluntary Approach to Reducing GHG Emissions Off-road Gasoline 4% Other Light-duty 2% Diesel Vehicles 1% Domestic Marine 3% Off-road Diesel 13% Heavy-duty Gasoline Vehicles 3% Gasoline Automobile 21% Rail 3% Domestic Aviation 4% Source: Environment Canada GHG Emissions in Canada Pipelines 5% Light Gasoline Trucks 23% Heavy-duty Diesel Vehicles 20% Railways move 75% of all freight on a tonne-kilometer basis, but only account 3% of transportation GHGs Bottom Line: Rail is well positioned to play a leading role in the reduction of GHGs
14 4. Public Policy Agenda-Equity Issues 14 Federal Rail Service Review: Part of Government s two-pronged approach to address concerns raised about railway rates and service Bill C-8 and a review of railway service Review will examine full logistics cycle, interaction between logistics players (shippers, railways, terminal operators, vessel operators), for broad range of commodities carried by rail, across all regions of Canada, range of shippers by size To identify challenges and issues regarding such service To identify best practices and how they can be expanded to address service issues To make recommendations on how to address challenges and issues (preferably commercial solutions) Review to consist of two phases 1. Analytical phase to build data/information base for second phase 2. Recommendations phase Develop and consult on proposed recommendations Bottom Line: The Service Review will allow for a fact based approach to identifying and resolving railway service concerns
15 Jan-07 Mar-07 May-07 Jul-07 Sep-07 Nov-07 Jan-08 Mar-08 May-08 Jul-08 Sep-08 Nov-08 Jan-09 Mar-09 May-09 Jul-09 Sep-09 Nov-09 Jan-10 Mar Public Policy Agenda-Equity Issues 15 Grain: Grain traffic has performed relatively well as compared to other commodity group, largely unaffected by the recession Railways provide grain shippers with a cost effect and reliable system to carry their products to market and point of export. Railways continually work with shippers to address and resolve service concerns. 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 - Grain - Carloads Originated (CN & CP) Source: CN & CP Bottom Line: Policies and regulations must provide adequate incentives to allow railways to continue to invest in the grain handling system.
16 Accidents per million train miles 4. Public Policy Agenda-Safety million passengers handled safely in numbers: accidents/million train miles are 11% below the 5 year average Major capital investments: technologies, fleet, new ties, track, lights, signage New employees & safety/job training programs Proactive monitoring/maintenance (SMS) Standards, enforcement (e.g. Dangerous Goods, car loading) Focused and effective public safety programs: Operation Lifesaver RAC frequently meets with TC to discuss safety issues; Active participants in the Railway Safety Act review Source: FRA & TSB Federal Railroad Administration Train Accident Ratio Canadian Class 1 Average US Class 1 Average Bottom Line: Canadian railways lead the North American industry in safety
17 5. Investment Opportunities 17 Freight : Trade gateways and corridors Asian-Pacific Gateway Emerging Ontario-Quebec Trade Gateway and Corridor and the Atlantic Gateway Capacity development to meet future market demand Passenger: B.C. lower mainland Ontario/Quebec corridor Commuter rail/urban transit Billions of dollars have been committed by federal, provincial and municipal governments to expand capacity commuter rail and urban transit capacity High Speed Rail (HSR) Governments must account for the full range of economic and social benefits attributed to the development and operations of a HSR system Governments must be open to various financing and operating options Bottom Line: The rail industry is in a period of renewal
18 6. Going Forward 18 Industry Goal: Attract a greater share of North American freight traffic through the development of the world s safest and most productive railway system Government Instruments needed to achieve this goal: Positive investment climate Taxation Risk based flexible regulation Research and development technology operating practices infrastructure Market driven policies carbon pricing? CTA regulations Infrastructure investment, opportunities for private and public investment
19 7. Conclusion 19 Canada s railways are global leaders in terms of safety and productivity Railways have managed the economic downturn and are well positioned to increase capacity when traffic levels increase The industry is increasing investment and are well positioned to capture an increased share in North American freight traffic We in a period of regulatory stability Federal investments through Gateway and Trade Corridors initiatives are aligned with economic and trade priorities for the industry The RAC will continue to engage governments to ensure the optimal policy balance for taxation, regulation, and investment climate for Canada s railways
20 20
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