Developing Infrastructure and Operating Models for Intermodal Shift - DIOMIS Intermodal Rail/Road Transport In Europe 2007
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1 Developing Infrastructure and Operating Models for Intermodal Shift - DIOMIS Intermodal Rail/Road Transport In Europe 2007 Geneva 12&13 October 2009
2 Main objectives To deliver evidence of the importance of the intermodal industry in Europe to economic and political stakeholders: Only what you can count has relevance To provide market data for the intermodal industry itself to be used for internal and political purposes To establish a time series on the evolution of the intermodal industry (2 nd edition after the pioneering 2005 report)
3 Schedule of presentation Intermodal market data 2007 Intermodal traffic 2007 Outlook for intermodal traffic 2008/2009
4 Intermodal market data
5 Countries covered by 2007 survey NO FI SE EE RU IE UK DK RU LT LV BY NL PL BE DE LU CZ UA SK FR CH AT HU MD SL HR RO PT ES IT BA CS BG MK AL GR TR
6 Intermodal market data 2007 Providers of unaccompanied intermodal services Min. 105 intermodal service providers Generalist (classical) intermodal operators: ca. 40% Railway undertakings in operator role: ca. 30% Logistic service providers in operator role: ca. 30% Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007, Paris 2009
7 Intermodal market data 2007 Revenues from intermodal rail/road services Intermodal revenues bn database: number of CT operators recorded: 55 Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007, Paris 2009
8 Intermodal market data 2007 Employment in intermodal rail/road industry Staff with Reported figures Number of employees Estimated additional Total Intermodal service providers 6,143 2,891 9,034 Train operating companies 660 6,554 7,214 Infrastructure managers - 15,634 15,634 Total 6,803 25,079 31,882 Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007, Paris 2009
9 Intermodal traffic 2007
10 Intermodal traffic 2007 Unaccompanied intermodal traffic: goods shipped Million gross tonnes Total: 172.1m tonnes Domestic services International services Container hinterland services Continental services Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007
11 Intermodal traffic 2007 Unaccompanied intermodal traffic: TEU carried Million TEU ,9 7,2 Total: 17.1m TEU Domestic services International services Container hinterland services Continental services Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007
12 Intermodal traffic 2007 Importance of international freight (according to TEU) Total international (42.2%) Domestic continental (19.6%) Domestic container hinterland (38.2%) Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007
13 Intermodal traffic 2007 Domestic unaccompanied traffic by country 2007 (in TEU) Other countries Czech Republic Finland Portugal Netherlands Switzerland Poland Romania Spain Norway Sweden Austria France Belgium 227,500 76,000 92, , , , , , , , , , , ,000 United kingdom 1,272,000 Italy 1,575,000 Germany 2,732, ,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000 Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007
14 Intermodal traffic 2007 Intermodal rail/road traffic : TEU carried Intermodal market segment Traffic volume (million TEU) 2007/2005 % change Domestic services % International services % Total volume % Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007
15 Intermodal traffic 2007 Accompanied intermodal rail/road traffic 2007 Market segment Gross tonnes Shipments (n of trucks) TEU Domestic services 4,592, , ,373 International services 9,018, , ,654 Total services 13,610, , ,027 Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007
16 Intermodal traffic 2007 Total intermodal rail/road traffic 2007: TEU carried Intermodal market segment Unaccompanied traffic TEU Accompanied traffic Total intermodal traffic Domestic services 9,893, ,373 10,190,939 International services 7,219, ,654 7,876,908 Total intermodal services 17,112, ,027 18,067,847 Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007
17 Intermodal traffic 2007 Total intermodal rail/road traffic : TEU carried Intermodal market segment Traffic volume (million TEU) 2007/2005 % change Domestic services % International services % Total services % Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007
18 Intermodal traffic 2007 Major international intermodal trade lanes involving CEE countries: 2007 Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007
19 Outlook for intermodal traffic 2008/2009
20 Outlook for intermodal traffic 2008/2009 Forecast unaccompanied intermodal traffic: (mill tonnes) /2007: + 7.6% 2009/2008: % Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007 ; 47 companies
21 % 2015/2005 projected by DIOMIS Agenda 2015 (January 2008) DIOMIS: Projected evolutions of CT volumes ,59 258,50 206, Millions Tons ,35 +36,5% achieved in 2007/2005!! 172,16 +3% 2008/2007, including the impact of the recession starting in the Summer ,32-20% in 2009, estimate of the overall impact on CT of the recession through ,86 Revised forecast based on the assumption of a recovery starting end 2010 and a return to the structural growth rate of CT from 2011 (+7,8% p.a. domestic CT, +8,4% international CT) The initial forecast of Agenda 2015 w ill be reached during the first half of 2019, instead of end 2015 But, well before that time, capacity shortages will have appeared on the network, the terminals and in the wagon field : DIOMIS Situation Report : DIOMIS Situation Report 2007 Estimate 2008 Forecast : Forecast Agenda 2015 (January 2008) 2015: Revised forecast (Impact of the recession!) 2018
22 Rail network load 2015 (all ongoing & planned investments implemented) N of trains per day and direction on a double tracked electrified line > < 120 Rate of employment > 100 % % % < 70 %
23 THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION Sandra Gehenot
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