Transport Domain Plan. Draft list of Enduring Questions

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1 Transport Domain Plan Draft list of Engagement Draft v1.0 August 2014

2 Introduction The Transport Domain Plan is jointly led by Statistics NZ and the Ministry of Transport. It is a project that will identify the actions that need to be taken now to ensure that information and statistics collected about the transport system are high quality and allow government to make evidence based policy, strategy and decisions into the future. This will be achieved through a process that defines the demand for information, measures the supply of information, assesses where any gaps or shortfalls exist between the supply of and demand for information, and recommends initiatives to address these gaps. The first step in this process defining the demand for information is currently underway. To achieve this, the project will be developing a set of enduring questions that exist in relation to transport. These enduring questions will capture and reflect the knowledge that government needs in order to make evidence based policy now and into the future. What is an 'enduring question'? Enduring questions are the big picture strategic level questions that government will need to answer in order to make policy, strategy and decisions about transport into the future. They are important because if we cannot answer them with high quality information it limits our ability to make evidence based policy, strategy and decisions. What function do the enduring questions serve? The purpose of developing enduring questions is not simply to answer them. Rather, it is firstly to provide a framework for specifying government's knowledge needs in relation to transport. Secondly it is to enable an assessment about how well existing data and information would allow us to answer them, and in doing so to highlight where knowledge gaps may exist. Put differently, the function of the enduring questions is to capture and define government's demand for information. This is important because it provides a structure for organising the subsequent stocktake (which represents the supply of information) and gap analysis stages of the project. Structure of The enduring questions will be grouped under the transport sector s long term outcomes: effective, efficient, safe and responsible, and resilient. Each enduring question will be broadly phrased and encompass a wide range of elements. To 'unpack' the critical elements of each enduring question a set of 'supplementary enduring questions' will be developed, with annotations being used to explain points of detail, as well as any specific inclusions or exclusions.

3 Process for developing The enduring questions will not be finalised until the end of 2014.However a draft list of proposed enduring questions is provided in this document. This list is designed as a starting point for discussion with transport sector stakeholders. It was developed through discussions with the project advisory group, and the Ministry of Transport policy teams. It will be iteratively refined through discussions with other stakeholders to produce a final list by the end of A summary of that process is provided here: 1. Working session with project Advisory Group to develop a first draft set of enduring questions 2. Draft list tested with Crown Agency partners and Ministry policy teams 3. Draft list circulated to wider project stakeholders to ensure it reflects their knowledge needs 4. A set of modal (land, sea, air) working sessions will be held to ensure any modal specific needs are identified 5. A workshop will be held in Wellington bringing all modes together to discuss the enduring questions 6. Stakeholders will have the opportunity to provide comment on the final draft list of enduring questions 7. Feedback will be incorporated into the list and a final draft prepared for submission to the governance group for final approval

4 Topic 1. Effective Transport 1. How are people and freight travelling to, from and around New Zealand, and how integrated is the transport network 1? 2. How does transport contribute to economic prosperity and social participation 2? A. What is the demand 3 for transport, and how is this changing demographically 4, spatially, temporally and modally? B. What is the size, quality, age location and composition of the domestic 5 and overseas 6 fleet 7, how is it being used 8, what is its energy use profile 9 and how are these things changing over time? C. Where are the main strategic corridors and supply chains to, from and within New Zealand, and what contribution do they make to moving people and freight? D. Who experiences congestion, and how is it changing spatially and temporally? E. What contribution does transport make to GDP 10, and how is this changing over time? F. To what extent do individuals and households travel, for what purposes, and how is this changing over time? G. How accessible 11 is transport, who experiences barriers to access, what are these barriers and how are they changing spatially and temporally? H. What is being done to promote effective transport? 1. Integration includes the ability to seamlessly transition between different modes of transport, and also includes the connectedness to other domestic and international destinations. 2. Social Participation includes travel for purposes of health, education, work, and domestic purposes. It excludes transport that is undertaken solely for recreational purposes (such as track racing, mountain biking, or running) unless the recreational transport is regulated in some way (such as recreational flying). 3. Demand includes demand from freight and person travel. It excludes demand from vehicles (which is captured under fleet). 4. Demographic demand for transport includes assessment of different age groups, geographic locations, ethnicities, income levels and other demographic features of person travel. It excludes freight. 5. The domestic fleet refers to the fleet that is located or based in New Zealand (ie, all land based vehicles, plus New Zealand based boats, ships and aircraft which may travel overseas from time to time). 6. The overseas fleet includes vehicles such as container ships, boats and aircraft that are based out of New Zealand, but which we rely on to transport people and freight to or from New Zealand to overseas markets and destinations. 7. The fleet includes vehicles from all modes (land, sea, air). It also includes vehicles that transport people and freight to and from New Zealand, but which are not necessarily based in New Zealand (eg, overseas based container ships and aircraft) 8. Utilisation of the national fleet includes the purposes for which it is being used (eg, freight vs passengers) by mode, as well as the distance travelled by each modal fleet (eg VKT). 9. Energy use from all sources, including fossil fuels and renewable sources. 10. Transport s contribution to GDP covers transport as a tradable service, transport as an enabler of other economic activity (including imports/exports), and the contribution to GDP arising from capital and operational expenditure on the transport network (including employment). 11. Accessibility includes, but is not limited to affordability, and physical access to transport services that meet the needs of different population groups (eg, by ethnicity, disability, income). It includes access to transport for both person travel and freight purposes.

5 Topic 2 Efficient Transport 1. What transport infrastructure and services are available to New Zealanders, at what cost, and how efficiently? 2. How open are transport markets to competition? A. How extensive 1 is the New Zealand transport infrastructure 2, what is its capacity 3, location, and condition 4, and how is this changing spatially and temporally? B. What are the costs of using 5 and providing 6 infrastructure, how are these met 7, and how are they changing over time? C. How much revenue does the transport system generate, what are its sources 8, how is it used 9, and how are revenue streams changing over time? D. What workforce 10 is required to deliver transport services to, from and within New Zealand, and how is this changing spatially and temporally? E. Who operates transport services to, from and within New Zealand, and how competitively 11 are these services provided? F. What is being done to promote efficient transport infrastructure and competitive provision of transport services? 1. Includes network kilometres, per mode 2. Including but not limited to roads, bridges, state highways, airports, rail tracks, sea ports. 3. Capacity is the number of vehicles/passengers a given type of infrastructure is designed to accommodate. It includes peak capacity and average capacity. 4. Condition includes age and physical condition (eg whether roads are sealed or not). 5. Refers to the cost to the user 6. Cost of providing refers to the capital cost of building infrastructure, and the operational cost of maintaining it. 7. Covers the funding split between central and local government. 8. Covers revenue from all sources, including but not limited to, fees, charges, fines, tolls, excise duty. 9. Includes the purposes for which revenue is used, and the method in which it is used (eg hypothecation) 10. Includes the workforce FTE required to run the transport system, by mode. Includes, but is not limited to numbers of vehicles operators, network operators, regulators, enforcement agents. 11. Includes market structure, existence of (natural) monopolies, oligopolies and other anti-competitive practices, in each mode of transport.

6 Topic 3 Safe and Responsible Transport 1. What are the levels and types of harms caused by the transport system? A. How does transport impact on human health 1 and how is this changing over time? B. How does transport impact on the environment 2 and how is this changing over time? C. How physically safe 3 is transport, and how is this changing over time? D. What are the sources 4 of harms from transport, and how are these changing over time? E. How effectively do regulations reduce harms from transport? F. What is the economic cost of harms from transport 5, and how is this changing over time? G. What is the relationship between Maori and Transport 6, and how is this changing over time? H. How effectively does transport protect and promote wellbeings 7? I. What is being done to mitigate harms from transport, and how effective is this? 1. Impact on human health refers to long term and chronic health condition, excluding injury. 2. Impact on the environment includes the impact from emissions (such as greenhouse gasses, particles, noise) and the impact from spills (such as fuels) and other impacts (eg, tyre run off). 3. Covers how safe it is to use transport, and includes impact on personal safety of transport related accidents, incidents, fatalities, etc. 4. Includes risks from behaviours, vehicle quality, network quality, operators. 5. The economic cost of harms includes the economic impact of harms to human health, the environment, injury, and costs associated with transport related accidents, injuries and deaths. 6. Includes the extent to which transport impacts on traditional Maori customs or practices, from a Maori perspective. May include such things as the impact of transport on mahinga kai, whenua tapu, and Maori aspirations, land use etc. 7. The four wellbeings included in the Resource Management Act are cultural wellbeing, economic wellbeing, social wellbeing and environmental wellbeing.

7 Topic 4 Resilient Transport 1. How well prepared is the transport system to meet future needs? 2. How well does the transport system endure shocks 4? A. How are the needs of transport users forecast to change 1 in the future? B. What role will technology play in changing trends? C. What international conventions 2 is New Zealand party to, what obligations 3 do these generate for the transport system and how effectively are these obligations met? D. What are the main sources of shocks 4 that affect the transport system? E. What is the frequency and impact of shocks on the transport system, and how is this changing over time? F. What is being done to mitigate shocks and ensure the transport system meets future needs? 1. Includes economic, social and environmental modelling on future needs. 2. Covers membership of international regulatory bodies (eg, International Civil Aviation Organisation), and safety/security agreements (eg, as part of air service agreements). 3. Includes obligations to meet safety standards, and obligations to report data. 4. Shocks include, but are not limited to, oil spikes, weather events, acts of terrorism/war

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