SWOT Analysis of Commodity Flow Datasets

Transcription

1 SWOT Analysis of Commodity Flow Datasets prepared for FDOT Transportation Statistics Office prepared by RS&H, Inc. 5/6/2015

2 Background Many users work with commodity flow data Modelers GIS analysts Policy makers Planners Academia, researchers There are two major datasets for commodity flow analysis: FHWA s Freight Analysis Framework (FAF) IHS Global Insight s TRANSEARCH The datasets provide similar information, but are different in many ways

3 Commodity Flow Data Basic Information Volume of goods moving between origins and destinations Source: IHS TRANSEARCH TRAINING: Statewide Transearch & Freight Data Workshop. Delivered by IHS, Inc. staff. May 14, 2014.

4 Analysis Examples TRANSEARCH Tonnages destined to each Florida County FAF Long Haul Truck Traffic Source: Overview of Efforts for Transearch Review. BCC Engineering for Transportation Statistics Office, October Source: USDOT FHWA Office of Freight Management and Operations.

5 Project Objectives Provide an understanding of the two major commodity flow datasets: FHWA s Freight Analysis Framework (FAF) Free Fairly high level of detail Contains information for all states IHS Global Insight s TRANSEARCH Proprietary FDOT purchased customized 2011 version Detailed Focuses on information specific to Florida Describe each dataset: How each was developed How they differ How to use Focus on the user perspective

6 A SWOT Approach Strengths & Weaknesses Examples: Geographic coverage, commodity types Opportunities: How the data can help answer policy, planning and other questions Tell the freight story Support economic development Threats: The potential for problems in analysis or interpretation of the data (for example: user doesn t understand limitations of the data)

7 Tasks Task 1: Review existing documents How the datasets were developed QA/QC checks of the data Existing training and tech support options Task 2: SWOT Analysis Task 3: Training Recommendations

8 Status Update & Initial Findings Status Task 1 (Review existing documents): In progress Key documents reviewed: The Freight Analysis Framework Version 3 (FAF3): A Description of the FAF3 Regional Database And How It Is Constructed. Prepared for the Federal Highway Administration. Prepared by Oak Ridge National Laboratory. June 16, Transearch 2011 Modeling Methodology Documentation. Prepared for Florida DOT. Prepared by IHS, Inc. February 28, IHS TRANSEARCH TRAINING: Statewide Transearch & Freight Data Workshop. Delivered by IHS, Inc. staff. May 14, IHS Global TranSearch: Data Review and Analysis. Prepared for the Florida Department of Transportation Systems Planning Office. Prepared by BCC Engineering, Inc. September Documented dataset construction processes

9 The Data Construction Process: Underlying Data Sources The primary sources of commodity flow information are: 1. Studies of companies that ship commodities 2. Surveys of carriers, or companies that transport shipments 3. Information that is reported through regulatory processes, such as Customs data Data source 1 (studies of company) is the basis of each dataset Main source for FAF: a survey of companies (the Commodity Flow Survey) Main source for TRANSEARCH: county level economic models

10 Industry Sectors 2012 NAICS Code Major Producer of Commodities? 2012 NAICS US Title 11 Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting Yes 21 Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction Yes 22 Utilities No 23 Construction Moderate Manufacturing Yes 42 Wholesale Trade Yes Retail Trade Moderate Transportation and Warehousing No 51 Information No 52 Finance and Insurance No 53 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing No 54 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services No 55 Management of Companies and Enterprises No 56 Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services No 61 Educational Services No 62 Health Care and Social Assistance No 71 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation No 72 Accommodation and Food Services No 81 Other Services (except Public Administration) No 92 Public Administration No

11 Commodity Flow Survey Trade Area Establishments % of Establishments in Sampling Frame Mining 6,789 1% Manufacturing 327,826 43% Wholesale 356,477 47% Retail 25,190 3% Services 22,539 3% Auxiliaries 14,878 2% Total Universe 753, % Sample 102,369 14%

12 The Wholesale Industry: Illustration Engine Parts Manufacturer Engine Parts Manufacturer Engine Parts Manufacturer The Wholesaler sells the goods to various Automobile Manufacturers The Engine Parts Manufacturers do not know the final destinations The Engine Parts Manufacturers send goods to a Wholesale broker / distributor. Auto Parts Wholesaler Auto Parts Wholesaler Auto Manufacturer Auto Manufacturer Auto Manufacturer Auto Manufacturer

13 The Carrier/3PL Industry: Illustration Auto Parts Manufacturer An Engine Parts Manufacturer sells goods to an Automobile Manufacturer. Auto Manufacturer Distribution Center The transportation and logistics are arranged by carriers/3 rd party logistics (3PL) firms

14 CFS: In-Scope / Out-of-Scope CFS survey about 1 in 7 business from the inscope industries About 32% of all U.S. tonnage is shipped by outof scope (OOS) industries Crude petroleum and natural gas Farm based, fisheries, logging Construction, retail, services, municipal solid waste, moving (household and business) Imports and Exports

15 TRANSEARCH Data Development Basis: IHS Global Insight Economics Business Market Insights (BMI) database Economic models Estimate outputs by industry and commodity County level O D Patterns Established Using: STB Waybill Army Corps Waterborne BTS T 100 airborne flows Proprietary Motor Carrier Data Exchange program data

16 TRANSEARCH Out-of-Scope Included in TRANSEARCH: Secondary shipments (from warehouses/dcs) Agricultural products and livestock Coal and automobiles Chemicals Minerals Empty trucks Imports/exports Not included: Forest and fishery products Household goods Waste and scrap

17 Data Sources: A Comparison Source FAF TRANSEARCH Primary Source: CFS BMI Models Other Sources General: County Business Patterns Census Sales Data Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) Input Output Make and Use Table Vehicle Inventory and Use Survey (Statistics Only) CFS (Statistics Only) n/a Supplemental Commodity Information USDA (US Dept. of Agriculture) NOAA Fisheries of the United States Report Shifts in Petroleum Transportation (Association of Oil Pipelines) US Dept. of Energy Energy Information Administration (EIA) Cambridge Energy Research Associates Electric Plant Statistics and Forecasts IHS Agriculture, Chemical Plant, and Automotive Plant Statistics U.S. Geological Survey Mode Specific Data: U.S Army Corps of Engineers Waterborne Commerce Surface Transportation Board s Railcar Waybill Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS) Office of Airline Information: T 100 Data Import Export Supplements: US Census Bureau s Foreign Trade Database (FTD) Port Import Export Reporting Service (PIERS) Import/Export Database BTS TransBorder Freight Database Motor Carrier Data Exchange program Mexico Economic Census (Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía) Mexican Secretaría de Comunicaciones y Transportes

18 Next Steps Complete review of existing documentation Compare the datasets (SWOT analysis) Develop recommendations for user training Schedule: Complete by early to mid summer

19 Thank you! Monique Stinson (312) Thomas Hill (850) Rob Palmer (904)