Igor Sechin Chairman of the Management Board OJSC Rosneft Vladivostok, 3-5 September 2015 ASIA-PACIFIC ENERGY MARKETS AND ROSNEFT POTENTIAL
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1 Igor Sechin Chairman of the Management Board OJSC Rosneft Vladivostok, 3-5 September 2015 ASIA-PACIFIC ENERGY MARKETS AND ROSNEFT POTENTIAL
2 IMPORTANT NOTICE 2 The information contained in this presentation was prepared by the Company. Conclusions made herein are based on the information collected as of the moment of the material preparation and may be changed without further notice. The Company relies on the information obtained from sources considered to be reliable; nevertheless, it does not warrant the accuracy or completion thereof. Such materials contain statements as to future events and explanations which may be considered as a forecast of such events. Any statements made in these materials not being factual findings shall be deemed to be forward-looking statements associated with known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors due to which our actual results, outcomes and achievements may significantly differ from any future results, outcomes and achievements reported in or assumed by such forward-looking statements. We do not assume any obligations as to updating any forward-looking statements contained herein so that they could reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or in factors affecting such statements. This presentation is not an offer to sell or encouragement to subscribe or buy any securities. It is understood that neither provision of this report / presentation underlies any contract or obligation of any kind. The information contained herein shall not be considered, for any purposes, to be complete, accurate or unprejudiced. The information contained herein is subject to verification, completion or change. The content of this presentation has not be verified. Accordingly, we have not and will not make, on behalf of the Company, its shareholders, directors, officials or employees or other persons, any representations or warranties, expressly indicated or implied, with regard to accuracy, completeness, or objectivity of the information or conclusions contained herein. None of the directors of the Company, its shareholders, officials, employees, or any other persons assume any liability for any losses of any kind which may be incurred as a result of the use of such presentation or content hereof or otherwise in connection with this presentation.
3 ASIA-PACIFIC IN GLOBAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AND ENERGY CONSUMPTION 3 GDP growth in OECD, Asia-Pacific and the world Primary energy consumption in Asia-Pacific, EU and the US 12% 8% 4% bln TOE Asia- АТР ЕС США US EU Pacific 0% -4% -8% Мир World Развитые OECD страны Asia-Pacific АТР In , the annual average growth of Asia-Pacific economies reached 5.0%, exceeding the same OECD indicator by almost 2.5- fold. China and India demonstrated the most impressive dynamics. Asia-Pacific contribution to global GDP reached almost 40%. High Asia-Pacific primary energy consumption is mainly driven by accelerated industrialization, deployment of energy-intensive technologies and building modern infrastructure. Sources: World Bank, IEA, Rosneft
4 ENERGY SHORTAGE IN ASIA-PACIFIC 4 Crude oil production and consumption in Asia- Pacific (excluding Russia) Natural gas production and consumption in Asia- Pacific (excluding Russia) mln t % mln TOE % Потребление Production Производство Consumption Потребление Production Производство Consumption Самообеспеченность Self-sufficiency in crude нефтью oil (right scale) (правая шкала) Самообеспеченность Self-sufficiency in gas (right газом scale) (правая шкала) In the middle of the 90s, Asia-Pacific own crude output (excl. Russia) accounted for 50% of the regional oil consumption. In 2014, its share reduced to 32%, and, according to Company forecasts, will drop further to 21% by In 2014, Asia-Pacific own gas supplies accounted for 72% of the regional gas consumption. According to Rosneft forecast, gas consumption in Asia- Pacific will grow to mln toe by 2030, with imported gas accounting for over 40% of the supply. Source: World Bank, IEA, Rosneft
5 RUSSIAN OIL - AN OPTIMAL SOURCE OF ENERGY SUPPLY FOR ASIA-PACIFIC 5
6 TOP 10 COUNTRIES IN TERMS OF GAS AND OIL RESERVES 6 TOP 10 COUNTRIES IN TERMS OF GAS RESERVES, TLN CUB. M TOP 10 COUNTRIES IN TERMS OF CRUDE OIL RESERVES, BLN BBL * incl. shale gas ** incl. 4.5 trln cub. m of shale gas * incl. 257 bln bbl of extra heavy crude oil ** incl. 170 bln bbl of bitumen *** incl. 10 bln bbl of shale oil Sources: BP Statistical Review 2015, EIA, Ministry of Natural Resources, Zarubezhgeologia, USGS, Rosneft
7 Chayadinskoe Чаяндинское Ковыктинское Kovyktinskoe Ванкор Vankor Messoyakhskoe Мессояхское Юрубчено Тохомское Среднебо туобинское Сузуньское и Тагульское Yurubcheno- Tokhomskoe Srednebotuob. Suzunskoe and Tagulskoe Verkhnechonskoe Верхнечонское Сахалин-1 Sakhalin-1 Сахалин-2 Sakhalin-2 Wheatstone LNG Queensland LNG APLNG Gladstone LNG Arrow LNG Evans Shoal Pluto LNG 1 Greater Sunrise Tangguh LNG Sanga Sanga Puguang D6 MBA SHWE Vietnam Gas Chayadinskoe Чаяндинское Ковыктинское Kovyktinskoe Ванкор Vankor Messoyakhskoe Мессояхское Юрубчено Тохомское Среднебо туобинское Сузуньское и Тагульское Yurubcheno- Tokhomskoe Srednebotuob. Suzunskoe and Tagulskoe Verkhnechonskoe Верхнечонское Сахалин-1 Sakhalin-1 Сахалин-2 Sakhalin-2 Wheatstone LNG Queensland LNG APLNG Gladstone LNG Arrow LNG Evans Shoal Pluto LNG 1 Greater Sunrise Tangguh LNG Sanga Sanga Puguang D6 MBA SHWE Vietnam Gas UPSTREAM PROJECTS IN EAST SIBERIA ARE COMPETITIVE VS. OTHER PROJECTS IN ASIA-PACIFIC 7 PROFIT / CAPITAL EXPENDITURES RATIO 2,5 2,0 1,5 1,0 0,5 0, средняя average 2012 средняя average 2015 Россия Russia Австралия Australia Индонезия Indonesia Китай Индия India Мья Вье Vietnam China нма тнам Myanmar INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% средняя average 2012 средняя average 2015 Россия Австралия Индонезия Китай Индия Мья Вье Russia Australia Indonesia India Vietnam нма тнам China Myanmar Source: Institute of Economics and Finance (IEF), Goldman Sachs
8 RUSSIAN OIL INDUSTRY POTENTIAL (INCL. SHELF) ALLOWS TO SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASE PRODUCTION 8 mln tons млн mln тнэ toe Потенциал Offshore production шельфовой potential добычи Потенциал Industry 1 production добычи отрасли potential без excl. учета offshore шельфа Базовый Production прогноз forecast добычи base case (ЭС-2035*) (Energy Strategy-2035*) (факт) By 2035 crude oil production in Russia might reach 600 mln tons, even excluding offshore projects, and almost 800 mln tons, if optimistic forecasts about offshore output potential are taken into account. Note: *Russian Energy Strategy till 2035 ** according to the Company Development Strategy till 2030 Source: Rosneft
9 RUSSIA MAJOR GLOBAL HYDROCARBON PRODUCTION CENTRE LAUNCHING SUZUN AND VOSTOCHNO- MESSOYAKHSKOYE TAAS-YURYAKH (2 ND STAGE), YURUBCHENO-TOKHOMSKOYE, RUSSKOYE, TAGULSKOYE, LODOCHNOYE EASTERN FIELDS REACHING PRODUCTION OF 40 MLN TONS Suzun Production 4.5 mmtpa Moscow Vankor Production 22.0 mmtpa Russkoye Suzun Tagulskoye Vankor Lodochnoye Tagulskoye Production 4.8 mmtpa Kyumbinskoye Lodochnoye Production 2.0 mmtpa Kyumbinskoye Production 3.0 mmtpa (50% Rosneft share) Northern tip of Chaivo Yurubcheno-Tokhomskoye Taas-Yuryakh Yurubcheno-Tokhomskoye Production 5.0 mmtpa Verkhnechonskoye Production 7.7 mmtpa Verkhnechonskoye Taas-Yuryakh (Srednebotuobinskoye) 2 nd stage Production 4.2 mmtpa VladIvostok Cooperation opportunities: bringing financial and technology partners to implement major projects Taas-Yurakh, Yurubcheno-Tokhomskoye, Vankor cluster *Production at plateau **Onshore projects Source: Rosneft
10 ROSNEFT GAS BUSINESS POTENTIAL IN EASTERN RUSSIA 10 ONSHORE GAS IN EASTERN RUSSIA >1 trln cub. m of gas reserves and c. 0.8 trln cub. m of gas resources Ongoing large-scale exploration program 6 fields discovered in 3 years Gas reserves monetization is a strong catalyst for the regional development 181 Company s reserves in the region (С 1 +С 2 ) trln cub. m 641 Юг South Красноярского of the Krasnoyarsk края region Иркутская Irkutsk region обл. Респ. Republic Саха-Якутия of Sakha-Yakutiya Сахалинская Sakhalin region обл. (incl. shelf) (включая шельф) Доля Sakhalin-1 в Сахалине-1 share (20%) (20%) SAKHALIN GAS - FAR EAST LNG (100%) Project reserve base 0.6 trln cub. m of Rosneft and Sakhalin-1 gas Intensive exploration works on the Okhotsk Sea offshore licenses granted by the government LNG plant and infrastructure planned capacity is 5 mmtpa with potential expansion to 10 mmtpa Commissioning is scheduled post 2020 The project drives infrastructure building and new jobs creation Kuyumbinskoye Yurubcheno- Tokhomskoye Lisovskiy Sanarskoye Exploration areas near Sobinskoye Agaleyevskoye Map of key Company assets in the region Danilovskoiye Bratskoye Иркутск Savostyanova Verkhnechonskoye Chayandinskoye Kovyktinskoye Srednebotuobinskoye Nizhnejerbinskiy Srednebiryukskoiy Blagoveschensk Zabaikalsk
11 OFFSHORE EXPLORATION AND APPRAISAL IN THE FAR EAST 11 LICENSES FOR 26 OFFSHORE AREAS IN THE FAR EAST FEDERAL DISTRICT 19 areas are under exploration and appraisal 9 areas are being explored together with partners 9 areas are open for potential cooperation AGGREGATE RECOVERABLE RESERVES, ROSNEFT SHARE: oil+ condensate mln tons gas 183 bln cub. m AGGREGATE AREA POTENTIAL: (DeGolyer & MacNaughton and Rosneft estimate) oil+condensate 10.7 bln tons gas - 10 trln cub. m 2014 RESULTS: Aero-gravity-magnetic survey 155 thous. km 2D seismic survey 14.3 thous. km Electric prospecting km 3D seismic survey sq. km Drilling 1 exploration well OFFSHORE EXPLORATION INVESTMENT IN THE FAR EAST FEDERAL DISTRICT: bln RUB 2015E 13.7 bln RUB E bln RUB
12 CREATION OF NEW INDUSTRIAL CLUSTER BASED ON SHIP-BUILDING COMPLEX ZVEZDA 12 Construction of an integrated ship-building complex located in the Bolshoy Kamen and Pyatj Okhotnikov bays I construction stage in the Bolshoy Kamen bay Medium shipbuilding site II construction stage in the Bolshoy Kamen bay III construction stage in the Pyatj Okhotnikov bay Ultra-large shipbuilding site Offshore shipbuilding site Project cost: bln RUB Main customers of vessels and marine equipment: local oil and gas companies and Russian maritime shipping companies, incl. Rosneft, Gazprom, Sovkomflot, NOVATEK, etc. Planned workplaces ~ jobs Bolshoy Kamen bay Pyatj Okhotnikov bay ROSNEFT DEMAND FOR DRILLING RIGS AND SUPPORT VESSELS FOR EXPLORATION DRILLING Support vessels ROSNEFT DEMAND FOR SEISMIC SURVEY AND SUPPORT VESSELS Semi-submersible floating drilling rigs Jackup drilling rigs Support vessels 3D seismic vessels 2D seismic vessels
13 DEVELOPING INTEGRATED PETROCHEMICAL BUSINESS IN EASTERN RUSSIA 13 Developing modern petrochemical clusters. Investments into existent refining assets upgrades ~315* bln RUB Rosneft priority supplying regional markets with quality motor fuel and entering Asia-Pacific markets with high value-adding products Angarsk polymers plant Petrochemicals (olefins): 0.7 mln tons Investment: 52 bln RUB Upgrade completion: post 2020 Angarsk petrochemicals company Refining volume: 10.4 mln tons Investment: 84 bln RUB Upgrade completion: 2017 Light yields: 65% Achinsk refinery Refining volume: 6.9 mln tons Investment: 98 bln RUB Upgrade completion: 2017 Light yields: 88% Achinsk refinery Vostochnaya petrochemicals company (FEPCO) Refining volume: 12mln tons Construction completion: I stage in 2020, II stage in 2022 Conversion rate > 95% Petrochemicals (feedstock): 3.4 mln tons Krasnoyarsk Irkutsk Angarsk polymers plant Angarsk petrochemicals company Komsomolsk refinery Refining volume: 8.0 mln tons Investment: 78 bln RUB Upgrade completion: 2018 Light yields: 83% Khabarovsk Vladivostok Komsomolsk refinery Sakhalin LNG Vostochnyaya pertochemicals company * - based on historical costs and Company business plan for
14 FEPCO PROJECT MODERN REFINING AND PETROCHEMICAL COMPLEX 14 FEPCO is located near largest sales markets (Primorsk area >50% fuel demand of the Far East federal district; Asia-Pacific) I stage: refining 12 mmtpa II stage: petrochemicals 3.4 mmtpa MOTOR FUEL PRODUCTION: Russia I, II stages 8.5 mln tons Promising fields in East Siberia PETROCHEMICALS PRODUCTION: ESPO oil pipeline High quality motor fuels for the Company s retail network I, II stages 3.0 mln tons Mongolia FEPCO China South Korea Japan Project status preparing project documentation for the 1 st and 2 nd project stages, carrying out engineering surveys. Completion in 2016 Gasoil, jet fuel, polyethylene, polypropylene, etc.. Cooperation opportunities attracting an investor/ partner into the project
15 CONTACT INFORMATION , Moscow, Sofiyskaya emb., 26/1 Teleaphone: +7 (499) Fax: +7 (499)
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