GREEN LOGISTICS. The impact of vehicle technology and vehicle development

Transcription

1 GREEN LOGISTICS The impact of vehicle technology and vehicle development Sechste Deutsch-Chinesische Konferenz zur Umsetzung des Aktionsplans Grüne Logistik Berlin Hochschule Heilbronn Heilbronn University Verkehrspolitik und Verkehrswirtschaft 1

2 Pillars of Sustainability Planet Environmental a viable natural environment Social nurturing community co-evolution of natural and built environment sustainable development equitable social environment environmentfriendly economic development Economic Sufficient economy People Profit 2

3 Taking theory into action liveable cities better quality of life Social nurturing community co-evolution of natural and built environment social inclusion for economic prosperity Environmental a viable natural environment sustainable development equitable social market economy environmentfriendly economic development solid economic growth Economic Sufficient economy long-term environmental practices business practices with low impact 3

4 need for advanced vehicle technology Future trends in logistics increasing energy prices driver shortage autonomous driving lightweight engineering lower shipment weights 3-D-printing e- commerce & digitalisation decreasing importance of road transport lower medium shipment size probability of occurence 4

5 Estimated market growth in freight transport World p.a. + 8 % 200 bn. Asia-Pacific + 11 % 420 bn. EU + 5 % 28 % 40 % % % World p.a. + 4 % 720 bn. Asia-Pacific + 5 % bn. EU + 3 % Source: McKinsey&Co, 2016, Delivering Change, p 12 (adapted) 5

6 Actions for enhancing sustainability in a growing market vehicle technology forwarding infrastructure transport costs environment energy self driving (autonomous) vehicles sharing maintenance full-cost pricing internalization of external costs alternative fuels digitalisation co-modality expansion environmental taxes regional discrepancies lightweight engineering multimodal transport pricing obligations and prohibitions improving maritime transport production locations 6

7 Subsystems of new vehicle drive systems vehicle energy supply energy storage powertrain automatization energy supply supply infrastructure prices supplier market supply infrastructure power networks grid management power networks construction maintenance operations Source: Siemens, 2015 (adapted) 7

8 Different ways of energy supply vehicle energy supply on board external conventional fuels alternative fuels electric contactless conductive gasoline biofuels battery inductive conductor rails diesel gas (LNG/CNG) fuel cell catenary synthetic fuels (PtL) capacitor (UCAP) synthetic fuel gases (PtG) 8

9 Evaluation criteria for electric on board energy supply payload weight of batteries waiting times re-charging single tour distance unrealistic Source: Fraunhofer IAO & Hochschule Heilbronn, needed flexibility unplanned changes easy daily schedule total distance

10 Enhancing truck capacity (HCV) ,50 m % ,80 m % ,75 m % Source: adapted to BASt, ,25 m % 10

11 Enhancing truck capacity (LCV) 36 passenger cars are equivalent to 1 LCV 25,2 m 2 Source: Fraunhofer IAO,

12 Expectations for autonomous driving traffic flow road safety smart navigation adapted driving lowering emissions digital foresight route optimisation infrastrcture performance economc efficiency alternative use of working hours cost cutting higher availability 12

13 Trade Market Transport Market changes business models carrier freight forwarder providing sustainable services new business options future viability logistics service providers green warehousing etc. freight exchange services green brokerage vehicle manfacturers enhanced vehicle technology shipper (external) data provider demand for sustainable transport data as a service data-based sharing 13

14 A research methodology for green freight transport 1. sustainability 2. digitalisation 3. cooperation 4. co-modality 5. actions Source: Metastudie Güterverkehr, BMVI 2016, p

15 Thank you for listening! Verkehrspolitik und Verkehrswirtschaft HEILBRONN UNIVERSITY Max-Planck-Str Heilbronn Telefon: +49 (0) 7131 / tobias.bernecker@hs-heilbronn.de 15