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1 IOWA OCTOBER TOPLINES Area Code: Central/Polk Northeast Southeast Southwest Northwest ********************************************************************************************************************************** {INSERT QUOTAS} INTRO SECTION> Hello, my name is and I am conducting a survey for Suffolk University and I would like to get your opinions on some questions about the upcoming elections in Iowa. Would you be willing to spend five minutes answering some brief questions? (quota youngest in that household). Are you currently registered to vote? S1. Gender: Male Female S2. Thank You. How likely are you to vote in the general election for Governor and U.S. Senate very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not at all likely? Very Likely Somewhat Likely Are you currently enrolled as a Democrat, Republican, or No Party/Independent? Democratic Republican No Party/Independent What is your age category? YRS YRS YRS YRS YRS YRS OVER 75 YRS Refused Which of the following best describes your race or ethnicity? White/Caucasian African-American Asian American Indian Hispanic/ Latino Other Undecided Refused All Likely Iowa Voters 1 of 6 October 11-14, 2014
2 4. Thinking back to the 2012 election, did you vote for Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, someone else, or did you not vote in the presidential election? Barack Obama Mitt Romney Someone else Did not vote Undecided Refused {FOR 4.1} 5. Today, do you feel good about voting for Barack Obama or do you regret voting for Barack Obama? (N=245) n % Feel Good Regret Undecided Do you approve or disapprove of the job that Barack Obama is doing as president? Approve Disapprove Undecided Refused Great, I am going to read you a list of individuals in state and national politics. For each, please tell me if your opinion of them is generally favorable or generally unfavorable. If you are undecided or if you have never heard of someone, just tell me that. First take Barack Obama. Is your opinion of Barack Obama generally favorable or generally unfavorable? (RANDOMIZE 8-13) (N=500) NEVER HEARD FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE HOF/UNDECIDED 7. Barack Obama Hillary Clinton Tom Harkin Terry Branstad Bruce Braley Joni Ernst Jack Hatch All Likely Iowa Voters 2 of 6 October 11-14, 2014
3 14. There are six candidates for U.S. Senate listed on your ballot in the following order: Republican Joni Ernst, Democrat Bruce Braley, Bob Quast for Term Limits, Independent Rick Stewart, Libertarian Douglas Butzier, and Ruth Smith. At this point for whom will you vote or lean toward Ernst, Braley, Quast, Stewart, Butzier, or Smith? Republican Joni Ernst Democrat Bruce Braley Bob Quast for Term Limits Independent Rick Stewart Libertarian Douglas Butzier Ruth Smith Undecided Political ads try to define the character of candidates by virtue of the topics that come up in debates. (ROTATE 15 & 16) 15. Thinking about Bruce Braley. In a recent debate, Joni Ernst accused Bruce Braley of threatening to sue a neighbor over chickens that came onto his property. The matter between Braley and his neighbor was resolved out of court. Knowing this, would this make you more likely to vote for Braley, less likely to vote for Braley, or would it make no difference in your vote? More likely to vote Braley Less likely to vote Braley No difference Undecided Thinking about Joni Ernst. A recent ad accused Ernst of favoring the shutdown of the Department of Education and the Environmental Protection Agency. Knowing this, would this make you more likely to vote for Ernst, less likely to vote for Ernst, or would it make no difference in your vote? More likely to vote Ernst Less likely to vote Ernst No difference Undecided Thinking about Congress, if the elections were today, would you vote for/lean toward (ROTATE) the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate for Congress in your district? Republican Democratic Undecided Do you think of your vote for Congress as a vote for Obama, as a vote against Obama, or isn t he much of a factor in your vote? For Obama Against Obama He s not a factor Don t Know/Refused All Likely Iowa Voters 3 of 6 October 11-14, 2014
4 19. Will the issue of which party controls Congress be a factor in your vote for Congress this year? Yes No Undecided What is the most important issue when casting your vote for Congress this year: (RANDOMIZE) jobs, healthcare, federal budget deficit, education, foreign policy/terrorism, and immigration? Jobs Healthcare ` Federal budget deficit Education Foreign policy/terrorism Immigration Other (Write-in) Undecided There are five candidates for Governor listed on your ballot in the following order: Republican Terry Branstad, Democrat Jack Hatch, Iowa Party Jonathan Narcisse, Libertarian Lee Deakins Hieb, and New Independent Party Iowa Jim Hennager. At this point for whom will you vote or lean toward Branstad, Hatch, Narcisse, Hieb, or Hennager? Republican Terry Branstad Democrat Jack Hatch Iowa Party Jonathan Narcisse Libertarian Lee Deakins Hieb New Independent Iowa Party Jim Hennager Undecided Refused For Secretary of State, the four candidates are Republican Paul Pate, Democrat Brad Anderson, Libertarian Jake Porter, and New Independent Party Iowa Spencer Highland. At this point for whom will you vote or lean toward Pate, Anderson, Porter, or Highland? Republican Paul Pate Democrat Brad Anderson Libertarian Jake Porter New Independent Party Iowa Spencer Highland Undecided Refused For Auditor, the candidates are Republican Mary Mosiman and Democrat Jonathan Neiderbach. At this point for whom will you vote or lean toward Mosiman or Neiderbach? Republican Mary Mosiman Democrat Jonathan Neiderbach Undecided Refused All Likely Iowa Voters 4 of 6 October 11-14, 2014
5 24. There are three candidates for Treasurer listed on your ballot in the following order: Republican Sam Clovis, Democrat Michael Fitzgerald, and Libertarian Keith Laube. At this point for whom will you vote or lean toward Clovis, Fitzgerald, or Laube? Republican Sam Clovis Democrat Michael Fitzgerald Libertarian Keith Laube Undecided Refused For Secretary of Agriculture, the candidates are Republican Bill Northey, Democrat Sherrie Taha, and New Independent Party Iowa Levi Benning. At this point for whom will you vote or lean toward Northey, Taha, or Benning? Republican Bill Northey Democrat Sherrie Taha New Independent Party Iowa Levi Benning Undecided Refused For Attorney General, the candidates are Republican Adam Gregg and Democrat Tom Miller. At this point for whom will you vote or lean toward Gregg or Miller? Republican Adam Gregg Democrat Tom Miller Undecided Refused Over the past two years do you feel that the state of the economy in Iowa has, in general, improved, stayed the same or has it gotten worse? Improved Stayed The Same Gotten Worse Undecided Overall, do you feel that the Affordable Care Act signed into law in 2010, sometimes called Obamacare, is generally good for Iowa or generally bad? Generally Good Generally Bad Undecided Regarding voting in Iowa, do you support or oppose a policy that would require voters to show a picture ID before being allowed to vote? Support Oppose Undecided These final five questions will help us classify your answers with others taking the survey. All Likely Iowa Voters 5 of 6 October 11-14, 2014
6 30. Has anyone in your household ever served in the U.S. military? Yes No Undecided Does anyone in your household belong to a labor union? Yes No Undecided When it comes to politics, what TV News Network or commentary source do you trust the most (randomize) ABC, NBC, CBS, Fox NEWS, CNN, MSNBC, C-SPAN, COMEDY Central? ABC CBS CNN C-SPAN COMEDY Central Fox NEWS MSNBC NBC Undecided Refused What is your annual household income (READ)? Under $60,000 per year Under $100,000 per year Under $140,000 per year $140,000 or OVER Undecided Refused How important is religion in your life (READ)? Very important Somewhat important Not very important Not at all important Undecided Are you willing to be interviewed by a USA Today reporter for an upcoming article, please give me your name and verify best phone number? Yes No All Likely Iowa Voters 6 of 6 October 11-14, 2014
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