Hampton Roads Transportation Planning Organization. Hampton Roads Passenger Rail Study Data Collection. Phase 2A. Presentation To.

Transcription

1 Presentation To Hampton Roads Transportation Planning Organization Hampton Roads Passenger Rail Study Data Collection Phase 2A Presentation By February 29, 2012 Transportation Economics & Management Systems, Inc.

2 Study Timeline MONTHS # Tasks 1 Project Management 2 Monitor FRA Legislation and Executive Action 3 DRPT Coordination 4 Data Assembly Market Database Stated Preference Survey Engineering Database Technology Database Environmental Database 5 Database Report M1 M2 M3 M4 M5 M6 M7 M8 M9 M10 M11 M12 M13 M14 M15 M16 MEETINGS PRESENTATIONS MONTHLY PROGRESS REPORTS 2

3 Database Assembly Work will continue on preparing the data for four databases: 1. Market Database 2. Engineering Database 3. Technology Database 4. Environmental Database 3

4 Market Database The market database will consist of four components: Origin / Destination Data Traffic movements by mode and purpose (business, commuter, and other) Socioeconomic Data Population, Employment and Income by zone. Network Data Comprehensive modal networks will be developed for each mode of intercity travel (air, auto, rail and bus). Stated Preference Data To obtain local corridor behavioral factors (Values of Time, Frequency, Access/Egress, etc.) to use in evaluating market potential for high-speed rail. The survey will be similar to recent high speed rail surveys completed by TEMS for Rocky Mountain Rail Authority in the Colorado. 4

5 COMPASS Model Structure Stated Preference Survey Origin- Destination Data Four-Mode Transport Network Trip Matrices Economic Scenarios Base Year Socio- Economics Demand Model Calibration Base Year Matrix Rail Strategies Travel Demand Model Run Forecast Year Trip Matrices Revenue Analysis Financial Analysis User Benefit Analysis Economic Rent Analysis 5

6 Sound and Comprehensive Database Business Other (social + tourism) Commuter Using MPO and Stated Preference Data to create a sound behavioral database for passenger rail planning 6

7 Zone Map 7

8 HRTPO Zone Map (Zoom In) 8

9 Socioeconomic Projections Population Employment Population (Thousands) 15,000 Income 14,500 14,000 13,500 13,000 12,500 12,000 11,500 11,000 10,500 10, Year Year 9

10 Networks Networks will be developed for four modes and three purposes Modes Purposes Auto Business Bus Air Access X Commuter Other = 12 Networks Rail 10

11 Generalized Cost Components Time Costs Reliability Schedule Public Modes In-vehicle Time Access/Egress Time Number of Interchanges Connection Wait Times Terminal Wait Times Fare Access/Egress Costs On Time Performance Frequency of Service Convenience of Times Auto Travel Time Congestion Time Operating Costs Tolls Parking (all divided by occupancy) 11

12 Stated Preference Survey Background Goals Quantify how much travelers value time and frequency. Discriminate behavior by mode and purpose of travel. Approach Quota Surveys with individual Sample Frame Targets by Sub-Group (e.g. Mode, Trip Purpose). Survey Implementation Pilots Surveys before full deployment of the Survey Team. Survey Direct Interviews Online Interviews Direst Surveys are targets at Passengers at Airport, Rail and Bus stations and Patron at DMV * locations in the corridor. Online Surveys are targeted primarily to Employee trip-making in the corridor. *Department of Motor Vehicles 12

13 Value of Time (VOT) and Value of Frequency (VOF) VOT the amount of money (dollars/hour) an individual is willing to pay to save a specified amount of travel time. VOF the amount of money (dollars/hour) an individual is willing to pay to reduce the time between departures when traveling on public transportation. 13

14 Value of Access (VOA) VOA the amount of money (dollars/hour) an individual is willing to pay for the access time to a mode (e.g. the airport, HSR station, railroad station, bus station) to gain easier access to someplace (airport). Easier Access with Least transfers 14

15 Stated Preference Survey (Example) Revealed Preference (RP) Questions 15

16 Stated Preference Survey (Example) Stated Preference (SP) Questions 16

17 Permissions for Direct Interviews INTERVIEW TYPE MODE LOCATIONS Air Airport Norfolk, VA Norfolk, Richmond, Newport News, Auto DMV s Hampton, Portsmouth, Virginia Beach, Chesapeake, Williamsburg, and West Henrico Richmond - Staples Mill Road, Direct Rail Amtrak Richmond, - Main Street, Newport News, Fredericksburg, Williamsburg, and Washington, DC VRE Washington, DC (Back Up) Light Rail Norfolk, VA Norfolk, Hampton, Richmond, Virginia Beach, Greyhound Williamsburg, Fredericksburg, Washington, DC Bus and Washington Union S (e), DC Megabus Richmond, VA - Staples Mill Road Hampton, VA and Washington, DC (Back Up) 17

18 Permissions for Online Interviews INTERVIEW TYPE Online Business Hampton Roads Economic Development Alliance (HREDA) Hampton Roads Chamber of Commerce LOCATIONS Norfolk Newport News Virginia Beach Chesapeake Hampton Smithfield Williamsburg Suffolk Portsmouth Norfolk Newport News Virginia Beach Chesapeake Hampton Suffolk Portsmouth Norfolk Naval Base Norfolk 18

19 Survey Implementation Plan Tasks Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week Feb 27-Feb 5-Mar 12-Mar 19-Mar 26-Mar 2-Apr 9-Apr 16-Apr 23-Apr 30-Apr 7-May 14-May 21-May 28-May Task 1: SP survey Budget and Planning Task 2: Offline SP Survey preparation Task 3: Online SP Survey Preparation Task 4: Request Authorizations Task 5: Offline Pilot Survey Task 6: Online Pilot Survey Task 7: Offline Survey Optimization Task 8: Online Survey Optimization Task 9: Online Survey "live" Task 10: Offline Survey "live" Task 11: Survey Analysis (Online + Offline) 19

20 Engineering Database Establish Concept Engineering and Cost Data for the corridor. Specific survey of right-of-way widths on existing railroads to determine the potential for developing Greenfield corridors. Develop route database in TRACKMAN program The TRACKMAN Track Management System will provide a milepost-by-milepost record of the rail gradients, track geometry and characteristics of the track (double track, crossings, etc.) and right-of-way. Field review of routes Develop engineering cost data 20

21 TRACKMAN develop detailed information on each route Key inputs: Speeds, curves, grades, rail and highway crossings, and other potential speed restrictions such as moveable bridges. Sample NS Petersburg Data All the data is being captured in a consistent computerized format, to facilitate train performance and future line capacity evaluation. 21

22 Technology Database Survey of Rail Manufacturers Cost and Performance Data review of existing technology options with respect to establishing 2010 operating and maintenance costs and technology performance characteristics. LOCOMOTION is used to estimate Train Speeds. Train Speeds 110 MPH & 125 MPH + TALGO 110 MPH ACELA 125 MPH + 22

23 LOCOMOTION will estimate Train Speeds and Timetables LOCOMOTION generates optimized timetables for given track infrastructure, signaling systems, and train technologies. It provides milepost-by-milepost graphic output of train performance based on track characteristics and shows the effect on timetables for improving the track, using a different technology, or changing stopping patterns. Because it takes account of other passenger and freight traffic using a rightof-way, LOCOMOTION can develop stringline diagrams and identify the optimum train path for a new service. 23

24 Environmental Database Environmental Data: Use Tier I EIS and direct route survey to evaluate the information required for the Environmental Review and Assessment needed for the Service Development Plan and Vision Plan. Mapping will include: Location of historical sites Existing land use Identification of wetlands Location of parks/battlefields Environmental Superfund sites Identification of topology, geological, soils and impacts Identification of biological resources Railroad impacts and air quality Noise/Vibration Energy Transport system interactions and impacts Utility and related services interactions and impacts 24

25 Thank You 25