VTrans2040. VTrans Multimodal Transportation Plan (VMTP) Regional Network 2025 Needs Assessment. HRTPO TTAC July 1, 2015

Transcription

1 VTrans2040 VTrans Multimodal Transportation Plan (VMTP) Regional Network 2025 Needs Assessment HRTPO TTAC July 1, 2015

2 VMTP Presentation Timeline Update VMTP Framework More on the research linking transportation and economics VMTP 2025 Needs Assessment Approach to Regional Network Needs Analysis Initial Draft Needs Next Steps 2

3 Planning Timeline Virginia Multimodal Transportation Plan Work Flow and Key Input Opportunities - MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP SoGR NEEDS SAFETY NEEDS CAPACITY/OPERATIONS NEEDS Regional Network Analysis July 22 nd Williamsburg CoSS Analysis UDA Analysis DRAFT CAPACITY NEEDS FINAL CAPACITY NEEDS In-Person Work Session with MPOs UDA Specific Outreach - Webinar and Needs Survey in April for Localities with UDAs Statewide Regional Forums w/ All Planners and Providers of Transportation Services Statewide Public Meetings 3

4 Research for VMTP by S.I.R. Southeastern Institute of Research I II Key Trends shaping the future of Virginia Understanding how Placemaking and Community- Building are creating a new economic development model III Profiling what the business community values in location decisions and how these values relate to community-building, transportation and mobility 4

5 Part III. Quantitative Survey Site selection is not about location, location, location. It s location and workforce. Know that site decisions may start with location basics, but once those table stakes are met, the key for any location decision across all industry clusters is the availability of workers now and in the future. The economics will work themselves out, but if you do not have a skilled workforce and it is not a location that is conducive to recruiting a skilled workforce, the site does not work. 5 Source: Southeastern Institute of Research (SIR)

6 Current and Future Availability of Workforce Are the Most Important Site Selection Attributes Availability of the region s labor force to meet our needs today 26% 59% 85% The only differences across industry clusters are that freight-dependent respondents rate quality of life slightly lower and local-serving respondents rate incentives higher. Availability of the region s labor force to meet our needs in the future Presence of advanced telecommunications system The quality of the overall transportation system The overall attitude and partnership between local government and business leadership Quality of life factors, such as schools, housing, and recreational opportunities 28% 45% 39% 39% 45% 55% 28% 31% 30% 18% 63% 73% 70% 69% 83% Connectivity is the second tier issue, as defined by roads and telecom Also important factors Financial support and incentives provided by community/region/state 29% 21% 50% Less important Most important 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 6 n = 185 Q7. How important are each of the following when your company considers a new location? Source: Southeastern Institute of Research (SIR)

7 Differences in How Industry Clusters Rate the Importance of Transportation Are Apparent Top Two Box Scores Importance Freight Dependent Knowledge Local Serving Highway accessibility 85% 85% 86% Accessibility to major airport 51% 80% 69% Accessibility to regional airport 44% 70% 64% Inbound and outbound shipping costs 77% 52% 48% Public transit services 28% 54% 55% Note: The small sample size means these findings among industry clusters can be used to observe directional differences only. Intermodal transfer facilities 59% 30% 42% Intracity rail service (subway, light rail, metro) 23% 31% 41% Intercity railroad service (freight, passenger) 44% 24% 33% Biking and walking facilities and designated pathways 13% 22% 36% Waterway or ocean port accessibility 51% 13% 22% n = 184 Q14. In regard to transportation, how important is each of the following? Source: Southeastern Institute of Research (SIR) 7

8 Different Ratings for Commute-Related Transportation Elements Among Industry Clusters: Top Two Box Scores Transportation System That: Freight Dependent Knowledge Local Serving Provides reliable auto access for workers commute trips Provides reliable travel times for incoming and outgoing shipments Includes both roadways and transit that enable workers to get to and from their worksites efficiently Provides convenient transit access for workers commute trips 59% 71% 63% 72% 61% 59% 50% 67% 61% 50% 67% 59% Note: The small sample size means these findings among industry clusters can be used to observe directional differences only. Provides active transportation options, such as bicycling, for workers commute trips 16% 39% 48% 8 n = 163 Q39. How important is each of the following commute-related transportation elements when evaluating a site? Source: Southeastern Institute of Research (SIR)

9 Implication for VTrans2040 In addition to connectivity investment, long-term planning should prioritize spending on ways to attract and retain the workforce. 9 Source: Southeastern Institute of Research (SIR)

10 VMTP Regional Network Needs Assessment Freight Knowledge Local What attracts the workforce? How do we serve different types of activity centers? How do we serve intra-regional travel markets? 10

11 Regional Network 2025 Needs Development 1 Defining Needs Analysis Areas 2 Assessing Current Economic Profile 3 4 Identifying Desired Future Economic Profile Assessing Transportation Conditions 5 Incorporating Economic-Transportation Linkages 6 Developing Transportation Needs Assessment 11

12 Regional Network 2025 Needs Development Statewide employment data sets HTRTPO Socioeconomic Data Prior Comprehensive Economic Strategy (CEDS) study Jurisdiction-level forecasts of 2025 Output and Employment Input on existing and future activity centers Employment composition profile of largest employment centers 12

13 Regional Network 2025 Needs Development VTrans Accessibility Measures Multimodal access to jobs Freight Accessibility measures Commuting patterns and data HTRTPO LRTP HRTPO Reliability Study HRTPO Freight Study Regional Transit Vision Plan Port of Virginia Master Plan Draft Master Rail Plan for Port of VA Input from prior meetings and regional forum 13

14 Regional Network 2025 Needs Development Looking at the regional economy How critical are Millennial workers and knowledge workers in particular? What regional attraction factors are key at work and also home locations? Looking at the activity centers Where are mode choice and walkability important? Where is freight access important? Where is auto access important? What are the travel patterns of existing workers? 14

15 Regional Network 2025 Needs Development Look at the economic needs in comparison to the transportation conditions Do the knowledge- and local- based activity centers have transit access? Do the freight- and local-based activity centers have highway access for freight? Are key commuting routes served by transit? Are key commuting and/or freight routes affected by bottlenecks? Are there reliability issues for commuters and/or freight? 15

16 Categories of Needs Transportation Need Highway Access Passenger Reliability Bottleneck Relief Freight Reliability Freight Accessibility Network Connectivity Transportation Demand Management Modal Choice Transit Access Active Transportation (Walk/Bike) Options Walkable Places General Description Improve access to the existing highways from the roadway network Mitigate recurring inconsistency of travel times for passengers Reduce the impact of acute congestion points on the network Mitigate recurring inconsistency of travel times for freight Improve freight access to key destinations via desired travel modes Enhance network connections to improve travel efficiency Manage transportation demand to optimize transportation system performance while meeting user needs Increase the flexibility to choose alternative travel options Improve or establish access by transit to key destinations Improve the opportunity to make trips via walking and/or biking Enhance communities and activity centers to provide safe, sociable walking environments with a variety of destinations 16 Safety and State of Good Repair may receive special mention where appropriate

17 Initial Draft Intra-Regional Needs 17

18 A. I-64 Corridor B. Newport News and Hampton Activity Centers C. Peninsula Southside Crossing D. Naval Station Norfolk E. Route 58/I-264 Corridor F. I-64/ Indian River Road G. I-464 Corridor H. Elizabeth River I. Route 58/13/460 Corridor J. Kings Highway Bridge K. Various Activity Centers L. Various Activity Centers Initial Draft Intra-Regional Needs Transportation Need Passenger Reliability Bottleneck Relief Freight Reliability Freight Accessibility Network Connectivity Transportation Demand Management Modal Choice Transit Access Active Transportation (Walk/Bike) Options Walkable Places Need Input 18

19 Next Steps Work Session immediately following this meeting Review/mark up initial draft needs Regional Forums/Public Meetings Afternoon and evening of July 22 nd in Williamsburg Input on draft needs for all VMTP travel markets Draft Needs online in early August for reference in HB2 process Refine needs and begin final phase of VMTP late summer/early fall 19

20 Open House Public Meeting Follows 5-7 PM 20