Travel Time Index: Why All the Fuss? Tim Lomax Texas A&M Transportation Institute

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1 Travel Time Index: Why All the Fuss? Tim Lomax Texas A&M Transportation Institute

2 Key Aspects of TTI s Performance Measurement Recommendations Goal: Help a range of audiences understand and use technical data Demonstrate the use of measures and data Support a range of analyses Develop calculation and communication methods Measures only indicate problems and trends they do not determine solutions

3 Discussion About Performance The Measures Total delay Delay per commuter Total travel time Congestion cost Wasted fuel Truck delay & congestion cost Planning time index Commuter stress index Travel time index Operational & transit savings Measures The Focus Travel Time Index

4 Is Travel Time Index the Main Urban Mobility Report Measure? Mentions of Each Measure Year Delay TTI No. 29 4

5 The History of Travel Time Index Length-neutral measure is useful in some contexts Compare streets and freeways Compare different length sections Can be weighted with person volume Indexes are easy to communicate Allows modal comparisons Included in original Texas 100 Legislation (changed after TTI recommendation)

6 What Are We Really Talking About? Delay Vs Travel Time Index TTI Value Small Urban Areas Medium Urban Areas Large Urban Areas Very Large Urban Areas Delay Per Auto Commuter (Hours)

7 TTI s Urban Mobility Report Goal: Communicate technical data to nontechnical audiences 1 st Urban Mobility Report (Texas only) At least 14 major method & data changes INRIX partnership January 2010 Many issues, many measures, many uses National report common baselines and assumptions to estimate conditions

8 Slide 8 100% % Varies for Each City 0% But No Single Solution Accept Some Congestion Diversified Development Patterns Less Construction Delay Commute & Travel Options Improve System Efficiency Build More Capacity

9 Summary Use all the data and all the measures What can we learn? Where are the problems? then What are the possible solutions? Where and when will they work? Will the public support them?

10 TEXAS TRANSPORTATION PLAN Stakeholder Workshop Round 1

11 Texas Transportation Plan Objectives Implement TxDOT s Strategic Plan Goals Maintain a Safe System Connect Texas Communities Address Congestion Become a Best-in-Class State Agency Address state and federal transportation planning requirements Build upon the Statewide Long-Range Transportation Plan 2035 and Texas Rural Transportation Plan 2035 Advance performance-based planning concepts Link planning goals and programming decisions Advance Best-in-Class business partnerships and practices Integrate TxDOT s current initiatives: Performance Management (Federal requirement) Asset Management (Federal requirement) Customer Service (Best-in-Class state agency) 2

12 Stakeholder and Public Outreach Plan Development Texas Transportation Plan Development Schedule Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Review existing TxDOT plans and collect modal data Develop Plan goals and objectives Analyze current and forecasted multimodal conditions, demand, and needs Develop performance measures and targets (in coordination with ongoing TxDOT initiatives) Develop and evaluate multimodal investment strategies and trade-offs based on performance measures and current and expected future revenues in coordination with the Technical Advisory Committee, Stakeholders (transportation policymakers and providers), and the Public Review TxDOT project selection and project development processes Open Houses Ongoing coordination with TxDOT Technical Advisory Committee Transportation Survey Open Houses Draft Plan Public Hearing Final Plan Ongoing distribution of information to the public via the TxDOT website, social media, , newsletters, and other methods 3

13 Stakeholder/Public Participation Schedule Round 1 DATE IN-PERSON TXDOT DISTRICT OFFICE LOCATION VTC (PUBLIC) November 6 San Antonio November 7 November 13 November 14 November 18 November 19 Pharr Houston Bryan Lubbock Wichita Falls November 20 Dallas November 21 Abilene ADDRESS San Antonio District Bldg. 2 Training Room 4615 NW Loop 410 San Antonio, Texas Pharr District District Conference Center 600 W US Expressway 83 Pharr, Texas Houston District Conference Auditorium 7600 Washington Ave Houston, Texas Bryan District Assembly Room 2591 N Earl Rudder Freeway Bryan, Texas Lubbock District Bluebonnet Room 135 Slaton Road Lubbock, Texas Wichita Falls District District Training Center Large Training Room 1601 Southwest Pkwy Wichita Falls, Texas Dallas District District VTC E Hwy 80 Mesquite, Texas Abilene Center for Contemporary Arts 220 Cypress Street Abilene, Texas * Video teleconference via Internet 4

14 TTP Goals and Objectives Development Process TxDOT Priorities State and Federal Legislation TxDOT s Priorities State and Federal Legislation TTP Goals and Objectives Stakeholder and Public Priorities Texas Transportation Plan DRAFT Goals and Objectives Texas Transportation Plan Goals and Objectives Stakeholder and Public Priorities - Outreach Round 1 (Nov 2013) TxDOT Administration Review and Approval This presentation provides TTP DRAFT Goals and Objectives for stakeholder review and comment. Goals and Objectives are designed to align TxDOT planning priorities with State/Federal legislation and TxDOT s Strategic Plan. 5

15 Safety Safety is the first goal of the federal legislation (MAP-21), the #1 goal for TxDOT across all modes, and the primary goal of the current Strategic Plan. TxDOT priorities for safety span all modes and include highway/ bridge, transit, aviation, and rail-highway crossing safety; and infrastructure preservation to maintain a safe system. Group discussion What are your priorities for multimodal safety, both today and in the long-term? 6

16 Asset Management Asset management is a strategic and systematic process of operating, maintaining, and improving physical assets, with a focus on engineering and economic analysis based upon quality information, to identify a structured sequence of maintenance, preservation, repair, rehabilitation, and replacement actions that will achieve and sustain a desired state of good repair over the lifecycle of the assets at minimum practicable. TxDOT priorities for investment accountability and transparency align with asset management principles and practices for maintaining and preserving the multimodal system using costbeneficial treatments and strategies. Group discussion What are your priorities for multimodal system preservation and asset management? 7

17 Mobility and Reliability Mobility and Reliability are critical for economic development and personal productivity. Transportation empowers us all and affects every aspect of our daily lives. Most people must travel to school, to work, to obtain necessities or medical care, and for social reasons. Whether you own a vehicle, use transit, fly on an airplane, ride a bicycle, or walk, transportation gives you the freedom to move about and makes the life you enjoy possible. The goods we consume are transported from a farm, a manufacturer, a refinery, or a warehouse often using more than one mode of transportation. TxDOT priorities include congestion reduction, commerce facilitation, and customer service/information sharing to improve system efficiency and performance for passengers and freight. Group discussion What are your mobility and reliability priorities for passenger and freight modes? 8

18 Multimodal Connectivity Connectivity is the extent to which the modes within a system are connected to facilitate the movement of people and freight within communities, as well as intercity, interstate, nationally, and globally. TxDOT priorities include comprehensive multimodal planning, commerce facilitation, and integration of changing travel behaviors across age groups to enhance connections across Texas, the nation, and the globe. Group discussion What are your main connectivity concerns for passengers and freight today, and in the long term? 9

19 Stewardship Stewardship includes earning public trust, maintaining accountability in decision-making, and being responsive to public input during the planning process. TxDOT priorities related to accountability, sociallyresponsible planning, and cost-beneficial decision-making can be grouped under stewardship. Group discussion What additional priorities should be captured under stewardship? 10

20 Customer Service Customer service includes educating all transportation stakeholders (our customers) on the planning and decisionmaking processes, soliciting and providing opportunities for input, then integrating customer feedback into the transportation planning and project delivery processes. TxDOT priorities include educating the public on investment decision-making and listening to their needs and priorities. Group discussion What are your priorities regarding customer service, and how can TxDOT best integrate and respond to customer input in the transportation planning process? 11

21 Texas Transportation Plan DRAFT Goal Areas Summary Strategic Plan Goals Maintain a Safe System Address Congestion Connect Texas Communities Become a Best-in-Class State Agency DRAFT TTP Goal Areas Safety Asset Management (All modes) Mobility and Reliability (People & Freight) Multimodal Connectivity (People & Freight) Stewardship Customer Service MAP-21 Goal Areas Safety Infrastructure Condition (State of good repair) Congestion Reduction Congestion Reduction Environmental Sustainability Freight Mobility Access to Service (All modes) Reduced Project Delivery Delays System Reliability Economic Vitality Infrastructure Condition (State of good repair) 12

22 Stakeholder Goal Areas and Priorities Discussion Stakeholders may: Propose additional goal areas Identify additional priorities by goal area Ask questions about transportation planning and plan development Provide data or information to be considered during plan development Submit comments to TxDOT related to any transportation issue 13

23 Plan Development Process Opportunities for Input 14

24 THANK YOU!

25 T.R.E.N.D.S. Model Overview Texas A&M Transportation Institute

26 Key T.R.E.N.D.S. Model Variables Population There are 2 population scenarios to choose from. Numbers are from the Texas State Data Center 0.5: migration rates will be ½ those experienced from 2000 to : rates equal to those from 2000 to 2010

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28 Key T.R.E.N.D.S. Model Variables Population Fuel Efficiency There are 4 different fuel efficiency scenarios to choose from: High Average Average-Low (new) Low

29 Key T.R.E.N.D.S. Model Variables Population Fuel Efficiency Personal Vehicles

30 100 Alternative Fuel Efficiency Assumptions for Personal Vehicles Miles Per Gallon High Average Average-Low Low

31 $3,000 Motor Fuel Revenue Millions $2,500 $2,000 $1,500 Low Fuel Efficiency Average-Low Fuel Efficiency $1,000 $500 Average Fuel Efficiency High Fuel Efficiency $

32 Key T.R.E.N.D.S. Model Variables Population Fuel Efficiency Personal Vehicles Commercial Vehicles

33 14 Alternative Fuel Efficiency Assumptions for Commercial Vehicles Miles Per Gallon High Average Average-Low Low

34 Key T.R.E.N.D.S. Model Variables Population Fuel Efficiency Personal Vehicles Commercial Vehicles Fuel Consumption/Population Relationship

35 Key T.R.E.N.D.S. Model Variables Population Fuel Efficiency Personal Vehicles Commercial Vehicles Fuel Consumption/Population Relationship Gasoline

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37 Key T.R.E.N.D.S. Model Variables Population Fuel Efficiency Personal Vehicles Commercial Vehicles Fuel Consumption/Population Relationship Gasoline Diesel

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39 Other Variables Annual inflation rates of TxDOT internal costs Alternative pavement condition scores Diversions Bonds State and federal fuel tax rates Indexed fuel taxes (HCI, CPI) Vehicle registration fee rates VMT fee Transportation/Public Education allocation

40 How the Model Works

41 Mode Basic Mode Abbreviated tabs include: Scenario, Revenue Enhancements, Outputs Advanced Mode Full tabs include: Scenario, Revenue Enhancements, Local Options, Bonding Options, Economic Impacts, Outputs

42 Scenario Tab Population Growth Assumptions Fuel Efficiency Variables New Capacity Options Maintenance Variables Expense Variables Allocations to Other Agencies

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44 Maintenance Variables Maintenance Variables Decide which maintenance numbers to use. TxDOT 90% Good or Better 87% Good or Better 80% Good or Better Enter the annual percent increase for Category expenses from 2023 to 2040

45 Expense Variables Expense Variables First 10 years of expenses are taken for the TxDOT Cash Forecast development (TxDOT Finance Division) From year 11 forward, annual costs are escalated at a rate chosen by user input.

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47 Other Diversions to be Eliminated Allows the user to select a percentage of the Payments to Other Agencies expense to eliminate. New Capacity Dollars Allows an additional amount to be added to the expense side of the ledger

48 Revenue Enhancement Tab State Motor Fuel Tax Federal Fuel Tax Indexing the Motor Fuels Tax Vehicle Registration Fee VM Fee Distribution of Funds from Revenue Enhancements Category Distributions

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50 State Motor Fuel Tax Baseline Revenues = Current Rate * Adjusted Gallons Calculated using fuel efficiency (MPG), and Taxable Gallons of Fuel Incremental Increase = Increased Rate * Adjusted Gallons

51 State Motor Fuel Tax Total State Gas Tax Revenue = Baseline Revenue + Incremental Increase Revenue Baseline: Highway/Education Allocation= (Total Revenue Comptroller Portion) * (75% or 25%) County and Road District Fund Incremental Increase: Highway/Education Allocation= (Total Revenue Comptroller Portion) * (75% or 25%)

52 Federal Motor Fuel Tax Can calculate an increase in tax and what the amount reimbursed would be -based on percentage entered. Same calculations as used for state taxes just using the federal rate. Total federal fuel tax collected and amount of revenue returned based on percentage chosen on input page.

53 Vehicle Registration Fee Vehicles are estimated by county. The counties are combined to get MPO numbers. Can choose an individual rate for each vehicle category

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55 VM Fee Personal & Commercial Can be calculated separately at different rates Can choose to end the gas and diesel tax at a specific year

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57 Local Options Tab Calculations conducted at the Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) level Fuel Efficiency Fuel Tax VM Fee Vehicle Registration Fee The calculations are conducted at the county level and the county numbers are combined to form MPOs.

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60 Bonding Options Tab Prop 12 Prop 14

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62 Economic Impact Tab Revenue to the MPO Region Baseline revenue dedicated to MPO (through the category allocations) plus any Local Option Revenue Determines the economic impact of the construction projects that revenue will fund

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64 Outputs Tab Input Variables Revenue/Expense Summary Revenue/ Expense Chart Federal Fuel Tax Summary Detail Summaries Category Distributions Economic Impact

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66 $11.0 $10.0 Revenue and Expenditures Revenue Expenditures $9.0 $8.0 $7.0 $6.0 $ Billions

67 $14.0 $12.0 Revenues Enhanced Revenue Baseline Revenue $10.0 $8.0 $6.0 $4.0 $2.0 $ Billions

68 MPO Allocation Allows the Category Expenses to be broken out by MPO. Category Outputs: 2M, 2U, 5, 7, 9 (new), and 11 These have been recently updated to reflect 2014 UTP Allows the user to see where in the state the money goes

69 MPO Allocation Increases that are distributed to categories include: State and Federal Fuel taxes, Vehicle Registration fees, and VM fees User can change the category distribution of any increase/revenue enhancement created

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71 Brianne Glover