National Infrastructure Plan NIP July 2009

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1 National Infrastructure Plan NIP 2009 Stakeholder Engagement

2 PROGRAM Welcome 10h00 Safety Briefing Opening Address (Transnet) Shareholder Address (DPE) Arrangements NIP Presentation Part I Introduction and Overview Demand Forecasting Pipelines Rail (demand) Tea NIP Presentation Part II Rail (development plans) Ports Capital plan Refreshments 10h30 11h15 11h30 13h15 Questions & Answers 14h15 Closing 15h15 Tea 15h30

3 National Infrastructure Plan (NIP) 1. Introduction 2. Logistics Challenges for South Africa 3. Overview of Freight Network 4. Integrated Demand Forecast 5. Planning Principles 6. Infrastructure Development Plans Pipelines Rail Ports 7. Transnet 5 year Capital Plan 8. Conclusions and Recommendations Slide 3

4 1. Introduction Context Transnet owns, manages & operates a national freight transport system consisting of Port, Rail & Pipeline infrastructure To optimise the benefits, this system needs to be developed and operated in a co-ordinated and integrated manner National Infrastructure Plan provides the basis for the holistic development of the freight transport system. It is Transnet s strategic long term infrastructure planning framework Slide 4

5 1. Introduction Objectives and Outputs of the NIP Objectives: To provide Transnet and the relevant stakeholder community with a framework within which long term planning for port, rail and pipelines can be executed To provide a basis for engagements with key government and other stakeholders To inform Transnet s capital investment program and future funding requirements To act as a governance document for infrastructure planning and investment in Transnet Key components of the NIP: a status quo assessment of the port and freight rail network a 30 year integrated freight demand forecast application of key planning principles, assumptions and operating strategies to inform future development of the network an assessment of future capacity requirements development of options and scenarios Transnet s 5 year capital program Slide 5

6 1. Introduction Transnet Planning Hierarchy National Infrastructure Plan National Ports Plan National Rail Plan National Pipeline Plan Saldanha Bay Gauteng Freight Ring Crude Oil National Demand Model Cape Town Central Freight Ring Refined Products incl. NMPP Mossel Bay Inland Corridors Aviation Turbine Fuel Port Elizabeth Port Corridors Methane-rich Gas Surface Model Ngqura Hubs and Terminals Transportation Model East London Durban Rolling Stock Richards Bay Source: Transnet National Infrastructure Plan Slide 6

7 1. Introduction Sustaining the NIP Updated National Demand Forecast for Planning purposes Final NIP Amended Capital Infrastructure Investment Plan Updated Transnet Strategy (Corporate Plan) Approved Transnet Capital Budget PLANNING CYCLE (TIPCOM) Updated Individual Development Plans Physical Plan List of Projects Capital Investment Investment timing Updated National Plans Physical Plan List of Projects Capital Investment Investment timing DFP updated via planning studies through planning committees chaired by Transnet Planning Integrate Investment Plans of all operating units Capital Budget Moderation Process Draft National Infrastructure Plan (NIP) The NIP gets updated at least annually Aligned with Transnet s rolling 5 year plan It takes into account relevant events and trends including: new commercial hubs and other significant sources of supply and demand changes in key commodities and freight demand trends in the logistics industry specific customer supply chain requirements Source: Transnet Group Planning Slide 7

8 Contents 1. Introduction 2. Logistics Challenges for South Africa 3. Overview of Freight Network 4. Integrated Demand Forecast 5. Planning Principles 6. Infrastructure Development Plans Pipelines Rail Ports 7. Transnet 5 year Capital Plan 8. Conclusions and Recommendations Slide 8

9 2. Logistics Challenges for South Africa Global Context South Africa is distant from its key trading partners Maritime transport costs is a significant component of total transport costs South Africa is strategically placed to service Southern African, Asian and South American trade routes SA can establish itself as a global transhipment hub focused on certain trade routes Source: Transnet Group Planning Slide 9

10 2. Logistics Challenges for South Africa Southern Africa Context Southern Africa Railway network South Africa is well positioned to serve East and West Coasts by sea The Rail network provides strategic lines to landlocked countries (all on similar gauge) SADC partnerships to stimulate and sustain regional growth Source: Transnet Group Planning Slide 10

11 2. Logistics Challenges for South Africa National Context Gauteng acts as regional hub for production and consumption Industrial hub (Gauteng) and mining activities far from ports SA contributes 0.4% to world GDP but accounts for 2.2% of world surface tonne km. Transnet s key role is to assist in economic growth through providing appropriate port, rail and pipeline infrastructure and operations in a cost effective and efficient manner and within acceptable international benchmark standards Musina Lephalale Johannesburg Pretoria Komatiepoort Maputo Hotazel Ermelo Port Nolloth Kimberley Richards Bay De Aar Durban Saldanha Bay Cape Town Mossel Bay Ngqura Port Elizabeth East London Source: SA State of Logistics 2007 / Transnet Group Planning Slide 11

12 Contents 1. Introduction 2. Logistics Challenges for South Africa 3. Overview of Freight Network 4. Integrated Demand Forecast 5. Planning Principles 6. Infrastructure Development Plans Pipelines Rail Ports 7. Transnet 5 year Capital Plan 8. Conclusions and Recommendations Slide 12

13 3. Overview of Freight Network Port and Rail Network Walvis Bay Musina Lephalale Johannesburg Pretoria Komatipoort Maputo Luderitz Hotazel Ermelo Port Nolloth Kimberley Richards Bay De Aar Durban Saldanha Bay Cape Town Mossel Bay Ngqura Port Elizabeth East London Source: Transnet Group Planning Slide 13

14 3. Overview of Freight Network Pipeline Network GAUTENG NORTH - WEST RUSTENBURG PRETORIA WEST TARLTON LANGLAAGTE AIRPORT MEYERTON ALRODE WALTLOO ELARDUS PARK KENDAL JAMESON PARK SECUNDA WITBANK MPUMALANGA KLERKSDORP SASOLBURG COALBROOK STANDERTON REFINED PRODUCTS CRUDE OIL GAS AVTUR NOT IN USE FUTURE NMPP PIPELINES FUTURE TERMINALS DOUBLE PUMP STATION PUMP STATIONS DELIVERY STATIONS / METERS INTAKE STATIONS MAGDALA KROONSTAD BETHLEHEM FREE STATE BHT WILGE VREDE T VAN REENEN QUAGGA NEWCASTLE VOLKSRUST LADYSMITH HOWICK INGOGO FORT MISTAKE KWAZULU / NATAL MOOIRIVER DUZI HILLCREST MNGENI VRYHEID SCHEEPERSNEK EMPANGENI FYNNLAND DURBAN MAHLABATINI RICHARDS BAY INDIAN OCEAN Source: Transnet Pipelines Slide 14

15 3. Overview of Freight Network Infrastructure Overview Port Infrastructure 9 Commercial Ports Complementary grouping into west, central and eastern region Older ports reaching capacity Potential for growth at newer ports 19 container berths 3 automotive terminals 26 dry bulk berths 39 break bulk berths 13 liquid bulk berths Current Volumes Containers: 3.82 m TEUs Dry bulk: 129 mtpa Auto: units Liquid: 40 mtpa Break Bulk: 13 mtpa Rail Infrastructure km of track route km Core network route km 30% of core network carries 95% of the freight volumes Network Electrification: 50kV AC (861km), 25 kv AC (2309km) 3kV DC (4935km) Diesel (12 193km) Axle loading: Main lines at 22t / axle Coal and ore lines 30t / axle (coal line operates at 26 ton) Current Volumes Containers: TEUs Dry bulk: mtpa Auto: units Liquid: 3.7 mtpa Break Bulk: 15.9 mtpa Pipeline Infrastructure Crude Oil line: 580 km Design cap = 6,8 bnl/a Current cap = 5,2 bnl/a Refined Fuels line: 725 km km network Design cap = 3,5 bnl/a Current cap = 4,3 bnl/a Aviation Turbine Fuel line: 94 km. Design cap = 1,2 bnl/a Current cap = 1,1 bnl/a Methane-rich Gas Line: 570km Design cap = 23m GJ pa Current cap = 17m GJ pa Source: Transnet Group Planning Slide 15

16 Contents 1. Introduction 2. Logistics Challenges for South Africa 3. Overview of Freight Network 4. Integrated Demand Forecast 5. Planning Principles 6. Infrastructure Development Plans Pipelines Rail Ports 7. Transnet 5 year Capital Plan 8. Conclusions and Recommendations Slide 16

17 4. Integrated Demand Forecast Objectives Transnet, as the custodian of ports, rail and pipelines has a responsibility to ensure availability of economic infrastructure in an efficient and cost effective manner Creating capacity ahead of demand is one of the primary objectives of the organisation Most developed countries have processes in place whereby flow data is collected Transnet embarked on a process to understand current and future demand in November 2005 The resulting Transnet Demand Model is a significant improvement on previous forecasting methods The Demand Model forms the basis for the NIP and all long term planning in Transnet Source: Transnet Group Planning Slide 17