Supportability Modelling and Decision Making using the Baseline Comparison System. OmegaPS UGM June 2015 Jonathan Patterson

Transcription

1 Supportability Modelling and Decision Making using the Baseline Comparison System OmegaPS UGM June 2015 Jonathan Patterson

2 Equipment Management Decisions We make decisions every day We consider alternatives, risks, esthetics, many other variables; & cost Sometime we make decisions based on gut feel; sometimes with a good result, sometimes with a poor result Make better decisions A consistent and traceable approach over time results in improved equipment sustainment and support Starting at design, sustainment models offer opportunity for a life-long approach to effective and efficient sustainment decision making Traceability enhances continuity and breathes efficiencies into future efforts that are no longer wasting time, reinventing the wheel. Joseph Murray, OSD Analyst

3 An Equipment Management Story In a typical defence acquisition The equipment data set begins early with a customer s preliminary model of the expected capability to be procured The contractor develops builds and matures the data during design, acquisition and initial fielding it becomes the Equipment Baseline Once fielded via a performance monitoring, assessment and improvement cycle it may be determined that the equipment or its support must change Does the proposed change provide value? A consistent, analytical method to model & evaluate proposed changes provides the basis for a strong equipment mgmt. program This is the Baseline Comparison System Method

4 BCS A Comparative Analysis Method The BCS methodology Is an iterative supportability engineering process Previous knowledge and understanding of the system is compared against an alternative, or new realization of the system Determine if the alternative is better value or not Better value? Can be assessed qualitatively or quantitatively Can be incorporated as part of a Sustainment Business Case Analysis (SBCA applicable to both DoD and DND) BCS parameters numerous Reliability, availability, or maintainability information Specific support services / equipment sustainment programs Range of ILS (supportability) elements.

5 Baseline Comparison System - Standards SAE TASTD0017 Product Support Analysis* Activity 6 Comparative Analysis Identify existing systems Develop a BCS Determine logistic requirements Identify constraints Determine supportability & readiness drivers Identify/Define systems with no previous op history BCS updates / risks *From SAE TASTD0017 Product Support Analysis Acquisition Focus To inform Design for Support alternative assessments, trade-offs, and decisions Knowledge of equipment improves throughout acquisition Model Extended to In- Service Assessment Data matures with field usage BCS Maturity Aligns with through-life milestone and LSA reviews

6 BCS Categories: Acquisition to In-Service Initial/Concept BCS Mission equipment is notionally understood; support assumptions are based upon existing fleets, equipment config., and support system Functional BCS The mission equipment is characterized by functions; support assumptions are made based upon the functional structure Physical BCS Actual mission equipment is identified, and support assessments are made based upon actual mission equipment data, either from the manufacture or collected from initial field tests In-Service BCS Equipment use and support data is captured through PfM system; data used to improve ISS arrangements or equipment performance

7 BCS/Acquisition: Initial/Concept (Option Analysis Requirements) Requirements & Usage Activity 1 Strategy Activity 4 Assessment Determine Specifications Activity 5 Standardize Activity 6 Comparatives Activity 7 Technology RFP and Proposal Stage Activity 8 Activity 17 Design Factors Suitability BCS Activity 2 Planning Activity 4 Assessment *Typical LSA Process Flow similar to A-LM AG-002 LSA Guidance Manual (DND)

8 BCS/Acquisition Functional (Definition Preliminary Design) Concept a nd Preliminary Design Itera tive Processes Activity 5 Standardize Activity 6 Comparatives Activity 7 Technology Activity 9 Functional Activity 10 Alternatives Activity 11 Evaluations BCS Activity 14 Obsolescence Mission Equipment and Support System Preliminary Design Document Activity 8 Design Factors Activity 2 Planning Activity 17 Suitability *Typical LSA Process Flow similar to A-LM AG-002 LSA Guidance Manual (DND)

9 BCS/Acquisition Physical (Implementation Initial Fielding) Producti on Design Iterative Processes Activity 5 Standardize Activity 6 Comparatives Activity 7 Technology Activity 9 Functional Activity 10 Alternatives Activity 11 Evaluations Activity 12 Task Analysis BCS & LSAR Activity 8 Design Factors Activity 17 Suitability Performance Monitoring Set Up Activity 15 Feedback Activity 13 Distribution Activity 14 Obsolescence Activity 16 Disposal *Typical LSA Process Flow similar to A-LM AG-002 LSA Guidance Manual (DND)

10 BCS/In-Service Performance Mgmt Framework Ful l ISS Activity 5 Standardize Activity 6 Comparatives Activity 7 Technology Activity 9 Functional Activity 10 Alternatives Itera tive Processes Activity 11 Evaluations BCS & LSAR Activity 12 Task Analysis Activity 17 Suitability ISS Performance Monitoring Activity 17 Update Support Activity 15 Feedback Activity 13 Distribution Activity 14 Obsolescence Activity 16 Disposal *Typical LSA Process Flow similar to A-LM AG-002 LSA Guidance Manual (DND)

11 BCS Modelling Two Elements Fleet/Equipment Configuration Equipment hierarchical structure Reflect equipment configuration Sufficiently detailed and indentured to reflect the equipment under review Platform Prime Equipment Repairable Units (Line, Shop) The BCS Model reflects the relationship between the fleet/equipment and its logistic support system, both within the operational use profile Support System Configuration Reflects the Logistics Support Organization for the equipment Consider multiple lines of maintenance From operator to in-depth maintenance Repair part flows Include other cost variables Fixed Costs equipment cost Recurring support services Unique event (upgrades) ILS resource costs Indirect costs

12 The BCS and OmegaPS Analyzer BCS Model Applicable OmegaPS Analyzer supports both equipment and support system structures Standard and customizable costs elements can be used OPS Analyzer applied in many different instances Equipment selection processes Sustainment Business Case Analysis Annual Operating Plan budget development Analyzer LCC Output Decision processes require cost assessments - LCC OPS Analyzer provides a standard as well as customizable Cost Breakdown Structure (CBS) Can apply to individual equipment level Sensitivity/risk analysis can be conducted

13 Sample OPS Analyzer Physical Structure

14 Sample OPS Analyzer Support Structure

15 OPS Analyzer/BCS Example #1 SBCA JUSTAS Project Conducted early-on Support System BCA Net-new support requirement for the CAF no organic UAV support system Analysis fixed the physical equipment structure model Compare and contrasted support system options Result Active project so specific results are not releasable Generated concepts/ideas not previously considered Focus on cost drivers Created focus on support system requirements Assisted to further clarify data requests from industry

16 OPS Analyzer/BCS Example #2 - Acquisition Active DND RFP Integrated Soldier Systems Equipment and support structures built in OPS Analyzer Equipment of Interest support data and information requested from vendor Data used to develop LCC estimates Incorporated into bid evaluation selection criteria Result Details of results analysis not releasable as bid evaluation is ongoing Influenced vendors to carefully consider Design for Supportability

17 OPS Analyzer/BCS Example #3 In-Service Australia LIF (Hawk) Requirement to produce updated annual operating plans Support budget submissions Must also meet operating support requirements OPS Analyzer support and use models developed Result Updated Annual Operating Plan Cost Driver Focus Improved Support

18 Summing Up The BCS models applicable throughout the equipment life cycle BCS as part of the LSA, RFP bid evaluation / industry engagement Other areas: spares assessments, maintenance planning, disposal Informative models Help uncertainties become less uncertain Help to prepare for risks, undesired outcomes occur less frequently The BCS is a demonstrated method Increases the knowledge and understanding of the support required for the equipment: Concept through In-Service Assists making the most informed equipment and support decisions Improves long-term equipment sustainment and support

19 Questions