FIELD RESEARCH CORPORATION

Transcription

1 FIELD RESEARCH CORPORATION FOUNDED IN 1945 BY MERVIN FIELD 601 California Street, Suite 900 San Francisco, California Tabulations From a Survey of California Likely Voters About Voter Preferences for President and U.S. Senate on the November General Election Ballot - prepared for the - Capitol Alert and the Sacramento Bee November 3, 2012

2 Introduction This volume presents the statistical data developed from a Field Poll survey of likely voters in California about voter preferences for President and U.S. Senate in the November 2012 general election ballot. The survey was conducted by The Field Poll among a representative sample of 1,566 likely voters statewide by telephone using live interviewers calling from Field Research Corporation s central location call center in San Diego. The survey was conducted by telephone using live interviewers in six languages and dialects English, Spanish, Cantonese, Mandarin, Korean, and Vietnamese from Field Research Corporation s central location call center in San Diego. Data collection was conducted over two consecutive interviewing periods. The first spanned the period October and included 815 likely voters, while the second was completed October and included 751 likely voters. Some questions were asked of voters interviewed in the first interviewing wave, while others were asked of voters interviewed only during the second wave. The voter samples from each interviewing wave were supplemented with additional interviews conducted among Asian-American voters to enable the survey compare how voters compared to the state s other major racial/ethnic voting populations. Funding for the multi-ethnic samples was provided by the New America Media, through a grant from the San Francisco Foundation.

3 Sampling The sample was developed from telephone listings of individual voters selected randomly from a listing of statewide voter registration rolls. Once a voter s name and telephone had been selected interviewers are attempted only with the specified voter. Interviews can be conducted on either the voter s landline or cell phone, depending on the source of the telephone listing from the voter file and the preference of the voter. In this survey 1,479 interviews were conducted on a landline phone and 433 were completed through a cell phone contact. Prior to the start of data collection, professionally-trained telephone interviewers were briefed with regard to the survey s proper calling and interviewing procedures by the Study Director. This session provided both interviewers and supervisors with an overview of the study and includes a question-by-question review of all items in the survey. Interviewers then completed survey interviews by telephone through the computer-assisted telephone interviewing (CATI) system. CATI controls the telephone scripts read to individual respondents by displaying the appropriate questionnaire items and their valid response code alternatives in their proper sequence on computer screens at each interviewer's booth. The interviewer then reads each question aloud to the respondent from the screen and enters each respondent's pre-coded answer category through the keyboard directly to a computer disk. All answers are automatically stored in computer memory. In order to bring hard-to-reach respondents into the survey, up to six attempts (an initial call plus five callbacks) were made to each telephone number selected for inclusion into the sample. Callbacks were made at different times and on different days to increase the probability of finding voters available for the interview. Where possible, appointments are made at specified dates and times to maximize convenience and cooperation rates. Data Processing The data file resulting from CATI interviewing is itself virtually error-free. Even so, a final series of data checks were performed by means of a specially designed cleaning program that scrutinizes each respondent record for internally inconsistent information. Once the data were determined to be clean and error-free, the overall sample was weighted to align it to the proper statewide distribution of voters by race/ethnicity and to other demographic and regional characteristics of the state s voter population.

4 Guide to Reading the Tables The following is an explanation of the detailed statistical tabulations contained in this report: The question or questions upon which the data are based is shown at the top of each table Tables are percentaged vertically with the raw percentage base appearing at the top of each column. The data have been weighted. All percentages and frequencies reported in each table are therefore weighted tabulations. In instances where percentages are calculated on small bases (e.g., when the unweighted base is fewer than 100 respondents) the reader is urged to interpret the data with caution, since results are subject to larger levels of sampling error. Throughout the tables an asterisk is used to denote a value of less than 1/2 of 1%. A hyphen indicates zero value. On some tables the percentages may add to more than 100% due to multiple mentions. Bases of subgroups used in the tabulations may add to less than the total number of respondents due to some respondents not reporting that characteristic.

5 Subgroup Definitions Southern California: Northern California: Coastal Counties: Inland counties: Los Angeles, Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino, San Diego, Imperial, Santa Barbara, Ventura, Kern, and San Luis Obispo counties all other 48 California counties San Diego, Orange, Los Angeles, Ventura, Santa Barbara, San Luis Obispo, Monterey, Santa Cruz, San Mateo, San Francisco, Contra Costa, Alameda, Marin, Napa, Solano, Sonoma, Santa Clara, Mendocino, Humboldt and Del Norte counties all other 38 California counties Los Angeles: San Diego/Orange: Other South: SF Bay Area: Central Valley: Other North: Los Angeles County San Diego County and Orange counties San Bernardino, Riverside, Imperial, Ventura, Santa Barbara, and San Luis Obispo San Francisco, Marin, Napa, Sonoma, Solano, Contra Costa, Alameda, Santa Clara, San Mateo Butte, Colusa, Fresno, Glenn, Kern, Kings, Madera, Merced, Placer, Sacramento, San Joaquin, Shasta, Stanislaus, Sutter, Tehema, Tulare, Yolo, and Yuba Alpine, Amador, Calaveras, Del Norte, El Dorado, Humboldt, Inyo, Lake, Lassen, Mariposa, Mendocino, Monterey, Modoc, Mono, Nevada, Plumas, San Benito, Santa Cruz, Sierra, Siskiyou, Trinity, and Tuolumne

6 Estimates of Sampling Error In any survey based on a sampling, there is some sampling error introduced into the data by the process of sampling itself. When the sample has been drawn using random processes, it is possible to apply probability principles to determine the potential range of such error. While survey samples of human populations rarely, if ever, meet all of the criteria theoretically required for the application of these principles, it is customary to use them as an approximation of error that is introduced as a result of sampling. The table below shows the range of error that is associated with samples of various sizes, assuming the use of the 95% confidence level, which is customary for most public opinion surveys. For example, if 50% of the overall sample of 1,566 likely voters answered yes to a specific question, this statistic would have a sampling error of plus or minus 2.6 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. This means that there is a 95% chance that had the overall population of likely voters statewide been interviewed using the same questionnaire and methods, the results of such a census would yield a result between 47.4% and 52.6%. The same procedure can be used to estimate the sample error ranges of any other statistic contained in this report. Approximate percentage distribution of replies to question Approximate sample size 10% 30% 50% 70% 90% 100 +/ / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / /-2.4 +/ / /- 1.9

7 Questions Asked (IF ALREADY VOTED:) In the election for president, did you vote for the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden or the Republican ticket of Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan? (IF OBAMA/BIDEN:) Was your preference more a vote for Obama or more a vote against Romney? (IF ROMNEY/RYAN:) Was your preference more a vote for Romney or more a vote against Obama? In the election for U.S. Senate did you vote for the Democrat Dianne Feinstein or the Republican Elizabeth Emken? (IF HAVEN'T VOTED YET:) If the presidential election were being held today would you vote for the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden or the Republican ticket of Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan? (IF OBAMA/BIDEN:) Is your preference more a vote for Obama or more a vote against Romney? (IF ROMNEY/RYAN:) Is your preference more a vote for Romney or more a vote against Obama? There is also an election for U.S. Senate. Democrat Dianne Feinstein is running against Republican Elizabeth Emken. If the election for U.S. Senate were being held today, for whom would you vote Feinstein or Emken? Generally speaking, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of... (NAMES READ IN RANDOM ORDER)? a. Mitt Romney, former Massachusetts Governor b. Barack Obama, President c. Dianne Feinstein, U.S. Senator d. Elizabeth Emken, businesswoman e. Joe Biden, Vice President f. Paul Ryan, Wisconsin Congressman (Note: Feinstein and Emken included in survey's 1st wave, while Biden and Ryan asked in survey's 2nd wave.) (THE FOLLOWING QUESTION WAS ASKED DURING THE SURVEY'S FIRST INTERVIEWING WAVE ONLY) After the elections, do you think the two political parties in Washington will be more likely or less likely to work together on legislation, or will there be no change?

8 Table 13 Q3a. If the presidential election were being held today would you vote for the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden (BYE-DEN) or the Republican ticket of Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan? Q3b. In the election for president, did you vote for the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden (BYE-DEN) or the Republican ticket of Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan? Base : Likely Voter Region Area Party Regis. Time period Vote Type (LV) North/South Coast/Inlnd Cen San tral S.F. Non- Total Prec- Mail Al- South North In- Diego/ Othr Val- Bay Other Part/ Oct Oct Likly inct Voter ready Total Cal Cal Coast land LA Ornge South ey Area North Dem Rep Other Votrs Voter Total Voted Unweighted Weighted OBAMA-BIDEN ROMNEY-RYAN OTHER (VOLUNTEERED ) UNDECIDED/ DON'T KNOW Rows Respondents

9 Page 24 Table 14 Q3a. If the presidential election were being held today would you vote for the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden (BYE-DEN) or the Republican ticket of Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan? Q3b. In the election for president, did you vote for the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden (BYE-DEN) or the Republican ticket of Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan? Base : Likely Voter Gender Age Ethnicity Education H.S. Some White Grad- Col- Post non- Viet- uate lege/ Col- Grad- Fe- 65 or Hisp- La- Asian Chin- Kor- nam- Other or Trade lege uate Total Male male Older anic tino Black total ese ean ese Asian less Schol Grad Work Unweighted Weighted OBAMA-BIDEN ROMNEY-RYAN OTHER * * (VOLUNTEERED ) UNDECIDED/ DON'T KNOW Rows Respondents

10 Page 25 Table 15 Q3a. If the presidential election were being held today would you vote for the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden (BYE-DEN) or the Republican ticket of Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan? Q3b. In the election for president, did you vote for the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden (BYE-DEN) or the Republican ticket of Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan? Base : Likely Voter Likely to Vote and Regular or New/ Union Occasional Household Income Marital Status Status Voter Single/ New/ Never Married/ Oc- Less More Married Live Together Sprtd Yes, Yes Reg- cas- Than $20 $40- $60- $100K Than Dvrcd Yes, Pub- Pri- No, ular ional Total -20K -40K -60K -100K -250K $250K Total Women Men Total Women Men Widwd Any lic vate None Voter Voter Unweighted Weighted OBAMA-BIDEN ROMNEY-RYAN OTHER * (VOLUNTEERED ) UNDECIDED/ DON'T KNOW Rows Respondents

11 Page 26 Table 16 Q3a. If the presidential election were being held today would you vote for the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden (BYE-DEN) or the Republican ticket of Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan? Q3b. In the election for president, did you vote for the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden (BYE-DEN) or the Republican ticket of Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan? Base : Likely Voter Parent of child Presidential Political ideology Religion under 18 Vote Prop 30 Vote Tenure Strng Mod. Mid. Prot/ Unde- Con- Con- of Mod. Strng Other No cided serv- serv- the lib- lib- Chris Cath- Pref- Romn- / Unde- Total ative ative Road eral eral -tian olic Other ence Yes No Obama ey other Yes No cided Own Rent Unweighted Weighted OBAMA-BIDEN ROMNEY-RYAN OTHER (VOLUNTEERED ) UNDECIDED/ DON'T KNOW Rows Respondents

12 Page 27 Table 17 Q4a. Is your preference more a vote for Obama or more a vote against Romney? Q4b. Was your preference more a vote for Obama or more a vote against Romney? Base : (Will vote/have voted) for Obama-Biden Region Area Party Regis. Time period Vote Type (LV) North/South Coast/Inlnd Cen San tral S.F. Non- Total Prec- Mail Al- South North In- Diego/ Othr Val- Bay Other Part/ Oct Oct Likly inct Voter ready Total Cal Cal Coast land LA Ornge South ey Area North Dem Rep Other Votrs Voter Total Voted Unweighted Weighted FOR OBAMA AGAINST ROMNEY DON'T KNOW * Rows Respondents

13 Page 28 Table 18 Q4a. Is your preference more a vote for Obama or more a vote against Romney? Q4b. Was your preference more a vote for Obama or more a vote against Romney? Base : (Will vote/have voted) for Obama-Biden Gender Age Ethnicity Education H.S. Some White Grad- Col- Post non- Viet- uate lege/ Col- Grad- Fe- 65 or Hisp- La- Asian Chin- Kor- nam- Other or Trade lege uate Total Male male Older anic tino Black total ese ean ese Asian less Schol Grad Work Unweighted Weighted FOR OBAMA AGAINST * ROMNEY DON'T KNOW * Rows Respondents

14 Page 29 Table 19 Q4a. Is your preference more a vote for Obama or more a vote against Romney? Q4b. Was your preference more a vote for Obama or more a vote against Romney? Base : (Will vote/have voted) for Obama-Biden Likely to Vote and Regular or New/ Union Occasional Household Income Marital Status Status Voter Single/ New/ Never Married/ Oc- Less More Married Live Together Sprtd Yes, Yes Reg- cas- Than $20 $40- $60- $100K Than Dvrcd Yes, Pub- Pri- No, ular ional Total -20K -40K -60K -100K -250K $250K Total Women Men Total Women Men Widwd Any lic vate None Voter Voter Unweighted Weighted FOR OBAMA AGAINST ROMNEY DON'T KNOW Rows Respondents

15 Page 30 Table 20 Q4a. Is your preference more a vote for Obama or more a vote against Romney? Q4b. Was your preference more a vote for Obama or more a vote against Romney? Base : (Will vote/have voted) for Obama-Biden Parent of child Presidential Political ideology Religion under 18 Vote Prop 30 Vote Tenure Strng Mod. Mid. Prot/ Unde- Con- Con- of Mod. Strng Other No cided serv- serv- the lib- lib- Chris Cath- Pref- Romn- / Unde- Total ative ative Road eral eral -tian olic Other ence Yes No Obama ey other Yes No cided Own Rent Unweighted Weighted FOR OBAMA AGAINST ROMNEY DON'T KNOW Rows Respondents

16 Page 31 Table 21 Q5a. Is your preference more a vote for Romney or more a vote against Obama? Q5b. Was your preference more a vote for Romney or more a vote against Obama? Base : (Will vote/have voted) for Romney-Ryan Region Area Party Regis. Time period Vote Type (LV) North/South Coast/Inlnd Cen San tral S.F. Non- Total Prec- Mail Al- South North In- Diego/ Othr Val- Bay Other Part/ Oct Oct Likly inct Voter ready Total Cal Cal Coast land LA Ornge South ey Area North Dem Rep Other Votrs Voter Total Voted Unweighted Weighted FOR ROMNEY AGAINST OBAMA DON'T KNOW Rows Respondents

17 Page 32 Table 22 Q5a. Is your preference more a vote for Romney or more a vote against Obama? Q5b. Was your preference more a vote for Romney or more a vote against Obama? Base : (Will vote/have voted) for Romney-Ryan Gender Age Ethnicity Education H.S. Some White Grad- Col- Post non- Viet- uate lege/ Col- Grad- Fe- 65 or Hisp- La- Asian Chin- Kor- nam- Other or Trade lege uate Total Male male Older anic tino Black total ese ean ese Asian less Schol Grad Work Unweighted Weighted FOR ROMNEY * AGAINST * OBAMA DON'T KNOW * - * Rows Respondents

18 Page 33 Table 23 Q5a. Is your preference more a vote for Romney or more a vote against Obama? Q5b. Was your preference more a vote for Romney or more a vote against Obama? Base : (Will vote/have voted) for Romney-Ryan Likely to Vote and Regular or New/ Union Occasional Household Income Marital Status Status Voter Single/ New/ Never Married/ Oc- Less More Married Live Together Sprtd Yes, Yes Reg- cas- Than $20 $40- $60- $100K Than Dvrcd Yes, Pub- Pri- No, ular ional Total -20K -40K -60K -100K -250K $250K Total Women Men Total Women Men Widwd Any lic vate None Voter Voter Unweighted Weighted FOR ROMNEY AGAINST OBAMA DON'T KNOW * * Rows Respondents

19 Page 34 Table 24 Q5a. Is your preference more a vote for Romney or more a vote against Obama? Q5b. Was your preference more a vote for Romney or more a vote against Obama? Base : (Will vote/have voted) for Romney-Ryan Parent of child Presidential Political ideology Religion under 18 Vote Prop 30 Vote Tenure Strng Mod. Mid. Prot/ Unde- Con- Con- of Mod. Strng Other No cided serv- serv- the lib- lib- Chris Cath- Pref- Romn- / Unde- Total ative ative Road eral eral -tian olic Other ence Yes No Obama ey other Yes No cided Own Rent Unweighted Weighted FOR ROMNEY AGAINST OBAMA DON'T KNOW Rows Respondents

20 Page 35 Table 25 Q6a. There is also an election for U.S. Senate. Democrat Dianne Feinstein (FINE-STINE) is running against Republican Elizabeth Emken (EM-KIN). If the election for U.S. Senate were being held today, for whom would you vote â Feinstein (FINE-STINE) or Emken (EM-KIN)? Q6b. In the election for U.S. Senate, did you vote for the Democrat Dianne Feinstein (FINE-STINE) or the Republican Elizabeth Emken (EM-KIN)? Base : Likely Voter Region Area Party Regis. Time period Vote Type (LV) North/South Coast/Inlnd Cen San tral S.F. Non- Total Prec- Mail Al- South North In- Diego/ Othr Val- Bay Other Part/ Oct Oct Likly inct Voter ready Total Cal Cal Coast land LA Ornge South ey Area North Dem Rep Other Votrs Voter Total Voted Unweighted Weighted FEINSTEIN EMKEN UNDECIDED/ DON'T KNOW Rows Respondents

21 Page 36 Table 26 Q6a. There is also an election for U.S. Senate. Democrat Dianne Feinstein (FINE-STINE) is running against Republican Elizabeth Emken (EM-KIN). If the election for U.S. Senate were being held today, for whom would you vote â Feinstein (FINE-STINE) or Emken (EM-KIN)? Q6b. In the election for U.S. Senate, did you vote for the Democrat Dianne Feinstein (FINE-STINE) or the Republican Elizabeth Emken (EM-KIN)? Base : Likely Voter Gender Age Ethnicity Education H.S. Some White Grad- Col- Post non- Viet- uate lege/ Col- Grad- Fe- 65 or Hisp- La- Asian Chin- Kor- nam- Other or Trade lege uate Total Male male Older anic tino Black total ese ean ese Asian less Schol Grad Work Unweighted Weighted FEINSTEIN EMKEN UNDECIDED/ DON'T KNOW Rows Respondents

22 Page 37 Table 27 Q6a. There is also an election for U.S. Senate. Democrat Dianne Feinstein (FINE-STINE) is running against Republican Elizabeth Emken (EM-KIN). If the election for U.S. Senate were being held today, for whom would you vote â Feinstein (FINE-STINE) or Emken (EM-KIN)? Q6b. In the election for U.S. Senate, did you vote for the Democrat Dianne Feinstein (FINE-STINE) or the Republican Elizabeth Emken (EM-KIN)? Base : Likely Voter Likely to Vote and Regular or New/ Union Occasional Household Income Marital Status Status Voter Single/ New/ Never Married/ Oc- Less More Married Live Together Sprtd Yes, Yes Reg- cas- Than $20 $40- $60- $100K Than Dvrcd Yes, Pub- Pri- No, ular ional Total -20K -40K -60K -100K -250K $250K Total Women Men Total Women Men Widwd Any lic vate None Voter Voter Unweighted Weighted FEINSTEIN EMKEN UNDECIDED/ DON'T KNOW Rows Respondents

23 Page 38 Table 28 Q6a. There is also an election for U.S. Senate. Democrat Dianne Feinstein (FINE-STINE) is running against Republican Elizabeth Emken (EM-KIN). If the election for U.S. Senate were being held today, for whom would you vote â Feinstein (FINE-STINE) or Emken (EM-KIN)? Q6b. In the election for U.S. Senate, did you vote for the Democrat Dianne Feinstein (FINE-STINE) or the Republican Elizabeth Emken (EM-KIN)? Base : Likely Voter Parent of child Presidential Political ideology Religion under 18 Vote Prop 30 Vote Tenure Strng Mod. Mid. Prot/ Unde- Con- Con- of Mod. Strng Other No cided serv- serv- the lib- lib- Chris Cath- Pref- Romn- / Unde- Total ative ative Road eral eral -tian olic Other ence Yes No Obama ey other Yes No cided Own Rent Unweighted Weighted FEINSTEIN EMKEN UNDECIDED/ DON'T KNOW Rows Respondents

24 Page 58 Table 48 Q12a. Generally speaking, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mitt Romney, former Massachusetts Governor? Base : Likely Voter Region Area Party Regis. Time period Vote Type (LV) North/South Coast/Inlnd Cen San tral S.F. Non- Total Prec- Mail Al- South North In- Diego/ Othr Val- Bay Other Part/ Oct Oct Likly inct Voter ready Total Cal Cal Coast land LA Ornge South ey Area North Dem Rep Other Votrs Voter Total Voted Unweighted Weighted FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION Rows Respondents

25 Page 59 Table 49 Q12a. Generally speaking, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mitt Romney, former Massachusetts Governor? Base : Likely Voter Gender Age Ethnicity Education H.S. Some White Grad- Col- Post non- Viet- uate lege/ Col- Grad- Fe- 65 or Hisp- La- Asian Chin- Kor- nam- Other or Trade lege uate Total Male male Older anic tino Black total ese ean ese Asian less Schol Grad Work Unweighted Weighted FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION Rows Respondents

26 Page 60 Table 50 Q12a. Generally speaking, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mitt Romney, former Massachusetts Governor? Base : Likely Voter Likely to Vote and Regular or New/ Union Occasional Household Income Marital Status Status Voter Single/ New/ Never Married/ Oc- Less More Married Live Together Sprtd Yes, Yes Reg- cas- Than $20 $40- $60- $100K Than Dvrcd Yes, Pub- Pri- No, ular ional Total -20K -40K -60K -100K -250K $250K Total Women Men Total Women Men Widwd Any lic vate None Voter Voter Unweighted Weighted FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION * * Rows Respondents

27 Page 61 Table 51 Q12a. Generally speaking, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mitt Romney, former Massachusetts Governor? Base : Likely Voter Parent of child Presidential Political ideology Religion under 18 Vote Prop 30 Vote Tenure Strng Mod. Mid. Prot/ Unde- Con- Con- of Mod. Strng Other No cided serv- serv- the lib- lib- Chris Cath- Pref- Romn- / Unde- Total ative ative Road eral eral -tian olic Other ence Yes No Obama ey other Yes No cided Own Rent Unweighted Weighted FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION Rows Respondents

28 Page 62 Table 52 Q12b. Generally speaking, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama, President? Base : Likely Voter Region Area Party Regis. Time period Vote Type (LV) North/South Coast/Inlnd Cen San tral S.F. Non- Total Prec- Mail Al- South North In- Diego/ Othr Val- Bay Other Part/ Oct Oct Likly inct Voter ready Total Cal Cal Coast land LA Ornge South ey Area North Dem Rep Other Votrs Voter Total Voted Unweighted Weighted FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION Rows Respondents

29 Page 63 Table 53 Q12b. Generally speaking, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama, President? Base : Likely Voter Gender Age Ethnicity Education H.S. Some White Grad- Col- Post non- Viet- uate lege/ Col- Grad- Fe- 65 or Hisp- La- Asian Chin- Kor- nam- Other or Trade lege uate Total Male male Older anic tino Black total ese ean ese Asian less Schol Grad Work Unweighted Weighted FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION Rows Respondents

30 Page 64 Table 54 Q12b. Generally speaking, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama, President? Base : Likely Voter Likely to Vote and Regular or New/ Union Occasional Household Income Marital Status Status Voter Single/ New/ Never Married/ Oc- Less More Married Live Together Sprtd Yes, Yes Reg- cas- Than $20 $40- $60- $100K Than Dvrcd Yes, Pub- Pri- No, ular ional Total -20K -40K -60K -100K -250K $250K Total Women Men Total Women Men Widwd Any lic vate None Voter Voter Unweighted Weighted FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION Rows Respondents

31 Page 65 Table 55 Q12b. Generally speaking, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama, President? Base : Likely Voter Parent of child Presidential Political ideology Religion under 18 Vote Prop 30 Vote Tenure Strng Mod. Mid. Prot/ Unde- Con- Con- of Mod. Strng Other No cided serv- serv- the lib- lib- Chris Cath- Pref- Romn- / Unde- Total ative ative Road eral eral -tian olic Other ence Yes No Obama ey other Yes No cided Own Rent Unweighted Weighted FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION Rows Respondents

32 Page 66 Table 56 Q12c. Generally speaking, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Dianne Feinstein (FINE-STINE), U.S. Senator? Base : Likely Voter (FORM A) Region Area Party Regis. Time period Vote Type (LV) North/South Coast/Inlnd Cen San tral S.F. Non- Total Prec- Mail Al- South North In- Diego/ Othr Val- Bay Other Part/ Oct Oct Likly inct Voter ready Total Cal Cal Coast land LA Ornge South ey Area North Dem Rep Other Votrs Voter Total Voted Unweighted Weighted FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION Rows Respondents

33 Page 67 Table 57 Q12c. Generally speaking, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Dianne Feinstein (FINE-STINE), U.S. Senator? Base : Likely Voter (FORM A) Gender Age Ethnicity Education H.S. Some White Grad- Col- Post non- Viet- uate lege/ Col- Grad- Fe- 65 or Hisp- La- Asian Chin- Kor- nam- Other or Trade lege uate Total Male male Older anic tino Black total ese ean ese Asian less Schol Grad Work Unweighted Weighted FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE * * NO OPINION Rows Respondents