South Dakota State Rail Plan

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1 South Dakota State Rail Plan presented to Rail Stakeholders presented by Cambridge Systematics, Inc. in partnership with Civil Design Inc November 2013

2 Agenda State Rail Plan Overview» Purpose, Plan and Process State Rail Plan Content» Examples of work we are conducting Initial System Needs, Issues and Opportunities What We Need From You

3 State Rail Plan Overview Purpose, Plan and Process

4 State Rail Plan Project Team South Dakota DOT» Bruce Lindholm, Project Manager» Misty Siedschlaw Cambridge Systematics» Erika Witzke» Andreas Aeppli Civil Design Inc» Carey Bretsch» Chris Brozik 4

5 State Rail Plan Purpose Develop a State Rail Plan that meets federal requirements (to position South Dakota for possible federal funding)» FRA/PRIIA Compliance» MAP-21 Considerations Identify System Needs Establish State Rail Ownership and Investment Goals» Investment in existing state system infrastructure» Investment in expanding state system» Sale of state-owned assets Become part of the South Dakota Long Range Transportation Plan 5

6 Core Components of a PRIIA State Rail Plan FRA Requirements Vision, Goals and Objectives» Guide actions, programs prioritization» Provide linkages to other DOT initiatives Rail System Inventory and Assessment» System inventory» Performance assessment» Needs, issues and opportunities Planning for the Future» Prioritization of investments» Implementation plan integrated with other state transportation plans and priorities

7 South Dakota State Rail Plan - Project Schedule

8 Stakeholder Outreach and Coordination Three-pronged outreach Coordination with the Rail Plan Advisory Committee (R-PAC)» Three meetings during project Coordination with Regional Rail Stakeholders» Two meetings during project One-on-one interviews conducted in-person or via telephone

9 State Rail Plan Content Examples of work we are conducting

10 South Dakota s Freight Railroad Operators BNSF Railway Canadian Pacific (CP)/Dakota, Minnesota & Eastern Railroad (DME)* CP/SOO Dakota and Iowa Railroad (DAIR)* Dakota, Minnesota Valley and Western Railroad (DMVW)* State Owned Active Rail Miles 17% Active Rail Miles 1,884 miles Other Rail Miles 5% Dakota Southern Railway (DSRC)* Ellis & Eastern Railroad (EE) Sisseton/Milbank Railroad (SMRR) Sunflower Railroad CP/DM&E 30% BNSF 48% 10 * Operate on portions of the State-Owned System

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12 South Dakota Freight Flows All Modes, Tons Thousands of Tons 700, , , , , ,000 Trucks: = 75% moved by truck = 78% moved by truck Rail: = 25% moved by rail = 22% moved by rail 100,000 0 Truck Rail Water Air 2011 TOTAL Tons 382, , TOTAL Tons 651, , Source: Freight Analysis Framework (FAF3.4), STB Waybill and CS

13 South Dakota Freight Flows Truck and Rail Movement Comparison, Tons 500, , ,000 Truck 400,000 Truck Thousands of Tons 300, ,000 Rail Thousands of Tons 300, ,000 Rail 100, , Through Tons 2011 Outbound Tons 2011 Inbound Tons 2011 Intrastate Tons Through Tons 2040 Outbound Tons 2040 Inbound Tons 2040 Intrastate Tons

14 Rail Flows by Service Type 2011 and 2040 Forecast, Tons Auto, 0.08, 0% Intermodal, 0.02, 0% Auto, 0.16, 0% Intermodal, 0.05, 0% Bulk - Other, 13, 10% Bulk - Other, 18, 10% General Merchandise 22, 17% Bulk - Coal, 95, 73% General Merchandise 46, 25% Bulk - Coal, 122, 65% Source: Freight Analysis Framework (FAF3.4), STB Waybill and CS

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16 2011 Rail Flows, Tons Excluding Coal 0.6, 2% 0.5, 1% 0.7, 2% 3.0, 8% 0.8, 2% 1.1, 3% 1.1, 3% 1.4, 4% 1.7, 5% 2.5, 7% in Millions of tons 2.6, 7% 3.3, 9% 3.6, 10% 9.2, 26% 3.8, 11% Cereal Grains (incl. seed) Other Ag Prods., exc. for Animal Feed Alcohol Animal Feed and Prods. of Animal Orig., n.e.c. Crude Petroleum Oil Waste & Scrap Non-Metallic Minerals, n.e.c. Fertilizers Non-Metallic Mineral Prods. Other Prepd. Foodstuffs, & Fats & Oils Metallic Ores & Concentrates Coal & Petroleum Prods., n.e.c. Milled Grain Prods. & Preps., & Bakery Prods. Pulp, Newsprint, Paper, & Paperboard Other 16 Source: STB Waybill and CS

17 2040 Rail Flows, Tons Excluding Coal 0.8, 1% 0.8, 1% Alcohol Cereal Grains (incl. seed) 2.2, 3% 0.8, 1% 1.8, 3% 2.0, 3% 5.2, 8% 12.7, 20% Animal Feed and Prods. of Animal Orig., n.e.c. Other Ag Prods., exc. for Animal Feed Waste & Scrap Non-Metallic Minerals, n.e.c. Non-Metallic Mineral Prods. 2.5, 4% Crude Petroleum Oil 2.8, 4% 4.3, 7% 10.9, 17% Other Prepd. Foodstuffs, & Fats & Oils Metallic Ores & Concentrates Fertilizers 4.6, 7% 6.9, 11% Milled Grain Prods. & Preps., & Bakery Prods. Coal & Petroleum Prods., n.e.c. 6.0, 10% Articles of Base Metal in Millions of tons Other 17 Source: STB Waybill and CS

18 Initial System Needs, Issues and Opportunities

19 South Dakota Rail Changes Since 1980 Ownership changes Abandonments of light traffic lines serving smaller communities Changes in logistics with more grain shipment consolidation at shuttle loading facilities Agriculture production has changed:» Cattle stable 1990 = 1.4B lb 2012 = 1.5B lb» Wheat decreased 1990 = 128M bu 2012 = 78M bu» Corn exploded 1990 = 122M bu 2012 = 768M bu 19

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21 Function Connect Communities, Inbound/Outbound, Tons Rail Volumes (in Millions of Tons) Aberdeen Mitchell Pierre Rapid City SDDOT Planning Region Inbound and Outbound Flows, Only 21 Source: STB Waybill and CS

22 Function Connections to Nat'l & International Markets 2011: 6.9 MTons 2040: 9.2 MTons CAGR: 1.0% 2011: 0.7 MTons 2040: 0.9 MTons CAGR: 0.8% (INTRASTATE) 2011: 0.4 MTons 2040: 0.7 MTons CAGR: 1.7% 2011: 0.01 MTons 2040: 0.02 MTons CAGR: 1.7% 2011: 2.5 MTons 2040: 3.8 MTons CAGR: 1.5% 2011: 2.2 MTons 2040: 3.4 MTons CAGR: 1.5% 2011: 3.1 MTons 2040: 5.9 MTons CAGR: 2.2% 2011: 0.2 MTons 2040: 0.3 MTons CAGR: 1.3% 2011: 0.06 MTons 2040: 0.04 MTons CAGR: -1.7% 2011: 2.8 MTons 2040: 4.7 MTons CAGR: 1.8% 2011: 0.2 MTons 2040: 0.4 MTons CAGR: 3.2% 22 Source: FAF3.4, STB Waybill and CS; Notes: CAGR = Compounded Annualized Growth Rate, MTons = Millions of Tons

23 What We Need From You

24 Questions for Rail Users How do you use the freight system today?» Modes, markets, commodities What aspects of the rail system/service performance do you worry about today? (e.g. access, service reliability, travel time, rates, congestion, infrastructure conditions, safety, equipment availability and condition, other)» What issues are you worried about for the future? Are they different? How do you envision rail working for you in 5 or 10 years? What would it take to increase your use of rail in 5 or 10 years? What physical improvements are needed for the rail system? 24

25 Key State Policy Questions What are the possible implications for South Dakota if the ownership of CP/DM&E line changes? How does rail service fit into statewide economic development plans and strategies? Regional plans and strategies? Should the state continue to own rail lines or sell them? Should the state support investment in public and private rail systems? Is this a good use of state funds? What other roles should the state play in rail? (e.g. leverage funding (public, private) for improvements) 25

26 South Dakota State Rail Plan presented to Rail Stakeholders presented by Cambridge Systematics, Inc. in partnership with Civil Design Inc November 2013