Challenges and experiences in AMA implementation:

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1 Challenges and experiences in AMA implementation: Views from Aspiring Banks Boston, May 14,

2 NOTE All information presented here, as well as all comments discussed here, represent the view of the speaker and do not necessarily represent the policy or practices of ABN AMRO Bank 2

3 Topics for the aspiring banks 1. Is AMA achievable? 2. Is AMA desirable? 3. What is an acceptable AMA timeframe? 3

4 AMA requirements A. Governance framework Set up of roles and responsibilities Set up of reporting / decision structure B. Measurement framework Quantitative aspects (Internal and External Loss data) Qualitative measures (Scenarios, Internal Control Environment) Modelling C. Validation framework Independence D. Use test 4

5 Views of AMA and Operational Risk Management A set of tools with a specific and well defined purpose A mathematical exact way to compute capital Ingredients no longer recognisable post process 5

6 Sample banks The group of 10 sample banks is not intended to be representative. All banks have a retail division and some trading activities, asset management or brokerage. Geographically, they are based in: Asia: Indonesia (2 banks), Taiwan, Kazachstan Middle East: Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, UAE South America: Bolivia, Brazil 6

7 Timeframe for AMA The group of 10 sample banks have different AMA ambitions. The graph below shows the year by which the banks want to be in a position to apply for AMA. Five banks have indicated they intend to apply for AMA. NOTE: The five banks that will not apply for AMA, will all develop AMA-like standards for internal use ME: 3 Asia: 3 SA: 2 7

8 A. Governance Framework Timeline (1/2) Set up of Roles and Responsibilities ME: 2 Asia: 3 SA: 2 ME: 2 Issues (A = Acknowledged; H = Hidden): A: Setting up the appropriate board committee H: Keeping the risk staff fully occupied 8

9 A. Governance Framework Timeline (2/2) Set up of reporting / decision structure Asia: 2 ME: 3 Asia: 2 Issues (A = Acknowledged; H = Hidden): A: Risk committees deal only with Credit Risk and ALM, ORM not an item on the agenda H: Delays in implementation roll out (scheduled for Q2 2007, not yet operational in Q2 2008) 9

10 B. Measurement Framework Timeline (1/3) Quantitative Aspects (Internal and External Loss data) ME: 2 Issues (A = Acknowledged; H = Hidden): A; Few internal losses (as low as 28 losses in 1 year) A: No severe losses ( < 0.1 of profit ) reported A: No established regional loss database (pooled or commercially available) 10

11 B. Measurement Framework Timeline (2/3) Qualitative Aspects (Scenarios and BCE) ME: 2 Asia: 2 Asia: 2 ME: 2 Issues (A = Acknowledged; H = Hidden): A: How to benchmark Scenarios H: BCE not measured consistently H: No authority / capability to develop scenarios 11

12 B. Measurement Framework Timeline (3/3) Modelling ME: 3 Asia: 3 Issues (A = Acknowledged; H = Hidden): H: Modelling tracks without data A: Using externally developed models, requiring unavailable information and thwarting ORM efforts 12

13 C. Validation Framework Timeline (1/1) ME: 2 Asia: 3 Issues (A = Acknowledged; H = Hidden): H: Validation is not on the agenda of all banks A: No independent function 13

14 D. Use test Timeline (1/1) ME: 2 Asia: 2 Issues (A = Acknowledged; H = Hidden): A: Less clarity on internal use for banks that will not apply H: ORM is suffering from renewed attention for credit risk, liquidity Risk 14

15 Pillar 3 example (sample banks) The sample banks all report on Risk in an increasingly transparent way in their annual reports. Data related to the relative number of pages on Risk in the Annual report Avg % <1% 4% Minimum % 1% 2% Maximum % 3% 8% 15

16 Topics for the aspiring banks 1. Is AMA achievable? Internally yes 2. Is AMA desirable? Very much so 3. What is an acceptable AMA timeframe? Two to Three years 16

17 Final Remarks on AMA for aspiring banks AMA is not an off-theshelf product Loss Data is never sufficient for small banks AMA does provide guidance and purpose for ORM, and is indispensable as a roadmap 17