Ely Area Capacity Enhancements

Transcription

1 System Operator Planning a better network for you Ely Area Capacity Enhancements Riz Hanid Senior Sponsor

2 Agenda Introduction on scheme The Interventions A Snapshot of the Economic Analysis The work so far Around the Project Capacity Analysis Integration Communication Next steps Questions 27 Nov 18 2

3 The story so far CP5 Enhancement Delivery Plan including Ely North Junction Govia Thameslink Railway franchise commitment 2tph Kings Lynn to Kings Cross by Dec 2017 Requires doubling of Ely North Jn and level crossing upgrades Sir Peter Hendy Review of CP5 Plan Ely North Junction deferred to CP6 Ely Taskforce established with major stakeholders Network Rail establishes the extent of enhancement actually required in the area Ely Area Scheme is created Abellio Franchise award includes hourly service Colchester to Peterborough by May 2019 Requires enhancements in the Ely Area, level crossing upgrades and potentially Ely to Soham doubling 27 Nov 18 3

4 What is the problem Complexity and geographical location joining of 5 routes Major constraints including infrastructure layout, existing civils structures and signalling and level crossings Not possible to increase train services above 8 ½ trains per hour (tph) Requirement to run more freight paths and passenger services 27 Nov 18 4

5 The Strategic Case Train services today, franchise commitments and future aspirations Current service Existing franchise specification Future service aspirations (medium & long term) Norwich MML 2tph peak (East Midlands Trains) 1tph off peak 1tph off peak 2tph off peak Norwich Cambridge /Stansted 2tph peak (Greater Anglia) 1tph off peak 1tph off peak 2tph off peak Ipswich Peterborough ½tph peak 2tph peak (Greater Anglia) ½tpf off peak 2tph off peak Birmingham Stansted 2tph peak (Cross Country) 1tph off peak 1tph off peak 2tph off peak Kings Cross Kings Lynn 2tph peak 2tph peak 2tph peak (Govia Thameslink Railway) 1tph off peak 2tph off peak 2tph off peak London Liverpool Street Kings Lynn (Greater Anglia) 0tph off peak 0tph off peak 0tph off peak Wisbech (March) Cambridge (N/A) 0tph peak 0tph off peak N/A 1 2tph peak 1 2 tph off peak Freight services 2tph peak 2tph off peak 2tph peak 2tph off peak 3tph peak 3tph off peak Total number of paths through Ely 6½ 8½ tph 8 9 tph tph 27 Nov 18 5

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9 Level Crossing Strategy ORR guidance to consider each Level Crossing risk level to As Low as Is Reasonably Practicable (ALARP). As Low as Is Reasonably Practicable (ALARP) is written to allow room for interpretation. Cost implications, resulting benefits; both safety and economic, public interface/perspective, alongside others, are all potential considerations to understanding what could be deemed as reasonably practicable.

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11 November 2018 Current understanding of Do-Minimum and Do-Something Do Minimum Do Something Infrastructure Current infrastructure + completion of Felixstowe Branch scheme (CP5 scheme). Level crossing work With Ely Area Capacity Enhancement programme (EACE). Excludes Ely Soham doubling. TBC Freight outputs 35 to 36 paths per day 41 to 42 paths per day (+ 6ppd) Passenger Outputs Current timetable Franchise rolling stock As Do minimum + PET-IPS 0.5 to 1 tph (franchise commitment) / 11

12 November 2018 Freight benefits Extra capacity (+ 6ppd) is based on capacity analysis (draft) using RailSys. Study area: Felixstowe to Nuneaton via Ely. Extra freight trains are between Felixstowe and Nuneaton in each direction. Analysis based on May 2018 timetable and assumes (under Do-Minimum & Do- Something): Recasting of timetable on Felixstowe branch line. Standardisation of non-intermodal freight paths. / 12

13 Ely Area Capacity Enhancement Capability Analysis 5 Step Plan Draw the WSP designs within our timetabling software models Ely WSP designs and their combinations ESA2.5 ENJ1 Linking the designs together to match the combinations provided by WSP We re here ESA2.5 NA5.1 Do analysis to determine whether the combinations meet the specified train planning rules and requirements ESA2.5 ESA2.4 NA5.2 ENJ2 Quality assure our processes and calculations Write up our findings and identify which combinations meet specified requirements Progression ESA1.3 NA4 Designs being inputted into modelling software Quality assuring the designs 3 more WSP plans to be inputted Start testing train planning rules mid November 2018 Due to complete modelling and report by January 2019 /

14 Scheme Integration Ely Rail Scheme Ely Area Programme OBC Haughley Junction Ely Road Scheme

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17 Next steps Rail Design Capacity Analysis Estimating Level Crossing Assessments Peer review OBC Testing

18 Questions