VDSL within the analysis of the market 12
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1 VDSL within the analysis of the market 12 Dr. Ulrich Stumpf VDSL The way to Next Generation Networks, WIK International Conference, Königswinter
2 Overview Objective and scope of market reviews Relevant Markets Recommendation Results of market reviews Issues for future market reviews 1
3 Overview Objective and scope of market reviews Relevant Markets Recommendation Results of market reviews Issues for future market reviews 2
4 Objective of market reviews Promote competition through ex ante regulation where competition law alone is not sufficient By making retail markets more competitive, ultimately produce benefits for end-users Keep ex ante regulation to necessary minimum Consistency across Member States 3
5 Scope of market reviews Define relevant markets susceptible to ex ante regulation largely based on Recommendation Conduct market analysis (SMP?) Select remedies from menu specified in Directives (match potential competition problems) 4
6 Overview Objective and scope of market reviews Relevant Markets Recommendation Results of market reviews Issues for future market reviews 5
7 Relevant Markets Recommendation Initial Recommendation revised 2007 to cover market reviews up to 2009/10 Based on conditions in representative Member States Largely reflects current generation networks - Migration to All-IP networks not addressed 6
8 Relevant Markets Recommendation Broadband competition on an end-to-end basis absent ex ante regulation not effective / 3-criteria test fulfilled With ULL + WBA in place, retail broadband market no longer fulfills 3-criteria test Therefore ULL + WBA recommended for regulation, but not retail broadband market 7
9 Relevant Markets Recommendation ULL - Access to the ULL at MDF or street cabinet and functional alternatives WBA - Wide WBA market strong presumption that it includes all speeds - NRAs to choose narrower WBA market definitions if justified: high/low quality, type of interface, regional/national, etc. 8
10 Overview Objective and scope of market reviews Relevant Markets Recommendation Result of market reviews Issues for future market reviews 9
11 Result of market reviews ULL - SMP everwhere - Extensive access regulation 10
12 Result of market reviews WBA - WBA markets include VDSL - Distinction of narrower markets based on quality of service, type of interface, regional/national, etc. - Some NRAs include cable because of indirect pricing constraint - National market, except in UK in future 11
13 Result of market reviews WBA (contin d) - SMP almost everywhere, except NL, and potentially UK - Extensive access regulation almost everywhere, including WBA through VDSL connections (where available) - Commission re NL: Better use 3-criteria test, rather than lack of SMP, to justy removal of ex ante regulation 12
14 Overview Objective and scope of market reviews Relevant Markets Recommendation Result of market reviews Issues for future market reviews 13
15 Issues for future WBA market reviews ULL - Access to ULL at MDF phased out following migration to All-IP access networks - SLU + SDF backhaul/access to dark fibre or ducts may not be an equivalent alternative - How to design paths for phasing-out MDF access and migration to SLU? 14
16 Issues for future WBA market reviews WBA - At last a separate market for high-speed WBA that includes WBA via VDSL? Depends on what share of high-speed WBA is used for new retail services - Regional markets to reflect different conditions of competition? 15
17 Issues for future WBA market reviews WBA (contin d) - Where higher speed creates new retail and possibly new wholesale market, mandate WBA via VDSL connections, but limit its speed to what is need for existing services (Cave/Economic Experts Report)? - or allow charges for WBA via VDSL connections to reflect higher cost of capital or be reasonable? 16
18 Issues for future WBA market reviews Removal of ex ante regulation for WBA? - Only if cable is strong, ULL-based networks are rolled out and SLU is an equivalent alternative (where MDF access is phased out) - Use 3-criteria test rather than SMP test 17
19 Issues for future WBA market reviews A new analysis of susceptibilty to ex ante regulation needed - Commission to do this with new Recommendation only in 2009/10 - Large variation across Europe re migration to All-IP networks, relevance of cable and WiMax NRAs to go ahead reflecting national situation Commission and ERG guidance 18
20 Dr. Ulrich Stumpf wik-consult GmbH Postfach Bad Honnef
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