JACOBS CONSULTANCY INC. (FORMERLY THE PACE CONSULTANTS INC.) Rogerdale Road. Houston, Texas Fax
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1 (FORMERLY THE PACE CONSULTANTS INC.) Rogerdale Road Suite Phone Houston, Texas Fax
2 CONTACTS MICHAEL D. STEWART (DIRECTOR) ( YASMIN R. BROWN (GROUP MANAGER) (
3 Topical Outline A B MANAGEMENT SUMMARY CALCINED PETROLEUM COKE MARKET HIGHLIGHTS AND OUTLOOK The Market Overview First Half 2013 Second Half 2013 Aluminum Market CPC Price Drivers CPC Demand Sectors Aluminum Titanium Dioxide Needle Coke Recarburizer Specialty Coke CPC Quality... GPC Availability The Pace Blend Quality Anode-Grade GPC Supply/Demand Supply Contracts At-Risk Cokers Limiting GPC Supply GPC Pricing Calciner Capacity Outlook C WORLD MARKETS North America United States Canada Western Europe Latin America The Middle East Africa Other Asia Oceania China CIS and Eastern Europe i
4 List of Tables SECTION B B.1 Primary Aluminum Production Forecast B.2 Smelting Technology B.3 North American TiO 2 Chloride Plants B.4a Typical Green Needle Coke Specifications B.4b Typical Calcined Needle Coke Specifications B.5a Typical Global Anode-Grade Calcined Coke Specifications B.5b Typical Global Anode-Grade GPC Specifications B.6 Third Quarter 2013 GPC (Blend) Qualities B.7 GPC Blend Qualities (2012 vs B.8 Jacobs Consultancy Calcinable Quality Feedstock Summary U.S. Gulf Coast B.9 Announced/Speculative Calciner Expansions Section C C.1 Anode-Grade Calcined Coke 2013 Regional Balances C.2 Green Coke Imports C.3a Norwegian Aluminum Smelters C.3b Icelandic Aluminum Smelters C.3c German Aluminum Smelters C.4a Planned Turnarounds/Shutdowns European Cokers 2013 C.4b Planned Turnarounds/Shutdowns European Cokers 2014 C.5 Petrobras Cokers C.6 Middle East Smelters 2013 C.7 African Smelters 2013 C.8 Japanese Calciners C.9 Indian Calciners C.10 Other Asian Cokers C.11 Oceania Smelters 2013 C.12 Typical Chinese CPC Specification C.13 Chinese Petroleum Coke Production 2013 C.14 CIS/Eastern Europe Primary Aluminum Production 2013 APPENDIX Aluminum Smelting Technology TiO 2 Pigment Manufacture 1 Effective Production Capacity of World Primary Aluminum Producers: Major Primary Aluminum Smelter Capacity Additions 3 Production Capacity & Planned Expansions of Chinese Primary Aluminum Producers World Operating Calciner Capacity 5 World Calcined Coke Supply/Demand Balance e Anode-Grade GPC Production By Region 7 Anode-Grade Cokers at Risk/Shutdown 2013 ii
5 List of Figures SECTION A A.1 Diversities within the Carbon Industry A.2 Carbon Use by Consumer Markets A.3 World Calcined Coke Demand Sectors A.4 TAC Supply vs. Anode-Grade GPC Demand A.5 World Calcined Coke Capacity Forecast ( ) A.6 World Calcining Capacity 2013e SECTION B B.1 Anode-Grade Calcined Petroleum Coke Prices Export Markets B.2 World Calcined Petroleum Coke Demand 2013 B.3 Global CPC Demand History and Forecast B.4 World Demand CPC Market B.5 Change in World Primary Aluminum Production Market Share (By Region) B.6 Representative Aluminum Smelting Costs B and 2013e Chloride Route Production Share B Chloride Route Regional Capacities (% Basis) B.9a TAC Supply vs. Anode-Grade GPC Demand B.9b Percent Anode-Grade GPC Availability w/entire NTAC Pool Vs World Aluminum Demand B.9c Percent Anode-Grade GPC Availability w/qualified NTACs Vs World Aluminum Demand B.9d Worldwide Anode-Grade GPC Supply Pool vs. Anode-Grade GPC Demand B.10 World Petcoke Supply B.11 Traditional Anode-Grade GPC Supply Trend & Forecast by Region ( ) B.12 Anode GPC Market Situation B.13 U.S. Gulf Coast Anode-Grade Green Coke Blend Prices - Yearly Average B.14 U.S. Gulf Coast Calcinable Green Coke Blend Category Prices - Yearly Average B.15 World Calcined Coke Capacity Forecast B.16a World Calcining Capacity 2013 (estimate) B.16b Projected Calcined Capacity Expansion Products B.17 World Reserve Calcining Capacity B.18 World CPC Capacity vs. Demand ( ) B.19a Calciner Capacity Types West (ex China and CIS/Russia) B.19b Calciner Capacity Types World B.20a Merchant Calciners West ex. China/CIS (2013) B.20b Merchant Calciners World 2013 B.21 Top CPC Producers in the World 2013 iii
6 List of Figures (continued) SECTION C C.1 North America Primary Aluminum Production C.2 U.S. Calcining Industry Operating Statistics Calcinable Green Coke Imports C.3 Argentina to United States C.4 Brazil to United States C.5 China to United States C.6 Kuwait to United States C.7 U.S. Imports of Calciner Feedstock C.8 Rio Tinto Alcan Smelter Production 2013 C.9 Chinese Primary Aluminum Production Forecast C.10 Chinese Petroleum Coke Demand Forecast ( ) APPENDIX 1 United States Aluminum Smelters in Operation 2 United States Calciners in Operation 3 United States Cokers in Operation 4 Canadian Aluminum Smelters in Operation 5 Canadian Cokers and Calciners in Operation 6 Western Europe Aluminum Smelters in Operation 7 Western Europe Cokers and Calciners in Operation 8 Latin America Aluminum Smelters in Operation 9 Latin America Cokers and Calciners in Operation 10 Middle East/Asia Aluminum Smelters in Operation 10a Middle Eastern Cokers and Calciners in Operation 10b India Cokers and Calciners in Operation 10c Southern Asia, Malaysia, Indonesia Cokers and Calciners in Operation 10d Japan, Korea, Taiwan Cokers and Calciners in Operation 11 African Aluminum Smelters in Operation 12 African Cokers and Calciners in Operation 13 Oceania Aluminum Smelters in Operation 14 China Aluminum Smelters in Operation 15 Major Chinese Calciners in Operation 16 Major Chinese Cokers in Operation 17 CIS and Eastern Europe Aluminum Smelters in Operation 18 CIS and Eastern European Calciners in Operation 19 CIS and Eastern Europe Cokers in Operation iv
Total Net Exports 105, , , , , , , , , , ,153
Wheat Trade Net Exporters Argentina 7,495 6,454 7,206 6,988 7,144 7,205 7,343 7,492 7,737 7,766 7,711 Australia 18,900 20,066 20,021 20,047 20,254 20,486 20,827 21,027 21,262 21,494 21,619 Canada 17,600
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