Little Book of Meat Facts

Transcription

1 Little Book of Meat Facts Compendium of Welsh Red Meat and Livestock Industry Statistics 2018 meatpromotion.wales

2 No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form by any means without the prior written consent of HCC. Whilst all reasonable care has been taken in preparation, no warranty is given as to its accuracy and to the maximum extent permitted by law no liability accepted for any loss or damage caused by reliance upon any statement or omission from this publication.

3 Contents Foreword Hybu Cig Cymru Meat Promotion Wales (HCC) is the industry led organisation responsible for the development, promotion and marketing of Welsh red meat. Development within the Industry HCC undertakes research and development, dissemination of information and training relevant to each part of the supply chain, to ensure the Welsh red meat industry is in a position to improve quality, increase cost-effectiveness and add value to Welsh red meat products across the whole supply chain. Market Development HCC is active in many important markets worldwide: developing and strengthening business opportunities for Welsh red meat exporters. At home HCC works with retailers, independents and food service operators, undertaking regular promotional programmes for Protected Geographical Indication (PGI) Welsh Lamb and Welsh Beef. Communicating HCC ensures that information regarding developments relating to Welsh red meat are made known to stakeholders and consumers. For more information on any of the above topics, please visit the website at meatpromotion.wales or contact HCC on or by at info@hccmpw.org.uk 1

4 Contents Page Section 1 General Information Figure 1.1 Most common farm types in Wales, by region, June Table 1.1 Human population and land area by Welsh region and UK country, Table 1.2 Agricultural holdings by size (ha) and by UK country, Table 1.3 Welsh holdings by farm type, June Figure 1.2 Distribution of farms, cattle and sheep by farm type Table 1.4 Value of Welsh agricultural output, Table 1.5 Contribution of agriculture to the regional UK economies, Table 1.6 Farm business income by country and type of farm...11 Table 1.7 Direct payments to farmers in the UK...12 Table 1.8 Prinicipal grants and subsidies - total payment in Wales...12 Table 1.9 Number and throughputs of all Welsh abattoirs...13 Figure 1.3 Changes in Welsh abattoir numbers...13 Figure 1.4 Monthly livestock auction market throughputs, Cattle, England & Wales, Figure 1.5 Monthly livestock auction market throughputs, Sheep, England & Wales, Table 1.10 Auction markets by size of finished stock throughput in Wales, Table 1.11 Auction market throughputs of finished stock by GB country, Table 1.12 Abattoirs in Wales slaughtering cattle, sheep and pigs, March Figure 1.6 Changes in total UK meat consumption...17 Figure 1.7 Changes in red meat purchases by product in GB, 2017/ Figure 1.8 Comparison of retail market share by meat type in GB...18 Figure 1.9 Retailer volume share of total red meat trade in GB,

5 Contents Page Section 2 Cattle Figure 2.1 Beef cattle density in Wales, June Figure 2.2 Dairy cattle density in Wales, June Table 2.1 Welsh cattle numbers by category...22 Table 2.2 Changes in number of holdings in Wales with beef and dairy cows...22 Figure 2.3 Changes in cattle numbers in Wales...23 Figure 2.4 Calf registrations on holdings in Wales, Table 2.3 Suckler calf production costs in Wales, 2016/ Table 2.4 Throughput of cattle and calves in Welsh abattoirs...25 Table 2.5 Total cattle slaughterings by UK country, Table 2.6 Percentage distribution of prime cattle carcases in GB by conformation and fat class, Table 2.7 Number and throughputs of abattoirs in Wales slaughtering cattle...26 Figure 2.5 Retailer volume shares of beef sales in GB, Table 2.8 Changes in beef purchases, expenditure and average price in Wales & GB, 2017/ Table 2.9 Volume and value of UK beef imports...28 Table 2.10 Volume and value of UK beef exports...28 Table 2.11 UK beef imports...29 Table 2.12 UK beef exports...30 Table 2.13 UK monthly beef trade, Table 2.14 Deadweight cattle prices in England and Wales...31 Table 2.15 Liveweight cattle prices in England and Wales...32 Table 2.16 Rearing calf prices in England and Wales...32 Figure 2.6 Seasonality of prime cattle liveweight prices, England and Wales, Table 2.17 Store cattle prices in England and Wales...33 Figure 2.7 Seasonality of beef sales at GB retail by cut...34 Figure 2.8 Age profile of male and female prime cattle at GB abattoirs, Figure 2.9 Retail beef cuts sold in GB by volume,

6 Contents Page Section 2 Cattle (cont) Table 2.18 Retail prices for selected beef cuts in Wales...36 Table 2.19 GB farm to retail price spread beef...37 Figure 2.10 Changes in beef retail price spread...38 Table 2.20 UK beef and veal balance sheet...38 Section 3 Sheep Figure 3.1 Sheep and lamb density in Wales, June Table 3.1 Sheep numbers in Wales by category Table 3.2 Changes in number of holdings in Wales with sheep Figure 3.2 Changes in breeding ewe numbers in Wales Table 3.3 Lamb production costs in Wales, 2016/ Table 3.4 Throughput of total sheep in Welsh abattoirs...42 Table 3.5 Total sheep slaughterings by UK country, Table 3.6 Percentage distribution of lamb carcases in Wales by conformation and fat class, Table 3.7 Number and throughputs of abattoirs in Wales slaughtering sheep...43 Figure 3.3 Retailer volume shares of lamb sales in GB, Table 3.8 Changes in lamb purchases, expenditure and average price in Wales & West and GB, 2017/ Table 3.9 Volume and value of UK sheep meat imports...45 Table 3.10 Volume and value of UK sheep meat exports...45 Table 3.11 UK sheep meat imports Table 3.12 UK sheep meat exports...47 Table 3.13 UK monthly sheep meat trade, Table 3.14 Deadweight sheep prices in GB...48 Table 3.15 Liveweight sheep prices in Wales...49 Figure 3.4 Seasonality of prime lamb liveweight prices, Wales, Table 3.16 Store sheep prices in England and Wales...50 Figure 3.5 Seasonality of lamb sales at GB retail by cut...51 Table 3.17 Retail prices for selected lamb cuts in Wales...52 Figure 3.6 Retail lamb cuts sold in GB by volume,

7 Contents Page Section 3 Sheep (cont) Figure 3.7 Percentage of lambs meeting target specification by weight range in Wales, Table 3.18 GB farm to retail price spread lamb...54 Figure 3.8 Changes in lamb retail price spread...55 Table 3.19 UK sheep meat balance sheet...55 Section 4 Pigs Table 4.1 Pig numbers in Wales by category...56 Table 4.2 Changes in number of holdings in Wales with pigs...56 Figure 4.1 Changes in breeding pig numbers in Wales...56 Table 4.3 Throughput of pigs in Welsh abattoirs...57 Table 4.4 Total pig slaughterings by UK country, Table 4.5 Number and throughputs of abattoirs in Wales slaughtering pigs...58 Figure 4.2 Retailer volume share of pork sales in GB, Table 4.6 Changes in pork purchases, expenditure and average price in Wales and GB, 2017/ Table 4.7 Volume and value of UK pig meat imports...59 Table 4.8 Volume and value of UK pig meat exports...60 Table 4.9 UK pig meat imports...60 Table 4.10 UK pig meat exports...61 Table 4.11 UK monthly pork trade, Table 4.12 Deadweight pig prices in GB...63 Figure 4.3 Seasonality of pork sales at GB retail by cut Table 4.13 Retail prices for selected pork cuts in Wales...65 Figure 4.4 Retail pork cuts sold by volume in GB by volume, Table 4.14 GB farm to retail price spread pork...67 Figure 4.5 Changes in pork retail price spread...68 Table 4.15 UK pig meat balance sheet

8 Notes and abbreviations Where dates are written, for example, as 2017/18, this implies the financial year from April 2017 to March Volume data is shown in tonnes, carcase weight equivalent, unless otherwise specified. Kantar Worldpanel data for 2017 is for the 52 week period ending 31 December The Kantar Worldpanel data was reported at the end of May 2018 and is subject to revision. North East Wales: Denbighshire, Flintshire, Conwy, Wrexham North West Wales: Isle of Anglesey, Gwynedd South Wales: Swansea, Neath Port Talbot, Bridgend, Vale of Glamorgan, Cardiff, Rhondda Cynon Taf, Merthyr Tydfil, Caerphilly, Blaenau Gwent, Torfaen, Monmouthshire, Newport Figures in the tables do not always add up to the totals shown because of rounding. AHDB Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board APP All Pig Price BCMS British Cattle Movement Service DAPP Deadweight Average Pig Prices DARDNI Department of Agriculture and Rural Development Northern Ireland Defra Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs EFS Expenditure and Food Survey EU European Union FSA Food Standards Agency GBU GB Livestock Units GVA Gross Value Added Ha Hectare HCC Meat Promotion Wales IAAS Institute of Auctioneers and Appraisers in Scotland LAA Livestock Auctioneers Association LFA Less Favoured Area RPA Rural Payments Agency SQQ Standard Quality Quotation - = none SPP Standard Pig Price na= not available 6

9 Section 1 General Information Figure 1.1 Most common farm types in Wales, by region, June 2016 Key Main Farm Type Dairy Cattle & sheep (lowland) Cattle & sheep (LFA) Source: GI Services Branch, DEPC, Aberystwyth Crown copyright 7

10 Section 1 General Information Table 1.1 Human population and land area by Welsh region and by UK country, 2016 Human population (000 head) Land area (sq km) Carmarthenshire 186 2,372 Ceredigion 74 1,790 North East Wales 502 2,910 North West Wales 193 3,262 Pembrokeshire 124 1,619 Powys 132 5,196 South Wales 1,902 3,630 Wales 3,113 20,780 England 55, ,281 Scotland 5,405 77,925 Northern Ireland 1,862 13,576 United Kingdom 65, ,562 Source: Welsh Government Table 1.2 Agricultural holdings by size (hectares) by UK country, 2017 Wales England Scotland Northern Ireland Number of holdings (000) Total area (000 ha) Average area (ha) % of total numbers <20 ha ha ha >100 ha % of total area on holdings with 100 hectares and over: Note: Numbers may not total 100% due to rounding. Source: Agriculture in the United Kingdom 2017, Defra 8

11 Section 1 General Information Table 1.3 Welsh holdings by farm type, June 2017 Source: Welsh Government Holdings (number) Share of total (%) Cattle and sheep (LFA) 6, Cattle and sheep (lowland) 1, Dairy 1, Mixed (a) Cereals Specialist pigs or poultry Horticulture General cropping Other types (b) Very small (c) 13, Dormant holdings 13, Total number of holdings 38,470 (a) Combination of cropping with various types of livestock (b) Mainly grass and forage or specialist horses (c) Holdings with small amounts of agricultural activity are grouped together irrespective of farm type. Note: Numbers may not total 100% due to rounding. Source: Welsh Government Figure 1.2 Distribution of farms, cattle and sheep by farm type 2017 % Dairy Cattle & sheep (LFA) Farms Source: Welsh Government Cattle & sheep Other types (non-lfa) Cattle Sheep Very small 9

12 Section 1 General Information Table 1.4 Value of Welsh agricultural output, 2016 Value Share of total value ( million) % Milk & milk products Finished cattle Finished sheep & lambs Poultry & eggs Store cattle & sheep sales Finished pigs Total cereal Horticulture & potatoes Other products Capital formation in livestock (a) Other agricultural activities Total Wales 1,420 Total England 17,396 Total Scotland 2,821 Total Northern Ireland 1,784 United Kingdom 23,421 (a) Investment in buildings, work physically undertaken by the farmer and the value of the physical increase in breeding livestock. Note: Numbers may not total 100% due to rounding. Source: Welsh Government, Agriculture in the United Kingdom 2017, Defra 10

13 Section 1 General Information Table 1.5 Contribution of agriculture to the regional UK economies, 2017 (p) Agricultural gross value added (GVA) at basic prices (p) Provisional Note: England data based on commercial holdings only. Source: Agriculture in the United Kingdom 2017, Defra Table 1.6 Farm business income by country and type of farm (At current prices) 2015/ / /18 (p) ( 000/farm) Wales: Dairy Grazing livestock (LFA) Grazing livestock (lowland) England: Dairy Grazing livestock (LFA) Grazing livestock (lowland) Specialist pigs Scotland: Dairy n/a Grazing livestock (LFA) n/a Northern Ireland: Dairy Grazing livestock (LFA) (p) Provisional Note: Standard output typology. Source: Agriculture in the United Kingdom 2017, Defra Total income from farming Agriculture s share of total regional workforce ( million) ( million) (%) Wales England 7,799 4, Scotland 1, Northern Ireland United Kingdom 10,300 5,

14 Section 1 General Information Table 1.7 Direct payments to farmers in the UK (p) ( million) Basic/Single Payment Scheme 2,203 2,654 2,719 Agri-environment schemes LFA support schemes Animal disease compensation Other (a) n/a (a) Includes one-off payments (p) Provisional Source: Agriculture in the United Kingdom 2017, Defra Table 1.8 Principal grants and subsidies in Wales ( million) Basic Payment Scheme Glastir Advanced Glastir Entry Glastir Commons Glastir Woodland Glastir Organic Glastir Small Grants Note: Payments are made on a continuous basis and as such are always subject to revision. Source: Welsh Government 12

15 Section 1 General Information Table 1.9 Number and throughputs of all Welsh abattoirs Abattoirs (number) Throughputs (%) GB Livestock Units* , ,001-10, ,001-30, , , ,001 and over Total * GB Livestock Unit = 1 cattle beast = 5 sheep = 2 pigs Note: Numbers may not total 100%, due to rounding. Source: HCC Figure 1.3 Changes in Welsh abattoir numbers* Number /90 90/91 91/92 92/93 93/94 94/95 95/96 96/97 97/98 98/99 99/00 00/01 01/02 02/ * Figures for are for calendar years; previous figures relate to year ended March. Source: HCC 13

16 Section 1 General Information Figure 1.4 Number 20,000 Monthly livestock auction market throughputs, Cattle, England and Wales, ,000 10,000 5,000 0 Source: AHDB, LAA Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Prime cattle Cull cows Figure 1.5 Monthly livestock auction market throughputs, Sheep, England and Wales, 2017 Number 500, , , , ,000 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Prime lambs Cull ewes Source: AHDB, LAA 14

17 Section 1 General Information Table 1.10 Auction markets by size of finished stock throughput in Wales, 2017 GB Livestock Units* Number of markets Total marketings (GBU) * GB Livestock Unit = 1 cattle beast = 5 sheep = 2 pigs Source: AHDB, LAA Average throughput (GBU) Share of throughput (%) 1-5, ,254 3, ,001-10, ,690 7, ,001-15, ,817 12, ,001-30, ,221 29, ,001 and over 3 151,030 50, Total ,012 12, Table 1.11 Auction market throughputs of finished stock by GB country, 2017 (000 head) Wales England Scotland GB Total prime cattle Cull cows Total prime sheep 1,154 3, ,868 Cull ewes 366 1, ,932 Clean pigs Cull sows Source: AHDB, LAA, IAAS 15

18 Section 1 General Information Table 1.12 Abattoirs in Wales slaughtering cattle, sheep and pigs, March 2018 Trading Name Location Species Slaughtering 2 Sisters Red Meat Ltd T/A St. Merryn Foods Merthyr Tydfil Cattle Sheep Cig Calon Cymru 2010 Cyf Cross Hands Cattle Sheep Cig Oen Caron Tregaron Cattle Sheep Pigs Conwy Valley Meats Ltd Llanrwst Cattle Sheep D & J Thomas Wrexham Cattle Sheep Pigs D T Harvard Caerphilly Cattle Sheep Pigs Dunbia (Wales) Llanybydder Sheep E T Jones, Sons & Daughter Holyhead Cattle Sheep Pigs Evan Roberts & Sons Blaenau Ffestiniog Cattle Sheep Farmers Fresh (Wales) Ltd Wrexham Sheep G R Evans & Co Corwen Cattle Sheep Pigs Jones Bros Wrexham Cattle Sheep Pigs J Williams and Co Denbigh Cattle Sheep Pigs CJ & AJ Butler Ltd Swansea Cattle Sheep Pigs M K (Wales) Ltd Maesteg Cattle Sheep Pigs N S James Raglan Sheep Pigs Randall Parker Foods Ltd Llanidloes Cattle Sheep William Lloyd Williams and Son Machynlleth Cattle Sheep Pigs W J George (Butchers) Ltd Brecon Cattle Sheep Pigs Plants listed in alphabetical order. Source: HCC 16

19 Section 1 General Information Figure 1.6 Changes in total UK meat consumption 000 tonnes 2,500 2,000 1,500 1, Beef & veal Sheep meat Pig meat Poultry Source: AHDB 17

20 Section 1 General Information Figure 1.7 Changes in red meat purchases by product in GB, 2017/16 % Pork leg roasting joint Beef frying/grilling Beef mince Beef Beef stewing Pork chops/steaks Pork Pork belly Lamb mince Pork loin roasting Beef roasting Lamb chops/steaks Lamb Lamb leg roasting joint Pork shoulder roasting joint Lamb stewing Lamb shoulder roasting joint Source: Kantar Worldpanel Figure 1.8 Comparison of retail market share by red meat type in GB % Beef Lamb Pork Other red meat Source: Kantar Worldpanel 18

21 Section 1 General Information Figure 1.9 Retailer volume share of total red meat trade in GB, 2017 % Total red meat Beef Lamb Pork Total butchers All others Total supermarkets Source: Kantar Worldpanel 19

22 Section 2 Cattle Figure 2.1 Beef cattle density in Wales, June 2016 Key Density of beef cattle per hectare of grassland under at least 0.3 Source: GI Services Branch, DEPC, Aberystwyth Crown copyright 20

23 Section 2 Cattle Figure 2.2 Dairy cattle density in Wales, June 2016 Key Density of dairy cattle per hectare of grassland under at least 0.8 Source: GI Services Branch, DEPC, Aberystwyth Crown copyright 21

24 Section 2 Cattle Table 2.1 Welsh cattle numbers by category (000 head) June 2015 June 2016 June 2017 Cattle aged 2 years or more Female dairy breeds Female non-dairy breeds Males Cattle aged 1-2 years Female dairy breeds Female non-dairy breeds Males Cattle under 1 year Female dairy breeds Female non-dairy breeds Males Total cattle and calves 1,119 1,134 1,137 Source: Cattle Tracing System Table 2.2 Changes in number of holdings in Wales with beef and dairy cows June 2007 June 2017 Dairy females (a) 234, ,176 Number of dairy cow holdings 3,835 2,741 Average dairy herd size (head) Beef females (a) 195, ,828 Number of beef cow holdings 9,029 7,302 Average beef size herd (head) Total number of cattle and calf holdings 12,831 10,587 (a) Females aged 2 years or more that have calved Source: Cattle Tracing System 22

25 Section 2 Cattle Figure 2.3 Changes in cattle numbers in Wales 000 head Source: Cattle Tracing System Number 20,000 Calves < 1yr Cows > 2yrs, non-dairy breeds Cattle 1-2 yrs Cows > 2yrs, dairy breeds Figure 2.4 Calf registrations on holdings in Wales, ,000 10,000 5,000 0 January February March April May June July August September October November Female (Dairy) Male (Dairy) Female (Beef) Male (Beef) Source: Cattle Tracing System December 23

26 Section 2 Cattle Table 2.3 Suckler calf production costs in Wales, 2016/17 All farms (average) Bottom third (high cost) (pence per kg liveweight) Top third (low cost) Feed & forage Veterinary & medicines Other Total variable costs Herd replacement Labour Power & machinery Finance & general farm costs Rent Total fixed costs Total costs * Data relates to financial year ended March Based on 49 suckler herds. Top third and bottom third rankings are determined by net margin. Total costs comprise variable, fixed and herd replacement costs. Source: Farm Business Survey in Wales 24

27 Section 2 Cattle Table 2.4 Source: Defra Throughput of cattle and calves in Welsh abattoirs Slaughterings (000 head) Production (000 tonnes) by month: January February March April May June July August September October November December Table 2.5 Total cattle slaughterings by UK country, 2017 Wales England Scotland Great Britain Source: Defra (000 head) Northern Ireland 134 1, ,

28 Section 2 Cattle Table 2.6 Percentage distribution of prime cattle carcases in GB by conformation and fat class, 2017 Fat class Increasing fatness Conformation class Improving conformation L 4H 5L 5H Overall E U U R O O P P Overall Source: AHDB Table 2.7 Number and throughputs of abattoirs in Wales slaughtering cattle* Abattoirs (number) Throughputs (000 head) Annual throughput: , ,001-5, ,001 and over Total * Figures from Welsh Red Meat Levy returns Source: HCC 26

29 Section 2 Cattle Figure 2.5 Retailer volume share of beef sales in GB % Tesco Asda Morrisons Sainsbury's Aldi Lidl Waitrose The Co-Operative Butchers All Others Source: Kantar Worldpanel Table 2.8 Changes in beef purchases, expenditure and average price in Wales & West and GB, 2017/16 Wales & West Beef purchases (tonnes) Beef purchases (% change) Beef expenditure ( million) Beef expenditure (% change) Beef average price ( /kg) Beef average price (% change) 25, GB 284, , Source: Kantar Worldpanel 27

30 Section 2 Cattle Table 2.9 Volume and value of UK beef imports Fresh/frozen beef and veal Offal (000 tonnes) ( million) (000 tonnes) ( million) Note: Volumes are shipped product weight. Source: HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC) Table 2.10 Volume and value of UK beef exports Fresh/frozen beef and veal Offal (000 tonnes) ( million) (000 tonnes) ( million) Note: Volumes are shipped product weight. Source: HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC) 28

31 Section 2 Cattle Table 2.11 UK beef imports (000 tonnes, product weight) Total beef and veal Of which from: Ireland Netherlands Germany Spain Italy Poland France Belgium Uruguay Denmark Shares by type: Frozen Fresh/chilled Processed beef Of which from: Brazil Source: HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC) 29

32 Section 2 Cattle Table 2.12 UK beef exports (000 tonnes, product weight) Total beef and veal Of which to: Irish Republic Netherlands France Italy Germany Belgium Source: HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC) Table 2.13 UK monthly beef trade, 2017 UK beef imports UK beef exports (000 tonnes, product weight) January February March April May June July August September October November December Source: HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC) 30

33 Section 2 Cattle Table 2.14 Deadweight cattle prices in England and Wales* R4L steers R4L young bulls R4L heifers -O4L cows (pence per kilogram deadweight) by month: January February March April May June July August September October November December * Prices collected from a sample of abattoirs slaughtering more than 20,000 cattle annually. Source: AHDB 31

34 Section 2 Cattle Table 2.15 Liveweight cattle prices in England and Wales* Steers Young bulls Heifers Cull cows (pence per kilogram liveweight) by month: January February March April May June July August September October November December * Prices collected from English and Welsh auction markets. Source: AHDB, LAA Table 2.16 Rearing calf prices in England and Wales Friesian/ Holstein Hereford X Continental X ( /head) Bulls Bulls Heifers Bulls Heifers Source: AHDB, LAA 32

35 Section 2 Cattle Figure 2.6 Seasonality of prime cattle liveweight prices, England and Wales, Pence per kilogram Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Source: AHDB, LAA Table 2.17 Store cattle prices in England and Wales Yearlings 18 months 2 years ( /head) Steers Heifers Steers Heifers Steers Heifers Friesian/Holstein Hereford X Continental X Source: AHDB, LAA 33

36 Section 2 Cattle Figure 2.7 Seasonality of beef sales at GB retail by cut 2017 % market share (cuts) 60 tonnes (cumulative) 30, , , ,000 10, , Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug-17 4 week period ending 10-Sep Oct Nov Dec Dec-17 0 Beef frying/grilling Beef roasting Beef stewing Beef mince Beef other Beef (cumulative sales) Source: Kantar Worldpanel 34

37 Section 2 Cattle Figure 2.8 Number 120,000 Age profile of male and female prime cattle at GB abattoirs, ,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20, Age (months) Male Female Source: Cattle Tracing System Figure 2.9 Retail beef cuts sold in GB by volume, % 16.8% 51.5% 11.4% Beef roasting Beef stewing Beef frying/grilling Beef mince Beef other 17.7% Source: Kantar Worldpanel 35

38 Section 2 Cattle Table 2.18 Retail prices for selected beef cuts in Wales* Topside Sirloin steak Fillet steak Standard mince (pence per kilogram) ,024 1,901 3, ,907 3, ,952 3, by month: January 889 1,950 3, February 990 1,953 3, March 1,010 1,953 3, April 929 1,953 3, May 1,002 1,953 3, June 1,018 1,953 3, July 1,013 1,950 3, August 967 1,949 3, September 1,015 1,949 3, October 970 1,949 3, November 1,028 1,953 3, December 920 1,958 3, * Prices collected from a representative sample of multiple retailers, independent retailers and butchers. Source: AHDB 36

39 Section 2 Cattle Table 2.19 GB farm to retail price spread beef Average farm Average retail price price* Price spread (pence per kilogram) (%) by month: January February March April May June July August September October November December * Retail prices have been converted to an untrimmed carcase equivalent. Adjustment has also been made for drip loss. The farm to retail price spread shows the percentage of the retail price obtained by the supply chain other than the producer, ie the retailer, the wholesaler, the transport company and the processor. Source: AHDB 37

40 Section 2 Cattle Figure 2.10 Changes in beef retail price spread* % * The farm to retail price spread shows the percentage of the retail price obtained by the supply chain other than the producer, ie the retailer, the wholesaler, the transport company and the processor. Source: AHDB Table 2.20 UK beef and veal balance sheet* (000 tonnes) Production Imports Exports Total consumption Per capita consumption (kg/person/year) Self sufficiency (%) * Total supplies of meat available for consumption. All weights are carcase weight equivalent. Source: AHDB 38

41 Section 3 Sheep Figure 3.1 Sheep and lamb density in Wales, June 2016 Key Density of total sheep per hectare of grassland under at least 8 Source: GI Services Branch, DEPC, Aberystwyth Crown copyright 39

42 Section 3 Sheep Table 3.1 Source: Welsh Government Table 3.2 Source: Welsh Government Sheep numbers in Wales by category (000 head) June 2015 June 2016 June 2017 Breeding ewes 4,432 4,600 4,700 Other sheep, over one year Lambs under one year 4,576 4,705 4,890 Total sheep and lambs 9,504 9,810 10,037 Changes in number of holdings in Wales with sheep June 2007 June 2017 Number of sheep and lamb holdings 15,054 13,738 Average flock size (head) Figure 3.2 Changes in breeding ewe numbers in Wales 000 head 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1, Source: Welsh Government 40

43 Section 3 Sheep Table 3.3 Lamb production costs in Wales, 2016/17* All farms (average) Bottom third (high cost) Top third (low cost) (pence per kg liveweight) Feed & forage Veterinary & medicines Other Total variable costs Flock replacement Labour Power & machinery Finance & general farm costs Rent Total fixed costs Total costs * Data relates to financial year ended March Based on 134 farms. Top third and bottom third rankings are determined by net margin. Total costs comprise variable, fixed and flock replacement costs. Source: Farm Business Survey in Wales 41

44 Section 3 Sheep Table 3.4 Source: Defra Throughput of total sheep in Welsh abattoirs Slaughterings (000 head) Production (000 tonnes) by month: January February March April May June July August September October November December Table 3.5 Total sheep slaughterings by UK country, 2017 Wales England Scotland Great Britain Northern Ireland (000 head) 3,370 9,908 1,143 14, Source: Defra 42

45 Section 3 Sheep Table 3.6 Percentage distribution of lamb carcases in Wales by conformation and fat class, 2017 Fat class Increasing fatness Conformation class Improving conformation Source: AHDB 1 2 3L 3H 4L 4H 5 Overall E U R O P Overall Table 3.7 Number and throughputs of abattoirs in Wales slaughtering sheep* Abattoirs (number) Throughputs (000 head) Annual throughput: , ,001-20, ,001-50, ,001 and over Total * Figures from Welsh Red Meat Levy returns Source: HCC 43

46 Section 3 Sheep Figure 3.3 Retailer volume shares of lamb sales in GB, % Tesco Sainsbury's Asda Morrisons Aldi Lidl Iceland Waitrose Butchers All Others Source: Kantar Worldpanel Table 3.8 Changes in lamb purchases, expenditure and average price in Wales & West and GB, 2017/16 Lamb purchases (tonnes) Source: Kantar Worldpanel Lamb purchases (% change) Lamb expenditure ( million) Lamb expenditure (% change) Lamb average price ( /kg) Lamb average price (% change) Wales & West 6, GB 67,

47 Section 3 Sheep Table 3.9 Volume and value of UK sheep meat imports Fresh/frozen sheep meat Offal (000 tonnes) ( million) (000 tonnes) ( million) Note: Volumes are shipped product weight. Source: HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC) Table 3.10 Volume and value of UK sheep meat exports Fresh/frozen sheep meat Offal (000 tonnes) ( million) (000 tonnes) ( million) Note: Volumes are shipped product weight. Source: HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC) 45

48 Section 3 Sheep Table 3.11 UK sheep meat imports (000 tonnes, product weight) Total sheep meat Of which from: New Zealand Australia Irish Republic Spain Shares by type: Carcases Bone-in cuts Boneless cuts Frozen Fresh/chilled Source: HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC) 46

49 Section 3 Sheep Table 3.12 UK sheep meat exports (000 tonnes, product weight) Total sheep meat Of which to: France Germany Ireland Belgium Netherlands Italy Hong Kong Shares by type: Carcases Bone-in/boneless cuts Source: HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC) Table 3.13 UK monthly sheep meat trade, 2017 UK sheep meat imports UK sheep meat exports (000 tonnes, product weight) January February March April May June July August September October November December Source: HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC) 47

50 Section 3 Sheep Table 3.14 Deadweight sheep prices in GB* Standard Quality Quotation (SQQ) R3L All grades (pence per kilogram deadweight) by month: January February March April May June July August September October November December * Prices collected from a sample of GB abattoirs. Standard Quality Quotation includes animals weighing kg dw. Methodology for reporting deadweight sheep prices has been revised. Old season prices are recorded until the third monday in May, and new season prices for the remainder of the year. The annual series has also been chaged to tally. Source: AHDB 48

51 Section 3 Sheep Table 3.15 Liveweight sheep prices in Wales* SQQ Sheep (pence per kilogram liveweight) Ewes ( per head) by month: January February March April May June July August September October November December * Prices collected from Welsh auction markets. Standard Quality Quotation includes animals weighing kg lw. Combined prices were reported until third Monday in May. New season prices reported for the remainder of the year. Source: AHDB, LAA 49

52 Section 3 Sheep Figure 3.4 Seasonality of lamb liveweight prices, Wales, Pence per kilogram Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Source AHDB, LAA Table 3.16 Store sheep prices in England and Wales ( /head) Old season lambs New season lambs Source AHDB, LAA 50

53 Section 3 Sheep Figure 3.5 Seasonality of lamb sales at GB retail by cut 2017 % market share (cuts) tonnes (cumulative) 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2, Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug-17 4 week period ending 10-Sep Oct Nov Dec Dec-17 0 Lamb chops/steaks Lamb stewing Lamb leg roasting joint Lamb mince Lamb other Lamb shoulder roasting joint Lamb (cumulative sales) Source: Kantar Worldpanel 51

54 Section 3 Sheep Table 3.17 Retail prices for selected sheep meat cuts in Wales* Whole leg Loin chop Shoulder (bone-in) Diced lamb (pence per kilogram) , , , , , , by month: January 1,011 1, ,186 February 1,010 1, ,213 March 1,005 1, ,202 April 1,011 1, ,252 May 999 1, ,252 June 1,006 1, ,252 July 1,007 1, ,275 August 981 1, ,278 September 1,004 1, ,220 October 1,018 1, ,271 November 1,008 1, ,271 December 909 1, ,272 * Prices collected from a representative sample of multiple retailers, independent retailers and butchers. Source: AHDB 52

55 Section 3 Sheep Figure 3.6 Retail lamb cuts sold in GB by volume, % 8.9% 26.2% 11.3% 9.7% Lamb chop/steaks Lamb leg roasting Lamb shoulder roasting Lamb mince Lamb stewing Lamb other Source: Kantar Worldpanel 40.0% Figure 3.7 Percentage of lambs meeting target specification by weight range in Wales, 2017 Old season lambs New season lambs <12kg kg kg kg Overall Target sector E, U, or R conformation. 1, 2 or 3L fatness Too fat 3H or fatter but of adequate conformation Poor conformation O conformation or worse Source: AHDB 53

56 Section 3 Sheep Table 3.18 GB farm to retail price spread lamb Average farm price Average retail price* Price spread (pence per kilogram) (%) by month: January February March April May June July August September October November December * Retail prices have been converted to an untrimmed carcase equivalent. Adjustment has also been made for drip loss. The farm to retail price spread shows the percentage of the retail price obtained by the supply chain other than the producer, ie the retailer, the wholesaler, the transport company and the processor. Source: AHDB 54

57 Section 3 Sheep Figure 3.8 Changes in lamb retail price spread* % * The farm to retail price spread shows the percentage of the retail price obtained by the supply chain other than the producer, ie the retailer, wholesaler, transport company and processor. Source: AHDB Table 3.19 UK sheep meat balance sheet* (000 tonnes) Production Imports Exports Total consumption Per capita consumption (kg/person/year) Self sufficiency (%) * Total supplies of meat available for consumption. All weights are carcase weight equivalent. Source: AHDB 55

58 Section 4 Pigs Table 4.1 Pig numbers in Wales by category (000 head) Breeding pigs Fattening pigs Total pigs Source: Welsh Government Table 4.2 Changes in number of holdings in Wales with pigs Source: Welsh Government June 2007 June 2017 Number of pig holdings 959 1,395 Average herd size (head) Figure 4.1 Changes in breeding pig numbers in Wales 000 head Source: Welsh Government 56

59 Section 4 Pigs Table 4.3 Source: Defra Throughput of pigs in Welsh abattoirs Slaughterings (000 head) Production (000 tonnes) by month: January February March April May June July August September October November December Table 4.4 Total pig slaughterings by UK country, 2017 Wales England Scotland Great Britain Northern Ireland (000 head) 29 8, ,991 1,628 Source: Defra 57

60 Section 4 Pigs Table 4.5 Numbers and throughputs of abattoirs in Wales slaughtering pigs* Abattoirs (number) Throughputs (000 head) Annual throughput: , ,001 and over Total * Figures from Welsh Red Meat Levy returns Source: HCC Figure 4.2 Retailer volume shares of pork sales in GB, % Tesco Asda Sainsbury's Morrisons Aldi Lidl Iceland Waitrose Butchers All Others Source: Kantar Worldpanel 58

61 Section 4 Pigs Table 4.6 Changes in pork purchases, expenditure and average price in Wales & West and GB, 2017/16 Pork purchases (tonnes) Pork purchases (% change) Pork expenditure ( million) Pork expenditure (% change) Pork average price ( /kg) Pork average price (% change) Wales & West 16, GB 161, Source: Kantar Worldpanel Table 4.7 Volume and value of UK pig meat imports Fresh/frozen Processed* Offal (000 tonnes) ( million) (000 tonnes) * Includes bacon, sausage, hams and canned pig meat. Note: Volumes are shipped product weight. Source: HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC) ( million) (000 tonnes) ( million) , , , , , , , n/a

62 Section 4 Pigs Table Volume and value of UK pig meat exports Fresh/frozen Processed* Offal (000 tonnes) ( million) (000 tonnes) ( million) (000 tonnes) ( million) n/a * Includes bacon, sausage, hams and canned pig meat. Note: Volumes are shipped product weight. Source: HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC) Table 4.9 UK pig meat imports (000 tonnes, product weight) Total pork Of which from: Denmark Germany Netherlands Spain Belgium Irish Republic Shares by type: Carcases n/a Bone-in/boneless cuts n/a Bacon and ham Of which from: Netherlands Denmark Source: HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC)

63 Section 4 Pigs Table 4.10 UK pig meat exports (000 tonnes, product weight) Total pork Of which to: China Germany Irish Republic Denmark Netherlands Hong Kong Shares by type: Carcases n/a Bone-in/boneless cuts n/a Bacon and ham Of which to: Irish Republic Source: HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC) 61

64 Section 4 Pigs Table 4.11 UK monthly pork trade, 2017 UK pork imports UK pork exports (000 tonnes, product weight) January February March April May June July August September October November December Source: HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC) 62

65 Section 4 Pigs Table 4.12 Deadweight pig prices in GB SPP (EU Spec) APP (EU Spec) (pence per kilogram deadweight) by month January February March April May June July August September October November December EU specification excludes flare fat, kidney and diaphragm, the UK specification includes these parts. Source: AHDB 63

66 Section 4 Pigs Figure 4.3 Seasonality of pork sales at GB retail by cut 2017 % market share (cuts) tonnes (cumulative) 45 16, , , , ,000 6, , , Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Dec week period ending Pork chops/steaks Pork loin roasting Pork leg roasting joint Pork belly Pork other Pork shoulder roasting joint Pork (cumulative sales) Source: Kantar Worldpanel 64

67 Section 4 Pigs Table 4.13 Retail prices for selected pork cuts in Wales* Leg (boneless) Loin steaks Mince Traditional premium sausages (pence per kilogram) by month January February March April May June July August September October November December * Prices collected from a representative sample of multiple retailers, independent retailers and butchers. Source: AHDB 65

68 Section 4 Pigs Figure 4.4 Retail pork cuts sold in GB by volume, % 10.3% 38.1% 8.2% Pork chops/steaks Pork leg roasting joint Pork shoulder roast joint Pork loin roasting Pork belly Pork other 13.4% 14.2% Source: Kantar Worldpanel 66

69 Section 4 Pigs Table 4.14 GB farm to retail price spread pork Average farm price Average retail price* Price spread (pence per kilogram) (%) by month: January February March April May June July August September October November December * Retail prices have been converted to an untrimmed carcase equivalent. Adjustment has also been made for drip loss. Source: AHDB 67

70 Section 4 Pigs Figure 4.5 Changes in pork retail price spread* % * The farm to retail price spread shows the percentage of the retail price obtained by the supply chain other than the producer, ie the retailer, the wholesaler, the transport company and the processor. Source: AHDB Table 4.15 UK pork balance sheet* (000 tonnes) Production Imports Exports Total consumption Per capita consumption (kg/person/year) Self sufficiency (%) * Total supplies of meat available for consumption. All weights are carcase weight equivalent. Source: AHDB 68

71 Hybu Cig Cymru-Meat Promotion Wales Tŷ Rheidol Parc Merlin, Aberystwyth, Ceredigion SY23 3FF Hybu Cig Cymru 2018