DRAFT. Cash and Markets Monthly Dashboard April 2017

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1 Cash and Markets Monthly Dashboard 2017 Background to Dashboard The cash and markets, monthly dashboard presents current data on market prices of key commodities and the cost of the minimum expenditure basked (MEB) across Somalia. In addition, it also provides key highlights relevant to cash and market interventions. Page one presents the cost of the food MEB and the total MEB for the months of March and, showing the change in cost over one () and three () months respectively. Recommended transfer value is 80% of the cost of the MEB. The map on page one illustrates the one month changes to the MEB. Page two tables illustrates the market price and price change of key commodities across monitored markets in Somalia. Full breakdown of the commodity prices per market is presented in the annex. The map on page two shows changes in prices of cereals across the monitored markets. The dashboard also presents key highlights on market prices, market supply and supply chain. Trends in Minimum Expenditure Basket (MEB) per The below table presents the price of the MEB across all regions in Somalia in. The left part of the table represents the food MEB while the right table illustrates the price of the total MEB (food and non-food items). Recommended transfer value is 80% of the cost of the MEB in. Food MEB Apr (USD) Recommended Transfer Value 1 Full MEB Apr (USD) Recommended Transfer Value 1 Awdal % -3% % -3% 109 Woqooyi Galbeed 113-2% -15% % -15% 118 Togdheer 132-4% -9% % -9% 127 Sanaag 174-1% -3% % 0% 197 Sool 155-2% -4% % -8% 185 Bari 163-2% -2% % -3% 150 Nugaal 156 1% -7% % -6% 142 Mudug 94 0% -5% % -4% 97 Galgaduud 119-5% -4% % -3% 122 Hiraan 90-7% 12% % 10% 95 Middle Shabelle 78 21% 32% % 25% 83 Lower Shabelle 70-1% 11% % 6% 80 Banaadir 77-3% -18% % -15% 89 Bakool 106 6% 12% % 12% 111 Bay 73 4% 4% % 4% 91 Gedo 99-3% 1% % 1% 110 Middle Juba 91 12% 20% % 13% 98 Lower Juba 79 6% 12% % 6% 93 1 Key Message Recommended transfer values as per cash working group guidance, 80% of the Food and Full MEB respectively. Overall, markets in are relatively stable with only minor average overall price increases over the past month. The CWG is concerned over the continued economic blockade imposed by nonstate armed groups to Wajiid (Bakool region) and Diinsor (Bay region) towns, whose implementation has been enhanced since March, and recommends partners carefully analyse the appropriateness of using cash-based interventions in current conditions as a precaution. The supply chain disruption in Dinsor is reassuringly not yet reflected in the data but monitoring continues to follow up on price trends in the district. From March to, 4 of the assessed regions show a medium to large increase of the Full MEB, while 9 of the regions had a small to medium decrease in price Awdal and Middle Shabelle regions have reported the largest increase of the Full MEB with 19% and 16% respectively. increase in one month in Awdal is mainly due to a large drop in prices in March. However, MEB prices in Middle Shabelle has increased over the past three months. The CWG will carefully monitor prices in the region over the coming months. of all of the key commodities except vegetable oil have increased from March to by an average of 5%. Zeylac (68%), Wanla Weyne (25%) and Borama (22%) districts reported the largest average price increase of key commodities over the course of one month. Classification 1-month change: < -5% Medium decrease; -1 to -5% Small decrease; 1% to 5% Small increase; 6-10% Medium increase; >10% Large increase Classification 3-month change: < -10% Medium decrease; -1 to -10% Small decrease; 1% to10% Small increase; 11-20% Medium increase; >20% Large increase % of Total MEB, March to 2017

2 Market Cash and Markets Monthly Dashboard 2017 Market Analysis The significant price increase of key commodities in Awdal is partly attributed to a large drop in the market price in March, meaning that the price increase is likely to be a reversal of an unusually large drop in price between February and March. s of imported food commodities, rice and wheat, have decreased by 2%, 4% and 1% respectively across all the monitored markets. The price of vegetable oil remained constant on average while in Belet Weyne and Lass Caanood districts, the price increased by 13% and 11% respectively. The price of locally sourced sorghum increased by 14% across all monitored markets, with markets in Zeylac and Wanla Weyn districts reporting price increase of above 100%. The price of maize, increased by 7% on average while in Zeylac and Wanla Weyn districts, the price of maize increased by 50% and 60% respectively. Markets in Zeylac (68%), Wanla Weyne (25%) and Borama (22%) showed the highest average increase in price of commodities from last month. However, the three month price change for the three districts were less alarming, reporting 11%, 22% and 11% respectively. Market Supply The FSNAU/FEWSNET post-jilaal assessment reported that Deyr off-season cereal harvest in riverine areas of Gedo and Middle Juba was 93% below average as a result of limited water availability for cultivation and farmers selling crops to respond to high prices and demand. According to the post-jilaal assessment, large-scale humanitarian assistance has acted as a moderating factor for prices. While rainfall in late and early May has led to seed germination, it is still expected to have reduced yields due to early season losses and forecast erratic rainfall. Supply Chain Update South: Wajid town (Bakool region): Reports indicate that the blockade imposed by a nonstate armed groups has intensified in, with a number of security incidents impacting civilians trying to sneak commodities into town by donkey. The blockade is impacting the availability of key commodities in the market. Dinsoor town (Bay ): Reports indicate that a blockade imposed by a non-state armed group is affecting supply routes to Diinsoor town and surrounding areas.. Lower & Middle Shabelle: Rains subsided in the past two weeks in the regions, thus allowing free access of commercial trucks along the supply corridors.the Hirashabelle Administration withdrew all checkpoints mounted on the supply corridor linking Mogadishu and Afgooye two weeks ago. Central: Commercial trucks are back on the road as the inter-clan conflict that had affected the supply corridor linking Guricel and Baladweyn has been resolved. Puntland: Torrential rains and flash floods have been reported in different locations in Puntland in the past 1,5 weeks, causing disruptions in the supply corridors linking Bossaso with Garowe and Sanaag region. Market, Key Commodities The below tables show the average price change of key commodities from March to. Full price data is presented in the Annex Average Across Somalia, Key Commodities % Red Sorghum 1kg 14% White Maize 1kg 7% Red Rice 1kg 2% Wheat Flour 1kg 4% Vegetable Oil 1L 0% Water Drum 5% Petrol 1L 1% Plastic Sheet 3% Districts with Largest Average Increase, Key Commodities Markets % Zeylac 68% Wanla Weyne 25% Borama 22% Baydhaba 10% Buaale 9% Qansaxdheere 8% Largest Average Increase of Key Commodities, by District and Key Markets % Zeylac Wheat Flour 1kg 186% Zeylac Red Sorghum 1kg 140% Wanla Weyne Red Sorghum 1kg 133% Borama Water 1 Drum 125% Zeylac Red Rice 1kg 78% Wanla Weyne White Maize 1kg 60% Zeylac White Maize 1kg 50% Sources of Data: Food MEB prices and commodity district price data was collected from 40 markets in 36 districts across 18 regions in Somalia by FSNAU. WFP is providing data on port monitoring from Berbera, Bosasso and Mogadishu ports as well as data for the supply chain update. Market supply update based on FSNAU/FEWSNET Post-Jilaal assessment, May 9, % in Cereal from March to The map shows the % change of cereal prices (Red Sorghum, Wheat Flour, Maize and Red Rice) per district.

3 Market, 2017 NORTH WEST ZEYLAC Red sorghum 1kg % 0% White maize 1kg % 0% Red rice 1kg % 0% Wheat flour 1kg % 67% Vegetable oil 1 L % -25% Water 1 drum % 0% Petrol 1 L % 6% Plastic sheet % 36% BORAMA Red sorghum 1kg % 75% Red rice 1kg % 18% Wheat flour 1kg % 12% Vegetable oil 1 L % 12% Water 1 drum % 125% Petrol 1 L % -10% Plastic sheet % -25% GEBILEY Red sorghum 1kg % 0% Red rice 1kg % 9% Wheat flour 1kg % 0% Vegetable oil 1 L % 0% Water 1 drum % 0% Petrol 1 L % 0% Plastic sheet % 13% HARGEYSA Red sorghum 1kg % 0% Red rice 1kg % 0% Wheat flour 1kg % 0% Vegetable oil 1 L % 0% Water 1 drum % 0% Petrol 1 L % 21% Plastic sheet % 21% BURCO Red sorghum 1kg % 13% White maize 1kg % 11% Red rice 1kg % 0% Wheat flour 1kg % 0% Vegetable oil 1 L % 0% Water 1 drum % 40% Petrol 1 L % 17% Plastic sheet % -10% CEERIGAABO Red sorghum 1kg Red rice 1kg % -6% Wheat flour 1kg % -6% Vegetable oil 1 L % 15% Water 1 drum % 13% Petrol 1 L % 6% Plastic sheet % 0% LAAS CAANOOD Red sorghum 1kg Wheat flour 1kg % -7% Vegetable oil 1 L % 11% Water 1 drum % -8% Petrol 1 L % 10% Plastic sheet % 4% NORTH EAST BOSSAASSO Red sorghum 1kg % 8% Red rice 1kg % 7% Wheat flour 1kg % 7% Petrol 1 L % 13% Plastic sheet % 8% Market GAROOWE Red sorghum 1kg % 0% White maize 1kg % -20% Red rice 1kg % 0% Wheat flour 1kg % -6% Vegetable oil 1 L % 0% Water 1 drum % 0% Petrol 1 L % -10% Plastic sheet % 6% GAALKACYO Red sorghum 1kg % 11% White maize 1kg % -17% Red rice 1kg % -25% Wheat flour 1kg % -25% Water 1 drum % 0% Petrol 1 L % 0% Plastic sheet % 0% CENTRAL CABUDWAAQ Red sorghum 1kg White maize 1kg % -13% Wheat flour 1kg % 6% Water 1 drum % 13% Petrol 1 L % 10% Plastic sheet % 0% DHUSAMARREEB Red sorghum 1kg % 0% White maize 1kg % 0% Red rice 1kg % 0% Wheat flour 1kg % 0% Vegetable oil 1 L % 0% Water 1 drum % 20% Petrol 1 L % 0% Plastic sheet % 0% 3

4 Market Market, 2017 HARARDHEERE Red sorghum 1kg % -20% White maize 1kg % 0% Red rice 1kg % 0% Wheat flour 1kg % 0% Petrol 1 L % -34% Plastic sheet % -10% CEEL DHEERE Red sorghum 1kg % 0% White maize 1kg % 0% Red rice 1kg % 0% Wheat flour 1kg % -7% Vegetable oil 1 L % 0% Water 1 drum % 0% Plastic sheet % 10% SOUTH BELET WEYNE Red sorghum 1kg % - - White maize 1kg % 27% Red rice 1kg % -12% Wheat flour 1kg % -7% Vegetable oil 1 L % 29% Water 1 drum % 25% Petrol 1 L % 0% Plastic sheet % 0% ADAN YABAL Red sorghum 1kg % 25% Red rice 1kg % -13% Wheat flour 1kg % -23% Vegetable oil 1 L % 0% Plastic sheet JOWHAR Red sorghum 1kg % 25% White maize 1kg % 4% Red rice 1kg % -7% Wheat flour 1kg % 0% Vegetable oil 1 L % 4% Petrol 1 L % 7% Plastic sheet % -7% MOGADISHU Red sorghum 1kg % -6% White maize 1kg % -6% Red rice 1kg % -3% Wheat flour 1kg % -11% Vegetable oil 1 L % 2% Water 1 drum % 0% Petrol 1 L % -9% Plastic sheet % 0% CEEL BARDE Red sorghum 1kg % 0% White maize 1kg % 0% Red rice 1kg % 0% Wheat flour 1kg % 0% Water 1 drum % 11% Petrol 1 L % 0% Plastic sheet % 0% XUDUR Red sorghum 1kg % 9% White maize 1kg % 20% Red rice 1kg % -9% Wheat flour 1kg % -9% Vegetable oil 1 L % -3% Water 1 drum % 33% Petrol 1 L % 0% Plastic sheet % 13% WANLA WEYNE Red sorghum 1kg % 40% White maize 1kg % 33% Red rice 1kg % -7% Wheat flour 1kg % -14% Vegetable oil 1 L % -4% Petrol 1 L % 20% Plastic sheet % 20% QORYOLEY Red sorghum 1kg % 13% White maize 1kg % 15% Red rice 1kg % 7% Wheat flour 1kg % 0% Vegetable oil 1 L % -14% Water 1 drum % 0% Petrol 1 L % 5% Plastic sheet % 0% MARKA Red sorghum 1kg % -8% White maize 1kg % -23% Red rice 1kg % -7% Wheat flour 1kg % -14% Vegetable oil 1 L % -8% Water 1 drum % 48% Petrol 1 L % 0% Plastic sheet % 43% BARAAWE Red sorghum 1kg % 25% White maize 1kg % 15% Red rice 1kg % -8% Wheat flour 1kg % 0% Vegetable oil 1 L % -4% Petrol 1 L % 7% Plastic sheet % -7% 4

5 Market, 2017 QANSAX DHEERE Red sorghum 1kg % 0% White maize 1kg % 33% Red rice 1kg % 13% Wheat flour 1kg % 0% Vegetable oil 1 L % -9% Water 1 drum % 0% Petrol 1 L % 0% Plastic sheet % 12% DIINSOR Red sorghum 1kg % -19% White maize 1kg % -19% Red rice 1kg % -5% Wheat flour 1kg % 0% Vegetable oil 1 L % -18% Water 1 drum % 0% Petrol 1 L % -7% Plastic sheet % 6% LUUQ Red sorghum 1kg % 8% White maize 1kg % 0% Wheat flour 1kg % 0% Vegetable oil 1 L % 0% Petrol 1 L % 11% Plastic sheet % 0% BELET XAAWA Red sorghum 1kg % 13% White maize 1kg % 0% Red rice 1kg % -10% Wheat flour 1kg % -10% Vegetable oil 1 L % -4% Water 1 drum % 0% Petrol 1 L % -14% Plastic sheet % 0% CEEL WAAQ Red sorghum 1kg % -4% White maize 1kg % 0% Wheat flour 1kg % 0% Vegetable oil 1 L % -9% Petrol 1 L % 0% Plastic sheet % 0% BAARDHEERE Red sorghum 1kg % 8% White maize 1kg % -8% Red rice 1kg % 6% Wheat flour 1kg % 6% Water 1 drum % 0% Plastic sheet % 0% BU'AALE Red sorghum 1kg % 58% White maize 1kg % 9% Wheat flour 1kg % 0% Vegetable oil 1 L % 7% Water 1 drum % 0% Petrol 1 L % 0% Plastic sheet % 25% JILIB Red sorghum 1kg % 0% White maize 1kg % 6% Wheat flour 1kg % -7% Vegetable oil 1 L % -4% Water 1 drum % 0% Plastic sheet % 11% Market AFMADOW Red sorghum 1kg % 25% White maize 1kg % 32% Red rice 1kg % 0% Wheat flour 1kg % 0% Vegetable oil 1 L % -4% Water 1 drum % 15% Petrol 1 L % 7% Plastic sheet % 12% JAMAAME Red sorghum 1kg % 0% White maize 1kg % 0% Red rice 1kg % 0% Wheat flour 1kg % -7% Vegetable oil 1 L % 0% Petrol 1 L % 0% Plastic sheet % 0% KISMAAYO Red sorghum 1kg % 0% White maize 1kg % 0% Red rice 1kg % 0% Wheat flour 1kg % 0% Vegetable oil 1 L % 13% Water 1 drum % 0% Petrol 1 L % -4% Plastic sheet % -11% BAYDHABA Red sorghum 1kg % 15% White maize 1kg % 33% Red rice 1kg % -7% Wheat flour 1kg % -14% Vegetable oil 1 L % -11% Water 1 drum % 38% Petrol 1 L % 0% Plastic sheet % -4% 5