MONTHLY MARKET MONITORING BULLETIN Issue Number: 13 August: 2016

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1 YR/Kg MONTHLY MARKET MONITORING BULLETIN Issue Number: 13 : 216 Background The market data and information is collected from seven FSIS Programme target Governorates through the Governorate Focal Units (GFU) and FSTS in Sanaa city. The prices are collected from Hodeidah, Hajjah, Dhamar, Hadramout, Lahej, Tazi and Sanaa city markets. The prices collected from at least 3 representative market centers and average is calculated for each location. The Market monitoring bulletin provides tables and charts that show the monthly prices in the targeted Governorate markets. It also provides and allows the users to compare the current prices with the previous month and the pre-crisis average. Highlights International export prices of wheat increased somewhat in, with the benchmark US wheat price averaging USD 188 per ton, slightly up from July but still more than 12 percent below its level a year earlier (FAO-FPMA, 216). However, the average prices of wheat in the local market over the target governorates decreased by.5 % compared to the previous month and still show an increasing trend by 27.51% compared to the precrisis era of February 215. The availability and supply of important food and non-food commodities have improved in the local market in the six-targeted governorates despite the recent intensive airstrike and destruction of the road infrastructures. Besides, prices are showing stable and decreasing trend across many of the local markets. However, locally produced sorghum, maize, wheat and barley is sporadically available in all target markets. According to (MoIT) during the period of January - July 216 1,267,959 tons of wheat grains and 41,663 tons of wheat flour imported through Al Hodeidah port, in addition to 261,36 tons constitutes other food commodities such as sugar, rice, cooking oil and milk products. The prices for sacrificial animals rise ahead of Eid Al Adha by 1.1% in Taiz, 6.41% in Dhamar and by 1.75% in Hajjah and Hadramout. Blockage of live animal export there is huge supply to domestic market. Increased supply and continued deterioration of income and poor household purchasing poor has influenced the price of live animal in the local market. The average prices of eggs in sharply increased compared to July 216 in many of the targeted governorate markets. The highest price increase was registered in Taiz (36.36%) followed by Sana a city (28.76%) and Hodeidah (27.9%). The price of diesel has increase between 3 to 7.5% while petrol decreased between 6 to 18% compared to July and still it is significantly higher than the pre-crisis (Table 9). The price of cooking gas has shown a decreasing trend compared to the previous month except in Hadramout, which has increased by 22.3%. However, it is significantly high compared to the pre-crisis, which reached about 183% in Taiz, 158% in Hodeidah, 154% in Dhamar. Retail Market Prices and Trends of Key Commodities Fig 1. Average Retail Price of Wheat, wheat flour and Rice (YR/Kg) January Table 1 Average Retail Price (YR/Kg) of Imported commodities and % change Cereals 216 price Percentage change 1 Month Pre-crises Fig 2. Average Retail Prices of Locally produced cereals (YR/Kg) Jan Wheat % 27.51% Wheat flour % 23.24% Sugar % 44.7% Rice* % 5.78% Veg oil** % 39.39% Faba-Beans % Beans % 27.48% Lentils % 33.6% * Average price of two varieties of Basmati and non-basmati rice ** Average price of imported and locally processed veg cooking oil Cereals Table 2 Average Retail Price (YR/KG) of Locally produced cereals and % change 216 price Percentage change 1 Month Pre-crisis Sorghum % 58.43% Millet % 54.8% Maize % 62.79% Barley % 68.8% 1

2 Yemeni Rial /Kg Monthly Average Prices of Locally Produced Commodities Cereals Table 3: Average price of locally produced cereals (YR/Kg. 216 and % change previous month Item % change Sanaa city Hodeida Hajjah Dhamar Hadramout Lahj Taiz M -5.2% -7.83% 1.16% 1.75%.%.% 4.33% Pre-crisis 36.67% 57.48% 59.41% 29.44% 53.2% 56.5% M -1.2%.% 5.53%.%.%.% -8.33% Pre-crisis -2.94% 57.48% 34.71% 22.5% 15.88% 37.5% M -5.93% 6.27% 1.91%.%.% 5.4% Pre-crisis 4.% 6.% 25.29% 57.22% 25.% M -3.14%.%.%.% -6.2%.% 1.39% Pre-crisis 54.29% 13.77% 8.67% 16.88% 26.1% 94.67% The average price of the locally produced cereals was stable for the past 5 months. However, the monthly average price is much higher in 216 compared to the precrisis in all targeted governorates. The maximum price registered % for Barley was 13.1 in Hodeidah, 94.4 % in Taiz and 8.5% in Hajjah FiG 3. Retail price of local cereals (YR/Kg) - Jan Sorghum: Average prices of sorghum in 216 declined by 5% in Sana a city and 7.83% in Hodeidah while it increased between 1.16% and 4.33% in Hajjah and Taiz respectively. However, the average prices of the same commodity has increased sharply when compared to the pre-crises era by 59.41% in Hajjah, 57.48% in Hodeidah, 56.5% in Taiz, 53.2% in Hadramout and 36.67% in Sana a city. Millet: The average price of millets remained stable when compared to the previous month in Hodeidah Dhamar, Hadramout and Lahej while it has increased by 5.53% in Hajjah and dropped by 1.2% in Sanaa city and by 8.33% in Taiz. Maize: The average price of maize was increased between 5 and 6.27% in Taiz and Hajjah respectively while the price remained the same in Hadramout and Lahej. Barley: The average price of barley was the same as July in, Hodeidah, Hajjah and Dhamar, while the average prices reduced by 6.2% in Hadramout, 3.14% in Sanaa city and increased by 1.39% in Taiz. Vegetables Table 4: Average Prices of vegetables (YR/Kg).216 and the change % previous month Commoditi es Onion Tomato Potato Pepper Chilly Month Sanaa city Hodeida Hajjah Dhamar Hadramout Lahj Taiz M.% 2.4% % % -4.27% 6.38% 8.5% M 31.5% 17.37% 2.19% 43.13% 18.49% -3.78% 29.78% M -8.68% -3.25% -4.94% -7.14% -6.64% -7.75% -4.8% M -23.8% % % % -8.88% % -6.42% M % % -37.4% % % % 14.79% Vegetables Onions: The average prices of onion was higher in compared to July in Taiz (8.5%), Lahej (6.38%) and Hodeidah (2%) while it has decreased by 19.15% in Dhamar, % in Hajjah and 4.27% in Hadramout. Despite the increased need of onion to the Eid festivals, there is good supply of onion to local market, which brings the price down. Tomatoes: Except Lahej market, the average prices of tomatoes were very high in compared to July. The increase ranges between 43.13% in Dhamar, 31.5% in Sana a city, 29.63% in Taiz, 2.2% in Hajjah, 18.49% in Hadramout and 17.37% in Hodeidah. This is seasonal issue where there is less production and less supply of tomatoes to the market. Potatoes: The average prices of potatoes in declined in all target governorates compared to July. The lowest prices were recorded in Sana a city and Lahej followed by Dhamar, Hadramout, Hajjah and Taiz respectively. Pepper & Chilly: The average price of pepper and Chilly has significantly decreased compared the previous month in all target market except Taiz where the price of chilly has increased by 14.79%. 2

3 Imported food commodities Table 5: Average price of Imported Food Commodities (YR/Kg) & % changes (previous month and Pre-crisis) Governorates % change Sanaa city Hodeida Hajjah Dhamar Hadramout Lahj Taiz Fisheries (Table 6): Average price of common fish types (YR/Kg),).216 and the change % previous month and pre-crises. Governorates %change Common Fish Types Wheat Wheat flour Sugar Rice1 Basmati Rice2\ Non * V.oil (import) V.oil (local)** Faba Beans Beans Lentils 1 M -5.76% 1.67%.96%.% -5.73% 2.78% 3.33% Pre-crisis.77% 22.% 36.36% 36.36% 23.33% M -.66% 4.% -.66%.57% -4.46% -4.97%.5% Pre-crisis 16.15% 3.% 5.% 16.67% 7.14% % M.% -.8% -.8%.% 2.4% 2.59% 2.9% Pre-crisis 54.38% 3.53% 25.25% 51.18% 38.89% 83.13% M -.49% 7.74% 16.86%.% -.28% -2.76% -7.28% Pre-crisis % 1 M.99% -2.5% 1.%.%.% 2.74% -5.18% Pre-crisis 36.67% -9.% 83.33% 33.33% -29.2% 19.% M -.16% -2.48% 6.31%.% 1.89% -4.2% 17.2% Pre-crisis 7.72% M.% 1.25% 15.76%.%.72% 1.33% 1.98% Pre-crisis 25.54% 17.39% 26.8% 7.14% 68.% % 1 M -4.28% 1.28%.%.% 3.55% -6.7% Pre-crisis M.57% -3.84% 2.52%.% 6.% 3.78% Pre-crisis 16.39% % 2.2% % 48.4% % 554 % 1 M 16.2%.% 12.18%.% 2.32%.% 3.94% Pre-crisis 27.2% 66.67% % 38.% 76.33% 38.5% * Represent average prices of non-basmati rice s in the target markets. ** Average prices of locally produced oil for comparison with the imported oil prices Wheat grains: The average price of Wheat has decreased by 5.7% in Sanaa city and Hadramout while the price still show increasing trend in all other target markets at an average of 1.6% to 3.3% compared to the previous month. However, the price is still higher by 36 % in Hajjah and Dhamar and 22 to 23% in Hodeidah and Hadramout compared to the prices of pre-crisis. Wheat Flour: The prices of Wheat flour in four governorates were the same as the previous month. However, there was 4% increase in Hodeidah, 4.5 % decrease in Hadramout, and 5% in Lahaj compared to July. The average prices are still much higher by 5% in Hajjah, 34% in Taiz, 3% in Hodeidah 16% in Sanaa city and Dhamar and 7% in Hadramout compared to the pre-crisis Rice: The average price of Rice (both Basmati and non-basmati) show a declining trend in many target markets except in Hodeidah and Hajjah compared to July 216. Similarly, the international all Rice Price Index (2-4=) also show a decline by 2 percent in 216 (FAO-FPMA, 216). Sugar: The average price of sugar has shown 2 to 2.55% increase in three governorates compared to July 216 while the price is still higher in all targeted markets especially in Sana a city by % and 83 % in Taiz when compared to the pre-crises era. Cooking Oil: There is significant difference between the prices of imported and locally produced cooking oil. The prices of imported cooking oil decreased by 4.2% in Lahaj and 2.48% in Hodeidah. While it was increased by 17% in Taiz and 6.31% in Hajjah. The prices in Sanaa city and Dhamar markets remained stable compared to July 216. The average prices of Faba-beans decreased by 6% in Taiz and 4.3% in Sanaa city while it has increased by 3.55% in Hadarmout and by 1.3% in Hodeidah. The price of lentils show an increase in four target markets ; Sanaa city by 16% and in Hajjah 4% in Taiz and 2.32% in Hadramout while it was stable in Hodeidah, Dhamar and Lahaj compared to July 216. Sanaa city Hodeidah Hajjah Dhamar Hadramout Lahj Taiz Thamad Sakhla Bagha Jahsh M -9.52% -9.77% -2.89% 5.45% M -9.33% -8.% % M 2.49% 2.24% -2.4% 5.64% M % 2.6%.% 3.72% M -5.41% -6.76% -8.1% 1.42% M 6.89% -22.8% -1.44% M 35.37% 38.2% 4.26% Thamad: The average price of Thamad type fish in ranged from2392 Yr in Taiz, 2233Yr in Lahaj, 19 YR in Sana a, 1563 Yr in Hajjah, 1592 Yr in Hadramout and 14Yr in Dhamar. The highest price of Thamad fish is registered in Taiz and Lahaj while the lowest was in Dhamar. Availability: Due to the seasonality and other market factors, Thamad type fish was not available for two months in a row in Hodeidah and similar shortage was registered for Sakhla type fish in Lahej and Bagha type fish in Taiz markets. Due to current situation in Taiz cost (Almokha), the fish supply to the market mostly from Aden. All Types of fish had the same prices trend in Sana a city and Hodeidah, where it was dropped between 9 in Sana a city for Thamad and 22% in Hodaidah for Jahsh compared to July 216. Bagha: The average price of Bagha type fish has shown a decline in all target markets and the highest price drop was in Lahaj (22.8%) compared to the prices in July 216. Bagha type fish is the cheapest in unit price across all target markets compared to the other three fish types. The average prices of Thamad and Sakhla type fishes in Taiz shown a significant increase by 35.4% and 38% respectively while Jahsh type fish price increased by 4.3% compared to the July 216. Supply: Seasonality and weather factors play important roles in the market supply and price fluctuation for all the fish types in Yemen. The abundance of pelagic species is strongly influenced by seasonal variations due to the prevailing Oceanographic condition. The winds blow from east to northeast during the northeast monsoon, October to April, and from south-west during the south-west monsoon, May to September. The strongest winds and associated water currents occur in July/ (MFW- Biology and status of shark s fishery in Yemen, 7). 3

4 Fig. 4 Price trends of the Imported wheat and Wheat flour (An 215 to 216) Wheat Wheat flour Livestock and livestock products Table 7: Average price of live animal (YR/Head), 216 and % change (previous month and pre-crises). Type of Governorates animal Month and age Sanaa Hodeida Hajja Dhamar Hadramout Lahj Taiz Sheep/ month M1 -.94% % -.44% 7.38% 2.77% -1.31% 2.86% Sheep months M1-4.91% -9.25% -1.76% 5.22% 1.73% -3.5% 1.1% Goat 6-months Goat/ 12-months Chicken (live) Sheep: The average prices of a six month age sheep decreased by 12.2% in Hodeidah and by less than 1.3 % in Lahaj, Hajjah and Sanaa city while the prices increased by 7.4% in Dhamar, 2.8% in taiz and Hadramout. The average prices of 12 month old sheep shows similar trend and decreased Hodeidah, Hajjah, Lahaj and Sanaa city compared to July 216 while it has increased in Taiz (1.1%), Dhamar (5.2%) and Hadramout (1.73%). Normally, live animal prices are expensive during the Eid Adha festivals compared to other periods. However, due to blockage of live animals trade to KSA, poor purchasing power of the population and also absence of electricity for storage of slaughtered animals by majority of the population contributed to less preference for live animals which brought the prices down compared to other periods. Note: The average prices of live animals from Hodeidah, the Tihama area of Hajjah, and west of Dhamar are from the primary markets, which is closer to the farmers or producer price. On the other hand, the prices from Sanaa city, Hadramout, Taiz and Lahaj are higher which is collected in the city secondary markets M1-1.85% % 2.34% 6.41%.8% -4.79% 1.73% M1-2.42% -5.59% -1.3% 4.2% 1.4% -7.59% 3.98% M1-5.39% 2.71% -6.95%.% -2.4% -5.96% 18.59% Goats: The average price of 6 months old goat showed an increase in Hajjah, Dhamar, Hadramout, and Taiz, while it has decreased in Hodaidah, Lahaj,, Sana a city. The average prices of 12 months old goat showed 4.2% increase in Dhamar, 3.98 % in Taiz and 1.4 % in Hadramout. Live chicken: The average prices of live chicken have decreased in Sanaa city, Hajjah, Hadramout and Lahej and increased by 18.6% in Taiz, 2.71% in Hodaidah, and unchanged compared to July in Dhamar. The improved availability of poultry feed and vaccine contributed to improved production of broilers in the market. Despite, the huge potential for poultry production Taiz government registered the highest price increase because of market failure due to the escalated conflict and insecurity. Table 8: Average Prices of animal products (YR/Kg)).216 and % change (previous month and pre-crises). Commodities change Sanaa city Hodeida Hajjah Dhamar Hadramout Lahj Taiz Beef M.% -1.91% -.66% 1.7% 4.49% 14.2% Mutton M.% -2.48% 7.93%.% 7.46% -8.8% 13.53% Local Cow s milk 1 M.%.%.%.% -3.23% 5.67% Processed Powered milk 1 M -2.74% -7.97% 1.61% -2.3% -3.3%.% 3.95% Chicken meet 1 M.85%.% -3.63% 5.71%.% -3.2% 4.52% Egg (3 eggs pack) M 28.64% 27.7% 17.2% 26.43% 22.93% 17.7% 36.31% Livestock Products Beef: The average prices of beef in Taiz, Hadramout, and Dhamar have increased by 14%, 4.5%and 1% respectively while the price decreased by 2% Hodeidah and.6% % in Hajjah compared to July 216. The prices of animal products in Taiz have shown very high compared to the other governorate market. The escalated conflict affected availability and supply to the Taiz city 3 markets. Mutton: The average prices of Mutton in Hajjah, Hadramout, and Taiz are 7.9%, 7.5%, and 13.5% respectively. Local Cow s Milk: The average price remained stable in Sana a, Hodeidah, Dhamar and Hadramout. There was a decrease in Lahej by 3.36% and increase by 5.66% in Taiz compared to July 216. Processed Powdered Milk: The average prices of processed milk have dropped in many of the governorates except Hajjah and Taiz by 1.6% and 3.95% respectively compared to the previous month. 4

5 YR/LT Chicken Meat: In, the average price of chicken meat more or less remained stable in Sana a, Hodeidah and Hadramout and increased in Taiz and Dhamar by 4.52% and 5.71%, it equally decreased in Hajjah and Lahej. Eggs: The average prices of eggs in sharply increased compared to July almost in all governorates.the highest price increase was in Taiz (36.31%) followed by Sana a city by 28.64%, Hodeidah by 27.7%. There is a slight improvement in the field of poultry inputs including feed, vaccines, medicines, and supplies. However, due to the hard currency crisis the cost of poultry feed is still high compared to the pre-crises period. Moreover, due to the constrains that were faced the poultry sector in 215, the process to maintain the poultry flock in particular layers is expensive and need enough time to back to the normal Oil products Table 9 : Average price of fuel (Diesel and Petrol) and Cooking gas and % change ( 216, previous month and Pre-crisis) Item % change Sanaa city Hodeidah Hajjah Dhamar Hadramout Lahj Taiz Diesel (YR/LT) Petrol (YR/Lt) Cooking gas YR/18Kg M 4.92% 3.21% 6.56% 7.45%.% -1.11% Pre-crisis 28.% 28.67% 3.% 34.67% 6.67% 78.% M % -15.6% -9.33% %.% -6.2% -18.4% Pre-crisis 33.33% 35.33% 36.% 28.67% 26.67% 61.33% 78.67% M -6.64% -6.24% -6.41% -7.8% 22.29%.% 2.4% Pre-crisis 67.48% % 72.77% % 76.67% % Diesel: The average price of Diesel has increased in all governorates except in Taiz compared to the previous month while the price of petrol has decreased in all target governorates. The price of diesel and petrol remained stable in Hadramout markets. However, the average prices of both commodities are still above the pre-crisis. Cooking Gas: The average prices of one cylinder cooking gas remained stable in Lahej compared to July while it has decreased in Sanaa city (-6.64%), Hodeidah (6.24%), Hajjah (6.4%) and Dhamar (7.1%).The highest price increase was registered in Hadramout 22.31% followed by Taiz by 2.4%. Still the current prices are far more than the pre-crisis prices. Despite the relative improvement of the fuel materials during 216, the average prices of these commodities when compared with the precrisis average prices there is significant increase reached about 78 % in Taiz and 35% in Dhamar for diesel, above 15% for cooking gas in Hodiadah and Dhamar and 78.67% and in Taiz for petrol and cooking gas respectively Fig 5. Average Retail Price of Diesel, Petrol and Cooking gas (YR/LT) Jan Diesel Petrol Cooking Gas The Market information Bulletin is one of the regular products of the FSTS supported by FAO - FSIS Programme funded by the European Union. The contents of this publication are the sole responsibility of FSTS and do not reflect the views of the European Union or FAO. For more information please contact: Ministry of Planning and International Cooperation MoPIC /FSTS: Fifth Floor Tel/Fax E. mail: drmukred@yemen.net.ye - The Yemen Food Security Information Systems (FSIS) Development Programme is funded by the European Union and implemented by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) and the Food Security Technical Secretariat (FSTS) of the Ministry of Planning and International Cooperation (MOPIC). 5