CROP BULLETIN CONTENT

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1 Crop Reporting Service, Punjab VOLUME-II, ISSUE-7, SERIAL #19 CONTENT Crop Situation Summary June, Normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI Graph) at Divisional Level, June, July, 2015 CROP BULLETIN OVERTURE Normalized Difference Vegetation index (NDVI) Growth Profile at Division Level (June 2015 GLAM MAP) 3-6 Kharif Crops Situation Fertilizer consumption in Kharif CRS, the Wing of Agriculture Department Punjab, is responsible for estimation of Area, Production and Average yield of Agricultural Crops in the Province. The acreage and the yield of major and minor crops are estimated through objective sample surveys, conducted in 1240 randomly selected village all over the province. Estimates of other minor crops are compiled through subjective methods based on input use, farmer s interviews and assessment make by the field staff. Crop estimates indicating area and production of all major and minor crops are released according to crop forecast calendar designed in conformity with the requirement of the Federal Government. The Crop Reporting Service is also working in GIS & RS technology with the collaboration of Irrigation water supply month wise canal withdrawal (Kharif 2015) 8 Tarbela and Mangla dame water inflow and outflow 9 Average maximum & minimum Temperature & Rainfall for the Month of June, Whether summary for the month of June, Normally expected weather during July, 2015 FAO, SUPARCO. The other collaborating partner are. Agriculture Extension Agriculture Policy Institute, Islamabad Pakistan Bureau of Statistics National Food Security & Research Bureau of Statistics Punjab Revenue Department Punjab Agriculture Marketing 17 First Estimate Sugarcane ISLAMABAD ATTOCK RAWALPINDI JHELUM CHAKWAL GUJRAT MIANWALI SIALKOT MANDI BAHAUDDIN NAROWAL KHUSHAB GUJRANWALA SARGODHA HAFIZABAD SHEIKHUPURA BHAKKAR CHINIOT LAHORE NANKANA SAHIB FAISALABAD JHANG KASUR LEIAH TOBA TEK SINGH OKARA SAHIWAL MUZAFFARGARH D.G. KHAN KHANEWAL PAKPATTAN MULTAN VEHARI BAHAWALNAGAR LODHRAN RAJANPUR RAHIM YAR KHAN PUNJAB PROVINCE Directorate of Agriculture Crop Reporting Service, Punjab, Lahore Ph: , Web: crs.agripunjab.gov.pk, dacrspunjab@hotmail.com Designed By: AM. Abrar BAHAWALPUR

2 CRS CROP BULLETIN CROPS SITUATION JUNE,2015 +SUMMARY Month of June is period of changeover from rabi to kharif season, as rabi season has completed with the harvesting of spring Maize,the Zaid Rabi crop. The shift to kharif season is obvious from the increase in the NDVI values. The image value were at baseline at start of crops and shows a rise with the growth of crops. The sowing of cotton crop has been completed in the Punjab. The preliminary special acreage survey of cotton crop shows a decreasing trend over the last year. The germination and growth has been reported satisfactory. The mild attack of sucking pests is reported at pockets. The rice nurseries of all varieties have been completed The transplantation of coarse varieties is in full swing while transplantation of Basmati is just start. The sowing of sugarcane crop has been completed. The Crop Reporting service completed the special acreage survey for Sugarcane. The area of sugarcane crop is placed at 1733 '000' acres as compared to 1756 '000' acres. Which shows decrease of 1.31% over the last year due to non cooperative behavior of sugar mills during last year and shift of area of sugarcane crop into competitive crops (Rice, Maize & Cotton). The germination and growth of the crop is reported/observed satisfactory. The light attack of Top borer has been observed/reported in Faisalabad division The farmers are applying granules to control pest/insect attack The sowing of the Moong crop is in progress. The Agriculture department is working on promotion of Moong crop in the Punjab.The main growing districts of moong crop are Bahakkar, ianwali and Layyah. The germination and growth of the Moong crop is reported/observed Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) June, 2015 showes that it has started increasing trend after touching the lowest value in the month of May satisfactory. The sowing of the Mash crop is in progress. The main growing districts of mash crop are Rawalpndi, Sialkot and Narowal. Generally June is the hottest and one of the driest months in Pakistan. However during this June light to moderate rain was reported in most of the agricultural plains of the country. Above normal rain was in some parts of Punjab like Sargodha in central Punjab and Multan in southern Punjab. Maximum number of rainy days was reported 14 days at Murree and Sialkot. The evapotranspiration (ETo) was mostly observed normal to below normal in the agricultural plains of the country. The mean daily Relative Humidity (R.H) which generally remains low in this month. Mean daily temperature rounded to C in the agricultural plains of Punjab. Maximum number of stress days with maximum temperature greater or equal to 40 C and R.H less than or equal to 30% was observed 3 days at Multan and 01 day at Sargodha. Agricultural soils showed cooler trend in most of the agricultural soils in the country. 1 CRS, Pb. Crop Bulletin July 2015-Vol-II, Issue 7, Serial # 19

3 Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) Crop Growth Profile at Divisional Level June,2015 MODIS NDVI shows low vegetation due to harvesting of wheat & other rabi crops. 2 CRS, Pb. Crop Bulletin July 2015-Vol-II, Issue 7, Serial # 19

4 Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) Crop Growth Profile At Divisional Level June,2015 Rawalpindi Division Sargodha Division 3 CRS, Pb. Crop Bulletin July 2015-Vol-II, Issue 7, Serial # 19

5 Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) Crop Growth Gujranwala Division Profile at Divisional Level June,2015 Lahore Division 4 CRS, Pb. Crop Bulletin July 2015-Vol-II, Issue 7, Serial # 19

6 Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) Crop Growth Profile at Divisional Level June,2015 Faisalabad Division Multan Division 5 CRS, Pb. Crop Bulletin July 2015-Vol-II, Issue 7, Serial # 19

7 Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) Crop Growth D.G.Khan Division Profile at Divisional Level April,2015 Bahawalpur Division 6 CRS, Pb. Crop Bulletin July 2015-Vol-II, Issue 7, Serial # 19

8 KHARIF CROPS SITUATION (Field Work) COTTON The sowing of cotton crop has been completed in the province. The germination/growth is reported satisfactory so far. The early sowing crop is reported at flowering squares and boll formation stage. The mild attack of sucking pests is reported at pockets. SUGARCANE The sowing of sugarcane crop has been completed. The growth and general condition is reported satisfactory. Area of sugarcane crop shows an increase of 2.5% over the previous year. The light attack of Top borer has been observed/reported in Faisalabad division at places. Rain received during the month proved beneficial for the crop. RICE The raising of Rice nurseries has been completed. The transplantation of Rice (course, Irri. varieties) remained in full swing. The transplantation of Basmati varieties has also been started. Rain received during the month is reported enhance the pace of transplantation in rice zone. MAIZE (AUTUMN+SPRING) The harvesting of maize spring crop is in progress. Normal average yield is being obtained by the growers. The sowing of Maize (autumn) has also been started. MOONG The sowing of the crop is near to complete. The germination of crop is reported satisfactory. The main growing districts of Moong are Bhakhar, Mianwali, and Layyah districts. MASH The sowing of the crop is in progress. The germination and growth of the crop is reported satisfactory. Source : CRS Pb 7 CRS, Pb. Crop Bulletin July 2015-Vol-II, Issue 7, Serial # 19

9 FERTILIZER Fertilizers do not only assist in increasing yields and promoting healthy growth of plants but also in their development. They contain nitrogen which acts as a growth booster which can be characterized by the green color of plants. Phosphorus substance in fertilizers aids in the faster formation of seeds and root development. The availability of Nitrogen and Phosphate fertilizers remains normal in the month of June, Source: NDFC, AE&AR IRRIGATION WATER SUPPLY SITUATION Timely availability of water greatly influences the crop production and yields. In order to meet the agricultural needs, adequate and timely availability of water is an essential pre-requisite. The average uses of Water in Kharif season in the Punjab is about MAF and Punjab share based on forecast of water availability is The canal water supply during June, 2015 is MAF as compared to last year MAF shows a decrease of 1.05 %. 8 CRS, Pb. Crop Bulletin July 2015-Vol-II, Issue 7, Serial # 19

10 WATER INFLOW, OUTFLOW AND LEVEL OF TARBELA AND MANGLA DAMS ARE SHOWN BELOW. Source: Pb Irrigation Dpt. Source: Pb Irrigation Dpt. 9 CRS, Pb. Crop Bulletin July 2015-Vol-II, Issue 7, Serial # 19

11 AGRO-MET CONDITIONS JUNE, 2015 Agromet Normals of Kharif Crops Source: PMD MAP: CRS,Pb 10 CRS, Pb. Crop Bulletin July 2015-Vol-II, Issue 7, Serial # 19

12 AGRO-MET CONDITIONS JUNE, 2015 MAP: CRS,Pb Source: PMD 11 CRS, Pb. Crop Bulletin July 2015-Vol-II, Issue 7, Serial # 19

13 AGRO-MET CONDITIONS JUNE, 2015 MAP: CRS,Pb Source: PMD 12 CRS, Pb. Crop Bulletin July 2015-Vol-II, Issue 7, Serial # 19

14 WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE MONTH OF JUNE, 2015 Generally June is the hottest and one of the driest months in Pakistan. However during this June light to moderate rain was reported in most of the agricultural plains of the country. Above normal rain was reported in lower parts of KPK and in some parts of Punjab like Sargodha in central Punjab and Multan in southern Punjab, most of the agriculture plains of Sindh and GB region. Whereas below normal rainfall reported in upper KPK, most parts of Punjab and Quetta valley. Whereas below normal rainfall is reported in different parts of Punjab, Sindh, Gilgit Baltistan and Balochistan. The highest amount of rainfall reported in the month was 233.6mm at Murree followed by 190.1mm at Bahawalpur, 152.5mm at Rawalakot 137.8mm at Muzaffarabad. Maximum number of rainy days was reported 18 at Rawalakot followed by 17 days at Muzaffarabad, 14 days at Murree and Sialkot each and 13 days at Astore and Kakul each. The evaporative demand of the atmosphere represented by reference crop evapotranspiration (ETo) was mostly observed normal to below normal in the agricultural plains of the country. The highest value of ETo was observed at Multan and lowest value was observed at D.I.Khan. The mean daily Relative Humidity (R.H) which generally remains low in this month (due to relatively clear skies) remained below normal in the country due to mostly below normal rainfall and clear skies observed during the month. Maximum value of mean Relative Humidity was observed 58% at Tandojam, followed by 51% at Khanpur and D.I.Khan while the minimum value was observed at Quetta (25%). Number of days with mean R.H greater or equal to 80% was observed 2 days at Skardu, followed by 01 day at Sargodha, Lahore, Faisalabad and Multan each all agricultural plains of the country due to comparatively hot and dry weather observed during the month. The combined impact of below normal relative humidity and below normal ETo along with satisfactory rainfall in most of the agricultural plains of the country indicates satisfactory moisture conditions. But below normal R.H and rainfall shows some moisture stress in the country. However monsoon rains may help to bring normal moisture condition for standing crops. However hot and wet conditions sometime favor pests attack on standing crops, especially in sugarcane and cotton growing areas. Reports of pest s attacks have already been reported on cotton in certain areas. Therefore farmers must be careful about timely and proper use of pesticides to avoid/minimize such losses during monsoon season. Temperature Regime during June, 2015 Temperature plays vital role in the growth and development of crops. Thermal regime in this month showed mostly normal to slightly below normal trend in most of the agricultural plains of the country. Mean daily temperature rounded to 32 C in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, and Sindh, C in Potohar region and C in the remaining agricultural plains of Punjab, 33 to 39 in Sindh, 11 to 22 C in Gilgit Baltistan region and it was observed 27 C in the high elevated agricultural plains of Balochistan represented by Quetta valley. The day time temperature represented by mean maximum also remained normal to below normal by 1-2 C in most of the agricultural plains of the country. The highest maximum temperature in the agricultural plains of the country was recorded 49.5 C at Turtbat. Maximum number of stress days with maximum temperature greater or equal to 40 C and R.H less than or equal to 30% was observed 3 days at Multan and 01 day at Sargodha. Agricultural soils showed cooler trend in most of the agricultural soils in the country, more significant in upper parts of the country as compared to lower parts of the country. However values of soil temperature at different depths observed above normal in Tandojam. From the general analysis of soil behavior it has been observed that this June remained comparatively cooler in upper and central parts of the country and observed warmer in lower parts represented by Tandojam. Soil temperature data also reveal that soil moisture condition is in satisfactory range in most of the agricultural lands of the country, which may further improve during coming monsoon season. Solar Radiation and Wind Regime during May, 2015 Total bright sunshine hours and solar radiation intensity remained normal to below normal in most of the agricultural plains of the country. Mean wind speed ranged throughout agricultural plains of the country between 3 to 10 km/h with North-West and South to Southwest trend. 13 CRS, Pb. Crop Bulletin July 2015-Vol-II, Issue 7, Serial # 19

15 SUMMARY FOR THE MONTH OF JUNE, 2015 Source:PMD 14 CRS, Pb. Crop Bulletin July 2015-Vol-II, Issue 7, Serial # 19

16 SUMMARY FOR THE MONTH OF JUNE, 2015 Source:PMD 15 CRS, Pb. Crop Bulletin July 2015-Vol-II, Issue 7, Serial # 19

17 SUMMARY FOR THE MONTH OF JUNE, 2015 Source:PMD 16 CRS, Pb. Crop Bulletin July 2015-Vol-II, Issue 7, Serial # 19

18 NORMALLY EXPECTED WEATHER DURING JULY, 2015 July is generally a rainy month over Pakistan. Monsoon currents invade the northeastern parts, along with southeasterly winds whereas southwesterly flow prevails across the coastal belt. Existence of heat low over Balochistan and adjoining areas of Sindh and Punjab provides the driving force to monsoon which is now attaining full swing. Monsoon rains is normally during the first week of July. All Pakistan seasonal prediction of Monsoon (July-September) is expected to be % of the long term average. This year Northern parts of Punjab which forms the monsoon belt are expected to receive 250 mm precipitation, Central Punjab about 200 mm and southern Punjab as well as KPK around 150 mm. Sindh and Balochistan may get significant amount of precipitation from Agrometeorological point of view during the month. However, areas adjoining the coast would experience July precipitation ranging between 100 mm and 200 mm. Evaporative demand of the atmosphere is likely to maintain the level of June, which was close to normal. ETo values may range between 5 and 8 mm/day throughout the country with an increasing trend toward south. The mean daily R.H% is also expected to range form 60% to 70% except arid zone where is may be around 40%. The mean daily temperature is likely to vary from 30 to 34 C over low elevation plains whereas in and around Quetta valley, it may be about 28 C. The mean daily maximum temperatures may range between 35 C and 40 C and minimum temperature 24 to 28 C. The minimum temperature averaged over the month of July may be around 20 C. The occurrence of moderate or sever hydrothermal stress is not expected anywhere in the country because of increasing level of relative humidity due to monsoon air mass. Monthly weather outlook for July 2015 During the month of July monsoonal current will enter in the country. As a result scattered rainfall of moderate to heavy intensity is expected during the month of July. Northern parts of the country are expected to receive normal to above normal whereas southern parts are expected to receive below normal rainfall during the month. Negative anomaly would be more significant in Sindh, and most parts of Balochistan whereas Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Azad Jammu and Kashmir and Gilgit-Baltistan may receive above normal rainfall during the month. Daily temperatures will be on higher side during the month of July. 17 CRS, Pb. Crop Bulletin July 2015-Vol-II, Issue 7, Serial # 19

19 18 CRS, Pb. Crop Bulletin July 2015-Vol-II, Issue 7, Serial # 19

20 19 CRS, Pb. Crop Bulletin July 2015-Vol-II, Issue 7, Serial # 19