Proceedings of Selected Articles of 2013 World Agricultural Outlook Conference

Transcription

1 Proceedings of Selected Articles of 2013 World Agricultural Outlook Conference

2 ThiS is a FM Blank Page

3 Shiwei Xu Editor Proceedings of Selected Articles of 2013 World Agricultural Outlook Conference

4 Editor Shiwei Xu Agricultural Information Institute Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences Beijing, China ISBN ISBN (ebook) DOI / Springer Heidelberg New York Dordrecht London Library of Congress Control Number: Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2014 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. Exempted from this legal reservation are brief excerpts in connection with reviews or scholarly analysis or material supplied specifically for the purpose of being entered and executed on a computer system, for exclusive use by the purchaser of the work. Duplication of this publication or parts thereof is permitted only under the provisions of the Copyright Law of the Publisher s location, in its current version, and permission for use must always be obtained from Springer. Permissions for use may be obtained through RightsLink at the Copyright Clearance Center. Violations are liable to prosecution under the respective Copyright Law. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. While the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication, neither the authors nor the editors nor the publisher can accept any legal responsibility for any errors or omissions that may be made. The publisher makes no warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained herein. Printed on acid-free paper Springer is part of Springer Science+Business Media (

5 Preface 2013 World Agricultural Outlook Conference Overview It has always been the major concern in the world to safeguard food security and to ensure the sufficient supply of agricultural products, which is also the corner stone for the world and regional stable economic growth. Taking into consideration of global agricultural development trends, agricultural production will enter into a new stage featured with high cost, high risk and much more strict resource and environment constraints in the future, which will further increase uncertainties of agricultural development. In response to the daunting task of enhancing world food security, it is imperative to make projection and analysis of the future agricultural production and market trend, to facilitate in-depth communication and knowledge sharing, to formulate policy options on the agricultural development, and ultimately to promote the predictability and management competence over agricultural market World Agricultural Outlook Conference (WAOC) supported by Ministry of Agriculture of the People s Republic of China, co-organized by United Nations Food Agriculture Organization (FAO) and Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), was hosted by Agricultural Information Institute (AII) of Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences (CAAS), such as FAO, OECD and IFPRI, and other countries will participate in the conference. WAOC held on June 6 7, 2013, at Beijing Friendship Hotel, discussed current situation and future challenges facing agricultural development in the next decade. Conference contents were as following: 1. Opening Ceremony and Press Release: FAO/OECD presentation on 2013 World Outlook (summary), AII presentation on 2013 China Outlook (summary); 2. Key Policy Challenges for the Next 10 Years and Approaches: keynote speeches by FAO, OECD, IFPRI, USDA, CAAS, etc.; 3. Global and China Commodity Outlook: grains, oilseeds, biofuel, cotton, sugar, livestock, and dairy, by specialists from international organizations and national institutes; and v

6 vi Preface 4. Scenario Analysis on Macro-economy and Hot Topics on Food Projection: agricultural early-warning and monitoring system, resource constraints, climate changes, biofuel, population growth and change, by specialists from different regions. Beijing, People s Republic of China Shiwei Xu

7 Contents 1 Study on Stabilizing Price of Hog Market in China... 1 Qiao Zhang, Ke Wang, and Ran Huo 2 Analysis and Outlook of China s Sugar Industry Development Xue Xu and Hailong Xia 3 Perspective on the Trend of Soybean Production and Trade in China Qing Zhang and Lifeng Liu 4 Study on Rural Microcredit Risk Management and Micro-repayment Insurance Ran Huo and Qiao Zhang 5 The Analysis of Laminaria japonica Industry and International Trade Situation in China Hao Yue, Yingze Sun, Hu Jing, Shouying Zeng, and Haiying Ouyang 6 China s Current Development Status and Prospect of Foxtail Millet Trade and Industry Meng Liu, Fei Liu, Yu Zhao, Shunguo Li, and Huijun Wang 7 Preliminary Discussion on the Current Situations and Prospects of Cassava Starch Imports and Exports in China Haiqing Liu, Enping Liu, and Hailiang Li 8 Monetary Policy and the Price Volatility of Natural and Synthetic Rubber in China Liu Ruijin 9 Analysis and Forecast of World Corn Market Trade and Policy Yantao Yang, Zhongli Zhou, and Fu Qin 10 Analysis on Current Fruit Market and Late Concerns in China Junye Zhao and Qiao Zhang vii

8 viii Contents 11 Rice Policy Reviews in China, Thailand and Vietnam: Policy Instruments, Targets and Impacts Sina Xie, Orachos Napasintuwong Artachinda, Jun Yang, and Heguang Liu 12 A Study on Model Design of Tropical Agricultural Products Closed-Loop Supply Chain in Hainan Meng Meng and Enping Liu 13 Research of Construction of Australia Agriculture Information System Xiaochan Hu, Huijian Zhang, Wei Luo, and Xiongjun Mai 14 An Analysis on the Trend of International Biomass Energy Technology Yanyan Du, Xiaofen Wen, and Binmei Guo 15 Analysis of Major Factors Influencing Crop Yield of Shandong Province Xiaoyan Zhang, Lili Wang, Lei Wang, Bingfu Liu, Jiye Zheng, Jia Zhao, and Huaijun Ruan 16 Study on Creative Agriculture Mode in Community Haiyan Sun, Jianwei Feng, Dashun Zhai, Shubo Wan, and Lin Li 17 The Application Study of Electronic Farming in the New Countryside Construction in Hainan Songlin Wang, Wengang Yu, Zhengqun Mo, and Guohua Fu 18 Low Carbon Economy and Sustainable Development of Tropical Agriculture in Hainan Province Dashun Zhai, Dongsheng Zou, Han-yan Sun, and Xiaofei Zheng