Hog Supply at a Glance Semaine terminant le 17 novembre 2018

Transcription

1 Hog Supply at a Glance Semaine terminant le 17 novembre 2018 Canadian Hog Slaughter by Province of Origin Number of Head British Columbia 3,718 3, % 176, , % Alberta 39,025 42, % 1,965,106 1,948, % Saskatchewan 34,728 40, % 1,474,463 1,536, % Manitoba 83, , % 4,066,841 4,140, % Hog Slaughter at Federally Inspected Packing Plants Ontario 123, , % 4,917,170 4,912, % Number of Head Quebec 147, , % 6,256,279 6,339, % New Brunswick % 23,325 16, % Nova Scotia % 12,534 9, % West 154, , % 7,333,683 7,450, % Prince Edward Island 1,184 1, % 43,841 39, % East 263, , % 10,856,187 10,890, % Canada 434, , % 18,936,513 19,109, % Canada 417, , % 18,189,870 18,340, % Carcass weight (kg) [1] % % Estimated Sow/Boar Slaughter (includes federal & provincial slaughter) Pork Production (t) 42,300 44, % 1,856,543 1,857, % West % 21,689 16, % [1] Week ending = September average (kg) YTD = January to September average (kg) Source: Canadian Food Inspection Agency (CFIA) Note: West (BC, AB, SK, MB) and East (ON, QC, NB, NS, PE) East 1,000 1, % 53,455 56, % Canada 1,652 1, % 75,144 72, % Source: CFIA and Provincial Governments Hog Prices [1] Ontario Hog Price - Dressed Weight Manitoba Hog Price - Index 100 CDN$/100kg (Total Value FOB yard) YTD Avg Price Ending British Columbia % % Alberta % % Saskatchewan % % Manitoba* % % Ontario [1] % % Quebec % % New Brunswick % % Nova Scotia % % Prince Edward Island % % [1] Provincial prices reflect Index 100, except Ontario which is total value FOB yard price. *Estimate for 2018 Source: Provincial Pork Associations, Provincial Governments $260 $220 $180 $140 $100 Weekly Weighted Avg. Price (CDN$/100kg) $260 $220 $180 $140 $100 AVERAGE ( ) Source: Provincial Pork Associations, Provincial Governments

2 Exports Canadian Pork Exports Canadian Pork Exports Metric tonnes CDN$ ('000) sept sept sept sept sept sept sept sept United States 31,174 30, % 261, , % United States 99, , % 927,580 1,096, % China 20,832 20, % 199, , % China 33,872 36, % 345, , % Japan 21,325 20, % 196, , % Japan 103, , % 945, , % Mexico 14,230 11, % 110,719 91, % Mexico 25,188 16, % 177, , % Philippines 4,017 3, % 38,775 31, % Philippines 8,496 8, % 82,640 69, % South Korea 3,087 3, % 34,560 29, % South Korea 10,159 10, % 120,135 96, % Taiwan 2,399 4, % 29,748 28, % Taiwan 5,114 10, % 65,694 68, % Australia 1,312 1, % 10,672 13, % Australia 4,098 5, % 35,435 47, % New Zealand 1, % 8,413 7, % New Zealand 3,210 3, % 24,268 24, % Hong Kong % 5,190 5, % Hong Kong 1,306 1, % 12,179 13, % Other 3,928 5, % 39,027 49, % Other 9,119 12, % 90, , % Total 104, , % 935, , % Total 303, , % 2,827,256 2,994, % Domestic exports only (excludes re-exports) Domestic exports only (excludes re-exports) Source: Statistics Canada Canadian Feeder Hog Exports to the US Canadian Market Hogs/Sows/Boars Exports to the US 10-nov nov nov nov nov nov nov nov.-17 Number of Head 75,406 88, % 3,736,598 4,003, % Number of Head 16,172 17, % 690, , % 120,000 25, ,000 22, ,000 19,000 90,000 16,000 80,000 70,000 13,000 60,000 10,000 50,000 7, Source: USDA - APHIS

3 Exchange Rate (US$/CDN$) Imports Canadian Pork Imports Metric tonnes Fresh and Frozen Pork United States 2,470 2, % 106, , % United States 1,572 1, % 59,385 56, % Poland ,116 4, % Italy % 2,099 2, % Germany % 3,268 2, % China % Denmark 0 0-3,301 2, % Other % 1,407 1, % Spain ,418 2, % Total Processed 1,586 1, % 63,717 60, % Other % 4,649 4, % Total Pork Fat % Total Fresh and Frozen 2,543 2, % 125, , % Total 3,479 4, % 189, , % Source: CFIA Market Indicators Pork Processed Source: CFIA Consumer Price Index - Fresh or Frozen Pork Exchange Rate and Retail Prices for Pork Products 2002 Base, $US/$CDN Retail Price ($/kg) AVERAGE ( ) Source: Statistics Canada Estimated Average Value of the Pork Carcass Cutout on the US Wholesale Market (US$/cwt) YTD Avg Value Ending Carcass % % Loin % % Butt % % Pic % % Rib % % Ham % % Belly % % Source: USDA-APHIS: National Weekly Pork Report 8.0 Source: Statistics Canada and Bank of Canada Estimated Carcass Value on the US Wholesale Market (US$/cwt) Pork Processed Pork US$/CDN$ * Calculations based on a 205 lb Pork Carcass % lean, 0.65"-0.80" BF last rib 0.9

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5 United States United States Hog Slaughter and Pork Production United States Hog Market Prices - By Region Weighted weekly average carcass (US$/cwt) Slaughter ('000 head) 2,626 2, % 108, , % US - National % % Pork Production (mil. lbs) % 22,971 22, % Eastern Cornbelt % % Avg Dressed Weight (lbs) % Iowa Minnesota % % Source: United State Department of Agriculture (USDA) Western Cornbelt % % Total composite weighted average prices* Early Weaned Pigs % % 40 lb Feeder Pigs % % *Includes Formula and Cash Source: USDA: National Direct United States Pork Imports United States Pork Exports Carcass weight - tonnes Carcass weight - tonnes sept sept sept sept sept sept sept sept Canada 21,303 27, % 212, , % Mexico 59,311 66, % 606, , % Poland 4,346 6, % 60,132 55, % Japan 42,023 41, % 411, , % Denmark 2,272 2, % 29,563 23, % South Korea 17,030 12, % 233, , % Mexico 2,005 1, % 15,510 11, % Canada 23,204 23, % 177, , % United Kingdom % 8,270 6, % China 7,817 9, % 119, , % Other 4,176 3, % 34,685 32, % Other 46,701 38, % 415, , % Total 34,901 41, % 360, , % Total 196, , % 1,963,489 1,854, % Source: USDA, Economic Research Service Source: USDA, Economic Research Service For more information, please contact Francois Bédard Sector Specialist - Pork Animal Industry Division Francois.Bedard@CANADA.CA Tel.: