SIAC Phase-II prospects and plans Doug Gollin, SPIA Chair 29 July 2016, Boston

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1 SIAC Phase-II prospects and plans Doug Gollin, SPIA Chair 29 July 2016, Boston

2 SPIA mandate To provide CIGAR members with timely, objective and credible information on the impacts at the system level of past CGIAR investments and outputs in terms of the CGIAR goals of enhanced food security, poverty alleviation and sustained natural resources; To provide support to and complement the Centers in their ex post IA activities; and To provide feedback to CGIAR priority-setting and create synergies by developing links to ex ante assessment and overall planning, monitoring and evaluation functions in the CGIAR

3 SPIA comparative advantage Objectivity/independence Experience in conducting and completing large-scale system-level analysis Demonstrated record in curating and publishing data from these studies Ability to take advantage of economies of scale across crops and to merge biological data with socioeconomic data Resources that are not tied to projects and that can thus be committed over relatively long periods of time; e.g., for data collection Robust connections with LSMS-ISA and by extension to national statistical systems Strong connections to external researchers who will be valuable in figuring out issues of measurement and impact assessment

4 Prioritizaton process SIAC Phase-I mid-term review (internal) in Castel Gandolfo (Italy), Feb 2015 encouraged by participants, including donors (Gates, DFID, IFAD) to think about a potential Phase-II SPIA internal meeting, Rome, November 2015 to think about way forward options Planning meeting, DC (IFPRI), March 2016 to discuss priorities with USAID, Gates and DFID + range of impact assessment experts Current Strengthening Impact Assessment in the CGIAR grant (Gates and DFID) ends mid-2017 Working towards new program of work for CRP Phase 2 8 areas identified

5 8 possible Focus Areas 1. DNA: Large-scale surveys combining DNA fingerprinting of crop varieties with socioeconomic data 2. NRM: Baseline surveys to document the adoption of NRM practices in agriculture / forestry / land management 3. Policy claims: A database of claims of policy influence resulting from CGIAR research 4. Impacts: Ex-post impact studies of adoption of CGIAR-derived technologies / practices / policies 5. Better trials: Improving the prediction of technology success in farmers fields 6. Capacity development: CGIAR staff / management for impact assessment 7. Communication: Better targeting of impact assessment messages, with the goal of increasing its use by CGIAR decision-makers 8. Methods: Piloting new tools and methods as proof of concept - a CGIAR-wide public good

6 CRP targets for six high-priority countries GROUP 1 GROUP 2 Ethiopia Tanzania Uganda India B desh Vietnam Total CRP TOTAL % share A4NH CCAFS DCL Fish FTA Livestock Maize PIM Rice RTB Wheat WLE Country total (M HHs) % share of rural HHs

7 CRP targets for six high-priority countries GROUP 1 GROUP 2 Ethiopia Tanzania Uganda India B desh Vietnam Total CRP TOTAL % share A4NH CCAFS DCL Fish FTA Livestock Maize PIM Rice RTB Wheat WLE Country total (M HHs) % share of rural HHs

8 Potential minimum list of data Data Method 1 Method 2 CRPs particularly interested Crop production (up to 3 Self-report for previous Crop-cut main crops grown on farm?) season Area of crop production Self-report GPS measurement Plant varietal data (up to 3 main crops grown on farm?) Sampling of leaf / grain material Self-report MAIZE, RICE, WHEAT, RTB, DCL, A4NH Natural resource management practices used (agroforestry, CA, irrigation, etc) Livestock management practices Livestock breeds Aquaculture management practices Fish breeds Dietary data for women and girl children Questions with visual aid protocol Questions with visual aid protocol Sampling of animal genetic material Questions with visual aid protocol Sampling of animal genetic material (Advice needed) Remote sensing Remote sensing Self-report Remote sensing Self-report FTA, WLE, PIM, CCAFS, MAIZE, WHEAT, RICE, RTB, DCL LIVESTOCK, CCAFS LIVESTOCK FISH, WLE FISH A4NH, FISH, LIVESTOCK

9 Potential contributing partners LSMS-ISA team Impact Assessment Focal Points / MEL Community of practice for each CRP (prioritization and links to CRP management) Diversity Arrays ltd (genotyping services) CGIAR Genetic Gains Platform (support for field sampling methodology of plant and animal genetic material) CGIAR Big Data Platform (data curation) National Statistics Agencies (Ethiopia, Uganda, Tanzania field surveys) BRAC (Bangladesh field survey management) IFMR / Innovations for Poverty Action (India field surveys or others?) Nong Lam University (Vietnam field survey or others?) OTHER SUGGESTIONS VERY WELCOME