Why foresight matters for the lives of ordinary people Ground realities

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1 Why foresight matters for the lives of ordinary people Ground realities Irene Annor-Frempong Director, Research and Innovation, FARA Connecting Science to Transform Agriculture in Africa

2 Main issues Agriculture remains a major source of income in Africa; however, untapped potential has resulted in persistent poverty and deteriorating food security Large gap between employment and income resulting in widespread poverty Relatively low productively resulting in rapidly rising imports

3 How do we develop and Link small-scale farmers to mainstream markets and improve livelihoods? Source: De Janvry and Sadoulet, 2010

4 Demands on Africa s agriculture & food system 1. Produce significantly more food.. on less land, with less water In conditions of increasingly unpredictable climate and markets With less manual labour 2. Reduce the amount of waste and losses 3. Produce more nutritious and safe food 4. Move up the value chain (processing and marketing industry grows 2X faster than production) Country Agric TFP Growth At the current pace, No country will achieve the goal of doubling agricultural productivity by 2030 Year when ATFP is projected to double Burkina Faso Cameroon Malawi Morocco Nigeria Tunisia Uganda Zambia

5 Sustainable Development Goals AU Agenda 2063 Situating the S3A in national, continental and global development frameworks CAADP / Malabo STISA PIDA etc Feed Africa AU-EU FNSSA NAIPS, APPs, NARS progs, CGIAR & other IARC African Progs, FARA & SRO progs, AGRA, AATF, etc

6 AUC/NEPAD FARA Secretariat Forum NAASRO CORAF ASARECA CCARDESA AFAAS NARES NARES NARES NARES End Users End Users End Users End Users 6

7 S3A Value Add Increased investments in STI and complementary services Strengthened capacities for planning and implementation, enabling policies Better integrated programmes at national and regional level S4AC CGIAR etc Policy makers Agribusin ess NARIs NAIS Produ cers Educ ation Advisory Services Developing a coherent and effective basis for reporting against national targets West, Central and North Africa East and Central Africa Southern Africa Tier one countries

8 Country process for defining their research agendas as part of the CAADP process 1. Country Commits to S3A implementation 6. M&E and lesson learning 2. Stocktaking and profiling; ToC: a. What is the country s productivity target by 2025? b. What science (tech, services etc) is needed to achieve these targets? c. What capacity strengthening is required? d. What policies are required? e. What investments are required? f. What collaborative engagements are required? Social marketing of the S3A 5. Implement actions 4. Strengthen institutional structures needed to implement programme 3. Develop investment programme aligned to NAIPs, SDGs etc

9 S3A National Implementing Platforms through the IAR4D - IP Investment Institutional change Policy changes Scaling Up Agricultural productivity Scaling Out

10 Key issues Directing foresight work to address national, regional, continental, global targets Empowering users / countries/ local actors to use foresight models on a sustainable basis Increasing domestic investments in best bet options / priority areas S3A Investment Proposals Refreshing NAIPs Biennial Reviews Malabo commitment CAADP Defining country research agenda Empowering sustainable food systems through foresight African Foresight Academy Outcomes Key foresight needs in Africa identified through foresight situational analysis Needed partnership for foresight capacity made advanced e.g. with GFAR Preparation for foresight academy in progress (e.g. foresight training in DEC with GFAR) Building on successes of national research work

11 Visit Us for S3A Resources #ScienceAgenda Connecting Science to Transform Agriculture in Africa