African Services (AEWACS Project)

Transcription

1 ACMAD African Centre of Meteorological Applications for Development African Early Warning and Advisory Climate Services (AEWACS Project) TOWARDS ADAPTING TO AN EVER CHANGING CLIMATE A contribution to ClimDevAfrica Marie Christine DUFRESNE Conseillère Technique du Directeur Général G de l ACMADl marie_christine_dufresne@yahoo.fr

2 A big challenge for a small centre Created in 1987 by UNECA and WMO Established in Niamey since 1992 Mandate for Africa (53 countries) Staff : between 25 and 30 persons (scientific, technical and logistical staff, including some non permanent resources and trainees for less than six months) Annual Budget : about ( Board of Governors 2008) Resources for Sustainable Development Making Weather, Climate and Environnement ACMA

3 ACMAD missions Serve the sustainable development of Africa through meteorological and climate applications needed in social and economic growth sectors Serve as a centre of information provision for the implementation of policies for vulnerability reduction and adaptation to climate variability and change Provide training in weather and climate for capacity- building in African meteorological institutions Serve as a vehicle for knowledge transfer and exchange amongst sustainability development actors

4 At the heart of meteorological applications for development ACMAD at the heart of a network grouping scientific and technical institutions and specialised users in climate sensitive sectors : Agriculture and food Security Water resources management Health Environmental Protection Protection of life and property Renewable energy management Transport For truly integrated sustainable development, ACMAD intervenes, at all space scales, continental, sub regional and national, using the principles of solidarity and of subsidiary.

5 At the heart of meteorological applications African Union - AU UN Economic Commission for Africa - UNECA World Meteorological Organization WMO UN International Institutions and NGOs UNDP, UNEP, WHO, WFO, FICR, OCHA African Regional Economic Communities SADC, ECOWAS, IGAD, CEMAC, IOC, UMA International scientific centres Météo-France, IRD, Médias-France, UKMO, INM Espagne, CIMMS, ECMWF, NOAA, EUMETSAT, IRI, ICRISAT, Universities Sub regional technical centres DMC Gaborone, ICPAC Nairobi, CILSS, NBA, EAMAC National Meteorological and Hydrological Services - NMHSs Agriculturalists, hydrologists, medical doctors, researchers, engineers, transporters, insurance, end-users

6 Our products for all the continent Analysis and forecast bulletins at various time scales Short range bulletins 1-3 days Seasonal rainfall forecast 3 months : PRESAO (JAS), PRESAC (OND). Numerical Weather Prediction products ACMAD is running a limited area model RM3 in collaboration with CCRS/GISS/Columbia University. Model outputs are available at website Climate Bulletins Ten Days Climate Bulletin Monthly Bulletin Specific Bulletins Climate and Health Sahel medium range forecast 7-10 days (during the monsoon season) Weekly Rainfall forecast All these products are sent via to NMHSs and other users and a available at : &

7 Daily analysis and forecast products WASA/F and SASA/F W A S F S A S F W A S A S A S A

8 Specific Bulletins Climate and Health Bulletin Weekly Rainfall Forecast

9 Sub-regional Climate Outlook Forums (COF) PRESA-NOR 01 PRESA-AO AO 11 PRESA-AC AC 03 GHACOF SARCOF PRESA-OIM

10 PRESAO11 Forecast JAS 2008 & ITS USE On this map, it is indicated that: The probability of rainfall deficit is very low in the sub region. The Probability of rainfall less than Normal equal to and 0.20 in zone I, II and III respectively, A high probability of rainfall higher than normal in zone I and II, and near normal rainfall in zone III (Probability of 0,45 0,50 and 0.50 respectively). In this regards, it is recommended to strengthen the EWS (Early Warning Systems) in place for community protection (flooding risks), plants protection (risks from locust invasion) and public health (likely severe malaria epidemics and other water borne diseases).

11 ACMAD and Climate change Development of a climate database for Africa : Acquisition d un Serveur de base de données (18 Téra) Organisation des données existantes à l ACMAD Acquisition de certaines données base AMMA Copie de l ensemble des Microfilms des documents de base, réalisés par DARE. NOAA/NESDISS, African (SYNOP & CLIMAT ) Data Simulations of climate change scenarii, Free CLIMATE CHANGE WORKSHOPs : Hadley Center regional climate model (PRECIS) at ACMAD since 2002 workshops and training (collaboration UKMO/Univ Niger) Product of Climatic Scenariis for NIGER basin in 2025 : ABN / AFD/ Agrhymet 2009 Climate Change Adaptation : sub regional action plan for reducting Vulnerability in West Africa (food security and water resources) ECOWAS CEA - CILSS - FFEM

12 A continental project : AEWACS (VigiRisC( VigiRisC) African Early Warning and Advisory Climate Services Objective : Capacities of African countries for the prevention of risks and socio- economic impacts related to climate variability and climate change are reinforced through relevant and adapted tools and services of climate early warning and advisory. This project will help ACMAD play its continental role within the framework of ClimDev Africa Programme Domain of Activities: Food security : rainfed agriculture, pastoralism Water resources and risks associated with river flow (Congo ) Health : malaria, meningitis or other diseases Civil protection, coastal zone : high tides and sea swell (Mauritanie ) Severe and high impact weather phenomena

13 PROJECT DESIGN AEWACS - VigiRisC Afrique stimulate and feed the trialogue between : National Meteorological and Hydrological Services, Policies makers and communities in charge of the sustainable and economic development Civic Society mainly demonstrative : «we can do it» Solidarity : Most advanced african countries, and North Institutions will have to provide required expertises in coordination with the ACMAD AD Targeting of demonstrative actions will be carried out at the same time geographically and thematically Project is based on subsidiarity which aims to give responsibility to the adequate actors at each level, in particular national, for the t development and maintenance of climate early warning products and services

14 AEWACS - VigiRisC Afrique BENEFICIARIES: ALL AFRICAN COUNTRIES, SCALES : LOCAL NATIONAL REGIONAL SCALES, BASED ON OBSERVATIONS and SHORT RANGE - MEDIUM RANGE SEASONNAL FORECAST LEAD AND COORDINATION: ACMAD DURATION: 3 YEARS starting early 2009 TOTAL AMOUNT : euros Total for France (FGEF, AFD, Foreign Affairs Ministry) ) : , African Bank of Development : , UNECA, IFRC, ACMAD, partners : Signing with French Global Environment Fund on 23 January 2009 for 2M funding

15 Result 1 : AEWACS - VigiRisC Afrique Expected Results Profiles of pilot early warning and advisory products are identified according to : end-users and development community needs, data availability requirements for new pilot products, Peer review and evaluation early warning systems, best practices and forecast capacities. Participative need assessment should contribute to development community awareness

16 Result 2 : AEWACS - VigiRisC Afrique Expected Results Selected pilot early warning and advisory products are operational, developed and implemented by national institutions with the support of ACMAD expert network Risk prevention plans are reinforced through the integration of pilot early warning advisory services At least 5 pilot demonstrative products will be developed (one for each theme) Development of the pilot products by the institutions concerned with the support of ACMAD technical and expertise network. Training of the users

17 AEWACS - VigiRisC Afrique Expected Results Result 3 : Wide information dissemination and communication effort increase awareness of development community related to integrated climate risk management. Activities : Training and capacity building Monitoring and evaluation Knowledge management Website and ACMAD newsletter Animation of AEWACS network Benchmarking and cooperation with other regions Experience and best practices sharing The peer review will provide a map of african early warning capacities, which can be used by many interlocutors for sharing experience.

18 AEWACS - VigiRisC Afrique Principales parties prenantes du projet Communautés s du développementd Union Africaine et le secrétariat tariat conjoint UA/CEA/BAD (ClimDevAfrica( ClimDevAfrica) CEA et ses représentations régionalesr Banque Africaine de DéveloppementD Communautés s Economiques RégionalesR (CEDEAO, CEMAC, CILSS, SADC, CEN-SAD, UMA, IGAD, COI) Pays : départements en charge du développement d économique, des cadres stratégiques de lutte contre la pauvreté,, des plans nationaux d action d pour l environnement l et des plans d action d nationaux pour l adaptation l (PANA) dans les PMA Collectivités s territoriales et communautés s urbaines Secteur privé,, société civile et mouvement associatif Fédération Internationale Croix Rouge et Croissant Rouge (IFRC) Communauté technique et scientifique OMM, ISDR, SMOC/GCOS. Centres techniques régionauxr (ICPAC, DMC, AGRHYMET), institutions assimilées et SMHN,, services nationaux chargés s de la gestion des risques de catastrophes. Points focaux nationaux et Comités s climat nationaux mis en place par la CCNUCC. Partenaires techniques internationaux Météo o France,, UK Met Office, AEMET IRI (USA), IDDRI (France) ICRISAT Services météo m o des pays de l UMA, l d Afrique d du Sud

19 AEWACS - VigiRisC Afrique Programmes pouvant servir d appui d ou de collaboration AMMA (Analyse de la Mousson Africaine), THORPEX SVWFDP (Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project ) AMESD USAID /USGS FEWSNET CGIAR Challenge Programme sur le changement climatique, l agriculture l et la sécurits curité alimentaire (ICRISAT) MERIT (Meningitis Environmental Risk Information Technologies) DRR WMO (Disaster Risk Reduction) Plan d action d sous-régional Afrique de l Ouest l d adaptation d au changement climatique (CEDEAO, CEA, CILSS, ACMAD) et projet FFEM associé Projet adaptation au changement climatique dans les pays de la COIC (co- financé par FFEM) Information et Communication DevCoCAST pour diffusion par satellite RANET (diffusion de l information l météorologique m jusqu aux usagers des communautés s rurales). Collaboration avec les Médias M (réseau de journalistes )

20 AEWACS VigiRisC Afrique Some examples of demonstrative pilot products : Expression of needs, partnership and co-funding Nouakchott : coastal floods with high tide (AFD) Niger basin : environmental vigilance of Kandadji dam (AfDB( AfDB) Congo basin : Kinshasa flooding (FICR)

21