Producer price index 1998/99 to 2002/03 (July to June) / / / / /03 Year

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1 Economic review for the 12 months that ended on 30 June 2003 Volume of agricultural production During 2002/03, the estimated total volume of agricultural production was 3 % lower than during 2001/02. As a result of a decline in the production of grains, oilseeds and nonfood crops such as tobacco and cotton, the volume of field crop production decreased by 7 % compared to the previous season. Horticultural production increased slightly (0,2 %), while animal production decreased by 1,2 % = 100 Volume index of agricultural production Producer prices Producer prices of agricultural products increased, on average, by 19,6 % from 2001/02 to 2002/03, compared to an increase of 22 % during the previous year. 220 Producer price index = For the period under review, the producer prices of field crops were 23 % higher than during the same period the previous year. The prices of oilseeds decreased by 15 %, while the prices of maize, cotton, wheat, sugar cane and hay increased by 28,5; 10,5; 14,1; 6,6 and 84,2 %, respectively. Producer prices of horticultural products increased by 19,4 % compared to that of 2001/02. Prices of fresh vegetables increased significantly by 43,0 %, while the prices of fruit increased by 6,4 %. The producer prices of animal products were 17,4 % higher in 2002/03 than in 2001/02. Prices of pastoral products increased by 25,0 % and that of dairy, slaughtered stock and poultry by 11,3; 23,8 and 15,2 %, respectively. 1

2 Gross value of agricultural production The total gross value of agricultural production (total production during a production season valued at the average basic prices received by producers) for 2002/03 is estimated at R million (R million) an increase of 2,8 %. This increase can mainly be attributed to a general improvement in the prices producers received for their products mainly during the second half of The gross value of animal products, field crops and horticultural products contributed 39,8; 33,2 and 27,0 %, respectively, to the total gross value of agricultural production. The maize industry made the largest contribution to the total gross value of agricultural production with 13,8 %, followed by the broiler industry, with 12,5 %, and cattle and calves slaughtered, with 8,3 % Gross value of agricultural production 1998/99 to 2002/03 Farm income The gross income of producers (the value of sales and production for other uses plus the value of changes in inventories) for the year ended 30 June 2003 amounted to R million (R million) an increase of 12,3 %. The gross income from field crops increased by only 5,6 % to R million for the year ended 30 June This increase is much lower than the 39,4 % increase during the preceding 12 months mainly because of lower levels of production of some of the important summer grains as well as the downward trend in the prices that farmers received for summer crops during Gross income of agricultural producers (GFI) Note: Figures in brackets represent aggregates for 2001/02 2

3 The gross income from horticultural products increased by 17,2 % to R million (R million). The income from subtropical fruit increased by 18,6 % to R968 million (R816 million), while that of citrus fruit remained at the same level. Income from deciduous and other fruit is estimated to have increased by 26,6 %. The increase in income from horticultural products can mainly be attributed to increases in producer prices. Gross income from major products 2002/03 compared with 2001/02 (July to June) Red meat (+26,4%) Poultry (+8,8%) Fruit (+14,9%) Vegetables (+27,7%) Dairy (+14,0%) Sugar-cane (+9,9%) Maize (+14,5%) 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14, / /03 The income from vegetables amounted to R6 437 million (R5 034 million) an increase of 27,7 %. Potatoes, which maintained a contribution of approximately 40 % to the gross income from vegetables, increased by 28 %, from R2 006 million in 2001/02 to R2 579 million in 2002/03. The gross income from animal products was 15,7 % higher and amounted to R million (R million). Producers earned R5 754 million (R4 629 million) from the slaughtering of cattle and calves an increase of 24,3 %. The average producer price of beef increased by 22,8 % during 2002/03. The income from slaughtering of sheep increased by 20,1 %, and amounted to R1 514 million (R1 261 million). The price of mutton increased by 19,0 %. Income from poultry and egg production amounted to R million (R million) an increase of 8,8 %. Net farm income (NFI) Percentage NFI (Y1) NFI as % of GFI (Y2) 3

4 The net farm income (after the deduction of all production expenditures, excluding expenditure on fixed assets and capital goods) increased by 7,8 % during 2002/03 and amounted to R million (R million). Payments for salaries and wages, representing 16,8 % of total farm costs, amounted to R8 781 million, while interest payments are estimated at R4 268 million or 8,1 % of total farm costs. Expenditure on intermediate goods and services Expenditure on intermediate goods and services (inputs consumed in the production process) increased to an estimated R million (R million) an increase of 17 %. Expenditure on fertilisers showed an increase of 18,3 %, amounting to R3 719 million compared to an increase of 27,5 % during 2001/02. Expenditure on fuel increased by 6,5 %, amounting to R3 893 million, compared to an increase of 21,4 % in 2001/02. In the case of farm services and maintenance and repairs of machinery and implements, expenditure increased by 22,8 %, amounting to R3 255 million, and 24 %, to R5 426 million, respectively. Expenditure on seeds and plants increased by 16,3 % to R2 450 million and packing material increased by 6,1 % to R2 152 million. Expenditure on dips and sprays increased by 10,6 %. Prices of farming requisites Prices of farming requisites increased by 14,7 % compared to an increase of 14,5 % in the previous year. 240 Price index of farming requisites = Machinery and implements Fixed improvements Intermediate goods and services The price index of machinery and implements increased by 17,9 %, that of requisites for fixed improvements by 17,2 % and the prices of intermediate goods and services by 14,2 %. Prices of trucks and implements showed increases of 11,8 and 15,6 % respectively, as against increases of 12,2 and 14,8 % in the previous year. Prices of tractors increased by 25,2 % compared to an increase of 20,4 % in the previous year. 4

5 1995 = 100 Price index of certain intermediate goods Farm feeds Fertilisers Fuel An increase of 21,1 % in the price of maintenance and repairs made the most significant contribution to the increase in the prices of intermediate goods and services followed by an increase of 19,9 % in the price of farm feeds. Price increases of 8,3 % in the case of fertilisers and 7,3 % for dips and sprays, occurred. Prices of packing material increased by 2,6 %, compared to an increase of 4,5 % in the previous year. 250 Price index of machinery and implements = Tractors Implements Trucks Terms of trade in agriculture (1995 = 1) The terms of trade indicate the extent to which producer prices in agriculture keep pace with the prices of farming requisites. The terms of trade in agriculture strengthened from 0,791 in 2001/02 to 0,825 in 2002/03. The terms of trade for field crops strengthened by 6,9 %, from 0,838 in 2001/02 to 0,896 in 2002/03, and by 2,4 %, from 0,746 to 0,764 for animal production. In the case of horticulture, the terms of trade strengthened from 0,818 to 0,852. 5

6 Terms of trade in agriculture 0, = 1 0,8 0,7 1998/ / / / /03 Contribution of agriculture to value added at basic prices The value added is the value of total output less the value of intermediate consumption during the production period. The contribution of agriculture to value added for the year ended 31 December 2002 is estimated at R million. This represents 3,4 % of total value added to the economy. Total Value Added Contribution of agriculture to the Value Added Contribution of agriculture as % of total Value Added R million % ,5 3,4 3,0 2,8 2,6 2,8 3,4 6