Trillion Dollar Valley. The Natural Economy of Alaska s Mat-Su Basin

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1 Trillion Dollar Valley The Natural Economy of Alaska s Mat-Su Basin November 13, 2013

2 Four Types of Capital Built Capital Social Capital Human Capital Natural Capital

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10 Applying Ecosystem Services Value Analyze Identify Model and Map Fund

11 Applying Ecosystem Services Today Tomorrow Value Analyze Identify Model and Map Fund

12 Linking nature and society Biophysical structure Influence of marine organism on sedimentation Function Buffering wave energy during storms Service Moderation of Extreme Events Benefit Protection of life, property, and livelihood from storm impacts Value WTP of people for protecting/restorin g the wetland Adapted from De Groot et al. 2010, based on Haines-Young and Potschin 2010

13 Linking nature and society Ecosystems & biodiversity Human well-being Biophysical structure Influence of marine organism on sedimentation Function Buffering wave energy during storms Service Moderation of Extreme Events Benefit Protection of life, property, and livelihood from storm impacts Value WTP of people for protecting/restorin g the wetland Adapted from De Groot et al. 2010, based on Haines-Young and Potschin 2010

14 Hedonic Valuation Contingent Valuation Avoided Cost Replacement Cost Factor Income Travel Cost Production Approach Market Pricing Valuation Methods

15 Benefit Transfer Method

16 Where do the values come from?

17 Rivers and Lakes Wetlands Riparian Buffer Climate Stability x x oderation of Extreme Events x x Habitat and Nursery x x x Pollination x Soil Erosion Control x x Water Regulation x x x Nutrient Cycling x Water Supply x x x Water Quality x x x Biological Control x Recreation and Tourism x x x Soil Formation x x Food Provisioning x x

18 Rivers and Lakes Wetlands Riparian Forest Climate Stability $29.43 x oderation of Extreme Events $ x Habitat and Nursery $0.51 $58.89 $ Pollination x x Soil Erosion Control x x Water Regulation x x x Nutrient Cycling x Water Supply $8.4 $ $2,105 Water Quality x x x Biological Control x Recreation and Tourism $1.71 x $1,043 Soil Formation x x Food Provisioning x x

19 Rivers and Lakes Wetlands Riparian Forest Climate Stability $29.43 x Moderation of Extreme Events $ x Habitat and Nursery $0.51 $58.89 $ Pollination Soil Erosion Control x x Water Regulation x x x Nutrient Cycling Water Supply $8.40 $ $2,105 Water Quality x x x x x Biological Control x Recreation and Tourism $1.71 x $1,043 Soil Formation x x Food Provisioning x x Genetic Resources x x x

20 Total Low Value of Rivers and Lakes Rivers and Lakes Wetlands Riparian Forest Climate Stability $29.43 x Moderation of Extreme Events $ x Rivers & Lakes Habitat and Nursery $0.51 $58.89 $ Pollination x x Soil Erosion Control x x Water Regulation x x x Nutrient Cycling Water Supply $8.40 $ $2,105 Water Quality x x x Biological Control x x $10.62 each year Recreation and Tourism $1.71 x $1,043 Soil Formation x x Food Provisioning x x Genetic Resources x x x

21 Rivers & Lakes $10.62 per acre each year Open Water Perennial Ice/Snow Deciduous Forest Evergreen Forest Mixed Forest Scrub/Shrub Grassland/Herbaceous Pasture/Hay Cultivated Crops Woody Wetlands Herbaceous Wetlands Rivers and Lakes [ ] Acres Total Low Value * of each landcover type

22 Mat-Su Basin

23 Top three land cover classes Wetlands $24,330/acre/y ear Riparian $8,953/acre/ye ar Mudflats $6,390/acre/ye ar Average values in 2011 U.S. dollars

24 Annual Service Value of the Mat-Su Basin High $51 Billion Low $20 Billion Each Year

25 Mat-Su Asset Value High 1,300 Billion Low $501 Billion 4% Discount Rate over 100 Years

26 Available online at

27 Contact Information Maya Kocian Senior Economist

28 Thank you.

29 Q & A

30 A few key concepts to keep in mind Scarcity has shifted from built capital to natural capital over the past century. Ecosystem services frameworks are transdisciplinary, providing a means for science to inform economic policy. Natural capital appreciates over time whereas built capital depreciates and typically requires more maintenance costs.

31 Carbon Sequestration ($/acre/year)

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