CHINA OLEFINS. Trends. Data. Analysis. Annual Study. Enquire about the China Olefins Annual Study.
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1 CHINA OLEFINS Annual Study The ICIS China Olefins Annual Study provides a comprehensive overview and analysis of the country s olefins industry, broken down by key products ethylene, propylene and butadiene (BD) with a one-year supply/demand data forecast. Readers can also gain deeper insight on the dynamic Chinese markets; the study covers recent developments and domestic market trends, such as the interaction between upstream and downstream markets, consumption structure, production and the latest government policies. OVERVIEW Traditionally, China has been heavily reliant on olefins imports. However, the rapid development of the coal-to-olefins (CTO) industry has propelled the expansion of domestic ethylene and propylene capacities. As a result, the country s overall capacity for the olefins market has grown ethylene (19.87m tonnes), propylene (21.81m tonnes) and butadiene (3.26m tonnes) in With ample supply at hand, China is now becoming more self-reliant, a development which poses a threat to international producers in terms of their market share and sales volumes to China. Growing competition from local producers in domestic Chinese markets is compounding the situation. The study digs deeper into the key issues and developments surrounding the Chinese olefins market, to give you a comprehensive analysis on how it can impact your business. This report addresses all of the following questions: How has China s import reliance changed in the olefins market? Who are the key importers of ethylene and propylene in China? What implications does the prevalence of CTO production have for international exporters? Key Features of the Report: Comprehensive overview of China s olefins industry, broken down into key markets ethylene, propylene and BD In-depth supply/demand analysis of China s olefins market and forecast data up to a year ahead Accurate data mapping China s market share of olefins, based on the different production processes of price, import capacity, government policies and latest development trends, including consumption volumes Detailed interaction between the olefins and derivative/downstream markets Enquire about the China Olefins Annual Study
2 CHINA OLEFINS Annual Study TABLE OF CONTENTS PART I PART II PART III ETHYLENE China Ethylene market overview China Ethylene supply analysis Domestic production Imports Supply forecast (up to one year ahead) China Ethylene demand analysis Downstream demand analysis by application Demand forecast (up to one year ahead) Asia Ethylene price trend analysis Ethylene price drivers analysis China Ethylene supply-demand balance analysis and forecast PROPYLENE China Propylene market overview China Propylene supply analysis Domestic production Imports Supply forecast (up to one year ahead) China Propylene demand analysis Downstream demand analysis by application Demand forecast (up to one year ahead) Asia Propylene price trend analysis Propylene price drivers analysis China Propylene supply-demand balance analysis and forecast BUTADIENE China BD market overview China BD supply analysis Domestic production Imports Supply forecast (up to one year ahead) China BD demand analysis Downstream demand analysis by application Demand forecast (up to one year ahead) Asia BD price trend analysis BD price drivers analysis China BD supply-demand balance analysis and forecast With over 30 years of experience in the industry, ICIS is recognised domestically and internationally as a leading source of market information. Our coverage of the Chinese markets provided by our local experts, combined with the expertise of our global analytical team, ensures that market players receive unrivalled and independent insight on the opaque olefins market. Enquire about the China Olefins Annual Study
3 CHINA OLEFINS Annual Study SNAPSHOTS: BD imports vs exports, Domestic propylene price trend, Jan-Oct 2014 Monthly propylene output, 2014 Enquire about the China Olefins Annual Study
4 CHINA COAL-TO-OLEFINS Competitiveness Report The ICIS China CTO Competitiveness Report enables you to gain a detailed understanding of China s fast-emerging CTO-based production. Including information on the competitiveness and cost differences of coal-based production, as well as a look at other production processes such as propane, methanol, shale and naphtha, the report is a comprehensive resource for market players. To ensure you develop a holistic view of the Chinese CTO market, this study also covers macroeconomic policies and government regulations. Potential drivers and barriers are highlighted, such as the problems and risks associated with CTO production in the domestic Chinese market. OVERVIEW As the shale gas revolution plagues the global chemical markets, industry players are increasingly pushing for low-cost production in their domestic markets. With its abundant capacity in coal production, China is therefore developing coal-based olefins, which has opened a new CTO market. These changes are shifting the domestic competitive landscape, which is now unfamiliar to international market players problematic for those looking to export into Chinese markets. China s policies on the coal-based chemical industry faced strict control and regulation between 2006 and However, recent events in the market demonstrate changing attitudes, with the Chinese government gradually approving the development of this coal-based industry. This report addresses all of the following questions: How is the olefins market likely to change in the future? What kind of competitive pressure will naphtha-based olefins producers in China face? What is the scale of acceptability of the CTO technology in China? Key Features of the Report: Comprehensive analysis of the economy, investment cost, competitive advantage and sustainability of olefins, based on different feedstocks Comparison between olefins production technologies with different feedstocks and their commercial applications Commentary on the influence of CTO developments on China s olefins industry of macroeconomic policies and government regulations, and their impact on the CTO industry Evaluation of challenges and risks and the overall acceptance of China s CTO industry Enquire about the China Coal-to-olefins Competitiveness Report
5 CHINA COAL-TO-OLEFINS Competitiveness Report TABLE OF CONTENTS PART I PART II PART III PART IV PART V PART VI DEVELOPMENT STATUS OF CHINA S OLEFINS INDUSTRY China s overall olefins industry China s traditional olefins industry China s CTO industry Features and development in China s olefins industry OLEFINS FEEDSTOCK COMPARISON AND COMMERCIAL APPLICATIONS Comparison between olefins production technologies CTO Naphtha-to-olefins Propane dehydrogenation (PDH) Comprehensive comparison between olefins feedstocks Energy Consumption Environmental Impact Resources Commercial applications of olefins from different feedstocks ECONOMIC ANALYSIS ON OLEFINS FEEDSTOCKS Cost analysis on naphtha-to-olefins Cost analysis on CTO Cost analysis on North American/Mideast shale gas-to-olefins Cost analysis on PDH olefins production Competitiveness of olefins production methods POTENTIAL OF COAL REPLACING NAPHTHA IN OLEFINS PRODUCTION Market changes and industry development trends for ethylene and polyethylene (PE) Ethylene supply & demand and forecast PE supply & demand and forecast Market changes and industry development trends for propylene and polypropylene (PP) Propylene supply & demand and forecast PP supply & demand and forecast Market changes and industry development trends of other downstream emerging products Development status and long-term planning of China s CTO project Potential for coal to replace naphtha in olefins production PROBLEMS AND SOLUTIONS FOR CHINA S CTO INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENT Influence of economic/policy orientation on CTO China s need to develop CTO Problems in developing CTO Constraints for China s CTO development China s active attempts to solve problems in CTO development INFLUENCE OF CTO DEVELOPMENTS ON CHINA S OLEFINS INDUSTRY Dilemma for the traditional naphtha-to-olefins industry Impact and influence of CTO on traditional naphtha-to-olefins producers in China Future developments of China s olefins industry With over 30 years of experience in the industry, ICIS is recognised domestically and internationally as a leading source of market information. Our coverage of the Chinese market provided by our local experts, combined with the expertise of our global analytical team, ensures that market players receive unrivalled and independent insight on the opaque olefins market. Enquire about the China Coal-to-olefins Competitiveness Report
6 CHINA COAL-TO-OLEFINS Competitiveness Report SNAPSHOTS: Cost analysis on olefins based on different feedstocks ( ) Coal-to-olefins (CTO) Methanol-to-olefins (MTO) Enquire about the China Coal-to-olefins Competitiveness Report
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