Estimates of Most Populous Countries in 2025

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1 Overpopulation

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3 Estimates of Most Populous Countries in 2025 Twelve most popul ous countries in 2025 (estimated popul ations in milli ons) Country Ratio* Indi a Chin a Pakistan United States Nigeria Indonesia Brazil Bangladesh Ethi opia Iran Mexico Russia Source : Data fro m Wor ld Resource s , Wor ld Resource s Institut e. Ratio* = 2025:1950 *Ratio 2025 to 1950

4 Regional Population Distribution for People Under Age 15

5 Fertility Rates USA

6 USA The Demographics of Life Source PDF World million Population, Mid billion 77 Population per square mile Births per 1,000 people 22 9 Deaths per 1,000 people Total fertility rate % of pop under age % of pop over age 65 7

7 The Demographics of Life USA World 49 Births per 1,000 women aged Infant deaths per 1,000 live births $29,240 GNP per capita (PPP) $6, kcal Avg daily per capita calories from animal products 66 Grains fed to livestock as % total grain consumption 441 kcal 3

8 The Demographics of Life USA 19,674 kg Annual per capita carbon emissions 5 % energy consumption from renewable sources 1 % female labor force in agriculture 4 % male labor force in agriculture 1,484 Tractor per 1,000 agricultural workers World 4,157 kg

9 Estimates of Most Populous Countries in 2025 Twelve most popul ous countries in 2025 (estimated popul ations in milli ons) Country Ratio* Indi a Chin a Pakistan United States Nigeria Indonesia Brazil Bangladesh Ethi opia Iran Mexico Russia Source : Data fro m Wor ld Resource s , Wor ld Resource s Institut e. Ratio* = 2025:1950 *Ratio 2025 to 1950

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11 World Population While demographic transition is occurring in many places, the world population keeps increasing at a rate of about 1.5% to 2% per year. Doubli ng times at various comp ound interest rates Annu al % Increase Doubli ng Time (years) So the doubling rate is between 35 and 46 years!

12 World Population Growth What will this mean for the planet? Will we alter the human carrying capacity by our impact? What can we do to help stabilize the world s population? What should we do?

13 Consumption Comparisons One quarter of the global population living in developed countries consumes for 80% of the world s total energy. USA alone accounts for 6% of the global population, but consumes 30% of its resources. 20% of the global population consumes 70% of its material resources and possesses 80% of the wealth. The majority of this 20% in centered in Canada, USA, Saudi Arabia, Australia, and Japan.

14 Consumption Comparisons A child born today in the United States will by the age of 75 years produce 52 tons of garbage, consume 10 million gallons of water and use 5 times the energy of a child born in the developing world. The United States uses approximately one quarter of the world's fossil fuels and is the largest contributor of carbon dioxide, undesirable combustion products, and chlorofluorocarbons, chemicals that contribute to greenhouse warming and attack the Earth's ozone shield.

15 Consumption Comparisons Increasing the fuel mileage of cars by just 3 mpg would save the same amount of oil that could be tapped from the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge over 10 years. Every 20 minutes, the world adds another 3,500 human lives but loses one or more entire species of animal or plant life - at least 27,000 species per year. Population is growing faster than food supplies in 64 of 105 developing countries. Overcultivation, primarily due to population pressures, has degraded some 2 billion hectares of arable land - an area the size of Canada and the United States combined

16 Consumption Comparisons Globally, the demand for fresh water exceeds the supply by 17 percent already. Two-thirds of the world's population will experience some form of a severe water shortage in the next 25 years. By 2025, when world population is projected to reach 8 billion, 48 countries with a total population of 3 billion will face chronic water shortages. In 25 years, humankind could be using over 90 percent of all available freshwater, leaving just 10 percent for the rest of the world's plants and animals.

17 What is the Carry Capacity of the Planet for Humans? Paul Erlich Population Bomb, 1968 predicted 2 billion. Now at 6 billion. Julian Simon there is no problem, more people means more potential technology solutions. Some estimate 20 billion will be maximum (at this rate, in your lifetime!!!) Solution = balance of population controls and consumption controls.

18 What Should We Do?