SYRIA MARKET MONITORING EXERCISE

Transcription

1 SYRIA MARKET MONITORING EXERCISE Cash-Based Responses Technical Working Group Snapshot: 3-27 August INTRODUCTION KEY DEVELOPMENTS To inform humanitarian cash programming, REACH and the Cash-Based Responses Technical Working Group (CBR-TWG) conduct ly market monitoring throughout Syria to assess the availability and prices of 36 basic commodities that are typically sold in markets and consumed by average Syrian households, including food and non-food items, water, fuel, and cellphone data. Of these, items comprise the Survival Minimum Expenditure Basket (), see below, which represents the minimum culturally adjusted items required to support a 6-person household for a. Data was collected this by ACTED, CARE, Shafak, Concern, GOAL, Ihsan, IRC, Mercy Corps, People in Need, REACH, Solidarités International, Violet, and Watan. Datasets are available on the REACH Resource Centre, the Humanitarian Data Ex, and are also distributed through partners across the humanitarian community. SURVIVAL MINIMUM EXPENDITURE BASKET () CONTENTS Item Food Items Bread Bulgur Chicken Eggs Fresh vegetables Ghee/vegetable oil Red lentils Rice Salt Sugar Tomato paste Hygiene Bathing soap items Laundry/dish soap Sanitary pads Toothpaste Fuel Cooking fuel* Water Water trucking Telecom Smartphone data Other Float (other costs)** Quantity 37 kg 5 kg 6 kg 6 kg 2 kg 7 kg/l 5 kg 9 kg kg 5 kg 6 kg 2 bars 3 kg 4 packs of 0 0 g 25 L 4500 L GB 7.5% total value * Kerosene in northern Syria. ** Float only applied to observations where prices of all contents could be collected WoS: Eid Al Adha prices items were the only categories to have increased in both northwest and northeast Syria. The median food and median hygiene have increased by % and 7% respectively in northwest Syria and 6% and % respectively in northeast Syria. These prices are still significantly lower than in April. Northeast: Increase in cooking fuel prices Cooking fuel prices have increased by a median of % to 3,750 SYP since July. The largest increase in price was reported in, ArRaqqa Governorate, where there was a % increase in price to 5,000 SYP. This is the second of continued increases since fairly stable Northwest: Humanitarian distributions decrease prices before February. food prices Northeast: New data company reduces prices According to vendors, the decrease in flour and lentil Data prices per gigabyte (GB) have decreased by prices throughout the northwest is due to the wide 40% since July, to a median of,500 SYP. availability of these goods through humanitarian dis- Previously some of the main companies used were WoS: prices increase Throughout northwest and northeast Syria the tributions. Lentil prices have decreased by a median operating from Turkey however, a new local data median prices have increased slightly by of 0% to 225 SYP per kilo and flour has decreased company is providing lower prices, therefore lower% and 3% respectively, since July. The by a median of 6% to 50 SYP per kilo. ing the median price per GB. median food and median hygiene Due to Eid Al Adha occurring during August, food price fluctuations were seen. vegetables increased by % and % in northeast and northwest Syria, respectively. Whereas, chicken prices decreased by 7% and 6% in the northeast and northwest respectively. Meat prices reportedly decrease during Eid Al Adha and consequently chicken prices also decreased. Eid Al Adha is the most likely reason for fluctuations in food prices as food that is traditionally eaten is in higher demand. ASSESSED AREAS AND COVERAGE MEDIAN COST IN SYP (USD), BY Northeast Northwest LATTAKIA COVERAGE HOMS QUNEITRA DAR'A AS-SWEIDA NORTHEAST SYRIA -, AL-RAQQA, & EASTERN ALEPPO GOVERNORATES HAMA RURAL DAMASCUS 6,068 SYP (36.77 USD) MEDIAN COSTS, BY MONTH & TARTOUS DAMASCUS NORTHWEST SYRIA - IDLEB, HAMA, HOMS LATTAKIA & WESTERN ALEPPO GOVERNORATES ALEPPO IDLEB 53,650 SYP (9.68 USD) 78 COMMUNITIES 48 7 GOVERNORATES Assessed sub-district with complete data collection Assessed sub-district with data collection missing items (see regional sections) Assessed sub-district with complete data collection, no water trucking* not assessed *Water trucking not used in sub-district South Northwest Northeast

2 NORTHEAST SYRIA: KEY DEVELOPMENTS AND OVERVIEW KEY DEVELOPMENTS MEDIAN COSTS & CHANGES Median price increases increase in price to 5,000 SYP. However, price fluctuations Median prices have increased in Northeast Syria regularly occur in and higher prices are since July. The complete has increased by common, as can be seen in the six price 3% to 6,068 SYP and the non-water trucking has since March, which stands at 0%. increased by 5% to 57,230 SYP. This is the first regional Transport fuel decreases in price increase in median prices since November. There has been a reported decrease in transport fuel prices by 25% to a median price of SYP. The largest price Cooking fuel prices increase decreases were reported in Jawadiyah and Qahtaniyyeh. Since July cooking fuel prices have increased by Jawadiyah reported a price decrease of 55% to a median a median of % to 3,750 SYP. The largest increase in price of 7 SYP per litre and Qahtaniyyeh reported a price price was reported in where there was a % decrease of 57% to 7 SYP per litre. The decrease in MEDIAN COST RANGES (SYP), BY SUB-DISTRICT Closed Open Sporadically Open New data companies reduce data prices The median data price per GB has decreased by 40% since July, to a median of,500 SYP. Qahaniyyeh reported the largest decrease in price, by 80% to,000 SYP per GB. The decrease in prices throughout the northeast are reportedly due to a new data company which has started operating in the area. median price may be due to the limited amount of Government transport fuel (diesel and petrol) in these locations so local transport fuel is more commonly used. WITH INCOMPLETE S IN AUGUST MEDIAN COSTS SANS WATER, BY MONTH SUB-DISTRICT MISSING ITEMS Northeast Syria Non-Water Trucking 6,068 +3% +4% 57,230 +5% -% 56,224 0% -4% * 59,52-6% 0% Al-Malikeyyeh* 59,997 +0% -4% Al-Thawrah* % % -5% * 50,098-4% -6% % 49, -5% 55,358 +7% +2% 50,00 to 60,000 SYP 52,347 60,00 to 70,000 SYP 59,453 70,00 to 80,000 SYP % -6% 80,00 SYP or more incomplete Qahtaniyyeh* 5,35-0% -% No water trucking Quamishli* 54,790 0% -8% EXCHANGE RATES, BY MONTH & CURRENCY USD/SYP 500 * 58,587 +9% 0% * 59,937 +0% +5% * 60,076 -% +9% * 60,6 -% -6% Ya'robiyah* 6,65 0% +6% Note: A lack of data for a item does not imply a shortage Northeast Syria Complete * 50,000 SYP or less Jawadiyah* Cost Syrian Pounds 55 * Denotes sub-districts where water trucking is not common, and therefore does not have water trucking prices in the cost 0 TRY/SYP Syria Market Monitoring Monthly Snapshot: 3-27 August

3 NORTHEAST SYRIA: FOOD ITEMS & COOKING FUEL FOOD ITEMS See Page, Syrian Pounds COOKING FUEL Kerosene 25L, Syrian Pounds MEDIAN FOOD COSTS, BY MONTH Food Items Cooking Fuel 50 Northeast Syria 40,700 +6% -% Northeast Syria 3,750 +% +35% 38,650 +2% -7% 45,325-6% +3% 2,875 0% +5% 2,500 -% -33% 45 Al-Malikeyyeh 43,449 +3% 0% Al-Malikeyyeh 2,83-25% -36% Al-Thawrah 42,295 +2% +4% Al-Thawrah 3,750 +% 0% 44,43 +% +7% 37,393-5% -6% 3,25 0% +% 3,000 0% -% 40 43,9 +3% +2% 3,750 +% +% Jawadiyah 36,25-3% 4,403 +8% -% 38,995 46,875 4,029 +4% -7% Qahtaniyyeh 38,5 +2% -5% Quamishli 40,93 0% -% 44,933 +0% +3% 45,250 +2% +3% 46,750 +2% +7% 44,083-4% -4% Ya'robiyah 48,045 +3% +7% Jawadiyah 3, % 3,750 +3% +% 3,250 3,750 2,750 0% +0% Qahtaniyyeh 3,750-25% +50% Quamishli 3,750 +5% +43% 3, % +% 3,750 0% +50% 2,500-38% +50% 5,000 +% 0% Ya'robiyah 2,500-33% +% MEDIAN COOKING FUEL COSTS, BY MONTH Syria Market Monitoring Monthly Snapshot: 3-27 August

4 NORTHEAST SYRIA: FOOD ITEMS & COOKING FUEL FOOD ITEMS s & communities, Syrian Pounds Yarobiyah Cost: Food Items Closed Sporadically Open Open 37,000 SYP or less 37,00 to 40,000 SYP 40,00 to 43,000 SYP 43,00 to 46,000 SYP 46,00 SYP or greater Price not available COOKING FUEL s & Communities, Syrian Pounds Yarobiyah Cost: Cooking Fuel Al-Thawrah Syria Market Monitoring Monthly Snapshot: 3-27 August Closed Open Sporadically Open 2,500 SYP or less 2,50 to 4,000 SYP 4,00 to 5,500 SYP 5,50 to 7,000 SYP 7,00 SYP or greater Price not available 4

5 NORTHEAST SYRIA: WATER TRUCKING & TRANSPORT FUEL MEDIAN WATER TRUCKING 4,500L, Syrian Pounds MEDIAN TRANSPORT FUEL PRICE Diesel and Petrol L (Government of Syria and Manually Refined), Syrian Pounds MEDIAN WATER TRUCKING COSTS, BY MONTH Water Truck Diesel and Petrol Northeast Syria 3,05 +0% +34% Northeast Syria -25% +% 9 2, % +26% * 4 0% +2% 85-7% -4% Al-Malikeyyeh* Al-Thawrah* 6,750-40% 2,025-0% -0% Al-Malikeyyeh 78-50% -% Al-Thawrah 22-2% +34% -3% -3% 6 * 4,050 -% -3% +32% 2-3% -% 3 Jawadiyah* * 3,05 0% -6% Qahtaniyyeh* Quamishli* Jawadiyah 7-55% 3 +93% +23% % +228% Qahtaniyyeh 7-57% -3% Quamishli 35 +3% +35% 9 TRANSPORT FUEL COSTS, BY MONTH & TYPE GoS REFINED PETROL * 6-48% -9% * * * Ya'robiyah* 92-5% +4% 87 -% -50% 08-5% -9% Ya'robiyah 05-0% +5% MANUALLY REFINED PETROL * Denotes sub-districts where water trucking is not common, and therefore does not have water trucking prices MANUALLY REFINED DIESEL GoS REFINED DIESEL Syria Market Monitoring Monthly Snapshot: 3-27 August

6 NORTHEAST SYRIA: WATER TRUCKING & TRANSPORT FUEL WATER TRUCKING s & communities, Syrian Pounds Yarobiyah Cost: Water Al-Thawrah Closed Open Sporadically Open,500 SYP or less,50 to 2,000 SYP 2,00 to 2,500 SYP 2,50 to 3,000 SYP 3,00 SYP or greater No water trucking TRANSPORT FUEL s & communities, Syrian Pounds Yarobiyah Cost: Transport Fuel Al-Thawrah Syria Market Monitoring Monthly Snapshot: 3-27 August Closed Open Sporadically Open 50 SYP or less 5 to 0 SYP to 250 SYP 25 to 300 SYP 30 SYP or greater Price not available 6

7 NORTHEAST SYRIA: HYGIENE ITEMS & CELLPHONE DATA MEDIAN HYGIENE ITEMS 2 bars soap, 4 packs of 0 sanitary pads, 0g toothpaste, Syrian Pounds MEDIAN CELLPHONE DATA GB data, Syrian Pound MEDIAN HYGIENE ITEMS COSTS, BY MONTH Hygiene items Phone Data 7 Northeast Median 5,00 +% -2% Northeast Median,500-40% -40% 5,44 +% +6% 5,0 0% -6% 2,500 0% -5% 2,000 0% 0% 6 Al-Malikeyyeh 5,050 +5% 0% Al-Thawrah 2,92-5% -9% 5,55 +2% +4% Al-Malikeyyeh 4, % -4% Al-Thawrah,500-63% -68% 2,000-4% -75% 5 5,00-3% -8%,0 0% -33% 4 4,799 0% -%,500 0% -55% 3 Jawadiyah 4,7 +2% Jawadiyah,000-75% 2,994-2% -5% 3,950 3,350 0% -27% 2, ,0 3,475 +5% -4% Qahtaniyyeh 4,80 -% -9%,500 2,304-2% -8% Qahtaniyyeh,000-80% -80% MEDIAN CELLPHONE DATA COSTS, BY MONTH Quamishli 5,05 +3% -2% 4,767 +3% -8% Quamishli,0-25% -%,050-30% -58% 8 5,555 +% +8% 5,35 +2% +4% 5,300-8% -%,0-8% -%,500 0% 0% 2,000-33% -38% 6 Ya'robiyah 5,505 -% +% Ya'robiyah,300 +6% -28% Syria Market Monitoring Monthly Snapshot: 3-27 August

8 NORTHEAST SYRIA: HYGIENE ITEMS & CELLPHONE DATA HYGIENE ITEMS s & Communities, Syrian Pounds Yarobiyah Cost: Hygiene Al-Thawrah 3,000 SYP or less Closed Open Sporadically Open 3,00 to 4,000 SYP 4,00 to 5,000 SYP 5,00 to 6,000 SYP 6,00 SYP or greater Price not available CELLPHONE DATA s & Communities, Syrian Pounds Yarobiyah Cost: Data Al-Thawrah Syria Market Monitoring Monthly Snapshot: 3-27 August Closed Open Sporadically Open,000 SYP or less,00 to,500 SYP,50 to 2,000 SYP 2,00 to 2,500 SYP 2,50 SYP or greater Price not available 8

9 NORTHEAST SYRIA: DISTRIBUTIONS OF PRICES ASSESSED FOOD ITEMS Syrian Pounds CELLPHONE DATA GB WATER TRUCKING Syrian Pounds Eggs (30 eggs) Ghee Chicken Rice Tomato Paste Vegetable Oil Red LentilsSugar Bulgur Flour Milk Potatoes Tomatoes Cucumbers Bread (8 slices) Onions Salt (500 g) Cellphone data (GB) Water Trucking (L) ASSESSED FUEL ITEMS Syrian Pounds ASSESSED HYGIENE ITEMS Syrian Pounds READING BOXPLOTS Maximum price in dataset Upper quartile: 25% of data is above this point Median price in dataset Manually Refined Petrol Manually Refined Kerosene LP Gas Manually Refined Diesel GoS Petrol GoS Diesel 0 Laundry Powder 275 Dishwashing Liquid 250 Toothpaste ( g) 0 Sanitary Pads ( Pack) 0 40 Bathing Soap ( bar) Example Commodity ( unit) Lower quartile: 25% of data is below this point Minimum price in dataset 9 Syria Market Monitoring Monthly Snapshot: 3-27 August

10 APPENDIX AND METHODOLOGY METHODOLOGY To be included in the Syria Market Monitoring Exercise, markets must be permanent in nature, large enough to support at least two wholesalers, and diverse enough to provide a sufficient variety of goods and commodities. The shops surveyed within each market must be housed in permanent structures and must sell certain items to be eligible for inclusion. Participating organisations train their enumerators on the Market Monitoring methodology and data collection tools using standard training materials developed by REACH. Each enumerator aims to assess three to five shops of each type in the main market in their assigned sub-district, using surveys to collect information about prices, current product inventory and the time needed to replace current stocks. In sub-districts where direct surveying by enumerators is not possible, such as Lattakia and Deir-ez-Zor, data collection is conducted remotely through key informants such as shop owners, suppliers and consumers. A survey form is deployed on KoBo each to capture price and stock information from different types of establishments, including grocery stores, fuel traders, currency ex shops, water trucking services and mobile phone shops, among others. Nearly all participating partners submit their data to these KoBo forms, using the KoBoCollect Android app to upload data. A small number of partners, by prior permission, collect data using fully harmonised data collection tools deployed on other platforms, then submit their raw data to REACH for standardisation, compilation and cleaning. Following data collection, REACH compiles and cleans all partners data, normalising prices and cross-checking outliers. The cleaned data is then analysed by costs, components of the, and by commodities. These trends are observed at the sub-district-level and, when possible, at the community-level. Prices are divided into quartiles and boxplots are created to help CBR TWG members understand the distribution of prices. To illustrate local variations in prices and availability, REACH uses the collected data to map the price of an in each sub-district and adds illustrations of surrounding border crossings, with data sourced from OCHA. In addition, each component costs and transport fuel prices are graphed to visualize trends over time. The cleaned data sets are available on the REACH Resource Centre and are distributed to all participating partners, as well as to interested clusters and the broader humanitarian community. CHALLENGES AND LIMITATIONS As the Syria Market Monitoring Exercise currently includes 2 partners based in 2 hubs, achieving a consistent approach is inherently challenging. Participating organisations are therefore requested to adopt harmonised data collection methodologies and tools to ensure that the data uploaded is as accurate as possible. Confirming commodity shortages in certain communities was difficult due to a lack of information about general market availability. When follow-ups were unable to confirm these shortages, this is stated in the text. Because this exercise collects data directly from vendors and because it relies on partner organisations for its wide coverage, the exercise may lose coverage sporadically or for longer periods of time owing to challenges in accessing locations or due to loss in the shared data collection capacity of the project. This impacts the ability to report on trends, as can be seen in the line graphs and values in the tables. Due to Eid al Ahda the data collection period was extended from one week over two. This allowed for more time for data collection and took into consideration the different timings of Eid al Ahda throughout different countries. CHANGES TO COVERAGE Given security and access constraints in the south of Syria, data collection was unable to take place for the July Market Monitoring situation overview. Due to access issues and an escalation of conflict, coverage was lost in Eastern Ghouta in March. CALCULATING MEDIAN CHEAPEST PRICE This figure is calculated by taking the median of the minimum-reported prices of a region s sub-districts. In turn, the minimum-reported prices for each sub-district were taken from the median of the minimum-reported prices of the constituent towns assessed. CALCULATING SURVIVAL MINIMUM EXPENDITURE BASKET () COSTS The cost of a is calculated for each assessed sub-districts by calculating the median cheapest price of each commodity in that sub-district, then multiplying these medians by the number of units that an average Syrian household requires to purchase in a. The composition of the can be found on page and vegetables includes potatoes, tomatoes, onions and cucumbers. WHAT IS THE? The Cash-Based Responses Technical Working Group (CBR TWG) was established in May 4 to analyse the impact of the ongoing conflict on markets in Syria and guide the implementation of humanitarian cash and voucher programmes within those markets. REACH and the CBR TWG have been partners on the Syria Market Monitoring Exercise since early 5. Since February, the exercise expanded coverage into the south, bringing ly market assessments to communities in Damascus, Rural Damascus, Dar a and Quneitra governorates. However, we have since lost coverage in the south of Syria. ABOUT REACH REACH is a joint initiative of two international nongovernmental organizations ACTED and IMPACT Initiatives and the UN Operational Satellite Applications Programme (UNOSAT). REACH facilitates the development of information tools and products that enhance the capacity of aid actors to make evidence-based decisions in emergency, recovery and development contexts. By doing so, REACH contributes to ensuring that communities affected by emergencies receive the support they need. All REACH activities are conducted in support to and within the framework of inter-agency aid coordination mechanisms. For more information, please visit our website at contact us directly at geneva@reach-initiative.org or follow us on Twitter Syria Market Monitoring Monthly Snapshot: 3-27 August 0