International Conference on Agricultural Risk and Food Security 2010

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1 International Conference on Agricultural Risk and Food Security 2010 Agriculture and Agricultural Science Procedia Volume 1 Beijing, China June 2010 Editors: S. Xu ISBN:

2 Printed from e-media with permission by: Curran Associates, Inc. 57 Morehouse Lane Red Hook, NY Some format issues inherent in the e-media version may also appear in this print version. Copyright by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. Printed by Curran Associates, Inc. (2014) For permission requests, please contact Elsevier B.V. at the address below. Elsevier B.V. Radarweg 29 Amsterdam 1043 NX The Netherlands Phone: Fax: Additional copies of this publication are available from: Curran Associates, Inc. 57 Morehouse Lane Red Hook, NY USA Phone: Fax: Web:

3 Foreword Pages 1-3 Shiwei Xu, Qiao Zhang, Kevin Chen, Milton Boyd Government Interventions in Agricultural Insurance Pages 4-12 William J A Dick, Weijing Wang Development Strategies on Agricultural Insurance under the Building of New Countryside Pages Feng Qingshui, Zhang Xuewei Natural Disaster Risk Assessment of Grain Production in Dongting Lake Area, China Pages Laiyuan Zhong, Liming Liu, Yabing Liu Developing rice farm insurance in Indonesia Pages Sahat M. Pasaribu

4 Structure of a digital agriculture system and agricultural risks due to climate changes Pages Samuel Shen, Alan Basist, Allan Howard Natural Disaster's Impact Evaluation of Rural Households Vulnerability: The case of Wenchuan earthquake Pages Mengjie Sun, Baofeng Chen, Jinzheng Ren, Tingting Chang An Empirical Study of Agricultural Insurance Evidence from China Pages Tang Sai, Wang Yulian, Hui Xiaofeng Crop Insurance Premium Design Based on Survival Analysis Model Pages Erda Wang, Yang Yu, Bertis B. Little, Zuozhi Li A Monte Carlo model for simulating insufficiently remunerating risk premium: case of market failure in organic farming Pages Ludwig Lauwers, Lieve Decock, Jan Dewit, Erwin Wauters

5 Evaluation on the Efficiency of Crop Insurance in China's Major Grain-Producing Area Pages Ruihua Yang, Lihong Wang, Zude Xian Weather Index Derivatives in Risk Transfer for Agricultural Natural Hazards Pages Yong Yang Ecological footprint analysis of food consumption of rural residents in China in the latest 30 years Pages Dong-dong Chen, Wang-sheng GAO, Yuan-quan Chen, Qiao Zhang Farmer's Adaptation to Climate Risk in the Context of China -: A research on Jianghan Plain of Yangtze River Basin Pages Chen Li, Zuo Ting, Rabina G. Rasaily Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation of Drought Vulnerability Based on the Analytic Hierarchy Process: An Empirical Study from Xiaogan City in Hubei Province

6 Pages Jing Cheng, Jian-ping Tao Analysis and Feasibility of Crop Revenue Insurance in China Pages Joseph B. Cole, Richard Gibson On the Pilot Agriculture Insurance Program in Zhejiang Province Pages Xingchun Zhong, Yang Qiao, Wei Lin, Man Li, Weihua Fang Uncertainty, Risk Aversion and Risk Management in Agriculture Pages Hao Aimin Climate variability and bank lending in the Southeast USA Pages Denis Nadolnyak, Valentina Hartarska The optimal boundary of political subsidies for agricultural

7 insurance in welfare economic prospect Pages Xu Yuanchang, Jiang Jiyu Risk of Exchange Rate Pass-through and Adaptive Strategies of Land-intensive Products in China: Taking Import Products from U.S. as an Example Pages Ronghua Ju, Ruihua Yang Analysis of the Demand for Weather Index Agricultural Insurance on Household level in Anhui, China Pages BuChun Liu, MaoSong Li, Ying Guo, Kun Shan Interaction Relationship between Agricultural Insurance and Transfer of Land Contract Rights Based on Game Analysis of Farmer Selection Pages Zhaojun Liu Index based Crop Insurance Pages Kolli N Rao

8 Managing Typhoon Related Crop Risk at WPC Pages Craig W. Tillman, Joel K. Sivillo, Sergei A. Frolov Measurement of the Fluctuation Risk of the China Fruit Market Price based on VaR Pages WANG Chuan, ZHAO Junye, HUANG Min Study on the assessment approach for crop loss risk Pages Qiao Zhang, Ke Wang, Xi Zhang The Farmers Behavior in Agricultural Insurance under the Von Neuman-Morgenstern Utility Model Pages WANG Qing-song Income Uncertainty, Risk Coping Mechanism and Farmer Production & Management Decision: An Empirical Study from Sichuan Province 23

9 WANG Yang The Importance of Public-Private Partnerships in Agricultural Insurance in China: based on Analysis for Beijing Pages Li Xing, Kaiyu Lu Modeling Agricultural Catastrophic Risk Pages Xu Lei, Zhang Qiao The Optimization Path and the Integration Mechanism of Agricultural Insurance in the Charge of Government Pages Yu Juyun Development Evaluation of China's Policy-oriented Agricultural Insurance: Based on the Realization Degree of Policy Objectives Pages Yuzhen Zeng, Yueying Mu Regional Difference in Food Consumption Away from Home of Urban Residents: A Panel Data Analysis

10 Pages Xiaoxia Dong, Bingchuan Hu Short-Term Price Forecasting For Agro-products Using Artificial Neural Networks Pages Gan-qiong Li, Shi-wei Xu, Zhe-min Li Designing Independent Regulatory System of Food Safety in China Pages Yuhong Li, Rongguang Qi, Haiyun Liu Reformation of voluntary food recall system from the angle of the theory of risk society Pages Study on China's Food Security Status Pages Nie Fengying, Bi Jieying, Zhang Xuebiao The need of East Asian Agricultural Community and the

11 Framework Pages Goro Takahashi Food Security, Food Prices and Climate Change in China: a Dynamic Panel Data Analysis Pages Jintian Wang A Method for Spatially Explicit Assessment of Potential Risks of Food Insecurity Pages Wenbin Wu, Peng Yang, Huajun Tang, Qingbo Zhou, Zhongxin Chen, Ryosuke Shibasaki Influencing factors of consumer willingness-to-buy traceable foods: An analysis of survey data from two Chinese cities Pages Rong Zhao, Juan Qiao, Yusheng Chen Efficient food safety regulation in the agro-food wholesale market Pages Yan Ren, Yufa An

12 Analysis of the main interests of agricultural insurance main body based on the perspective of evolutionary game Pages Hui Cao, Shi-yun Zhang Cognitive Dissonance under Food-Borne Risk: A Lab Experiment Pages Ying Cao, David R. Just Transferring Price of Rural Land Use Right with NPV and Game Analytical Method Pages Peng Han Trade Liberalization, domestic input and sustainability of agricultural TFP growth: A new Perspective Based on TFP growth structure Pages Wei Hong, Lijuan Cao, Na Hao Households Food Security in Poverty-Stricken Regions: Evidence from Western Rural China

13 Pages Yun Li, Wen Yu Construction of Short-Term Forecast Model of Eggs Market Price Pages Zhemin Li, Ganqiong Li, Yuting Wang Make full use of two kinds of resources and two markets to protect our food security and raise farmers income Taking soybeans as an example Pages Li Xin, Xu Dianqing Evaluation on Sustainable Food Security in Henan against the Background of Low-Carbon Economy Pages Ma Songlin, Li Ruihong Identifying Constraints, Mechanisms, and Resources in Harmonized International Food Safety System between the Asia Pacific Region and U.S Pages Jing Pan, Shanyue Huang, Yi Wan

14 A Effective Way to Improve the Performance of Food Safety Governance Based on Cooperative Game Pages Li Qin Trade Effects and Compliance Costs of Food Safety Regulations: the Case of China Pages Haiying Song, Kevin Chen Cycle Phase Identification and Factors Influencing the Agricultural Commodity Price Cycle in China: Evidence from Cereal Prices Pages Jingjing Wang, Yongfu Chen, Xiuqing Wang, Xiaoping Zheng, Jing Zhao Research of Investment Evaluation of Agricultural Venture Capital Project on Real Options Approach Zhen Wang, Xin Tang The research on the evaluation index system of livable rural areas in China by the case of rural areas in Henan Province

15 Xiaozhan Wang Research on the Safety Risk Structure and Early Warning System of Agriculture With Illustrations of Production of Live pigs to Farmers Pages Weidong Xi, Yonghai Sun, Xiaona Tian, Hongying Wang, Qingfen Jin Impact of Sino-Australia free trade Agreement's talks on China's dairy industry Pages Wen Yu, Guangyan Cheng, Jun Yang Study on Functions of the Agriculture Cooperative in Food Safety Pages Meizhang xiangyuguo Reflection and perfection of the food recall system in China Pages Yun Zhang The Research Review about the effect of bio fuel development on

16 agricultural market and agriculture Pages Feng Gao, Li en Zhao, Xuezhen Wang